wall street in advance

February 2015 Economic Statistics
and Other Economic Influences

TUESDAYS:
                Weekly Chain Store Sales*
                 Average Hourly Earnings*
                 API Weekly Gas/Oil Stockpiles Report*  **
(4:30p.m.)
    WEDNESDAYS:
                
Mortgage Applications  Data
                 EIA Weekly Report on Gas & Oil Stockpiles* (10a.m.)
    THURSDAYS:
                 Weekly Unemployment Report*
                  Weekly Mutual Fund Flows*
                   Natural Gas Storage Levels* (a.m.)

 *Except Holidays    ** As of 1/09         All Dates Subject to Change:
Sunday,       Feb. 01     OVERNIGHT into US Mon. a.m. et:
          Australian CoreLogic RP Jan. House Data +TD Securities Inflation & Jan Manufacturing Index
          Japanese Jan. Official Reserve Assets & Jan. Vehicle Sales + Markit/JMMA Jan. Manufacturing PMI
          South Korean Dec. Current Account & HSBC Jan. Manufacturing PMI
          Indonesian Jan. Inflation, & Dec. Trade Balance (Imports/Exports) + Dec. Foreign Tourism & Jan. HSBC Markit Manufacturing PMI
          Hong Kong Dec. Retail Sales
          South African Jan. Total vehicle Sales
Monday,      Feb. 02 US Dec. Personal Income/Spending (PCE-Personal Consumer Expenditures)
Jan. US PMI
US Jan. ISM Manufacturing Index/Prices Paid
US Dec. Construction Spending
US Auctions $26B 3- & $26B 6-month Bills
Italian, French, German & Eurozone Jan. Manufacturing PMI
Markit UK Jan. Manufacturing PMI
Brazilian HSBC Jan. Manufacturing PMI
Canadian RBC Jan. Manufacturing PMI
South Korean Jan. CPI & Foreign Reserves
Indonesian Q4 GDP
    OVERNIGHT into US Tues. a.m. et:
           Japanese Jan. End Monetary Base
           Australian Dec. Trade Balance + Building & Private House Approvals
          RBA (Austrlian) Rate Setting Meeting (Tues Local Time)
           Indonesian Central Bank Rate Decision (Tues. Local Time)
Tuesday,    Feb. 03 US Jan. Motor Vehicle Sales (did the blizzard crimp sales?)
St. Louis Fed's Bullard (nonvoter) speaks on monetary policy (Newark DE 10am)
MN Fed's Kocherlakota (nonvoter) speaks on "goal-based monetary policy (St. Paul 12:45pm)
Dec. US Factory Orders
US Auctions $25B 52-week Bills
RBA (Australia) Rate  Decision (Tues. Local Time)
Swiss Dec. Trade Balance (Imports/Exports pre-Franc Cap Removal)
Markit CIPS UK Jan. Construction PMI
Eurozone Dec PPI
Italian Jan. CPI & HICP
Brazilian Dec. Industrial Production
Canadian Dec. Industrial Production & Raw Material Price Indices + IPPI & RMPI
Singaporan Jan. Manufacturing PMI
     OVERNIGHT into US Wed. a.m. et:
           New Zealand Q4 Employment Rate/Change + Average Earnings
           UK BRC Jan. Shop Price Index
           BoJ Deputy Gov. Iwata Press Conference
           Japanese Markit Jan. Services PMI + Dec. Real Cash Earnings+Overtime Pay
           Chinese HSBC Jan. Composite PMI/Services PMI
Wed.,         Feb. 04 Fed. Gov Powell opens the Economic Growth & Regulatory Paperwork Reduction Act Outreach Meeting (10am et Dallas, TX)
MBA Purchase/Refinance Applications
ADP Jan. Employment Report
US PMI Services Index
US ISM Service Index
EIA Weekly Petroleum Stats
Cleveland Fed's Mester to Ohio Bankers' Economic Summit (Columbis 12:45pm)
US Announces Auctions Plans for 3- & 10-year Notes +30 year bonds
Markit Italy, France, German  & Eurozone Jan. Composite + Services PMI
UK Official Jan Reserves/Changes + Markit/CIPS Composite PMI
Eurozone Dec. Retail Sales
Italian Q4 GDP
Brazilian HSBC Composite/Services Jan PMI & Foreign Exchange Flows
Mexican Nov. Gross Fixed Investments
Canadian Ivey Jan. PMI
   OVERNIGHT into US Thurs. a.m. et:
