wall street in advance

October 2015 Economic Statistics
and Other Economic Influences

TUESDAYS:
                Weekly Chain Store Sales*
                 Average Hourly Earnings*
                 API Weekly Gas/Oil Stockpiles Report*  **
(4:30p.m.)
    WEDNESDAYS:
                
Mortgage Applications  Data
                 EIA Weekly Report on Gas & Oil Stockpiles* (10a.m.)
    THURSDAYS:
                 Weekly Unemployment Report*
                  Weekly Mutual Fund Flows*
                   Natural Gas Storage Levels* (a.m.)

 *Except Holidays    ** As of 1/09         All Dates Subject to Change:
Sunday,     Oct. 11 G30 International Banking Seminar (Lima Peru)
    OVERNIGHT into US Mon. a.m. et:
          India Sept Trade Balance (Imports/Exports)
          Chinese Sept Foreign Direct Investmen
t, Aggregate Financing, New Yuan Loans & Money Supply
          New Zealand Sept House Sales
          Aussie Aug. Credit Card Balances
          French Sept Current Account
Monday,     Oct. 12 US Treasury Market Holiday--Columbus Day
Equities Trade Regular Hours
--9:30am to 4pm
Atl. Fed's Lockhart speaks on Economic Outlook @AUBER (8:10am et Orlando FL)
Chico Fed's Evans speaks on Policy & Economy @World Steel Ass'n 49th Annual "Steelie" Awards (10:30am Chicago IL)
Fed Gov. Brainard provides Outlook & pollicy speech @NABE (4:03pm et (D.C.)
BoC (Canada) Gov. Poloz speaks on "Monetary Policy & Financial Stability" @NABE
Bundesbank VP Buch opens the Global Economic Symposium (Kiel Germany thru 14th)
Canada Holiday--Thanksgiving Day
Brazil Holiday
Japan Health Sports Day
India Sept CPI + Aug. Cumulative Industrial & Manufacturing Output
    OVERNIGHT into US Tues. a.m. et:
         South Korea Sept Export & Import Prices
         New Zealand Sept Food Prices
         UK BRC Sept Like-for-Like Sales
         BoJ releases Minutes of 9/14--15 Meeting & Sept Bank Lending ex-trusts
         NAB Aussie Sept Business Conditions & Confidence
         Japan Sept prelim Machine Tool Orders & Consumer Confidence
         Chinese Sept Trade Balance (Import/Exports)
         German Sept CPI, WPI, & HICP
         Swiss Sept Producer & Import Prices
Tuesday,   Oct. 13 NFIB Sept Small Business Optimism
S.L. Fed's Bullard speaks on US economy & monetary policy @NABE (8am etD.C.)
NY Fed Pres Wm Dudley speaks @Economic Club of NY (luncheon)
Redbook weekly Stores Snapshot
US Treasury Auctions $20B 3- & $20B 6-month Bills
US Treasury Budget
Democratic Presidential Candidates Debate (CNN 8pm et)
BoE Credit Conditions & Bank Liabilities Survey+ Sept Producer Input/Output
UK Consumer & Retail Price Indices (PPI, CPI, RPI)  & Aug DCLG UK House Prices
5th OECD World Forum on Statistics, Knowledge, & Policy: Transforming Policy, Changing Lives (Guadajara Mexico thru 15th)
Sweden's Riksbank Dpty Gov Floden speaks on "Sweden needs its inflation target" @Fores Think-tank
Bk of Finland Gov LKiikanen speaks on digitalisation & economic growth (Helsinki)
German Bundesbank Board member Thiele speaks at Oesophagus Institution (Stuttgart)
ECB's Mersch participates in MNI Connect (brunch Singapore)
German Oct ZEW Surveys
    OVERNIGHT into US Wed. a.m. et:
          South Korea Sept Unemployment Rate
          Singapore Q3 GDP
          Japan Sept Domestic Corporate Goods Price Index + Money Stock & M3
          German Sept Wholesale Price Index
          China Sept Consumer & Producer Price Indices
          New Zealand Sept Non-Resident Bond Holdings
          French Sept CPI & HICP
          Spain & Italy Sept CPI & HICP
          India Sept WPI  Food, Fuel, & Manufacturing Inflation
Wednesday, Oct. 14 US Fed releases Beige Book (3pm et)
US Sept PPI --Final Demand
US Sept Retail Sales

