wall street in advance

November 2015 Economic Statistics
and Other Economic Influences

TUESDAYS:
                Weekly Chain Store Sales*
                 Average Hourly Earnings*
                 API Weekly Gas/Oil Stockpiles Report*  **
(4:30p.m.)
    WEDNESDAYS:
                
Mortgage Applications  Data
                 EIA Weekly Report on Gas & Oil Stockpiles* (10a.m.)
    THURSDAYS:
                 Weekly Unemployment Report*
                  Weekly Mutual Fund Flows*
                   Natural Gas Storage Levels* (a.m.)

 *Except Holidays    ** As of 1/09         All Dates Subject to Change:
Sunday,        Oct. 25 Summit on the Global Agenda (Abu Dhabi thru 27th)
    OVERNIGHT into US Mon. a.m. et:
         German Sept Import Price Index         
         Singapore Sept Industrial Production
Monday,       Oct. 26 US Sept New Home Sales
Dallas Fed Oct. Manufacturing Survey
US Auctions $26B 3--month Bills
German IFO Surveys
ECB's Mersch speaks on "The Challenges of Innovation (@ Belgian Financial Forum)
UK BBA Sept Loans for Home Purchases, CBI Oct Selling Trends & Optimism
France Total Jobs Seekers
    OVERNIGHT into US Tues. a.m. et:
         New Zealand Sept Trade Balance
         Japan Sept Corporate Service Price
         Hong Kong Sept Imports/Exports
         Chinese Sept Industrial Profits
Tuesday,      Oct. 27 FOMC 1st day of 2-day meeting
US Sept Durable Goods Orders/Shipments
Redbook weekly Store Sales Snapshot
S&P/Case Shiller Aug. 20-city Home Price Index
Conference Board's Oct. Consumer Confidence
Markit Oct. Flash PMI Services & Composite Index
3Q15 Housing Vacancies
Richmond Fed Oct Manufacturing Index
US Treasury CANCELLED today's 2-year Treasury Auction
Swiss UBS Sept Consumption Indicator
Eurozone Sept M3 & Private Sector Loans
UK 15Q3 Advance GDP & Aug. Index of Services
South Africa Q3 Unemployment Rate
     OVERNIGHT into US Wed. a.m. et:
          Japan Sept Retail Trade
          German Sept Retail Sales
&GfK German Nov Consumer Climate
          Italian Oct. Consumer & Business Confidence
          Aussie Q3 CPI  + Westpac MNI Oct. Consumer Sentiment
Wednesday, Oct. 28 FOMC Post-Meeting Statement (2pm et)
MBA weekly Mortgage/Refinance Applications
US Sept. (Adv.) Int'l Trade Deficit (Imports/Exports)
EIA weekly Petroleum Status
US Treasury Auctions $15B in 2-yr FRN and $35B in 5-year Notes
German GfK Nov Consumer Confidence Survey (Immigration a factor?)
ECB's Coeure at Instituto Technologico Autonomo de Mexico (Mexico City)
BoC Deputy Gov Lane speaks (Halifax Canada--1st since elections)
Swedish Central Bank Monetary Policy Meeting Announcement (ends 2-day mtg)
Brazil Foreign Exchange Flows
Dr. Ben Bernanke speaks (London School of Economics book tour)
ECB's Praet on panel "What challenges high public debts pose for monetary policy?" @Latvia Bankas' Economic Conference "Quo vadis, Europe? How to achieve growth in a high debt environment?" (@Riga)
Estonia Central Bank releases its Financial Stability Report (Tallinn)
ECB's Constancio speaks in Berlin w/Single Resolution Board chair Elke Koenig
    OVERNIGHT into US Thurs. a.m. et:
         Reserve Bk of New Zealand Rate Decision
(10/29 local time)
         Japan Sept Industrial Production
         Aussie HIA Sept New Home Sales & Q3 Import/Export Price Indices
         Singapore Q3 Unemployment Rate
         South Africa Sept M3 Money Supply & Private Sector Credit
         European Commission Economic Forecasts
         Spanish Oct HICP & Sept Retail Sales
         UK Nationwide Oct. House Prices
Thursday,   Oct. 29 US Q3 Advance (1st guess) GDP
Weekly US Jobless Applications
NAR Sept Pending Home Sales Index

