wall street in advance

January/February 2016 Economic Statistics
and Other Economic Influences

TUESDAYS:
                Weekly Chain Store Sales*
                 Average Hourly Earnings*
                 API Weekly Gas/Oil Stockpiles Report*  **
(4:30p.m.)
    WEDNESDAYS:
                
Mortgage Applications  Data
                 EIA Weekly Report on Gas & Oil Stockpiles* (10a.m.)
    THURSDAYS:
                 Weekly Unemployment Report*
                  Weekly Mutual Fund Flows*
                   Natural Gas Storage Levels* (a.m.)

 *Except Holidays    ** As of 1/09         All Dates Subject to Change:
Sunday,       Jan. 24 Haiti Run-off Election for President
Portugese election for President (results expected 3pm est)
9th Annual Global Competitiveness Forum speakers include Mexico Pres. Vicente Fox & Saudi Armaco Chair Khalid A. Al-Falih (Riyadh Saudi Arabia thru 26th)
   OVERNIGHT into US Mon. a.m. et:
          New Zealand Jan. Trade Balance (Exports/Imports) & Migration
          Japan Dec. Trade Balance (Imports/Exports)
          German Dec. Import/Export Prices + IFO Jan Survey
          Singapore Dec. CPI
          Italy Nov. Industrial Orders & Sales + Nov. Retail Sales
Monday,      Jan. 25 Dallas Fed Manufacturing Survey
US Treasury Auctions $34B 3-, & $28B 6-month Bills
ECB Pres. Draghi speaks (Eschborn Germany 2pm est)
SEC Chair Mary Jo White Keynotes Northwestern Univ. School of Law's 43rd Annual Securities Regulation Institute (Coronado CA thru 27th) 
OPEC Sec'y Gen. Abdalla El-Badri speaks @26th Middle East & North Africa Energy Conference (London thru 26th) 
UK CBI Total Orders & Selling Trends
New Zealand Dec. Performance of Services Index
Italy Dec. Trade Balance
EU Interior Ministers meet to discuss migration & refugee crisis (Amsterdam)
French Pres. Hollande state visit to India (2-days)
German Chancellor Merkel speaks at research center (Saxony-Anhalt where elections will be held in March)
Iran Pres Rouhani visits Italy & the Pope thanks to sanctions lifted
Brazil Holiday
    OVERNIGHT into US Tues. a.m. et:
         South Korea 15Q4 GDP
         Japan Dec. Corporate Service Price
         New Zealand Dec. Credit Card Spending
         Swiss Dec. Trade Balance (Imports/Exports)
         Singapore Dec. Industrial Production
Tuesday,      Jan. 26 S&P Case Shiller Nov. 20-city Home Price Index
FHFA Nov. '15 House Price Index

Conference Board's Jan. '16 Consumer Confidence (tends to lag U.M.)
T-3 End of Month
Markit Jan. US Services PMI
US Treasury Auctions $26B 2-year Notes
Redbook weekly Store Snapshot
Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index
Dallas Fed Jan. Services Revenues & Texas Services Sector Outlook
FOMC 2-day Meeting Begins
BoE's Carney & other officials testify @Parliament on Dec.'s Financial Stability Report and may announce new bank capital rules 
Mexico Nov. Retail Sales
Poland FY15 GDP & Dec. Unemployment Rate
EU Justice Ministers discuss cybercrime (Amsterdam)
Italy's Senate holds vote of confidence on PM Matteo Renzi
Hungary & Nigeria's Central Banks Meet on Rates
Holidays in Australia & India
    OVERNIGHT into US Wed. a.m. et:
          Aussie Q4 CPI, Dec. Skilled Vacancies, & NAB Dec. Business Survey Conditions/Confidence
          Chinese Dec. Industrial Profits & Jan. Westpac-MNI Consumer Sentiment
          UK Jan. Nationwide House Prices
          German GfK Feb. Consumer Confidence Survey
          French & Italian Business & Consumer Confidence
          Brazil FGV Jan. Consumer Confidence
          Swiss UBS Dec. Consumption Indicator
Wednesday, Jan. 27 FOMC Meeting Statement (2pm et)
US Dec. '15 New Home Sales
MBA weekly Mortgage/Refinance Applications
EIA weekly Petroleum Stats
US Treasury Auctions $15B 2-yr FRN (11:30am et)
US Treasury Auctions $35B 5-year Notes
(1pm et)
German FinMin Schaeuble speaks at business conference (Baden Wuerttemberg)
Ireland Central Bank Gov Lane, PM Kenny & BoE's Gov for Prudential Regulation speak @European Financial Forum  (Dublin, Irleand)
Brazil Dec. Bank Lending & Foreign Exchange Flows
Russia Dec. Unemployment Rate
South Africa Crop Estimates released for summer grains--April harvest
    OVERNIGHT into US Thurs. a.m. et:
          RBNZ (New Zealand) MPC Decision on Rates  (01/28 local time)
          New Zealand Dec. Trade Balance (Imports/Exports)
          Aussie 15Q4 Import & Export Prices
          Singapore 15Q4 Unemployment Rate
          UK BBA Dec. Loans for House Purchases
          Japan Dec. Retail Trade

