wall street in advance

October 2015 Economic Statistics
and Other Economic Influences

TUESDAYS:
                Weekly Chain Store Sales*
                 Average Hourly Earnings*
                 API Weekly Gas/Oil Stockpiles Report*  **
(4:30p.m.)
    WEDNESDAYS:
                
Mortgage Applications  Data
                 EIA Weekly Report on Gas & Oil Stockpiles* (10a.m.)
    THURSDAYS:
                 Weekly Unemployment Report*
                  Weekly Mutual Fund Flows*
                   Natural Gas Storage Levels* (a.m.)

 *Except Holidays    ** As of 1/09         All Dates Subject to Change:
Sunday,        Oct. 04     OVERNIGHT into US Mon. a.m. et:
         Japan Sept Official Reserves
         Aussie Sept TD Securities Inflation, Job Ads, & Sept AIG Services Index
         South Korea Sept FX Reserves
         Japan Aug. Labor Cash Earnings, & Sept Nikkei PMI Serives & Composite
Monday,       Oct. 05 Fed's Sept Labor Market Conditions Index
US PMI Sept Services Index
US ISM Non-Manufacturing Index
TD Ameritrade IMX
US Treasury Auctions $21B 3- & $21B 6-month bills
Eurozone, France, Germany, Italy, & Spain Markit Sept Services & Composite PMI
UK Sept Official Reserves, & Markit/CIPS Services & Composite PMI
Eurozone Aug. Retail Sales  (tourism should boost)
Brazil Markit Sept Services & Composite PMI
Eurogroup Meeting (Luxembourg) 
China/Hong Kong Golden Week Holiday continues thru the 7th
    OVERNIGHT into US Tues. a.m. et:
         Japan Aug. Loans & Corporate Discounts
         UK Hallifax Plc Sept House Prices
         Aussie Aug. Trade Balance (Imports/Exports)
         Hong Kong Sept Manufacturing PMI
         India Nikkei Sept Services PMI
         German Aug Factory Orders
         Swiss Sept CPI
         RBA (Australia) Meeting/Interest Rate Decision (Tues. local time)
Tuesday,      Oct. 06 US Aug. International Trade Balance
US Treasury Auctions $24B 3-year Notes
Redbook weekly Stores Snapshot
S.F. Fed's Williams speaks on Eco Outlook @Urban Land Institute Fall Mtg (San Francisco 3:30pm)
Germany Aug. Factory Orders
Swiss Sept CPI
Germany Markit Sept Construction & Retail PMI
Eurozone, France & Italy Markit Retail PMI
IMF Press Briefing: World Economic Outlook (9am) + LatAm Slowdown (2pm)
UK Sept. New Car Registrations
Canada Aug. Int'l Merchandise Trade (Imports/Exports), & Ivey Sept PMI
Brazil Sept Auto Production
    OVERNIGHT into US Wed. a.m. et:
         Aussie Sept Performance of Construction Index & HIA Aug. New Home Sales
         UK BRC Sept Shop Price Index
         China Sept. Foreign Reserves  (US $ portion has been falling)
         BoJ 2-day Meet ends, Issues Statement including Annual Rise in Monetary Base  (Wed., 10/07, local time)
         BoJ's Kuroda holds post-meeting Press Conference
Wednesday, Oct. 07 US Treasury Auctions $21B Reopened 10-year Notes (1pm et)
MBA Mortgage/Refinance Applications
EIA weekly Petroleum Status
IMF Press Briefing: Global Financial Stability Report (9am) + Fiscal Monitor (10:30am) Western Hemisphere Regional Economic Outlook (1:15pm) +Climate Change (2pm) & Energy Pricing (3:30pm) & Road to Universal Health (4pm)
World Bank Group Youth Summit (Lima Peruh)
US Aug. Consumer Credit (really, amount of credit taken on 3pm et)
