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October 2015 Economic
Statistics
and Other Economic Influences |
TUESDAYS:
Weekly Chain Store Sales*
Average Hourly Earnings*
API Weekly Gas/Oil Stockpiles Report* ** (4:30p.m.)
WEDNESDAYS:
Mortgage Applications Data
EIA Weekly Report on Gas & Oil Stockpiles* (10a.m.)
THURSDAYS:
Weekly Unemployment Report*
Weekly Mutual Fund Flows*
Natural Gas Storage Levels* (a.m.)
*Except Holidays ** As of 1/09
All Dates Subject to Change: |
| Sunday,
Sept. 27 |
|
Chinese Premier Xi Jingping
address the U.N. General Assembly
India PM Modi addresses large crowd at SAP Stadium (San Jose, CA)
India's Modi participates in Town Hall hosted by FB's Zuckerberg, then tours
Google Hdqtrs
Spain holds Parliamentary Elections (Catalonia sees it as referendum on
separation)
Pope Francis' last day in the US, in Philadelphia, Leaves for home 8pm et
Super Moon visible in North America between 10pm & 11pm
OVERNIGHT into US Mon. a.m. et:
German Aug. Retail Sales
French Sept. Consumer Confidence
Italian Business & Consumer
Sept Confidence
China Aug. Industrial
Profits
|
| Monday, Sept. 28 |
|
NY Fed Pres. Wm Dudley interviewed
by WS (7:45am est)
Aug. US Personal Income/Spending (Includes PCE)
NAR Aug. Pending Home Sales (10am est)
US Senate holds Procedural Vote to Advance a Budget Resolution thru
12/11/15
Pres. Obama holds separate meetings with Russia's Putin &
India's Modi @U.N.
Pres. Obama hosts Summit on U.N. Peacekeeping
US & Cuba hold meetings on Restoring Regular Airline Service
Dallas Fed Sept. Manufacturing Survey
Fed Gov. Tarullo on "Capital Regulation Across Financial
Intermediaries" at Banque de France Conference on Financial Regulation: Stability vs
Uniformity; A focus on Non-bank Actors BoE's Cunliffe a panelist on Financial Regulation
(Paris France 5:15am et)
Chico Fed Pres Evans speaks on Eco conditions & monetary policy
@Marquette Univ. Business Leaders Forum "A Perspective on Monetary Policy
(Milwaukee WI 1:30pm)
Boston Fed Pres. Williams @UCLA Anderson Forecast for the Nation, State
& Los Angeles Conference (5pm Los Angeles)
US Treasury Auctions 3- & 6-month Bills
BoJ Gov. Kuroda speaks to business leaders (Osaka)
Germany Auctions 12-month Bubill
Hong Kong Holiday
OVERNIGHT into US Tues. a.m. et:
RBI (India) Interest Rate
Decision & Cash Reserve Ratio
German Aug Import Price Index
Spanish Sept HICP & Retail
Sales
UK BoE Aug. Consumer Credit
+ Sept Nationwide House Prices, Aug. Mortgage Lending & Approvals
|
| Tuesday, Sept. 29 |
|
US Sept. Trade Deficit
(Imports/Exports, the latter weak on strong $)
Redbook weekly Sales Snapshot
S&P Case Shiller 20-city July Home Price Index
Conference Board's Sept Consumer Confidence
USDA Farm Prices (3pm est)
BoE Chief Mark Carney speaks at Lloyds of London
UK Aug. Net Consumer Credit, Mortgage Approvals, + M4
Eurozone Sept Consumer, Business & Industrial Confidence/Expectations
UK CBI Sept Reported Sales + GfK Sept Consumer Confidence
German Sept CPI & HICP
Canada Aug. Industrial Products (IPPI) & Raw Materials Prices (RMPI)
OECD E-Leaders 2015 (thru 30th)
Nat'l Bk of Slovakia Gov Makuch press conference to Update Qtrly Forecast
OVERNIGHT into US Wed. a.m. et:
Korea Oct Manufacturing BSI Index
Japan Aug Industrial Production &
Retail Trade + Forecasts
Australia Aug. Private Sector, Housing
Credit & Building Approvals
New Zealand Aug. M3
Caixan Sept China Manufacturing PMI
Singapore Aug. Bank Lending
South Africa Aug M3 & Private Sector
Credit
French Aug. Consumer Spending & PPI
Spanish July Current Account
Japan Aug. Vehicle Production,
Housing Starts & Construction Orders
|
| Wednesday, Sept 30 |
|
FOMC Chief Yellen opens
Federal Reserve System & Conference of State Bank Supervisors Conference: 3rd Annual
Community Banking Research & Policy Conference (St Louis MO 3pm et streamed here)
NY Fed Pres. Dudley speaks at SIFMA Liquidity Forum (NY)
MBA weekly Mortgage/Refinance Applications
ADP Sept Employment REport
Chicago PMI
EIA weekly Petroleum Stats
SEC & CFTC Regulators Review Progress on Volcker Rule (D.C.)