          Australia 15Q4 Import/Export Price Index
          China Dec. Swift Global Payments + Leading Index
          German Dec. Retail Sales & Import Price Index
          Spain 15Q4 Unemployment Rate & Dec Retail Sales
          Italian Dec. Wage Inflation
          UK 15Q4 GDP & Nov. Index of Services
          South Africa Dec PPI
          Brazil IGP-M Jan. Inflation Index
          NATO Sec'y Gen. Jens Stoltenberg press conference on its Russian policy
          Dutch FinMin Dijsselbloem addresses The Hague on IPO of ASR Nederland
Thursday,    Jan. 28 US Dec. Durable Goods Orders/Shipments
US Weekly Jobless Claims

NAR Dec. US Pending Home Sales
EIA weekly Natural Gas Report
K.C. Fed Jan. Manufacturing Index
US Treasury Auctions  $29B7-year Notes (1pm et)
US Treasury Announces Refunding Plans
Weekly Fed Balance Sheet & US Money Supply
US Republican Presidential Candidates Debate on Fox TV & YouTube
Eurozone Jan. Business Climate (Industrial, Services), & Consumer Confidence + Inflation Expectations
UK CBI Jan. Reported Sales & Distributive Trades Survey
Iranian Pres. Rouhani visits France/press conference with Hollande (11am est)
Brazil Dec. Unemployment Rate & Minutes of its Central Bank Jan. Meeting
Russian Central Bank Reserves
German Jan. CPI & HICP
Philippine 15Q4 GDP 
Ukraine Parliament meets to change budget
Ukraine Central Bank Meets for Rate Decision
South Africa Central Bank Interest & Prime Rate Decisions

South Korea Feb. Manufacturing BSI Index
    OVERNIGHT into US Fri. a.m. et:
         New Zealand Dec. Building Permits + Money Supply
         South Korea Dec. Industrial Production & Service Sector Output
         Japan Dec. CPI, Household Spending, Jobless Rate, Industrial Production, Loans & Discounts & Dec. Vehicle Production, Construction Orders & Housing Starts
         UK Lloyds Jan. Business Barometer+GfK Jan Consumer Confidence Survey
         Aussie 15Q4 PPI, Dec. Private Sector Credit & CBAHIA House Affordability
         Singapore Dec. Bank Lending
         South Africa Dec. M3 & Private Sector Credit
         BoJ MPC Statement, QE Target (01/29 local time)
         Japan Dec. Housing Starts & Construction Orders & National CPI
         SNB (Swiss) Releases 15Q4 Currency Allocation
         French 15Q4 GDP & Dec. PPI + Consumer Spending
         Spain 15Q4 GDP, Nov. Current Account, & Jan. HICP
         Italian Dec. PPI
         German Dec. Retail Sales
         Eurozone Dec. M3
         Taiwan 15Q4 GDP
Friday,          Jan. 29 US 15Q4 (adv.) GDP (1st look)
Nov. US Int'l Trade Deficit
15Q4 Employment Cost Index (ECI)
Chicago Jan. PMI
U.M. Final Jan. Consumer Sentiment
Baker-Hughes US/North America Rig Counts (1pm et)
S.F. Fed's Williams panelist on economic outlook @Commonwealth Club (San Francisco 3:30pm est)
USDA Jan. '16 Farm Prices
Eurozone Jan. CPI
German Chancellor Merkel & Italian PM Renzi meet (Berlin)
Colombia's Central Bank, Banco de la Republica, MPC Rate Decision
Russian Central Bank Jan Interest Rate Decision

