wall street in advance

September 2015 Economic Statistics
and Other Economic Influences

TUESDAYS:
                Weekly Chain Store Sales*
                 Average Hourly Earnings*
                 API Weekly Gas/Oil Stockpiles Report*  **
(4:30p.m.)
    WEDNESDAYS:
                
Mortgage Applications  Data
                 EIA Weekly Report on Gas & Oil Stockpiles* (10a.m.)
    THURSDAYS:
                 Weekly Unemployment Report*
                  Weekly Mutual Fund Flows*
                   Natural Gas Storage Levels* (a.m.)

 *Except Holidays    ** As of 1/09         All Dates Subject to Change:
Sunday,    Sept. 20 Greek Elections
Pope Francis in Cuba
Japan Cabinet Monthly Sept. Economic Report
UK FinMin George Osborne visits China
    OVERNIGHT into US Mon. a.m. et:
          UK Rightmove Sept House Prices
          New Zealand Aug. Credit Card Spending
Monday,  Sept. 21 NAR Aug. Existing Home Sales (10am et)
Atlanta Fed's Lockhart speaks @Buckhead Rotary Club (Atlanta 1pm et)
Atlanta Fed Business Inflation Expectations
US Treasury Auctions $20B 3-, & $20B 6-month bills
German Aug. PPI
Hong Kong CPI
BoC Gov Poloz speaks @2016 Economic Outlook Event (Calgary)
Bk of Spain Gov. Luis Maria Linde speaks at Europa Press Event (madrid)
Canada July Wholesale Sales
Japanese Holiday (Respect for Aged Day)
    OVERNIGHT into US Tues. a.m. et:
          Australia Q2 House Price Index
Tuesday, Sept. 22 FHFA July Home Price Index (9am et)
Redbook weekly Store Sales Snapshot
Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index
US Treasury Auctions $26B 2-year Notes (1pm et)
Fed's Lockhart speaks @Alabama World Affairs Council (Montgomery 7pm et)
China Pres. Xi Jingping meets with Tech Companies (Seattle WA)
Pope Francis arrives in U.S. (schedule attached)
Swiss Aug. Trade Balance (Imports/Exports)
UK Aug. Public Finances & Aug. Net Borrowing + CBI Sept. Oders & Selling Price Trends
Eurozone Sept. Advance Consumer Confidence
BoE Dep'y Gov Shafik speaks @David Hume Institute
Japanese National Holiday
    OVERNIGHT into US Wed. a.m. et:
          Australia Aug. Skilled Vacancies
          China Caixin Prelim. Sept Manufacturing PMI
          Singapore Aug CPI
Wed ,      Sept. 23 MBA Mortgage/Refinance Applications
Markit Prelim Sept PMI Manufacturing Flash Index
EIA weekly Petroleum Stats
ECB Chief Draghi testifies @Qtrly Hearing before EU Cmte on Economic & Monetary Affairs (EU Partliament Brussels)
BoE Financial Policy Committee Meets (2-days)
IMF Chief Christine Lagarde speaks at Brookings Institution (11:30am et)
US Treasury Auctions $13B Reopened 2-year FRN (11:30am et Mature July '17)
Fed's Lockhart speaks @Rotary Club(Columbus GA 12:30pm et)
US Treasury Auctions $35B 5-year Notes (1pm et)
Pres. Obama welcomes Pope Francis (prior to parade around Ellipse/Nat'l Mall)
French Q2 GDP + Markit Sept. Prelim Manufacturing & Services PMI
Eurozone & German Markit Germany Manufacturing/Services & Composite PMI
Canadian July Retail Sales
South Africa Interest + Prime Rate Decision & Aug CPI & PPI
Brazil Aug. Current Account & Foreign Direct Investment + Foreign Exchange Flows
Japanese Holiday (Autumn Equinox)
     OVERNIGHT into US Thurs. a.m. et:
          New Zealand Aug. Trade Balance (Imports/Exports)
          Japan Nikkei Sept. Prelim. Manufacturing PMI + July All Industry Activity
          Italian July Industrial Orders/Sales & July Retail Sales + Trade Balance
          Hong Kong Aug. Exports/Imports
Thursday, Sept. 24 FOMC Chief Janet Yellen speech "Inflation Dynamics & Monetary Policy" the Philip Gamble Memorial Lecture (5pm et U of Mass, Amherst MA)
US Aug. Durable Goods Orders/Shipments
Weekly US Jobless Claims
Pope Francis, guest of Rep. Boehner, addresses Jt Session of Congress (9:20am)
Chicago Fed National Activity Index