German & Spanish Aug. Industrial Production
French Aug Trade Balance (Imports/Exports)
Swiss Sept Foreign Currency Reserves
UK Aug. Industrial & Manufacturing Production
Canada Aug. Building Permits
UK NIESR Sept GDP
Hong Kong Sept Foreign Reserves
Japan Sept Foreign Reesrves
Brazil IGP-DI Sept Inflation Index & CPI + Foreign Exchange Flows
    OVERNIGHT into US Thurs. a.m. et:
         UK RICS Sept. House Price Balance
         Japan Aug Machine Orders & Current Account +Sept Bankruptcies
         Chinese Sept Foreign Direct Investment & Caixan Sept Services PMI
        Aussie Sept Foreign Exchange Reserves
         Swiss Sept Unemployment Rate (current 3.2%)
Thursday,     Oct. 08 FOMC Sept 16--17 Meeting Minutes (2pm et)
Weekly US Jobless Claims
IMF Mng. Director Christine Lagarde Annual Meeting Press Briefing (9am D.C.)
World Bank Group Pres. Jim Yong Kim Annual Meetings Press Briefing + Debate on the Building Shared Prosperity (1pm), & The Financial System We Want (3pm DC)
G24 Press Conference (from Preu @IMF/World Bank Jt Annual Meetings 5:30pm) 
Sept. US Chain Store Sales (all 11 still reporting)
EIA weekly Natural Gas Report
US Treasury Auctions $13B reopened 30-year Bonds (1pm)
MN Fed's Kocherlakota delivers welcome address (Mankato MN) 1pm et)
S. L. Fed's Bullard welcome speech at Symposium on Children's Savings Accounts
US Treasury Announces wkly Refunding Plans (as the clock ticks towards debt limit) 
S.F. Fed's Williams Outlook speech (Spokane WA 3:30pm et)
Fed weekly Balance Sheet & weekly US Money Supply (4:30pm et)
South African Aug Gold & Mining Production
German Aug. Trade Balance (Imports/Exports) & Current Account
BoE 2-day Meet ends, Issues Rate Comments, & Oct Asset Purchase Target
ECB Meeting Minutes
Canada Sept Housing Starts, Aug. New House Price Index
     OVERNIGHT into US Fri. a.m. et:
           New Zealand Sept Retail Electronic Card Spending
           Aussie Aug New Home Loans, Investment Lending & Loan Values
           French Aug. Gov't Budget Balance + Aug Industrial Production
Friday,         Oct. 09 Chicago Fed's Evans speaks on monetary policy (Milwaukee 1:30pm)
IMF- World Bank Jt Annual Meetings Press conference (8:30am) & Annual Meetings Plenary (9am) + European Dept (9:15am)+ Structural Reforms, Inequality & Growth (11am) & Aisa Pac Dept (1:15pm) + Today to 2030 (5:30pm  Lima Peru thru 11th)
World Bank "Unleashing Private Investment in Renewable Energy (Lima Peru)
US Sept Import/Export Prices
US Aug Wholesale Inventory/Sales
Fed's Lockhart speaks on Economy (NY @SABEW--Am. Business Editors/Writers)
Fed's Evans speaks Eco Conditions & Monetary Policy Update (@CFA Society (Milwaukee)
Baker Hughes weekly US Rig Count (1pm et)
UK Aug. Construction Output & Visible + Total Trade Balance
Italian Aug Industrial Production
Canada Sept Employment Report (current 7.0)%/Change/Particpation Rate
BoC (Canada) Senior Loan Officer Survey
India FX Reserves
Saturday,   Oct. 10 IMF/World Bank Group "Talking Taxes: Working with Developing Countries to Build the Global Agenda" (noon) +  Revisiting Monetary Policy Framworks (2pm)
IMF/World bank "Ready for Takeoff: Implementing the Post-2015 Development Agenda" (6pm)
BoC (Canada) Gov. Poloz speaks at Institute of International Finance (Lima Peru)