IMF's Lagarde participates in conversationabout global economic policies
& prospects hosted by Council of Americas (D.C.)
Fed Gov. Brainard speech "Community Banks, Smal Business Credit, and
Online Lending @ St Louis Fed Community Banking Conference (See Yellen above 8:15pm et)
German Bundesbank Bd Member Dombret speaks at Public Sector Financing
Forum (Frankfurt)
Iceland Central Bank Interest Rate Decision
German Sept Unemployment Rate/Change
Italian Aug. Unemployment Rate & Sept CPI, PPI + HICP
Bk of Spain Dep'y Gov Restoy moderates panel "Responses to the
Global Financial Crisis @PIOB 10th Anniverasry Seminar: Future Challenges in audit
oversight (Madrid)
UK Q2 GDP (F), Current Account, Total Business Investment
UK July Index of Services & Lloyds Sept. Business Barometer
Eurozone Aug. Unemployment Rate & Sept. CPI
India Aug Federal Fiscal Deficit & Q2 Foreign Debt + M3
South Africa Aug. Trade Balance
Canada July GDP
Brazil Aug. Budget Balance & Debt:GDP Ratio + Foreign Exchange Flows
OVERNIGHT into US Thurs. a.m. et:
South Korea Aug Industrial
Production & Service Sector Output & Sept Trade
New Zealand Sept House Prices
Australia Sept. AIG Performance of
Manufacturing Index
BoJ Tankan Reports,
Sept. Official Reserve Assets & Vehicle Sales
Australia Sept. CoreLogic RP Data
House Prices & Sept. Commodity Index
India Nikkei Markit Sept.
Manufacturing PMI
French, German, Italian &
Spanish Sept Manufacturing PMI
China Official Sept
Non-Manufacturing PMI + Caixan Manufacturing & Services PMI
|
| Thursday, Oct. 01 |
|
US Federal Gov't Fiscal
Year Begins; Does it have a Budget? (Treas Sec'y Lew said he could juggle
things into Nov.)
Sept. US Motor Vehicle Sales
Challenger Sept Job-cut Report
Weekly US Jobless Claims
US PMI Sept. Manufacturing Index
US ISM Sept. Manufacturing Index
Aug. US Construction Spending
US Foreign Exchange Rates
EIA weekly Natural Gas Report
US Treasury Announces Oct. Refunding Plans incl. 10- & 30-years
Fed's Williams speaks on outlook before community leaders(Salt Lake
City UT 2:30pm)
Payments to Private Medicare & Medicaid Insurers +1.25% as of today
(CMS)
As of Today, 8 Super Banks/Holding Companies must use Advanced Approach
Calculations for their Stress Tests (and will probably for Q3 Earnings, too)
New EU Competition (Anti-trust) Commissioner, Margrethe Vestager,
speaks at Foreign Policy Ass'n (NY)
Deadline for US Merchants to convert to Chip-Based Credit/Debit Card Processing or suffer
unrecoverable losses
Italian Q2 Public debt
BoE releases record of 9/23 Financial Policy Committee
Chinese Golden Week starts. All Chinese Markets Closed (thru 10/07)
Fed Balance Sheet & US Money Supply
Swiss Aug Retail Sales & SVME PMI
Frnech, Italian & German Sept Markit Manufacturing PMI
Swiss Institute Autumn Economic Forecasdt
UK Markit Sept Manufacturing PMI
South Arrica Sept Total Vehicle Sales
RBC Canadian Sept. Manufacturing PMI
Brazil Markit Sept Manufacturing PMI + Sept Trade Balance
Hong Kong Holiday - National Day (Starts Golden Week)
OVERNIGHT into US Fri. a.m. et:
Japan Aug. Jobless Rate, Household
Spending & Sept Monetary Base
New Zealand Sept. Commodity Prices
Australia Aug. Retail Sales
|
| Friday,
Oct. 02 |
|
US Sept. Unemployment
Report
Fed's Rosengren opens Boston Fed's Macroprudential Monetary Policy
conference
MN Fed's Kocherlakota discusses Fed mandate paper co-authored by
Rosengren (@Boston Fed Conference; Rosengren & Kocherlakota panelists on
"Should U.S. Monetary Policy have a Ternary Mandate"
US Aug. Factory Orders
Cleveland Fed's Mester discusses micro & macro supervisory controls
from paper by former BoE Dep'y Gov. Paul Tucker (Boston Fed Conference)
Fed Gov. Fischer speech "Macroprudential Regulation &
Supervision @Boston Fed Conference on Marcroprudential Monetary Policy (Boston
