wall street in advance

October 2015 Economic Statistics
and Other Economic Influences

TUESDAYS:
                Weekly Chain Store Sales*
                 Average Hourly Earnings*
                 API Weekly Gas/Oil Stockpiles Report*  **
(4:30p.m.)
    WEDNESDAYS:
                
Mortgage Applications  Data
                 EIA Weekly Report on Gas & Oil Stockpiles* (10a.m.)
    THURSDAYS:
                 Weekly Unemployment Report*
                  Weekly Mutual Fund Flows*
                   Natural Gas Storage Levels* (a.m.)

 *Except Holidays    ** As of 1/09         All Dates Subject to Change:
Sunday,        Oct. 18     OVERNIGHT into US Mon. a.m. et:
          UK Rightmovce Oct House Prices
          China Q3 GDP, Sept Retail Sales, Industrial Production, Fixed Asset Investment
           Hong Kong Sept Unemployment Rate
Monday,       Oct. 19 NAHB Oct. Housing Market Index
FSOC hosts Bd of Governors of the Fed Reserve System, OCC & FDIC Jt Meeting on Economic Growth & Paperwork Reduction Act of 1996 Regulations  w/Fed's Evans, FDIC's Gruenberg, OCC's Thomas Curry, Fed Gov. Lael Brainard, and many more (EGRPRA Chicago)
US Treasury Auctions $25B 3- & $26B 6-month Bills
Richmond Fed's Jeff Lacker speech "Early Childhood Education in the Context of Lifetime Human Capital Investment" (VA Chamber of Commerce-Richmond VA)
Germany's Merkel speaks at Maritime Conference (Bremerhaven DE)
Eurozone Aug. Construction Output
Canadian Elections could see PM Harper replace by another Trudau
Sweden's Riksbank Executive Board Meets
Russia Sept Unemployment Rate
South Korea Sept PPI
    OVERNIGHT into US Tues. a.m. et:
          RBA (Australia) releases minutes of Oct. Monetary Policy Meeting
          Japan & Tokyo Sept Dept. Store Sales
          Swiss Sept Trade Balance
Tuesday,      Oct. 20 US Sept Housing Starts/Building Permits
NY Fed's Dudley, Fed Gov. Powell, CFTC's Massad, SEC's Mary Jo White,  speak at "The Evolving Structure of the US Treasury Market" @Federal Reserve Bank of NY Conference (thru 21st) 
Redbook weekly Store Sales Snapshot
BoE Gov Carney & Deputy Gov Bailey appear before the (UK) Treasury Committee
Swiss Sept Trade Balance (Imports/Exports)
ECB's Nowotny speaks on panel "Sense & Nonsense in Economic Forecsts (Vienna)
Hungarian Central Bank Monetary Policy Cmte Meets (current rates 1.35%)
Int'l Atomic Energy Agency releases study on Nuclear Power Cost Competitiveness
German Sept PPI
Japan Sept (F) Machine Tool Orders
Eurozone Aug Current Account
Canada Aug Wholesale Sales
    OVERNIGHT into US Wed. a.m. et:
          New Zealand Q3 Unemployment Rate/Change, & Sept Net Migration/Visitors
          Australia Sept Skilled Vacancies
          New Zealand Sept Credit Card Spending
          Japan Sept Merchandise Trade Balance (Imports/Exports), & Aug All Industry Activity + Sept Supermarket Sales
         South Africa Sept CPI
Wednesday, Oct. 21 MBA weekly Mortgage/Refinance Applications
EIA weekly Petroleum Stats
US Treas. Sec'y Lew, former Treas Sec'y Lawrence Summers, former Council of Eco Advisors chair Laura Tyson, US Sec'y of Commerce Penny Pritzker, participate at Center for American Progress event "Creating Long-Term Value: Business Leaders on Shared Prosperity, Innovation & Investment (We could NOT confirm D.C.)
US NRC & FERC Jt meeting on Reliability of the Nation's Power Grid (D.C.)
BoE Gov. Carney lectures at Oxford U
BoE Publishes Stress Testing UK Banking System Approach
OPEC Meets with Non-OPEC Producers  (Vienna, Austria)
BoC (Canada) Interest Rate Decision & Offers Monetary Policy Report (0,5%)
BoC Gov. Poloz post-RBA meeting press conference
RBA Ass't Gov. Malcolm Edey speaks @Int'l Swaps & Derivatives Ass'n 2015 Annual Conference (Sydney Australia)
Jin Liqun, Pres-Elect of the Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank (AIIB) speaks at Brookings Institution on "Building Asia's new bank"
Swiss Sept M3 Money Supply
UK Sept Public & Central Gov't Finances (Cash/Borrowing)
Eurozone 2014 Final Debt/GDP Ratio
Central Bank of Turkey Rate Decision
South Africa Aug Retail Sales
Brazil Central Bank Interest Rate Decision (current 14.25%)
    OVERNIGHT into US Thurs. a.m. et:
         Spain Q3 Unemployment Rate
         Italy Sept Trade balance
         Aussie NAB Q3 Business Confidence
         U.K. Sept Retail Sales
         Hong Kong Sept CPI
         China MNI Oct. Business Indicators
Thursday,      Oct 22 US weekly Jobless Claims
Chicago Fed National Activity Index
FHFA Aug. House Price Index
NAR Sept Existing Home Sales