MBA weekly Mortgage/Refinance Applications
US Aug Business Inventories/Sales
US Treasury Auctions $10B 52-wk Bills
UK Sept ILO Unemployment Rate,
Claimant Count, Jobless Rate/Change  & Avg weekly Earnings
Eurozone Aug Industrial Production
Swiss Oct. ZEW Survey
BoE Chief Economist Haldane lectures @Surrey Univ.
ECB's Mersch speaks on "Market Infrastructure integration--What remains to be done?" (Singapore)
    OVERNIGHT into US Thurs. a.m. et:
         New Zealand Sept Performance of Manufacturing Index & Oct.Consumer Confidence/Inflation Expectations
        Aussie Sept New Motor Vehicle Sales, & Unemployment Rate/Change/ Participation+RBA Foreign Exchange Transactions
          Singapore Aug. Retail Sales
          South Korea Central Bank Interest Rate Decision + Sept Imports/Exports/ Trade Balance
         Japan Oct Reuters Tankan Index
         Japan Aug. (F) Industrial Production/Capacity Utiliziaiton & Tertiary Index
Thursday,  Oct. 15 US Sept CPI
US weekly Jobless Claims
US Oct. NY Fed/Empire State Manufacturing
Sept US Avg Real Earnings
Philly Fed Oct Business Outlook Survey
Fed's Bullard opening remarks @St Louis Fed Bank's 40th Annual Fall Policy Conference (8:30am St Louis thru 16th; most speakers Univ. based)
NY Fed Pres Wm Dudley speaks on "Fed at a Crossroads: Where to Go Next" w/John Taylor & David Wessel, also @Brookings Institution  (10:30am -noon et)
EIA weekly Nat Gas Data (10:30am et)
EIA weekly Petroleum (Crude Oil) Stats (11am delayed by Columbus Day on Mon.)
US Treasury releases Refunding Plans, incl. 30-yr TIPS
UK Office for Nat'l Statistics Qtrly Economic Forum (London)
Nat'l Bk of Austria Gov Nowotny & Nat'l Bk of Poland Pres Belka speak @12th OeNB Conference on European Economic Integration/5th Annual NBP Conference on the Future of the European Economy--boosting EU Competitiveness--Rise of the CESEE Countries (Warsaw thru 16th)
Bundesbank VP Buch speaks @Warsaw School of Economics (Warsaw)
ECB VP Constancio speaks on "Diverging Monetary POlicies, global capital flows & financial Stability (Hong Kong)
European Council Meets (Brussels thru 16th)
Cleveland Fed's Mester speech "Determinants of Long-run Growth & Future Growth Prospects "  (4:30pm et NYU Stern School of Biz)
Fed weekly Balance Sheet + US Money Supply
Canada Teranet/National Bank Sept HPI
Canada Sept Existing Home Sales
    OVERNIGHT into US Fri a.m. et:
         New Zealand Q3 Consumer Prices
         Singapore Non-Oil Sept Exports
         Italian Aug. Trade Balance
Friday,       Oct. 16 US Aug JOLTS (10am et Job openings/turnover)
US Sept Industrial Production/Capacity Utilization (hurt by mining)
U.M. Prelim. Oct Consumer Sentiment & Expcations Surveys
Atlanta Fed Business Inflation Expectations
Baker Hughes US weekly Rig Count
Last Day to Trade Monthly October Equity Options
US Aug TICs (4pm et)
Eurozone 25 Sept New Car Registrations (rising lately)
Eurozone Aug Trade Balance & Sept CPI
Italian Eco Minister Padoan, European Bk for Reconstruction & Development Pres., & World Bank Dir Gen, Sri Mulyani Indrawati speaks at a Finance for Food Conference (Milan Italy)
BoJ Gov Kuroda speaks @Nat'l Savings & Laon Ass'n (Tokyo)
ECB's Couere at an interparliamentary conference "Towards a Progressive Europe" organized by German social democratic MPs (Berlin)
Canada Aug Int'l Securities Transactions
Saturday,      Oct. 17

