wall street in advance

March/April 2016 Economic Statistics
and Other Economic Influences

TUESDAYS:
                Weekly Chain Store Sales*
                 Average Hourly Earnings*
                 API Weekly Gas/Oil Stockpiles Report*  **
(4:30p.m.)
    WEDNESDAYS:
                
Mortgage Applications  Data
                 EIA Weekly Report on Gas & Oil Stockpiles* (10a.m.)
    THURSDAYS:
                 Weekly Unemployment Report*
                  Weekly Mutual Fund Flows*
                   Natural Gas Storage Levels* (a.m.)

 *Except Holidays    ** As of 1/09         All Dates Subject to Change:
Sunday,       Mar. 27 EASTER SUNDAY
   
OVERNIGHT into US Mon. a.m. et:
         
German Feb. Retail Sales
Monday,     Mar. 28 US Feb.. Int'l Trade Deficit
US Feb. Personal Income/Expenditures/PCE
NAR Feb. US Pending Homes Sales Index

Dallas Fed Manufacturing Survey
US Treasury Auctions $31B 3-, and $26B 6-month Bills + $26B in 2-yr Notes
Holidays in UK, Hong Kong, Spain France, Italy, Suisse, Aussie, So. Africa, Germany
    OVERNIGHT into US Tues. a.m. et:
          So. Korea Mar. Consumer Confidence
          Japan Feb Jobless Rate, Household Spending, Retail Trade
          UK Mar. Nationwide House Prices & GfK Consumer Confidence
          Eurozone Feb M3
          Hong Kong Feb Trade Balance (Imports/Exports)
          Italian 6-month BOT Auction
          S.F. Fed's Williams speaks on "Steering the U.S. Economy Through Turbulent Seas" before Nat'l Univ. of Singapore (0915 GMT)
Tuesday,     Mar. 29 Janet Yellen speaks @Economic Club of NY (11:30am et NY)
S&P Case Shiller Jan. 20-city Home Price Index
CBO Releases Analysis of Pres. Obama's 2017 Budget (D.C.)
Conference Board's March Consumer Confidence
Redbook weekly Store Sales Snapshot
Dallas Fed's Kaplan participates in a Q&A (Austin Chamber of Commerce 1pm et & U of TX (Austin 4pm)
US Treasury Auctions 4-, and $20B 52-week Bills (11:30am et)
US Treasury Auctions $34B 5-year Notes (1pm et)
BoE Financial Policy Cmte Statement Published
French 3-, 6-, & 12-month BTF Auction
Canada Feb Industrial Product (IPPI) & Raw Materials Prices (RMPI)
Brazil Feb. Bank Lending
    OVERNIGHT into US Wed. a.m. et:
          New Zealand Feb Building Consents
         Japan (P) Feb. Industrial & Vehicle Production
         China Westpac-MNI Mar. Consumer Sentiment
         Eurozone Mar. Industrial, Services, & Consumer Confidence
         Italian 5-, & 10-yrear BTP Auctions
         German 5-year Bobi Aucton
         Bk of Portugal Updates Eco Projections for 2016--17
Wednesday, Mar. 30 ADP March Private Sector Employment Index
MBA Mortgage/Refinance Applications
EIA weekly Petroleum Stats
Chico Pres Evans speaks on Current Eco Conditions & Monetary Policy @Forecasters Club of NY (1pm et)
US Treasury Auctions $28B 7-year Notes (1pm et)
USDA Farm Prices
India IGP-M March Inflation Index, & CPI & HICP
German March CPI
Bk of France Gov. Galhau testifies @French Senate's Finance Cmte
BoC (Canada) Deputy Patteron speaks (Alberta)
Italian FnMn Paolo Padoan speaks "Towards a Europe of Growth, Jobs & Stability: Italy's contribution to the European debate"
Brazil Feb Budget Balance & Debt/GDP Ratio & Foreign Exchange Flows
    OVERNIGHT into US Thurs. a.m. et:   
          So. Korea April Manufacturing BSI Index & Industrial Production + Retail Sales & Service Sector Output
          Japan Foreign Investments in Japan & vice versa
          UK Lloyds Mar. Business Barometer & GfK Consumer Confidence
          Aussie HIA Feb. New Home Sales, & Private Sector Credit
          New Zealand NBNZ Feb Own Activity & Biz Confidence
          China 4Q15 (F) Current Account
          Bk of Portugal updates Economic Forecasts
          Japan Feb Housing Starts & Construction Orders
          Singapore Feb Bank Lending
          India Feb Federal Fiscal Deficit
          German March Unemployment Rate/Change + Feb Retail Sales
          So. Africa Feb Private Sector Credit & M3 Money Supply
          French Feb Consumer Spending, Italian, French & Spanish HICP & CPI
          Eurozone Mar. CPI & Feb. PPI
          BoE Gov. Carney Speaks
          UK Feb. Net Consumer Credit, Lending on Dwellings, Mortgage Approvals
          UK 4Q15 (F) GDP, Total Business Investment, Current Account, Feb M4, Jan Index of Services
         Eurozone March CPI
Thursday,    Mar. 31 NY Fed's Dudley speaks on "The Role of the Fed Reserve--Lessons from the Financial Crises"  (VA Ass'n of Economists 43rd Annual Mtg Lexington VA 5pm et)
Weekly US Jobless Claims
Fed's Evans discusses current Eco conditions & monetary policy before the Quinnipiac G.A.M.E. VI Forum  (NY 9:30am et)
BoE Gov Carney press briefing on the Financial Stability Board (Tokyo)
SNB board member Maechler speaks at money market event (Zurich)
Finland's state treasury publishes quaterly review
Challenger March Job-Cut Report
EIA weekly
Natural Gas Report
Weekly Fed Balance Sheet & US Money Supply
India Q1 Foreign Debt & Feb. Infrastructure Output
So. Africa Feb Trade Balance
Canada Jan GDP
Russia Central Bank Reserves
    OVERNIGHT into US Fri. a.m. et:
          Aussie AIG Mar. Performance of Manufacturing Index & CoreLogic RP Data March House Price Index
          Japan 1Q16 Tankan Index & Outlook, Feb. Loans & Discounts
          So. Korea Mar. CPI & Trade Balance + Nikkei Manufacturing PMI
          Singapore URA 16Q1 Property Index
          China March Official Manufacturing + Non-Manufacturing PMI
          China Caixin March PMI Manufacturing
          Japan Nikkei March (F) Manufacturing PMI & Vehicle Sales
          Japan March Official Reserve Assets
          Aussie RBA Mar. Commodity Price Index
          Spanish March Manufacturing PMI
          Swiss Feb. Retail Sales & Mar. SVME PMI
          Markit Eurozone, France, Germany, Italy, Manufacturing PMI
          UK Markit March Manufacturing PMI & Nationwide HPI
          Eurozone Feb. Unemployment Rate
     