          Australia Dec. New Home Sales + Retail Sales
          Japanese Purchases of Foreign Stocks & Bonds & vice versa
          German Dec. Factory Orders
Thursday,  Feb. 05 US Jan. Monthly Chain Store Sales (11 still report but more will offer Qtrly Sales)
Boston Fed's Rosengren speaks on US QE experience/Sovereign Risk   (Frankfurt Germany 5am et)
US Weekly Jobless Claims (Did snow last week trim the # of apps to rebound today?)
Challenger Jan. US Job-Cut Report
14Q4 US Productivity & Costs
EIA Weekly Natural Gas Report
US Fed's Balance Sheet & US Money Supply
US Dec Int'l Trade Deficit (Strong $ weak exports, as a rule)
BoE Interest Rate Setting Meeting + Feb. Asset Purchase Target
Dec. German Factory Orders + Markit Jan. Construction PMI
UK New Car Jan. Registrations
ECB Economic Bulletin
Brazilian Jan. Auto Production & Sales
German, French, Italian & Eurozone Jan Retail PMI
Canadian Dec. Int'l Merchandise Trade Balance
    OVERNIGHT into US Fri. a.m. et:
         UK Halifax Jan. House Prices
         South African Jan. Foreign Reserves
         Australian Jan. Foreign Reserves & AIG Jan. Construction Index
         Japanese Jan. Foreign Reserves
Friday,      Feb. 06 US Jan. 2015 Unemployment Report + Benchmark Unemployment Revisions
Atlanta Fed's Lockhart on monetary policay & eco outlook (Naples FL 12:45pm et)
US Dec. Consumer Credit (Revolving Debt could fall y/o/y on lower gasoline price)
German & Spanish Dec. Industrial Production
French Gov't Dec Budget & Trade Balance
Swiss Jan. Foreign Reserves (SNB gave up Euro cap) & Dec. Retail Sales
UK Dec. Visible Trade Balance
Canadian Jan. Employment Report/Change + Dec. Building Permits
Brazilian Dec. CPI
Saturday,   Feb. 07 Chinese Jan. Trade Balance (Imports/Exports)
Sunday,       Feb. 08 UK Jan. Halifax House Prices
Chinese Jan Trade Balance (Imports/Exports)
Nigerian Presidential Elections postponed (Military refused to provide security)
    OVERNIGHT into US Mon. a.m. et:
          Japanese Dec. Current Account, Dec. Trade Balance, Jan. Bank Lending
          BoJ Board Member Morimoto speaks in Chiba + Jan Consumer Confidence
Monday,      Feb. 09 TD Ameritrade IMX
US Treasury Auctions $26B 3- & $26B 6-month Bills
G20 Finance Ministers Meet (Istanbul, Turkey)
German Dec. Trade Balance & Current Account
Canada Jan Housing Starts
Indonesia Q3 GDP
Mexican Jan CPI
    OVERNIGHT into US Tues. a.m. et:
          Japanese Dec Tertiary Industry Index, Q4 Housing Loans, Jan M3
          New Zealand Jan. House Sales & Prices
          Chinese Jan. New Yuan Loans & Aggregate Financing, +Money Supply
          UK BRC Jan. Like-for-Like Sales
          Australia Q4 House Price Index
          China's Jan CPI & PPI
Tuesday,     Feb. 10 Richmond Fed's Lacker speaks on education & eco growth (Raleigh NC 8:20am et)
NFIB Small Businesss Optimism Index
BLS JOLTS (Openings & Labor Turnover)
US Dec. Wholesale Inventories & Sales
US Treasury Auctions $24B 3-year Notes
The Economist Buttonwood Gathering "Balancing Government with Growth"
Swiss Jan. Unemployment Rate & CPI
Italian & French Dec. Industrial Production
UK Dec. Industrial & Manufacturing Production
Norwegian Jan CPI 
South African Q4 Unemployment Rate & Dec. Manufacturing Production
South Korean Jan Import/Export Price Index
    OVERNIGHT into US. Wed. a.m. et:
          New Zealand Jan. Card Spending
          Australia Dec. Home Loans & Investment Lending
Wed ,         Feb. 11 MBA Purchase/Refinance Applications
Dallas Fed's Fisher speaks on monetary policay (NY 8am et)
EIA Weekly Petroleum Stats
US Treasury Auctions $24B 10-year Notes