EiA weekly Natural Gas Report
US Treasury Auctions $26B in reopened 6-month Bills + $29B 7-year Notes
US Treasury Announces Refunding Plans, ONLY if the Debt Limit has been lifted
US Farm Prices
Fed Balance Sheet & US Money Supply
Atlanta Fed's Lockhart opening remarks at Workforce Development Panel & Book Launch hosted by Federal Reserve
UK FinMin Osborne meets Brazil FinMin Joaquim Levy at UK-Brazil Economic & Financial Dialogue (London)
ECB VP Constancio speaks on "The Role of Stress Testing in the ECB's Policy Framework" @Conference on "Stress Testing & Macro-prudential Regulation: A Transatlantic Assessment" (London)
German Oct. Unemployment Rate & Oct CPI + HICP
UK M4 Sept Money Supply, & Sept. BoE Net Consumer Credit, Mortgage Approvals, & Net Lending on Dwellings
Eurozone Oct. Business Climate & Industral + Services + Consumer Confidence
UK CBI Reported Oct Sales
South Africa Sept PPI
South Korea Sept Industrial Production & Service Sector Output
Canada Industrial Product (IPPI) & Raw Materials Price (RMPI) Indices
    OVERNIGHT into US Fri. a.m. et:
        Japan Sept Jobless Rate/Apps & Household Spending, + Oct. CPI