MA 1:30pm et)
St. L. Fed's Bullard speaks to Mnattan Institue for Policy Research
(NY 1pm)
Baker Hughes weekly US Rig Count (1pm et)
Frequent SEC critic & dissenter, Daniel Gallagher Leaves the SEC (Known since May)
UK Markit/CIPS Sept. Construction PMI
Hong Kong Aug. Retail Sales
Eurozone Aug PPI
Brazil Aug Industrial Production
China & Hong Kong on Holiday (Golden Week)
|
Saturday,
Oct. 03
|
|
NY Fed's William Dudley speech
"Is the Active Use of Macroprudential Tools Institutionally Realistic?" (@Boston
Fed Conference)
South Korea Holiday-- Nat'l Foundation Day
|
| Sunday,
Oct. 04 |
|
OVERNIGHT
into US Mon. a.m. et:
Japan Sept Official Reserves
Aussie Sept TD Securities Inflation, Job
Ads, & Sept AIG Services Index
South Korea Sept FX Reserves
Japan Aug. Labor Cash Earnings, &
Sept Nikkei PMI Serives & Composite
|
| Monday,
Oct. 05 |
|
Fed's Sept Labor Market
Conditions Index
US PMI Sept Services Index
US ISM Non-Manufacturing Index
TD Ameritrade IMX
US Treasury Auctions $21B 3- & $21B 6-month bills
Eurozone, France, Germany, Italy, & Spain Markit Sept Services & Composite PMI
UK Sept Official Reserves, & Markit/CIPS Services & Composite PMI
Eurozone Aug. Retail Sales (tourism should boost)
Brazil Markit Sept Services & Composite PMI
Eurogroup Meeting (Luxembourg)
China/Hong Kong Golden Week Holiday continues thru the 7th
OVERNIGHT into US Tues. a.m. et:
Japan Aug. Loans & Corporate
Discounts
UK Hallifax Plc Sept House Prices
Aussie Aug. Trade Balance
(Imports/Exports)
Hong Kong Sept Manufacturing PMI
India Nikkei Sept Services PMI
German Aug Factory Orders
Swiss Sept CPI
RBA (Australia)
Meeting/Interest Rate Decision (Tues. local time)
|
| Tuesday,
Oct. 06 |
|
US Aug. International Trade
Balance
US Treasury Auctions $24B 3-year Notes
Redbook weekly Stores Snapshot
S.F. Fed's Williams speaks on Eco Outlook @Urban Land Institute
Fall Mtg (San Francisco 3:30pm)
Germany Aug. Factory Orders
Swiss Sept CPI
Germany Markit Sept Construction & Retail PMI
Eurozone, France & Italy Markit Retail PMI
IMF Press
Briefing: World Economic Outlook (9am) + LatAm Slowdown (2pm)
UK Sept. New Car Registrations
Canada Aug. Int'l Merchandise Trade (Imports/Exports), & Ivey Sept PMI
Brazil Sept Auto Production
OVERNIGHT into US Wed. a.m. et:
Aussie Sept Performance of Construction
Index & HIA Aug. New Home Sales
UK BRC Sept Shop Price Index
China Sept. Foreign Reserves (US $
portion has been falling)
BoJ 2-day Meet ends, Issues
Statement including Annual Rise in Monetary Base (Wed., 10/07, local
time)
BoJ's Kuroda holds
post-meeting Press Conference
|
| Wednesday, Oct. 07 |
|
US Treasury Auctions $21B
Reopened 10-year Notes (1pm et)
MBA Mortgage/Refinance Applications
EIA weekly Petroleum Status
IMF
Press Briefing: Global Financial Stability Report (9am) + Fiscal Monitor
(10:30am) Western Hemisphere Regional Economic Outlook (1:15pm) +Climate Change (2pm)
& Energy Pricing (3:30pm) & Road to Universal Health (4pm)
World Bank Group Youth Summit (Lima Peruh)
US Aug. Consumer Credit (really, amount of credit taken on 3pm et)
German & Spanish Aug. Industrial Production
French Aug Trade Balance (Imports/Exports)
Swiss Sept Foreign Currency Reserves
UK Aug. Industrial & Manufacturing Production
Canada Aug. Building Permits
UK NIESR Sept GDP
Hong Kong Sept Foreign Reserves
Japan Sept Foreign Reesrves
Brazil IGP-DI Sept Inflation Index & CPI + Foreign Exchange Flows
OVERNIGHT into US Thurs. a.m. et:
UK RICS Sept. House Price Balance
Japan Aug Machine Orders & Current
Account +Sept Bankruptcies
Chinese Sept Foreign Direct
Investment & Caixan Sept Services PMI
Aussie Sept Foreign Exchange Reserves
Swiss Sept Unemployment Rate (current
3.2%)
|
| Thursday,
Oct. 08 |
|
FOMC Sept 16--17 Meeting
Minutes (2pm et)
Weekly US Jobless Claims
IMF Mng.