US Aug. New Home Sales  (10am et)
ECB announces TLTRO Allotment (Long-term Refi Ops)
ECB's Liikanen speaks on monetary poicay @Bk of Finland news conference
EIA weekly Natural Gas Report
BiPartisan Policy Summit Health & Housing Forum (Minneapolis MN)
US Treasury Auctions $29B 7-year Notes
K.C. Fed Manufacturing Index
US Fed's Balance Sheet & Money Supply
German GfK Oct. Consumer Confidence Survey
Japan Aug. Supermarket & Convenience Store Sales
German IFO Sept. Business Survey
UK BBA Aug. Loans for House Purchases
Brazil Aug Unemployment Rate & Sept Consumer Confidence
Singapore Holiday Hari Raya Haji
South Africa Holiday Heritage Day
Russian Central Bank Reserves
    OVERNIGHT into US Fri. a.m. et:
         Japan Aug. Nat'l  CPI
& Tokyo Sept. CPI
         German Aug. Import Price Index
         Singapore Aug. Industrial Production
         Italian Aug. Wage Inflation
Friday,     Sept. 25 US Q2 Final GDP (incl. PCE)
SUS Q2 Final Corporate Profits
US Markit Sept. Prelim. PMI Services Flash
U.M. Final Sept Consumer Sentiment
Pope Francis addresses the U.N. General Assembly (Peace, Refugees, & Climate Change)
Baker Hughes US weekly Rig Count (1pm et)
St. Louis Fed's Bullard participates on "New Directions in Monetary Policy" @Global Interdependence Center/Fed Reserve of St Louis Central Banking Series   (St. Louis MO)
K.C. Fed's George speaks on Economy & Monetary Policy @Aksarben Business Luncheon (Omaha NE 1:25pm et)
BoE Financial Policy Committee Meeting Statement (Not the MPC)
Pres. Obama hosts China Pres. Xi Jingping for White House state dinner
Eurozone Aug. M3 & Private Sector Loans
Brazil Aug. Bank Lending
India Holiday Eid al-Adha (Other muslim nations also observe)
Saturday, Sept. 26 Clinton Global Initiative Annual Meeting (NYC  thru 29th)
Pope Francis arrives in Philadelphia
South Korea Holiday- Full Moon Festival
Sunday,    Sept. 27 Chinese Premier Xi Jingping address the U.N. General Assembly
India PM Modi addresses large crowd at SAP Stadium (San Jose, CA)
India's Modi participates in Town Hall hosted by FB's Zuckerberg, then tours Google Hdqtrs
Spain holds Parliamentary Elections (Catalonia sees it as referendum on separation)
Pope Francis' last day in the US, in Philadelphia, Leaves for home 8pm et
Super Moon visible in North America between 10pm & 11pm
    OVERNIGHT into US Mon. a.m. et:
          German Aug. Retail Sales
          French Sept. Consumer Confidence
          Italian Business & Consumer Sept Confidence
          China Aug. Industrial Profits
Monday,   Sept. 28 NY Fed Pres. Wm Dudley interviewed by WS (7:45am est)
Aug. US Personal Income/Spending (Includes PCE)
NAR Aug. Pending Home Sales  (10am est)
US Senate holds Procedural Vote to Advance a Budget Resolution thru 12/11/15
Pres. Obama holds separate meetings with Russia's Putin & India's Modi @U.N.
Pres. Obama hosts Summit on U.N. Peacekeeping
US & Cuba hold meetings on Restoring Regular Airline Service
Dallas Fed Sept. Manufacturing Survey
Fed Gov. Tarullo on "Capital Regulation Across Financial Intermediaries" at Banque de France Conference on Financial Regulation: Stability vs Uniformity; A focus on Non-bank Actors BoE's Cunliffe a panelist on Financial Regulation (Paris France 5:15am et)
Chico Fed Pres Evans speaks on Eco conditions & monetary policy @Marquette Univ. Business Leaders Forum "A Perspective on Monetary Policy   (Milwaukee WI 1:30pm)
Boston Fed Pres. Williams @UCLA Anderson Forecast for the Nation, State & Los Angeles Conference (5pm Los Angeles)
US Treasury Auctions 3- & 6-month Bills
BoJ Gov. Kuroda speaks to business leaders (Osaka)
Germany Auctions 12-month Bubill
Hong Kong Holiday
    OVERNIGHT into US Tues. a.m. et:
          RBI (India) Interest Rate Decision & Cash Reserve Ratio