Michelle Obama christens the submarine "Illinois" built by Electric Boat (GD) with partner Newport News Shipping (HII)
Sunday,     Oct. 11 G30 International Banking Seminar (Lima Peru)
    OVERNIGHT into US Mon. a.m. et:
          India Sept Trade Balance (Imports/Exports)
          Chinese Sept Foreign Direct Investmen
t, Aggregate Financing, New Yuan Loans & Money Supply
          New Zealand Sept House Sales
          Aussie Aug. Credit Card Balances
          French Sept Current Account
Monday,     Oct. 12 US Treasury Market Holiday--Columbus Day
Equities Trade Regular Hours
--9:30am to 4pm
Atl. Fed's Lockhart speaks on Economic Outlook @AUBER (8:10am et Orlando FL)
Chico Fed's Evans speaks on Policy & Economy @World Steel Ass'n 49th Annual "Steelie" Awards (10:30am Chicago IL)
Fed Gov. Brainard provides Outlook & pollicy speech @NABE (4:03pm et (D.C.)
BoC (Canada) Gov. Poloz speaks on "Monetary Policy & Financial Stability" @NABE
Bundesbank VP Buch opens the Global Economic Symposium (Kiel Germany thru 14th)
Canada Holiday--Thanksgiving Day
Brazil Holiday
Japan Health Sports Day
India Sept CPI + Aug. Cumulative Industrial & Manufacturing Output
    OVERNIGHT into US Tues. a.m. et:
         South Korea Sept Export & Import Prices
         New Zealand Sept Food Prices
         UK BRC Sept Like-for-Like Sales
         BoJ releases Minutes of 9/14--15 Meeting & Sept Bank Lending ex-trusts
         NAB Aussie Sept Business Conditions & Confidence
         Japan Sept prelim Machine Tool Orders & Consumer Confidence
         Chinese Sept Trade Balance (Import/Exports)
         German Sept CPI, WPI, & HICP
         Swiss Sept Producer & Import Prices
Tuesday,   Oct. 13 NFIB Sept Small Business Optimism
S.L. Fed's Bullard speaks on US economy & monetary policy @NABE (8am etD.C.)
NY Fed Pres Wm Dudley speaks @Economic Club of NY (luncheon)
Redbook weekly Stores Snapshot
US Treasury Auctions $20B 3- & $20B 6-month Bills
US Treasury Budget
Democratic Presidential Candidates Debate (CNN 8pm et)
BoE Credit Conditions & Bank Liabilities Survey+ Sept Producer Input/Output
UK Consumer & Retail Price Indices (PPI, CPI, RPI)  & Aug DCLG UK House Prices
5th OECD World Forum on Statistics, Knowledge, & Policy: Transforming Policy, Changing Lives (Guadajara Mexico thru 15th)
Sweden's Riksbank Dpty Gov Floden speaks on "Sweden needs its inflation target" @Fores Think-tank
Bk of Finland Gov LKiikanen speaks on digitalisation & economic growth (Helsinki)
German Bundesbank Board member Thiele speaks at Oesophagus Institution (Stuttgart)
ECB's Mersch participates in MNI Connect (brunch Singapore)
German Oct ZEW Surveys
    OVERNIGHT into US Wed. a.m. et:
          South Korea Sept Unemployment Rate
          Singapore Q3 GDP
          Japan Sept Domestic Corporate Goods Price Index + Money Stock & M3
          German Sept Wholesale Price Index
          China Sept Consumer & Producer Price Indices
          New Zealand Sept Non-Resident Bond Holdings
          French Sept CPI & HICP
          Spain & Italy Sept CPI & HICP
          India Sept WPI  Food, Fuel, & Manufacturing Inflation
Wednesday, Oct. 14 US Fed releases Beige Book (3pm et)
US Sept PPI --Final Demand
US Sept Retail Sales

