wall street in advance

November 2015 Economic Statistics
and Other Economic Influences

TUESDAYS:
                Weekly Chain Store Sales*
                 Average Hourly Earnings*
                 API Weekly Gas/Oil Stockpiles Report*  **
(4:30p.m.)
    WEDNESDAYS:
                
Mortgage Applications  Data
                 EIA Weekly Report on Gas & Oil Stockpiles* (10a.m.)
    THURSDAYS:
                 Weekly Unemployment Report*
                  Weekly Mutual Fund Flows*
                   Natural Gas Storage Levels* (a.m.)

 *Except Holidays    ** As of 1/09         All Dates Subject to Change:
Sunday,       Nov. 01 Snap Elections in Turkey
    OVERNIGHT into US Mon. a.m. et:
      Aussie AIG Oct. Performance of Manufacturing Index, CoreLogic Oct. House Price Data, TD Securities Oct Inflation, RBA Commodity Index, & Sept Building Approvals
       South Korea Sept Current Account + Nikkei Oct Manufacturing PMI
      Japan Oct. Official Reserve Assets, Nikkei Oct. PMI Manufacturing & Vehicle Sales
       China Caixin China Oct. Manufacturing PMI
       India Nikkei Markit Oct Manfuacturing PMI
Monday,      Nov. 02 FSOC Meeting includes closed & open agenda on: Asset Managers, Cybersecurity, & Re-examining the SIFI designation for Non-bank Financial Companies W/Treas Sec;y Lew, FOMC's Yellen, OCC's Curry & FDIC's Gruenberg & SEC's White
ECB "One-yr of SSM: Effective & Efficient Supervision in a Volatile World?" includes ECB Exec Board Members & ECB Single Resolution Board Chair Koenig
US Oct PMI Manufacturing Index
US Oct. ISM Manufacturing Index
Sept Construction Spending
US Treasury Auctions $28B 3- & $26B 6-Month Bills
S.F. Fed's Williams opens San Francisco Fed Conference
Ass'n of Financial Markets Annual Conference w/Bk of SPain Gov Linde & Sweden Riksbank Gov Ingves  (Madrid Spain)
German Bundesbank Vice CPres Buch speaks (Berlin)
APEC Climate Change Symposium (Manila Philippines thru 4th)
UK Markit Oct Manufacturing PMI
Swiss Sept Retail Sales & SVME PMI
Markit Eurozone, Italy, France, Germany & Spain Oct Manufacturing PMI
South Africa Oct Total Vehicle Sales
India Sept Infrastructure Output
    OVERNIGHT into US Tues. a.m. et:
         South Korea Oct CPI & Forex Reserves
         New Zealand Oct QV House Prices & ANZ Commodity Price Index
         Hong Kong Sept Retail Sales
         RBA (Australia) Interest Rate Decision
Tuesday,     Nov. 03 US Oct. Motor Vehcile Sales
Redbook weekly US Stores Snapshot
US Sept Factory Orders
Election Day in US, for local elections
UK Oct. Construction PMI
BoE Deputy Gov Bailey participates in "Banking Reform" Forum (London)
ECB Chief Draghi opens the European Cultural Days 2015 organized by ECB
Swiss Nat'l Bank (SNB) Govenring Board member Jordan speaks (Geneva)
RBC Canada Oct. Manufacturing PMI
New Zealand Global Dairy Trade Price Index
Brazil Oct Trade Balance
Japan Holiday--Culture Day
    OVERNIGHT into US Wed. a.m. et:
         New Zealand Q3 Unemployment Rate & Labor Costs /Avg Hrly Earnings
         Japan End-Oct Monetary Base
         UK BRC Oct Shop Price Index
        Aussie Sept Trade Balance & Retail Sales
        Nikkei Oct PMI Composite
        Hong Kong Oct Manufacturing PMI
        India Nikkei Oct Services PM<I
        South Africa Standard Bank Oct PMI
        China Caixin Oct PMI Services
Wednesday, Nov. 04 Fed Gov Brainard on bank supervision panel @ECB (Frankfurt DE 5:30am et)
FOMC Chief Yellen testifies @House Financial Services Cmte on Regulatory Issues Re: Fed Reserve Actions & Plans for Bank Regulation/Supervision (10am et)
Philly (new) Fed Pres. Harker speech "Why Pay for Success: The Need for New Sources of Social Innovation Capital" (Philly 8:45am et)
NY Fed's Wm Dudley press conference on Economic Outcomes (2:30pm et)
Fed Gov. Fischer speaks to Nat'l Economists Club Herbert Stein Memorial Lecture & Annual Meeting  (D.C. 6pm et)
MBA weekly Mortgage/Refinance Applications
ADP Oct. Employment Report
US  Sept Int'l Trade Deficit
US Oct PMI Services Index
US Oct. ISM Services Index
EIA weekly Petroleum Stats
US Treasury Auctions $26b 2-year Notes (1pm et)
US Treasury Refunding Announcement incl. 3- & 10-yr Notes + 30-yr Bonds
Swiss UBS Q3 Real Estate Bubble Index
BoE Starts 2-day Meeting
UK Nat'l Institute of Economic & Social Reserch publishes Qtrly Eco Forecasts
Markit Eurozone, Italy, France, Spain & Germany Oct PMI Services & Composite PMI
ECB Governing Council Meeting--Stress Tests likely to be discussed behnd closed doors
ECB's Mario Draghi speaks @ECB Forum on Banking Supervision w/ECB Supervisory Bd Chair Nouy & ECB VP Constancio, & Board Member Lautenschlaeger also speaking
UK Oct Official Reserves, Markit/CIPS Services PMI & Halifax Oct House Prices
Eurozone Sept. PPI
Brazil Sept Industrial Production
Canada Sept Int'l Merchandise Trade
    OVERNIGHT into US Thurs. a.m. et:
        BoJ Minutes of Oct 6th--76h Meeting