EIA weekly Natural Gas Report
US Treasury Refunding Announcement (as the US marches towards debt limit), includes 2-, 5- & 7-yr Notes, 2-yr FRN, & 30-yr TIPS
UK FinMin Osborne testifies before Treasury Cmte discussing BoE Bill
Former Fed Vice Chair Donald Kohn discusses "The Politics of the Fed: Past, Present & Future" @Brookings Institution  (D.C.)
K.C. Fed Oct. Manufacturing Activity Index
Weekly Fed Balance Sheet & US Money Supply
ECB Interest Rate Decision/QE Update, & Publishes Monthly Report
ECB Chief Draghi Post-Meeting Press Conference (Malta)
Brazil Sept Unemployment Rate
UK Sept Retail Sales
Canada Aug. Retail & Auto Sales
Pres. Obama welcomes Pakistan's PM Mohammad Sharif
Hillary Clinton schedule to testify  on Benghazi at House Select Cmte 
Russian Central Bank Reserves
    OVERNIGHT into US Fri. a.m. et:
          South Korea Q3 GDP
          Singapore Q3 URA Property Index & Sept CPI
          ECB Survey of Professional Forecasters
          China Sept. Property/House   Prices + Caixan Oct Manufacturnig PMI
          Japan Nikkei Oct Prelim PMI
Friday,         Oct. 23 Markit US PMI Oct Flash (prelim) Manufacturing Index
Baker Hughes weekly US Rig Count
Markit Eurozone, France, Germany, & Italy Prelim. Oct Manufacturing, Services & Composite PMI
Italian Aug Retail Sales & Wage Inflation
Eurozone Q2 Government Debt & Deficit/Surplus
Bk of Canada  Sept CPI
Brazil Sept Current Account & FOreign Direct Investment
Saturday,    Oct. 24 Chinese Rate Cuts, Announced 10/23, in force: 1-yr deposit rate 1.5%; 1-yr lending rate 4.35%, and Bank Reserve Requirements down 50bpx to 17.5%
Sunday,        Oct. 25 Summit on the Global Agenda (Abu Dhabi thru 27th)
    OVERNIGHT into US Mon. a.m. et:
         German Sept Import Price Index         
         Singapore Sept Industrial Production
Monday,       Oct. 26 US Sept New Home Sales
Dallas Fed Oct. Manufacturing Survey
US Auctions $26B 3--month Bills
German IFO Surveys
ECB's Mersch speaks on "The Challenges of Innovation (@ Belgian Financial Forum)
UK BBA Sept Loans for Home Purchases, CBI Oct Selling Trends & Optimism
France Total Jobs Seekers
    OVERNIGHT into US Tues. a.m. et:
         New Zealand Sept Trade Balance
         Japan Sept Corporate Service Price
         Hong Kong Sept Imports/Exports
         Chinese Sept Industrial Profits
Tuesday,      Oct. 27 FOMC 1st day of 2-day meeting
US Sept Durable Goods Orders/Shipments
Redbook weekly Store Sales Snapshot
S&P/Case Shiller Aug. 20-city Home Price Index
Conference Board's Oct. Consumer Confidence
Markit Oct. Flash PMI Services & Composite Index
3Q15 Housing Vacancies
Richmond Fed Oct Manufacturing Index
US Treasury CANCELLED today's 2-year Treasury Auction
Swiss UBS Sept Consumption Indicator
Eurozone Sept M3 & Private Sector Loans
UK 15Q3 Advance GDP & Aug. Index of Services
South Africa Q3 Unemployment Rate
     OVERNIGHT into US Wed. a.m. et:
          Japan Sept Retail Trade
          German Sept Retail Sales
&GfK German Nov Consumer Climate
          Italian Oct. Consumer & Business Confidence
          Aussie Q3 CPI  + Westpac MNI Oct. Consumer Sentiment
Wednesday, Oct. 28 FOMC Post-Meeting Statement (2pm et)
MBA weekly Mortgage/Refinance Applications
US Sept. (Adv.) Int'l Trade Deficit (Imports/Exports)
EIA weekly Petroleum Status
US Treasury Auctions $15B in 2-yr FRN and $35B in 5-year Notes
German GfK Nov Consumer Confidence Survey (Immigration a factor?)
ECB's Coeure at Instituto Technologico Autonomo de Mexico (Mexico City)
BoC Deputy Gov Lane speaks (Halifax Canada--1st since elections)
Swedish Central Bank Monetary Policy Meeting Announcement (ends 2-day mtg)
Brazil Foreign Exchange Flows
Dr. Ben Bernanke speaks (London School of Economics book tour)
ECB's Praet on panel "What challenges high public debts pose for monetary policy?" @Latvia Bankas' Economic Conference "Quo vadis, Europe? How to achieve growth in a high debt environment?" (@Riga)
Estonia Central Bank releases its Financial Stability Report (Tallinn)
ECB's Constancio speaks in Berlin w/Single Resolution Board chair Elke Koenig
    OVERNIGHT into US Thurs. a.m. et:
         Reserve Bk of New Zealand Rate Decision
(10/29 local time)
         Japan Sept Industrial Production
         Aussie HIA Sept New Home Sales & Q3 Import/Export Price Indices
         Singapore Q3 Unemployment Rate
         South Africa Sept M3 Money Supply & Private Sector Credit
         European Commission Economic Forecasts
         Spanish Oct HICP & Sept Retail Sales
         UK Nationwide Oct. House Prices
Thursday,   Oct. 29 US Q3 Advance (1st guess) GDP
Weekly US Jobless Applications
NAR Sept Pending Home Sales Index