Friday,          April 01 US March Unemployment Report/Change/Participation/Hrly Earnings
US March Motor Vehicle Sales
Fed's Mester speaks
on eco outlook & monetary policy  @NY Ass'n for Business Economics (NY 1pm et)
Baker Hughes weekly US/No. America Rig Count (1pm et)
US PMI & ISM Manufacturing Indices
U.M. Final March Consumer Sentiment
US Feb. Construction Spending
Brazil Feb Industrial Production + Markit Mar. Manufacturing PMI & Trade Balance
Canada RBC March Manufacturing PMI
BoC's Beige Book Equivalent + Senior Loan Officer Survey
Bk of Spain Revisions to Macroeconomic Forecasts
US Revisions to Industrial Production
India Holiday
Saturday,    April 02
Sunday,      April 03     OVERNIGHT into US Mon. a.m. et:
          Aussie TD Securities March Inflation & Feb. Retail Sales, & Building Approvals, + Private House Approvals
           India Nikkei Markit Mar Manufaturing PMI
           Italian 4Q15 Public Deficit
           UK Markit/CIPS UK Mar. Construction PMI
           Eurozone Feb Uemployment Rate , PPI +Sentix April Investor Confidence
           New Zealand ANZ Mar. Commodity Price Index
           Aussie AIG Mar. Performance of Service Index
           Singapore Mar Manufacturing PMI
           