Thursday,     Nov. 05 Weekly US Jobless Claims
US 15Q3 Productivity & Costs
Philly Fed's Harker welcome remarks @Global Interdepnence center "Energy Interdependence in the Western Hemisphere Mtg  (Philly 8:30am et)
NY Fed Pres Dudley opens Federal Reserve Bk of NY Workshop "Reforming Culture & Behavior in the Financial Services Industry" (NY Federal Reserve 8:30am et) Fed Gov. Fischer & IMF Mng Dir Christine Lagarde participate in discussion (9:10am et)
Chico Fed Pres. Evans opens Chicago Federal Reserve Bank + World Bank 18th Annual Int’l Banking Conference Speakers include Fed Gov. Tarullo, FDIC’s Thomas Hoenig, Seymour Milstein, and more (Chicago thru 6th)
Atlanta Fed's Lockhart speaks at Joint Central Bank Conference (Berne Suisse)
EIA weekly Natural Gas Stats

BoE Gov. Carney speaks at "The Global Agenda- 2015" (London)
US Chain Store Oct (month) Sales (11 still report)
Fed Balance Sheet & US Money Supply
German Sept Factory Orders
Swiss Oct CPI & EU Harmonized CPI
Markit Eurozone, France, Italy  Sept Retail Sales
German Oct. Construction PMI
UK Oct. New Car Registrations
Russia Oct CPI  & Central Bank Reserves
European Commission Economic Forecasts
BoE Interest Rate Decision, Nov. Asset Purchase Target, Meeting Minutes with Member Votes, & Qtrly Inflation Report released simultaneously
Mario Draghi speaks at the Cattolica Univ. 2015/2016 Academic Year opening (Milan)
EU Commission Pres Juncker & Bundesbank Member Dombret speak at Germany Day 2015 (Frankfurt)
    OVERNIGHT into US Fri. a.m. et:
         Aussie Oct AIG Performance of Construction Index
        Japan Oct. Purchases of Foreign Stocks & Bonds & vice versa
        UK Halifax Oct House  Price
        South Africa Oct Foreign Reserves
        French Sept Gov't Budget Balance, Sept. Trade Balance )Imports & Exports)
        BoJ Gov. Kuroda speaks (Tokyo)
        Aussie Oct Foreign Reserves
Friday,         Nov. 06 S.L. Fed Pres Bullard speaks about the Economy & Monetary Policy (St. Louis 7:30am et)
US Oct. Unemployment Rate/Change
Baker Hughes US weekly Rig Count (1pm et)
US Sept Consumer Credit (3pm et)
Fed Gov. Brainard & Dr. Ben Bernanke speak at IMF Economic Forum: "Policy Lessons & the Future of Unconventional Monetary & Exchange Rate Policies Conference (D.C. 4:15pm et)
ECB's Praet speaks on monetary policy as data processing @3rd Conference on Financial Market Policy--Digitizing Finance & Bundesbanks' Dombret discusses "Banking on big data--different policy issues"  (SAFE Policy Center, Frankfurt)
German, French, Spanish Sept Industrials Production
ECB's Mersch speaks @Slovenian Banking Day (Ljublijana, Slovenia)
Swiss Oct Foreign Currency Reserves
UK Sept Industrial & Manufacturing Production + Visible Trade Balance
Canada Oct Unemployment Rate/Change + Sept Building Permits
UK NIESR Oct GDP
Brazil Oct CPI, Auto Production & Sales
Saturday,    Nov. 07 China Oct Trade Balance (Imports/Exports: Tianjin fire still an impact?)
S.F. Fed Pres Williams provides an Outlook & Education speech @2015 Economic Education Gala (Tempe AZ)
Sunday,       Nov. 08 CFPB's Cordray speaks @ABA Annual Meeting
Elections in Myanmar
China Oct Trade Balance
(Imports/Exports) & Foreign Direct Investment
UK Hallifax Oct House Prices
     OVERNIGHT into US Mon. a.m. est:
          Japan Oct. Official Reserves, & Sept Labor Cash Earnings
          Singapore Oct Foreign Reserves
Monday,     Nov. 09 US Oct Labor Market Conditions Index
Boston Fed's Rosengren speech on outlook (Portsmouth RI @Chamber of Commerce noon est)
Arthur Laffler (Laffler Curve fame) Keyntoes 25th Restaurant Finance & Development Conference; Robert Reich also speaks (Las Vegas NV thru 11th)
State of New Jersey Auctions Offshore Seabeds for Windmills
US Treasury Auctions $30B 3- & $28B 6-month Bills & $24B 3-yr Notes (1pm est)
TD Ameritrade IMX
7th New World Forum 2015 @OECD w/Jean-Claude Trichet & German FinMin Schauble speaking includes OECD  Economic Outlook  (Paris France thru 10th)
German Sept Trade Balance & Current Account
Eurozone Sentix Nov Investor Confidence & OECD Economic Outlook
Canada Oct Housing Starts
Eurogroup Meets
     OVERNIGHT into US Tues. a.m. est:
          South Korea Oct. Import/Export Prices
          New Zealand Oct Retail & Total Card Spending
          Japan Sept Current Account, & Trade Balance +Oct Bank Lending
          China Oct Aggregate Financing +New Yuan Loans, & Money Supply
         UK BRC Oct Like-for-Like Sales
         Aussie NAB Oct Business Conditions & Sept Home Loans +Investment Lending
         China Oct CPI & PPI
Tuesday,    Nov. 10 US NFIB Small Business Optimism Index