          German Aug Import Price Index
          Spanish Sept HICP & Retail Sales
          UK BoE Aug. Consumer Credit + Sept Nationwide House Prices, Aug. Mortgage Lending & Approvals
Tuesday,  Sept. 29 US Sept. Trade Deficit (Imports/Exports, the latter weak on strong $)
Redbook weekly Sales Snapshot
S&P Case Shiller 20-city July Home Price Index
Conference Board's Sept Consumer Confidence
USDA Farm Prices (3pm est)
BoE Chief Mark Carney speaks at Lloyds of London
UK Aug. Net Consumer Credit, Mortgage Approvals, + M4
Eurozone Sept Consumer, Business & Industrial Confidence/Expectations
UK CBI Sept Reported Sales + GfK Sept Consumer Confidence
German Sept CPI & HICP
Canada Aug. Industrial Products (IPPI) & Raw Materials Prices (RMPI)
OECD E-Leaders 2015 (thru 30th)
Nat'l Bk of Slovakia Gov Makuch press conference to Update Qtrly Forecast
    OVERNIGHT into US Wed. a.m. et:
         Korea Oct Manufacturing BSI Index
         Japan Aug Industrial Production & Retail Trade + Forecasts
         Australia Aug. Private Sector, Housing Credit & Building Approvals
         New Zealand Aug. M3
         Caixan Sept China Manufacturing PMI
         Singapore Aug. Bank Lending
         South Africa Aug M3 & Private Sector Credit
         French Aug. Consumer Spending & PPI
         Spanish July Current Account
         Japan Aug. Vehicle Production, Housing Starts & Construction Orders
Wednesday, Sept 30 FOMC Chief Yellen opens Federal Reserve System & Conference of State Bank Supervisors Conference: 3rd Annual Community Banking Research & Policy Conference  (St Louis MO 3pm et streamed here)
NY Fed Pres. Dudley speaks at SIFMA Liquidity Forum (NY)
MBA weekly Mortgage/Refinance Applications
ADP Sept Employment REport
Chicago PMI
EIA weekly Petroleum Stats
SEC & CFTC Regulators Review Progress on Volcker Rule (D.C.)
IMF's Lagarde participates in conversationabout global economic policies & prospects hosted by Council of Americas (D.C.)
Fed Gov. Brainard speech "Community Banks, Smal Business Credit, and Online Lending @ St Louis Fed Community Banking Conference (See Yellen above 8:15pm et)
German Bundesbank Bd Member Dombret speaks at Public Sector Financing Forum (Frankfurt)
Iceland Central Bank Interest Rate Decision
German Sept Unemployment Rate/Change
Italian Aug. Unemployment Rate & Sept CPI, PPI  + HICP
Bk of Spain Dep'y Gov Restoy moderates panel "Responses to the Global Financial Crisis @PIOB 10th Anniverasry Seminar: Future Challenges in audit oversight (Madrid)
UK Q2 GDP (F), Current Account, Total Business Investment
UK July Index of Services & Lloyds Sept. Business Barometer
Eurozone Aug. Unemployment Rate & Sept. CPI
India Aug Federal Fiscal Deficit & Q2 Foreign Debt + M3
South Africa Aug. Trade Balance
Canada July GDP
Brazil Aug. Budget Balance & Debt:GDP Ratio + Foreign Exchange Flows
    OVERNIGHT into US Thurs. a.m. et:
          South Korea Aug Industrial Production & Service Sector Output & Sept Trade
          New Zealand Sept House Prices
          Australia Sept. AIG Performance of Manufacturing Index
          BoJ Tankan Reports, Sept. Official Reserve Assets & Vehicle Sales
          Australia Sept. CoreLogic RP Data House Prices & Sept. Commodity Index
          India Nikkei Markit Sept. Manufacturing PMI
          French, German, Italian & Spanish Sept Manufacturing PMI
          China Official Sept Non-Manufacturing PMI + Caixan Manufacturing & Services PMI
Thursday,  Oct. 01 US Federal Gov't Fiscal Year Begins; Does it have a Budget? (Treas Sec'y Lew said he could juggle things into Nov.)
Sept. US Motor Vehicle Sales
Challenger Sept Job-cut Report
Weekly US Jobless Claims
US PMI Sept. Manufacturing Index
US ISM Sept. Manufacturing Index
Aug. US Construction Spending
US Foreign Exchange Rates
EIA weekly Natural Gas Report