Monday,    April 04 Mn. Fed's Neel Kashkari Town Hall discussion on ending "Too Big to Fail" (5:15pm et but could be the most important event today. Press Briefing after Town Hall @7pm et Minneapolis)
US Fed Reserve's March Labor Markets Conditions Index (LMCI)
US Feb. Factory Orders
Feb. (F) US Durable Goods Orders/Shipments

Fed's Rosengren's "A View on Cybersecurity & Financial Stability from the CEO" @ Boston Fed's Cybersecurity Conference (10:15am est Boston)
US Treasury Auctions $28B 3-, & $24B 6-month Bills
TD Ameritrade IMX
BoC Business Outlook Survey of top 100 firms
BoC Gov. Poloz & Deputy Gov Wilkins speak to elementary students on choosing a woman for a bank note
China & Hong Kong Holidays
       OVERNIGHT into US Tues. a.m. et:
            Japan Feb .Labor Cash Earnings + Nikkei Japan Mar. PMI Services/ Composite Indices
            So. Korea Reserves
           Aussie Feb Trade Balance
           New Zealand NZIER QSBO Capacity Utilization
            RBA (Aussie) Rate Decision
(Tues. 04/05 local time)
            Chico Fed's Evans speech on current eco conditions & monetary policy @ Credit Suisse Asian Investment Conference (Hong Kong 1am et)
            Bk of India Interest & Cash Reserve Rate Decision (current 6.75%)
            Russa Markit Mar Services PMI
            German Feb Factory Orders
            Markit Mar. Eurozone, French, German, Italy, & Spain Services/Composite PMI
            ECB's Praet speaks  (Rome @Luiss University)
            UK Markit/CIPS Mar. Services/Construction/Composite PMI
            BoE Financial Policy Cmte March 23 Meeting Record
            Eurozone Feb Retail Sales
            IMF's Lagarde & Bundesbank Pres Weidmann speak @Research Center SAFE (Frankfurt)
Tuesday,   April 05 US Feb. International Trade Deficit
US March Services PMI
US Feb. JOLTS (Job Openings, Turnover, & Quits) 
US March ISM Service Index
Wisconsn Presidential Primary
Weekly Redbook Store Sales Snapshot
Canada Feb. Int'l Merchandise Trade (Imports/Exports)
BoC's Wilkins speaks (Vancouver)
Brazil's Markit March Services/Composite PMI
    OVERNIGHT into US Wed. a.m. et:
         UK BRC Mar. Shop Price Index
         New Zealand Mar. House Prices
         China Caixin Mar. Services/Composite PMIs
         Hong Kong Mar. Manufacturing PMI
         German Feb. Industrial Production + Markit Mar. Construction PMI
         RBA's Kent speaks (Hobart)
         SNB (Swiss) introduces new 50-France note (Bern)
         UK Mar. New Car Registrations + Services PMI
         Eurozone, France, German, Italian Mar. Retail PMI
Wednesday, Apr. 06 FOMC Minutes of March 16th Meeting (Yellen's speech last week shaved import)
MBA weekly Mortgage/Refinance Applications
EIA weekly Petroleum Stats
Cleveland Fed's Mester speaks to Joint Cleveland Ass'n of Business Economics +CFA Society of Cleveland+Risk Management Ass'n of Northern OH  (12:20pm)
IMF's Lagarde keynotes Women in the World Summit (NY thru 8th)
Canada Ivey Mar. PMI
Brazil Mar. Auto Production/Sales
    OVERNIGHT into US Thurs. a.m. et:
          Dallas Fed's Kaplan Q&A
(Dallas TX 8pm)
          Japan Mar Official Reserve Assets
          So. Africa Mar Foreign Reserves
          French Feb Current Account + Trade Balance (Imports/Exports)
          BoJ's Kuroda speaks @BoJ Branch Managers Meeting
          Chinese Mar. Foreign Reserves
          Aussie Mar Foreign Reserves
          RBA's Kent speaks at Economic Society on Economic Forecasting at the Reserve Bank of Australia (Hobart)
          ECB Watchers Conference
          Eurozone Feb Current Account Balance
          Swiss Mar Foreign Currency Reserves
          ECB's Constancio speaks EU Parliament (Brussels)
          ECB's Praet, Coeure & Visco speak at a conference (Frankfurt)
          UK Halifax Mar House Prices & 4Q15 Labor Costs
        