        Aussie Oct. CBAHIA House Affordability, Sept Housing Credit, Q3 PPI, & Consumer Confidence,  & Sept Private Sector Credit
        RBNZ (New Zealand) Monetary Policy Decision + Sept M3 Money Supply
        Singapore Sept Bank Lending + Q4 Business Expectations
        India Sept Infrastructure Output
        BoJ post-Meeting Policy Statement & Kuroda Press Conference (Fri. local time)
        Japan Sept Vehicle Production + Housing Starts/Construction Orders
        UK GfK Oct Consumer Confidence
Friday,         Oct. 30 US Sept Personal Income/Expenditures/PCE
US 15Q3 Employment Cost Index  (ECI)
Chicago PMI
U.M. Final Oct. Consumer Sentiment
S.F. Fed's Williams discusses "Where Interest Rates Will Be When the Economy is (Finally) Healthy & Why it Matters" @Brookings Institution (D.C.)
K.C. Fed's George speaks on "Federal Reserve Structure" @CityAge "The New American City" Conference (Kansas City)
Baker Hughes weekly US Rig Count (1pm et)
BoJ Semi-Annual Outlook
German Sept Retail Sales
French Sept PPI
Spanish Aug Current Account & Q3 GDP
Italian Sept Unemployment Rate, Oct CPI & HICP
Eurozone Sept Unemployment Rate & Oct. CPI
Russia Interst Rate Decision
South Africa Sept Trade Balance
Canada Aug GDP
Brazil Sept Budget Balance & Debt/GDP Ratio
Saturday,    Oct. 31
Heads of Taiwan & China Meet
South Korea Oct Trade Balance (Imports/Exports)
Chinese Oct Manufacturing & Non-Manufacturing PMI
Halloween (Italy & Germany put on the, possibly, biggest parades in the world!)
Sunday,       Nov. 01 Snap Elections in Turkey
    OVERNIGHT into US Mon. a.m. et:
      Aussie AIG Oct. Performance of Manufacturing Index, CoreLogic Oct. House Price Data, TD Securities Oct Inflation, RBA Commodity Index, & Sept Building Approvals
       South Korea Sept Current Account + Nikkei Oct Manufacturing PMI
      Japan Oct. Official Reserve Assets, Nikkei Oct. PMI Manufacturing & Vehicle Sales
       China Caixin China Oct. Manufacturing PMI
       India Nikkei Markit Oct Manfuacturing PMI
Monday,      Nov. 02 FSOC Meeting includes closed & open agenda on: Asset Managers, Cybersecurity, & Re-examining the SIFI designation for Non-bank Financial Companies W/Treas Sec;y Lew, FOMC's Yellen, OCC's Curry & FDIC's Gruenberg & SEC's White
ECB "One-yr of SSM: Effective & Efficient Supervision in a Volatile World?" includes ECB Exec Board Members & ECB Single Resolution Board Chair Koenig
US Oct PMI Manufacturing Index
US Oct. ISM Manufacturing Index
Sept Construction Spending
US Treasury Auctions $28B 3- & $26B 6-Month Bills
S.F. Fed's Williams opens San Francisco Fed Conference
Ass'n of Financial Markets Annual Conference w/Bk of SPain Gov Linde & Sweden Riksbank Gov Ingves  (Madrid Spain)
German Bundesbank Vice CPres Buch speaks (Berlin)
APEC Climate Change Symposium (Manila Philippines thru 4th)
UK Markit Oct Manufacturing PMI
Swiss Sept Retail Sales & SVME PMI
Markit Eurozone, Italy, France, Germany & Spain Oct Manufacturing PMI
South Africa Oct Total Vehicle Sales
India Sept Infrastructure Output
    OVERNIGHT into US Tues. a.m. et:
         South Korea Oct CPI & Forex Reserves
         New Zealand Oct QV House Prices & ANZ Commodity Price Index
         Hong Kong Sept Retail Sales
         RBA (Australia) Interest Rate Decision
Tuesday,     Nov. 03 US Oct. Motor Vehcile Sales
Redbook weekly US Stores Snapshot
US Sept Factory Orders
Election Day in US, for local elections
UK Oct. Construction PMI
BoE Deputy Gov Bailey participates in "Banking Reform" Forum (London)
ECB Chief Draghi opens the European Cultural Days 2015 organized by ECB
Swiss Nat'l Bank (SNB) Govenring Board member Jordan speaks (Geneva)
RBC Canada Oct. Manufacturing PMI
New Zealand Global Dairy Trade Price Index
Brazil Oct Trade Balance
Japan Holiday--Culture Day
    OVERNIGHT into US Wed. a.m. et:
         New Zealand Q3 Unemployment Rate & Labor Costs /Avg Hrly Earnings
         Japan End-Oct Monetary Base
         UK BRC Oct Shop Price Index
        Aussie Sept Trade Balance & Retail Sales
        Nikkei Oct PMI Composite
        Hong Kong Oct Manufacturing PMI
        India Nikkei Oct Services PM<I
        South Africa Standard Bank Oct PMI
        China Caixin Oct PMI Services
Wednesday, Nov. 04 Fed Gov Brainard on bank supervision panel @ECB (Frankfurt DE 5:30am et)
FOMC Chief Yellen testifies @House Financial Services Cmte on Regulatory Issues Re: Fed Reserve Actions & Plans for Bank Regulation/Supervision (10am et)
Philly (new) Fed Pres. Harker speech "Why Pay for Success: The Need for New Sources of Social Innovation Capital" (Philly 8:45am et)
NY Fed's Wm Dudley press conference on Economic Outcomes (2:30pm et)
Fed Gov. Fischer speaks to Nat'l Economists Club Herbert Stein Memorial Lecture & Annual Meeting  (D.C. 6pm et)
MBA weekly Mortgage/Refinance Applications
ADP Oct. Employment Report
US  Sept Int'l Trade Deficit
US Oct PMI Services Index
US Oct. ISM Services Index
EIA weekly Petroleum Stats
US Treasury Auctions $26b 2-year Notes (1pm et)
US Treasury Refunding Announcement incl. 3- & 10-yr Notes + 30-yr Bonds
Swiss UBS Q3 Real Estate Bubble Index
BoE Starts 2-day Meeting
UK Nat'l Institute of Economic & Social Reserch publishes Qtrly Eco Forecasts
Markit Eurozone, Italy, France, Spain & Germany Oct PMI Services & Composite PMI
ECB Governing Council Meeting--Stress Tests likely to be discussed behnd closed doors
ECB's Mario Draghi speaks @ECB Forum on Banking Supervision w/ECB Supervisory Bd Chair Nouy & ECB VP Constancio, & Board Member Lautenschlaeger also speaking
UK Oct Official Reserves, Markit/CIPS Services PMI & Halifax Oct House Prices
Eurozone Sept. PPI
Brazil Sept Industrial Production
Canada Sept Int'l Merchandise Trade
    OVERNIGHT into US Thurs. a.m. et:
        BoJ Minutes of Oct 6th--76h Meeting