EiA weekly Natural Gas Report
US Treasury Auctions $26B in reopened 6-month Bills + $29B 7-year Notes
US Treasury Announces Refunding Plans, ONLY if the Debt Limit has been lifted
US Farm Prices
Fed Balance Sheet & US Money Supply
Atlanta Fed's Lockhart opening remarks at Workforce Development Panel & Book Launch hosted by Federal Reserve
UK FinMin Osborne meets Brazil FinMin Joaquim Levy at UK-Brazil Economic & Financial Dialogue (London)
ECB VP Constancio speaks on "The Role of Stress Testing in the ECB's Policy Framework" @Conference on "Stress Testing & Macro-prudential Regulation: A Transatlantic Assessment" (London)
German Oct. Unemployment Rate & Oct CPI + HICP
UK M4 Sept Money Supply, & Sept. BoE Net Consumer Credit, Mortgage Approvals, & Net Lending on Dwellings
Eurozone Oct. Business Climate & Industral + Services + Consumer Confidence
UK CBI Reported Oct Sales
South Africa Sept PPI
South Korea Sept Industrial Production & Service Sector Output
Canada Industrial Product (IPPI) & Raw Materials Price (RMPI) Indices
    OVERNIGHT into US Fri. a.m. et:
        Japan Sept Jobless Rate/Apps & Household Spending, + Oct. CPI

        Aussie Oct. CBAHIA House Affordability, Sept Housing Credit, Q3 PPI, & Consumer Confidence,  & Sept Private Sector Credit
        RBNZ (New Zealand) Monetary Policy Decision + Sept M3 Money Supply
        Singapore Sept Bank Lending + Q4 Business Expectations
        India Sept Infrastructure Output
        BoJ post-Meeting Policy Statement & Kuroda Press Conference (Fri. local time)
        Japan Sept Vehicle Production + Housing Starts/Construction Orders
        UK GfK Oct Consumer Confidence
Friday,         Oct. 30 US Sept Personal Income/Expenditures/PCE
US 15Q3 Employment Cost Index  (ECI)
Chicago PMI
U.M. Final Oct. Consumer Sentiment
S.F. Fed's Williams discusses "Where Interest Rates Will Be When the Economy is (Finally) Healthy & Why it Matters" @Brookings Institution (D.C.)
K.C. Fed's George speaks on "Federal Reserve Structure" @CityAge "The New American City" Conference (Kansas City)
Baker Hughes weekly US Rig Count (1pm et)
BoJ Semi-Annual Outlook
German Sept Retail Sales
French Sept PPI
Spanish Aug Current Account & Q3 GDP
Italian Sept Unemployment Rate, Oct CPI & HICP
Eurozone Sept Unemployment Rate & Oct. CPI
Russia Interst Rate Decision
South Africa Sept Trade Balance
Canada Aug GDP
Brazil Sept Budget Balance & Debt/GDP Ratio
Saturday,    Oct. 31
South Korea Oct Trade Balance (Imports/Exports)
Chinese Oct Manufacturing & Non-Manufacturing PMI
Halloween (Italy & Germany put on the, possibly, biggest parades in the world!)

       WEEKS AHEAD: 
11/03  RBA (Australia) MPC Meets
                                      11/05   BoE MPC Meets
                                      11/06   US Consumer Credit
                                      11/11   US Holiday Veteran's Day (Equities, only, trade all day)
                                      11/18   FOMC minutes of 10/27--28 Meeting

*FOMC 2015 Voting Members:  www.federalreserve.gov//newsevents/press/monetary/20150128a.htm
FOMC Chief Yellen, NY Fed's Dudley, Lael Brainard, Chicago Fed's Charles Evans, Fed. Gov. Stanley Fischer, Richmond Fed's Jeffrey Lacker, Atlanta's Dennis Lockhart, Fed. Gov. Jerome Powell, Fed Gov. Danniel Tarullo, San Francisco Fed's John Williams. (Non-voter Charles Plosser left Fed 03/01. His replacement arrives this summer.) Dallas Fed's Fisher left 3/31
                     

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