Sunday,        Oct. 18     OVERNIGHT into US Mon. a.m. et:
          UK Rightmovce Oct House Prices
          China Q3 GDP, Sept Retail Sales, Industrial Production, Fixed Asset Investment
           Hong Kong Sept Unemployment Rate
Monday,       Oct. 19 NAHB Oct. Housing Market Index
FSOC hosts Bd of Governors of the Fed Reserve System, OCC & FDIC Jt Meeting on Economic Growth & Paperwork Reduction Act of 1996 Regulations  w/Fed's Evans, FDIC's Gruenberg, OCC's Thomas Curry, Fed Gov. Lael Brainard, and many more (EGRPRA Chicago)
US Treasury Auctions $25B 3- & $26B 6-month Bills
Richmond Fed's Jeff Lacker speech "Early Childhood Education in the Context of Lifetime Human Capital Investment" (VA Chamber of Commerce-Richmond VA)
Germany's Merkel speaks at Maritime Conference (Bremerhaven DE)
Eurozone Aug. Construction Output
Canadian Elections could see PM Harper replace by another Trudau
Sweden's Riksbank Executive Board Meets
Russia Sept Unemployment Rate
South Korea Sept PPI
    OVERNIGHT into US Tues. a.m. et:
          RBA (Australia) releases minutes of Oct. Monetary Policy Meeting
          Japan & Tokyo Sept Dept. Store Sales
          Swiss Sept Trade Balance
Tuesday,      Oct. 20 US Sept Housing Starts/Building Permits
NY Fed's Dudley, Fed Gov. Powell, CFTC's Massad, SEC's Mary Jo White,  speak at "The Evolving Structure of the US Treasury Market" @Federal Reserve Bank of NY Conference (thru 21st) 
Redbook weekly Store Sales Snapshot
BoE Gov Carney & Deputy Gov Bailey appear before the (UK) Treasury Committee
Swiss Sept Trade Balance (Imports/Exports)
ECB's Nowotny speaks on panel "Sense & Nonsense in Economic Forecsts (Vienna)
Hungarian Central Bank Monetary Policy Cmte Meets (current rates 1.35%)
Int'l Atomic Energy Agency releases study on Nuclear Power Cost Competitiveness
German Sept PPI
Japan Sept (F) Machine Tool Orders
Eurozone Aug Current Account
Canada Aug Wholesale Sales
    OVERNIGHT into US Wed. a.m. et:
          New Zealand Q3 Unemployment Rate/Change, & Sept Net Migration/Visitors
          Australia Sept Skilled Vacancies
          New Zealand Sept Credit Card Spending
          Japan Sept Merchandise Trade Balance (Imports/Exports), & Aug All Industry Activity + Sept Supermarket Sales
         South Africa Sept CPI
Wednesday, Oct. 21 MBA weekly Mortgage/Refinance Applications
EIA weekly Petroleum Stats
US Treas. Sec'y Lew, former Treas Sec'y Lawrence Summers, former Council of Eco Advisors chair Laura Tyson, US Sec'y of Commerce Penny Pritzker, participate at Center for American Progress event "Creating Long-Term Value: Business Leaders on Shared Prosperity, Innovation & Investment (We could NOT confirm D.C.)
US NRC & FERC Jt meeting on Reliability of the Nation's Power Grid (D.C.)
BoE Gov. Carney lectures at Oxford U
BoE Publishes Stress Testing UK Banking System Approach
OPEC Meets with Non-OPEC Producers  (Vienna, Austria)
BoC (Canada) Interest Rate Decision & Offers Monetary Policy Report (0,5%)
BoC Gov. Poloz post-RBA meeting press conference
RBA Ass't Gov. Malcolm Edey speaks @Int'l Swaps & Derivatives Ass'n 2015 Annual Conference (Sydney Australia)
Jin Liqun, Pres-Elect of the Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank (AIIB) speaks at Brookings Institution on "Building Asia's new bank"
Swiss Sept M3 Money Supply
UK Sept Public & Central Gov't Finances (Cash/Borrowing)
Eurozone 2014 Final Debt/GDP Ratio
Central Bank of Turkey Rate Decision
South Africa Aug Retail Sales
Brazil Central Bank Interest Rate Decision (current 14.25%)
    OVERNIGHT into US Thurs. a.m. et:
         Spain Q3 Unemployment Rate
         Italy Sept Trade balance
         Aussie NAB Q3 Business Confidence
         U.K. Sept Retail Sales
         Hong Kong Sept CPI
         China MNI Oct. Business Indicators
Thursday,      Oct 22 US weekly Jobless Claims
Chicago Fed National Activity Index
FHFA Aug. House Price Index
NAR Sept Existing Home Sales