SEC's Mary Jo White & Treas Sec'y Jacob Lew, w/CFTC's Timothy Massad & other finance luminaries speak @SIFMA Annual Capital Markets Conference (NY)
US Oct. Import/Export Prices
US Sept. Wholesale Sales & Inventories
Redbook Weekly US Stores Snapshot
US Treasury Auctions $12B 52-wk Bills (11:30am) & $24B 10-yr Notes
Fed's Evans on panel discussing gov't debt @CHicago Booth School's Iniative on Global Markets-"The $13Trillion Questions: Managing the U.S. Government's Debt" (Chicago 2:30pm)
Swiss Oct Unemployment Rate
Swedish Central Bank Publishes Minutes of its Oct MPC Meeting
BoC Deputy Gov Wilkins intro remarrks at Canadian Institute for Advanced Research (Toronto)
Bk of Finalnd Gov Liikanen speaks to parliament's Economy Cmte on Eurozone Economy & ECB's Monetary Policy
BoE's Deputy Gov. Cunliffe speech "Making macro-prudential policy operatoinal" (Geneva)
French & Italian Sept Industrial Production
South Africa Sept Manufacturing Production
EU FinMins Meet (Migration?)
Holiday in Malaysia & Singapore 
    OVERNIGHT into US Wed. am. est:
          South korea Oct Unemployment Rate
          Japan Nov. Reuters Tankan Survey & Oct M3
          BoJ's Harada speaks (Utsunomiya)
          China Oct Retail Sales & Industrial Production + Fixed Asset Investments
          German Oct WPI
Wednesday, Nov. 11 US Banks & Treasuries Closed for Veteran's Day
US Equities Trade Regular Hours (9:30am to 4pm est)
Swiss Oct Unemployment Rate
BoE Gov. Carney & ECB's Draghi speak @BoE Open Forum on future direction for financial regulation
Bk of Italy Gov Visco speaks @Society of Business Economists' Annual Dinner (London)
Japan Oct Prelim Machine Tool Orders
UK Oct ILO Jobless Rate/Claimant Count/Change+Avg Earnings
India M3 Money Supply
Brazil Foreign Exchange Flows
India Holiday (thru 12th)
     OVERNIGHT into US Thurs. a.m. est:
          Japan Oct Corporate Goods Price Index, Sept Machine Orders, Buying Foreign Stocks & Bonds & vice versa
          Russia Q3 GDP
          UK RICS Oct House Price Balance
          Aussie Oct Unemployment Rate/Change/Participation Rate/Part-time +Sept Credit Card Balances/Purchases 
         South Korea Nov. Interest Rate Decision
Thursday,   Nov. 12 MBA weekly Mortgage/Refinance Applicaitons
US weekly Jobless Claims
FOMC Chief Yellen welcome remarks (9:30am) @Conference on Monestary Policy Implementation & Transmission in the Post-Crisis Period- & Fed Gov. Fischer (6pm) speech "The Transmission of Exchange Rate Changes to Output & Inflation"
S.L. Fed's Bullard on monetary policy @Cato Institute 33rd Annual Monetary Conference : "Rethinking Monetary Policy" (D.C. 9am est)
Richmond Fed's Lacker & Bk of Mexico Deputy Gov Sanchez on panel "What Monetary Policy Can and Can't Do"  Former Fed Charles Plosser participates on panel "Inflation, Deflation & Monetary Rules" BIS Int'l Settlements head Borio speaks  on "Rethinking Monetary Policy" Also speaking, John Taylor. other tracks on Inflatoin, Deflation, Monetary Rules, Monetary Policy & Knowledge Problem, along with Fed’s Exit Strategy vs Fundamental Reform. (D.C.)@Cato Institute (9:45am)
BLS Sept. JOLTS (Job Quits & Turnover)
Chico Fed's Evans speech on  economic conditions & monetary policy @Communities Council Fall Leadership Forum: "Inspiring Ideas, Transforming Communities (Chicago 10:15am)
BoE chief economist Haldane speaks to Trades Union Congress
Norway Central Bank releases its Financial Stability Report
EIA weekly Petroleum Stats (delayed by Veteran's Day 11am est)
NY Fed's Wm Dudley speech "The Economic Outlook and What it Means for Monetary Policy @ @Federal Reserve Bank of NY co-sponsored by Journal of Accounting & Economics. Opening session is: "Bank CEO Materialism, Corporate Culture, & Risk" + "Is Fraud Contagious? Career Networks & Fraud by Financial Advisors" (thru 13th) MSCI Announces US-Listed Chinese Shares that will be included in its China Indices
US Treasury Auctions $16B  30-yr Bonds
Fed Oct. Balance Sheet & US Money Supply
French, German Oct CPI & HICP
South Africa Sept Gold & Mining Production
Eurozone Sept Industrial Production
Brazil Sept Retail Sales
India Oct Industrial Producton, Manufacturing Output, & Oct. CPI
Canaa Sept New Housing Price Index
    OVERNIGHT into US Fri. a.m. est:
         New Zealand Non-Resident Oct. Bond Holdings
         Japan Sept Final Industrial Production/Capacity Utilization  + Tertiary Industry Index
        French & German Q3 GDP
        Spanish Oct CPI & HICP
        Hong Kong Q3 GDP
Friday,        Nov. 13 US Oct. PPI-Final Demand
US Oct. Retail Sales