Thursday,     Nov. 05 Weekly US Jobless Claims
US 15Q3 Productivity & Costs
Philly Fed's Harker welcome remarks @Global Interdepnence center "Energy Interdependence in the Western Hemisphere Mtg  (Philly 8:30am et)
NY Fed Pres Dudley opens Federal Reserve Bk of NY Workshop "Reforming Culture & Behavior in the Financial Services Industry" (NY Federal Reserve 8:30am et) Fed Gov. Fischer & IMF Mng Dir Christine Lagarde participate in discussion (9:10am et)
Chico Fed Pres. Evans opens Chicago Federal Reserve Bank + World Bank 18th Annual Int’l Banking Conference Speakers include Fed Gov. Tarullo, FDIC’s Thomas Hoenig, Seymour Milstein, and more (Chicago thru 6th)
Atlanta Fed's Lockhart speaks at Joint Central Bank Conference (Berne Suisse)
EIA weekly Natural Gas Stats

BoE Gov. Carney speaks at "The Global Agenda- 2015" (London)
US Chain Store Oct (month) Sales (11 still report)
Fed Balance Sheet & US Money Supply
German Sept Factory Orders
Swiss Oct CPI & EU Harmonized CPI
Markit Eurozone, France, Italy  Sept Retail Sales
German Oct. Construction PMI
UK Oct. New Car Registrations
Russia Oct CPI  & Central Bank Reserves
European Commission Economic Forecasts
BoE Interest Rate Decision, Nov. Asset Purchase Target, Meeting Minutes with Member Votes, & Qtrly Inflation Report released simultaneously
Mario Draghi speaks at the Cattolica Univ. 2015/2016 Academic Year opening (Milan)
EU Commission Pres Juncker & Bundesbank Member Dombret speak at Germany Day 2015 (Frankfurt)
    OVERNIGHT into US Fri. a.m. et:
         Aussie Oct AIG Performance of Construction Index
        Japan Oct. Purchases of Foreign Stocks & Bonds & vice versa
        UK Halifax Oct House  Price
        South Africa Oct Foreign Reserves
        French Sept Gov't Budget Balance, Sept. Trade Balance )Imports & Exports)
        BoJ Gov. Kuroda speaks (Tokyo)
        Aussie Oct Foreign Reserves
Friday,         Nov. 06 S.L. Fed Pres Bullard speaks about the Economy & Monetary Policy (St. Louis 7:30am et)
US Oct. Unemployment Rate/Change
Baker Hughes US weekly Rig Count (1pm et)
US Sept Consumer Credit (3pm et)
Fed Gov. Brainard speaks at IMF Economic Forum: "Policy Lessons & the Future of Unconventional Monetary & Exchange Rate Policies Conference (D.C. 4:15pm et)
ECB's Praet speaks on monetary policy as data processing @3rd Conference on Financial market Policy--Digitizing Finance & Bundesbanks' Dombret discusses "Banking on big data--different policy issues"  (SAFE Policy Center, Frankfurt)
German, French, Spanish Sept Industrials Production
ECB's Mersch speaks @Slovenian Banking Day (Ljublijana, Slovenia)
Swiss Oct Foreign Currency Reserves
UK Sept Industrial & Manufacturing Production + Visible Trade Balance
Canada Oct Unemployment Rate/Change + Sept Building Permits
UK NIESR Oct GDP
Brazil Oct CPI, Auto Production & Sales
Saturday,    Nov. 07 China Oct Trade Balance (Imports/Exports: Tianjin fire still an impact?)
S.F. Fed Pres Williams provides an Outlook & Education speech @2015 Economic Education Gala (Tempe AZ)

       WEEKS AHEAD: 
11/11   US Holiday Veteran's Day (Equities, only, trade all day)
                                      11/18   FOMC minutes of 10/27--28 Meeting

*FOMC 2015 Voting Members:  www.federalreserve.gov//newsevents/press/monetary/20150128a.htm
FOMC Chief Yellen, NY Fed's Dudley, Lael Brainard, Chicago Fed's Charles Evans, Fed. Gov. Stanley Fischer, Richmond Fed's Jeffrey Lacker, Atlanta's Dennis Lockhart, Fed. Gov. Jerome Powell, Fed Gov. Danniel Tarullo, San Francisco Fed's John Williams. (Non-voter Philly Fed new Pres Patrick Harker Dallas Fed's Fisher left 3/31
                     

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