Director Christine Lagarde Annual Meeting Press Briefing (9am D.C.)
World
Bank Group Pres. Jim Yong Kim Annual Meetings Press Briefing + Debate on the
Building Shared Prosperity (1pm), & The Financial System We Want (3pm DC)
G24 Press Conference (from Preu @IMF/World Bank Jt Annual Meetings 5:30pm)
Sept. US Chain Store Sales (all 11 still reporting)
EIA weekly Natural Gas Report
US Treasury Auctions $13B reopened 30-year Bonds (1pm)
MN Fed's Kocherlakota delivers welcome address (Mankato MN) 1pm et)
S. L. Fed's Bullard welcome speech at Symposium on Children's Savings
Accounts
US Treasury Announces wkly Refunding Plans (as the clock ticks towards debt limit)
S.F. Fed's Williams Outlook speech (Spokane WA 3:30pm et)
Fed weekly Balance Sheet & weekly US Money Supply (4:30pm et)
South African Aug Gold & Mining Production
German Aug. Trade Balance (Imports/Exports) & Current Account
BoE 2-day Meet ends, Issues Rate Comments, & Oct Asset Purchase Target
ECB Meeting Minutes
Canada Sept Housing Starts, Aug. New House Price Index
OVERNIGHT into US Fri. a.m. et:
New Zealand Sept Retail
Electronic Card Spending
Aussie Aug New Home Loans,
Investment Lending & Loan Values
French Aug. Gov't Budget
Balance + Aug Industrial Production
|
| Friday,
Oct. 09 |
|
Chicago Fed's Evans
speaks on monetary policy (Milwaukee 1:30pm)
IMF-
World Bank Jt Annual Meetings Press conference (8:30am) & Annual Meetings
Plenary (9am) + European Dept (9:15am)+ Structural Reforms, Inequality & Growth (11am)
& Aisa Pac Dept (1:15pm) + Today to 2030 (5:30pm Lima Peru thru 11th)
World Bank "Unleashing Private Investment in Renewable
Energy (Lima Peru)
US Sept Import/Export Prices
US Aug Wholesale Inventory/Sales
Fed's Lockhart speaks on Economy (NY @SABEW--Am. Business
Editors/Writers)
Fed's Evans speaks Eco Conditions & Monetary Policy Update (@CFA
Society (Milwaukee)
Baker Hughes weekly US Rig Count (1pm et)
UK Aug. Construction Output & Visible + Total Trade Balance
Italian Aug Industrial Production
Canada Sept Employment Report (current 7.0)%/Change/Particpation Rate
BoC (Canada) Senior Loan Officer Survey
India FX Reserves
|
| Saturday, Oct.
10 |
|
IMF/World Bank
Group "Talking Taxes: Working with Developing Countries to Build the
Global Agenda" (noon) + Revisiting Monetary Policy Framworks
(2pm)
IMF/World bank "Ready for Takeoff: Implementing the Post-2015 Development
Agenda" (6pm)
BoC (Canada) Gov. Poloz speaks at Institute of
International Finance (Lima Peru)
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WEEKS AHEAD: 10/14 US Fed Beige
Book
10/17 SNB Meets
10/21 BoC Meets
10/22 ECB Meets
10/27--28 FOMC Meets
10/29 RBNZ Meets
*FOMC 2015 Voting Members:
www.federalreserve.gov//newsevents/press/monetary/20150128a.htm
FOMC Chief Yellen, NY Fed's Dudley, Lael Brainard, Chicago Fed's Charles Evans, Fed. Gov.
Stanley Fischer, Richmond Fed's Jeffrey Lacker, Atlanta's Dennis Lockhart, Fed. Gov.
Jerome Powell, Fed Gov. Danniel Tarullo, San Francisco Fed's John Williams. (Non-voter
Charles Plosser left Fed 03/01. His replacement arrives this summer.) Dallas Fed's Fisher
left 3/31
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