Thursday,   April 07 Janet Yellen speaks with predecessors Ben Bernanke, Alan Greenspan & Paul Volcker (5:30pm et  NY)
Weekly US Jobless Applications
US March Chain Store Sales (10 still reporting)
US Consumer Credit (Debt, really, @3pm et)
EIA weekly Natural Gas Report
US Refunding Announcement includes 3&10-yr Notes +30-year Bonds
ECB Minutes of its Monetary Policy Meeting
Canada Feb  Housing Starts/Building Permits
Weekly Fed Balance Sheet & US Money Supply
    OVERNIGHT into US Fri. a.m. et:
         Japan Feb Current Account & Trade Balance
+ Mar Bankruptcies, Consumer + Business Confidence
         Fed's George speaks on the economy (8:15pm et York NE)
         ECB's Draghi attends meeting of Portuguese Pres. Euro Council
         New Zealand Mar House Sales
         Chinese Mar Foreign Direct Investment
         Hong Kong Mar Foreign Reserves
         Singapore Mar Foreign Reserves
         So Africa Feb Manufacturing Production
         Swiss Mar Unemployment Rate + CPI
         German Feb Trade Balance (Imports/Exports) + Current Account
         French Feb Gov't Budget & Industrial Production
         UK Feb Industrial & Manufacturing Production + Trade Balance
Friday,        April 08 Fed's Kaplan welcomes guests to Texas-Mexico Conference (Dallas 9:30am)
US Feb Wholesale Trade
K.C. Fed's George speaks on economy at forum hosted by KC Fed Omaha branch
Baker-Hughes US/No. America weekly Rig Count
Brazil Mar CPI
Canada Mar Unemployment Rate/Change/Participation, & Mar Housing Starts
UK NIESR Mar GDP (estimate)
India Holiday
Saturday,   April 09

       WEEKS AHEAD: 
04/11    BoJ's Kuroda speaks at annual meeting of Trust banks (Tokyo)
                                       04/12    BoE Meets
                                        04/13    Federal Reserve Beige Book (2pm et)
                                                    BoC (Canada) MPC Meets
                                04/26--27    FOMC MPC 2-day Meeting
                                       04/28     BoJ MPC Meets
                                                    RBNZ (New Zealand) Meets

*FOMC 2016 Voting Members:  Five governors on the FOMC ar permanent voters: Janet Yellen, Stanley Fischer, Lael Brainard, Jay Powell and Dan Tarullo.vote at every meeting. (Board Governors endure 2 vacancies that Senate refuses to confirm). Like the NY Fed pres. is, also, a permanent FOMC voting member. The rest of the voters, in 2016, are 5 of the 11 regional Fed Pres.: Loretta Mester (Cleveland), Eric Rosengren (Boston), James Bullard (St. Louis) and Esther George (Kansas City). Mester, George and Bullard are hawks, while Rosengren is considered a dove. Evans, Lockhart, Williams, and Lacker were 2015 voters, now off the voting panel at 2016 FOMC meetings. Neel Kashkari, former TARP overseer, took over Presidency of the Minneapolis Federal Reserve Bank, replacing Kocherlakota, who wound up a short-lived leader. Kashkari won't vote in 2016.
                     

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