EIA weekly Natural Gas Report
US Treasury Refunding Announcement (as the US marches towards debt limit), includes 2-, 5- & 7-yr Notes, 2-yr FRN, & 30-yr TIPS
UK FinMin Osborne testifies before Treasury Cmte discussing BoE Bill
Former Fed Vice Chair Donald Kohn discusses "The Politics of the Fed: Past, Present & Future" @Brookings Institution  (D.C.)
K.C. Fed Oct. Manufacturing Activity Index
Weekly Fed Balance Sheet & US Money Supply
ECB Interest Rate Decision/QE Update, & Publishes Monthly Report
ECB Chief Draghi Post-Meeting Press Conference (Malta)
Brazil Sept Unemployment Rate
UK Sept Retail Sales
Canada Aug. Retail & Auto Sales
Pres. Obama welcomes Pakistan's PM Mohammad Sharif
Hillary Clinton schedule to testify  on Benghazi at House Select Cmte 
Russian Central Bank Reserves
    OVERNIGHT into US Fri. a.m. et:
          South Korea Q3 GDP
          Singapore Q3 URA Property Index & Sept CPI
          ECB Survey of Professional Forecasters
          China Sept. Property/House   Prices + Caixan Oct Manufacturnig PMI
          Japan Nikkei Oct Prelim PMI
Friday,         Oct. 23 Markit US PMI Oct Flash (prelim) Manufacturing Index
Baker Hughes weekly US Rig Count
Markit Eurozone, France, Germany, & Italy Prelim. Oct Manufacturing, Services & Composite PMI
Italian Aug Retail Sales & Wage Inflation
Eurozone Q2 Government Debt & Deficit/Surplus
Bk of Canada  Sept CPI
Brazil Sept Current Account & FOreign Direct Investment
Saturday,     Oct. 24

       WEEKS AHEAD: 
10/25    Summit on the Global Agenda 2015 (Abu Dhabi thru 27th)
                               10/27--28   FOMC Meets

                                           28    Swedish Central Bank Monetary Policy Meeting
                                                  Dr. Ben Bernanke speaks @London School of Economis on his book
                                                  Estonia Central Bank Financial Stability Report (Tallinn)
                                      10/29   RBNZ Meets
                                                  UK FinMin Osborne meats Brazil FinMin Joaquim Levy at UK-Brazil Economic
                                                   & Financial Dialogue (London

*FOMC 2015 Voting Members:  www.federalreserve.gov//newsevents/press/monetary/20150128a.htm
FOMC Chief Yellen, NY Fed's Dudley, Lael Brainard, Chicago Fed's Charles Evans, Fed. Gov. Stanley Fischer, Richmond Fed's Jeffrey Lacker, Atlanta's Dennis Lockhart, Fed. Gov. Jerome Powell, Fed Gov. Danniel Tarullo, San Francisco Fed's John Williams. (Non-voter Charles Plosser left Fed 03/01. His replacement arrives this summer.) Dallas Fed's Fisher left 3/31
                     

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