MBA weekly Mortgage/Refinance Applications
US Aug Business Inventories/Sales
US Treasury Auctions $10B 52-wk Bills
UK Sept ILO Unemployment Rate,
Claimant Count, Jobless Rate/Change  & Avg weekly Earnings
Eurozone Aug Industrial Production
Swiss Oct. ZEW Survey
BoE Chief Economist Haldane lectures @Surrey Univ.
ECB's Mersch speaks on "Market Infrastructure integration--What remains to be done?" (Singapore)
    OVERNIGHT into US Thurs. a.m. et:
         New Zealand Sept Performance of Manufacturing Index & Oct.Consumer Confidence/Inflation Expectations
        Aussie Sept New Motor Vehicle Sales, & Unemployment Rate/Change/ Participation+RBA Foreign Exchange Transactions
          Singapore Aug. Retail Sales
          South Korea Central Bank Interest Rate Decision + Sept Imports/Exports/ Trade Balance
         Japan Oct Reuters Tankan Index
         Japan Aug. (F) Industrial Production/Capacity Utiliziaiton & Tertiary Index
Thursday,  Oct. 15 US Sept CPI
US weekly Jobless Claims
US Oct. NY Fed/Empire State Manufacturing
Sept US Avg Real Earnings
Philly Fed Oct Business Outlook Survey
Fed's Bullard opening remarks @St Louis Fed Bank's 40th Annual Fall Policy Conference (8:30am St Louis thru 16th; most speakers Univ. based)
NY Fed Pres Wm Dudley speaks on "Fed at a Crossroads: Where to Go Next" w/John Taylor & David Wessel, also @Brookings Institution  (10:30am -noon et)
EIA weekly Nat Gas Data (10:30am et)
EIA weekly Petroleum (Crude Oil) Stats (11am delayed by Columbus Day on Mon.)
US Treasury releases Refunding Plans, incl. 30-yr TIPS
UK Office for Nat'l Statistics Qtrly Economic Forum (London)
Nat'l Bk of Austria Gov Nowotny & Nat'l Bk of Poland Pres Belka speak @12th OeNB Conference on European Economic Integration/5th Annual NBP Conference on the Future of the European Economy--boosting EU Competitiveness--Rise of the CESEE Countries (Warsaw thru 16th)
Bundesbank VP Buch speaks @Warsaw School of Economics (Warsaw)
ECB VP Constancio speaks on "Diverging Monetary POlicies, global capital flows & financial Stability (Hong Kong)
European Council Meets (Brussels thru 16th)
Cleveland Fed's Mester speech "Determinants of Long-run Growth & Future Growth Prospects "  (4:30pm et NYU Stern School of Biz)
Fed weekly Balance Sheet + US Money Supply
Canada Teranet/National Bank Sept HPI
Canada Sept Existing Home Sales
    OVERNIGHT into US Fri a.m. et:
         New Zealand Q3 Consumer Prices
         Singapore Non-Oil Sept Exports
         Italian Aug. Trade Balance
Friday,       Oct. 16 US Aug JOLTS (10am et Job openings/turnover)
US Sept Industrial Production/Capacity Utilization (hurt by mining)
U.M. Prelim. Oct Consumer Sentiment & Expcations Surveys
Atlanta Fed Business Inflation Expectations
Baker Hughes US weekly Rig Count
Last Day to Trade Monthly October Equity Options
US Aug TICs (4pm et)
Eurozone 25 Sept New Car Registrations (rising lately)
Eurozone Aug Trade Balance & Sept CPI
Italian Eco Minister Padoan, European Bk for Reconstruction & Development Pres., & World Bank Dir Gen, Sri Mulyani Indrawati speaks at a Finance for Food Conference (Milan Italy)
BoJ Gov Kuroda speaks @Nat'l Savings & Laon Ass'n (Tokyo)
ECB's Couere at an interparliamentary conference "Towards a Progressive Europe" organized by German social democratic MPs (Berlin)
Canada Aug Int'l Securities Transactions
Saturday,   Oct. 17


       WEEKS AHEAD: 
10/19  Bd of Governors of the Fed Reserve System, OCC & FDIC Jt Meeting on Economic Growth & Paperwork Reduction Act of 1996 Regulations
                                      10/20    RBA releases minutes of Oct. Monetary Policy Meeting
                                      10/21   BoC Decides on Interest Rates & offers Monetary Policy Report
                                      10/22   ECB Meets
                               10/27--28   FOMC Meets
                                      10/29   RBNZ Meets

*FOMC 2015 Voting Members:  www.federalreserve.gov//newsevents/press/monetary/20150128a.htm
FOMC Chief Yellen, NY Fed's Dudley, Lael Brainard, Chicago Fed's Charles Evans, Fed. Gov. Stanley Fischer, Richmond Fed's Jeffrey Lacker, Atlanta's Dennis Lockhart, Fed. Gov. Jerome Powell, Fed Gov. Danniel Tarullo, San Francisco Fed's John Williams. (Non-voter Charles Plosser left Fed 03/01. His replacement arrives this summer.) Dallas Fed's Fisher left 3/31
                     

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