US Treasury Announces Oct. Refunding Plans incl. 10- & 30-years
Fed's Williams speaks on outlook  before community leaders(Salt Lake City UT 2:30pm)
Payments to Private Medicare & Medicaid Insurers +1.25% as of today (CMS)
As of Today, 8 Super Banks/Holding Companies must use Advanced Approach Calculations for their Stress Tests (and will probably for Q3 Earnings, too)
New EU Competition (Anti-trust) Commissioner, Margrethe Vestager, speaks at Foreign Policy Ass'n (NY)
Deadline for US Merchants to convert to Chip-Based Credit/Debit Card Processing or suffer unrecoverable losses
Italian Q2 Public debt
BoE releases record of 9/23 Financial Policy Committee
Chinese Golden Week starts. All Chinese Markets Closed (thru 10/07)
Fed Balance Sheet & US Money Supply
Swiss Aug Retail Sales & SVME PMI
Frnech, Italian & German Sept Markit Manufacturing PMI
Swiss Institute Autumn Economic Forecasdt
UK Markit Sept Manufacturing PMI
South Arrica Sept Total Vehicle Sales
RBC Canadian Sept. Manufacturing PMI
Brazil Markit Sept Manufacturing PMI  + Sept Trade Balance
Hong Kong Holiday - National Day (Starts Golden Week)
    OVERNIGHT into US Fri. a.m. et:
         Japan Aug. Jobless Rate, Household Spending & Sept Monetary Base
         New Zealand Sept. Commodity Prices
         Australia Aug. Retail Sales
Friday,       Oct. 02 US Sept. Unemployment Report
Fed's Rosengren opens Boston Fed's Macroprudential Monetary Policy conference
MN Fed's Kocherlakota discusses Fed mandate paper co-authored by Rosengren (@Boston Fed Conference;  Rosengren & Kocherlakota panelists on "Should U.S. Monetary Policy have a Ternary Mandate"
US Aug. Factory Orders
Cleveland Fed's Mester discusses micro & macro supervisory controls from paper by former BoE Dep'y Gov. Paul Tucker (Boston Fed Conference)
Fed Gov. Fischer speech "Macroprudential Regulation & Supervision @Boston Fed Conference on Marcroprudential Monetary Policy  (Boston MA  1:30pm et)
St. L. Fed's Bullard speaks to Mnattan Institue for Policy Research (NY 1pm)
Baker Hughes weekly US Rig Count (1pm et)
Frequent SEC critic & dissenter, Daniel Gallagher Leaves the SEC (Known since May)
UK Markit/CIPS Sept. Construction PMI
Hong Kong Aug. Retail Sales
Eurozone Aug PPI
Brazil Aug Industrial Production
China & Hong Kong on Holiday (Golden Week)
Saturday,  Oct. 03
NY Fed's William Dudley speech "Is the Active Use of Macroprudential Tools Institutionally Realistic?" (@Boston Fed Conference)
South Korea Holiday-- Nat'l Foundation Day

       WEEKS AHEAD: 
10/06  RBA (Australia) Meets
                                      10/07   BoJ Meets
                                                  US Consumer Credit
                                      10/08   FOMC Sept Meeting Minutes
                                                  BoE Meets
                                                  Sept. US Chain Store Sales (all 11 still reporting)
                                      10/14   US Fed Beige Book
                                      10/17   SNB Meets
                                      10/21   BoC Meets
                                      10/22   ECB Meets
                              10/27--28    FOMC Meets
                                      10/29   RBNZ Meets

*FOMC 2015 Voting Members:  www.federalreserve.gov//newsevents/press/monetary/20150128a.htm
FOMC Chief Yellen, NY Fed's Dudley, Lael Brainard, Chicago Fed's Charles Evans, Fed. Gov. Stanley Fischer, Richmond Fed's Jeffrey Lacker, Atlanta's Dennis Lockhart, Fed. Gov. Jerome Powell, Fed Gov. Danniel Tarullo, San Francisco Fed's John Williams. (Non-voter Charles Plosser left Fed 03/01. His replacement arrives this summer.) Dallas Fed's Fisher left 3/31
                     

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