US Treasury Budget
Japanese Holiday
French Dec. Current Account
Eurogroup Finance Ministers Special Meeting on Greece
Norwegian Q4 GDP
Mexican Dec Industrial Production
Brazilian Foreign Exchange Flows
     OVERNIGHT into US Thurs. a.m. et:
           New Zealand Jan. Manufacturing Index
           Japan Jan Corpoate Domestic Goods Price Index & Dec. Machine Tool Orders
           Australia Feb. Consumer Inflation Expectations
           UK RICS Jan. House Price Balance
           Australia Jan Unemployment Rate/Change & Dec. Credit Card Purchases
Thursday,  Feb. 12   Weekly US Jobless Claims
US Jan. Retail Sales

US Dec. Business Inventories (Manufacturers, Wholesalers, Retailers)
EIA Weekly Natural Gas Report
US Treasury Auctions $16B 30-yr Bonds
Fed's Balance Sheet
US Money Supply
German Jan  CPI & ICP, + Dec. Industrial Production
BoE Inflation Report
Canada Teranet/National Bank Jan House Price Index
South African Dec. Gold & Mining Production
Eurozone Dec. Industrial Production
Indonesian Jan CPI & Dec. Cumulative Industrial & Manufacturing Production
Meeting of Cardinals (those under 80, anyway) {Vatican City Italy}
    OVERNIGHT into US Fri. a.m. et:
         Indonesian Q4 Balance of Payments & Current Account as % of GDP
         Japanese 2-wk Foreign Stock & Bond Buying ( and vice versa)
         German Jan. Wholesale Price Index
         New Zealand Non-Resident Bond Holdings
         Singaporan Dec. Retail Sales
Friday,       Feb. 13 US Jan. Import/Export Prices
U.M. Preliminary February Consumer Sentiment
French Q4 GDP + French Q4 Non-Farm Payrolls
German Q4 GDP
Swiss Jan. Producer & Import Prices
Italian Q4 GDP
Spanish Jan CPI & HICP
UK Dec. Construction Output
Eurozone Q4 GDP & Dec. Trade Balance (Imports/Exports)
Canadian Dec. Manufacturers' Sales & Shipments
Baker Hughes US Weekly Rig Count
Dallas Fed's Fisher speaks in San Antonio
Saturday,  Feb. 14 South Korean Jan. Trade Balance (Imports/Exports)
Nigerian Elections for President
Sunday,   Feb. 15 Major banks start charging a fee to trade Forex at the London Fix, which will be set, as of today, by a division of State Street
Monday   Feb. 16 US Markets Closed-Presidents' Birthday Holiday
European Council Regular Meeting

       WEEKS AHEAD: 02/18 FOMC Minutes
of the Jan. 27--28, 2015 Meeting
                                                  BoJ Meets
                                      02/24--25   FOMC Chief Semi-Annual Testimony @US Congress (Senate 1st)
                                      03/17--18 FOMC Meeting, Update Forecasts, Yellen Press Conference   
                                      03/28 Earliest date to which Nigerian Presidential Elections can be rescheduled

*FOMC 2015 Voting Members:  www.federalreserve.gov//newsevents/press/monetary/20150128a.htm
FOMC Chief Yellen, NY Fed's Dudley, Lael Brainard, Chicago Fed's Charles Evans, Fed. Gov. Stanley Fischer, Richmond Fed's Jeffrey Lacker, Atlanta's Dennis Lockhart, Fed. Gov. Jerome Powell, Fed Gov. Danniel Tarullo, San Francisco Fed's John Williams. (Non-voter Charles Plosser leaves Fed 03/01)
                     

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