Cleveland Fed's Mester speaks on Economy & Monetary Policy
Meeting of the Economic & Financial Affairs Council (Brussels)
L20 Summit (Antalya Turkey thru 14th)
US Sept Business Inventories
U.M. Prelim/Interim Nov. Consumer Sentiment
EIA weekly Natural gas Report (delayed by Veteran's Day)
Cleveland Fed's Mester  speaks on the economy & monetary policy (Cleveland)
Baker Hughes weekly US & North American Rig Counts (1pm est)
German Oct wholesale Price Index
French Q3 GDP
Italian Q3 GDP +Oct CPI + HICP
Swiss Oct Producer & Import Prices
Q3 Italian GDP
UK Sept Construction Output
Eurozone Sept Trade Balance & Q3 GDP
Canada Teranet/National Bank Oct HPI
APEC Senior Officials Meet (Manila Philippines thru 14th)
Saturday,    Nov. 14
B20 Summit (Antalya Turkey thru 15th)
G20 Summit (Antalya Turkey thru 16th)

       WEEKS AHEAD: 
11/17   Fed Gov Powell speaks @Clearing House Annual Conference
                                                   RBA (Australia) Publishes Minutes of it Nov. MPC Meeting
                                      11/18   FOMC minutes of 10/27--28 Meeting

*FOMC 2015 Voting Members:  www.federalreserve.gov//newsevents/press/monetary/20150128a.htm
FOMC Chief Yellen, NY Fed's Dudley, Lael Brainard, Chicago Fed's Charles Evans, Fed. Gov. Stanley Fischer, Richmond Fed's Jeffrey Lacker, Atlanta's Dennis Lockhart, Fed. Gov. Jerome Powell, Fed Gov. Danniel Tarullo, San Francisco Fed's John Williams. (Non-voter Philly Fed new Pres Patrick Harker Dallas Fed's Fisher left 3/31
                     

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