Central Bank of Chile releases Minutes of its prior meeting
India Dec. Federal Fiscal Deficit & Intrastructure Output
South Africa Dec. Trade Balance
Brazil Dec. Budget Balance, Debt-to-GDP Ratio
Canada Nov. GDP & Dec. Indudstrial Product+Raw Materials Price Indices
Saturday,      Jan. 30 Bank of Italy Gov. Visco addresses the Assiom-Forex Financial Markets Ass'n Annual Conference (Turin Italy)
African Union Heads of State Summit (Addis Ababa Ethiopia thru 31st)
Sunday,        Jan. 31 Hong Kong Dec. CPI
New Zealand Dec Migration & Visitors
Aussie AIG Manufacturing Index
    OVERNIGHT into US Mon. a.m. et;
          So. Korea Jan. Trade Balance (Imports/Exports)+Nikkei Jan. Mnftg PMI
          China Jan. Non-Manufacturing PMI +both Official & Caixan Manufacturing PMI
          Japan Nikkei Manufacturing PMI, Jan Vehicle Sales & Official Reserves
          Aussie Jan. COmoddity Index & RBA Commodity Index SDR
          India Jan. Nikkei Markit Manufacturing PMI
          Russia Markit Jan. Manufacturing PMI
          Swiss SVME an. PMI
          Eurozone, Italian, French & German Jan. Manufacturing PMI
          BoE Dec. Consumer Credit & M4 Money Supply
          UK Jan. Manufacturing PMI + Dec. Mortgage Approvals/Lending
Monday,       Feb. 01 Fed Gov. Fischer speaks on "Recent Monetary Policy" @COuncil of Foreign Relations/C. Peter McColough Series on International Economics (noon est NY)
US Dec. Personal Income/Spending + PCE
US Jan. PMI Manufacturing Index
US ISM Jan. Manufacturing Index
Dec. US Construction Spending
US Treasury Auctions $37B 3- & $30B 6-month Bills
Brazil Jan. Markit Manufacturing PMI & Jan. Trade Balance
South Africa Jan. Vehicle Sales
Canada RBC Jan. Manufacturing PMI
    OVERNIGHT into US Tues. a.m. et:
          South Korea Jan CPI
          RBA (Aussie) Feb, MPC Rate Decision (02/02 local time)
          India Central Bank Interest Rate Decision
+ Reverse Repo Rate & Cash Reserve Ratio
          Swiss Dec. Retail Sales
          Hong Kong Dec. Retail Sales
          German Jan. Unemployment Rate
          Italy Dec. Unemployment Rate
          UK Jan. Construction PMI
          BoJ Minutes of its Dec. MPC Meeting (02/02 local time)
Tuesday,       Feb. 02 US Jan. Motor Vehicle Sales
US Treasury Auctions $18B 52-week Bills
K.C. Fed's George on US Economy at Central Exchange (1pm et Kansas City MO)
SNB's Jordan on perspectives for Swiss economy & monetary policy (Geneva)
Fathom Consulting Qtrly Monetary Policy Forum (London)
Eurozone Dec. Unemployment Rate, Retail Sales, & Dec. PPI
Brazil Dec. Industrial Production
Singapore Jan. Manufacturing PMI
South Korea Jan. FX Reserves
    OVERNIGHT into US Wed. a.m. et:
          New Zealand 15Q4 Unemployment Rate/Change/Participation/Labor Cost
          Aussie Jan. AIG Services Index, Dec. Building Approvals, Trade Balance, + Private House Approvals
          Japan Dec. Overtime Pay + Jan. Household Confidence +Nikkei Services & Composite PMI
          China Jan. Caixan Services & Composite PMI
          Hong Kong Jan. Manufacturing PMI
          India Nikkei Jan. Services PMI  
          Russia Markit Jan. Services PMI
          South Africa Jan. Standard Bank PMI
          Eurozone, Spanish, Italian, French & German Jan Services PMI & Composite
          UK Jan. Services PMI & BRC Jan. Shop Price Index
          BoJ's Kuroda speaks at Kyodo News Agency event (Tokyo)
Wednesday, Feb. 03 ADP Jan Employment Report
MBA Mortgage/Refinance Applications
US Treasury Announces Refunding Plans incl. 10-Notes & 30-year Bonds
US PMI Jan Services Index
US ISM Jan. Services Index
EIA weekly Petroleum Status
ECB's Draghi, German Bundesbank's Ulbrich & Dutch Central Bank Chief Knot speak at Bundesbank Conference (Frankfurt German thru 02/04)
Italian Jan CPI & HICP
Eurozone Dec. Retail Sales
Brazil Markit Jan. Services & Composite PMI
    OVERNIGHT into US Thurs. a.m. et:
          Swiss SECO Q1 Consumer Climate
          Russia Central Bank Reserves
          German Markit Jan. Construction PMI
          UK Jan. New Car Registrations
          ECB Economic Bulletin
Thursday,    Feb. 04 Jan. US Chain Store Sales (a few will report Qtr)
Challenger Jan. Job-cut Report
15Q4 US Productivity & Costs

US Dec. Factory Orders
US Dec. (F) Durable Goods Orders/Shipments
EIA weekly Natural Gas Report
Cleveland Fed's Mester speaks on eco outlook & monetary policy @Market News Int'l (5pm et)
US weekly Fed Balance Sheet & US Money Supply
BoE MPC Feb. Interest Rate Decision & Q3 Target + Minutes
Brazil Jan. Auto Production & Sales
    OVERNIGHT into US Fri. a.m. et:
         Aussie Jan. AIG Construction Index & Dec.+Dec./Q4 Retail Sales
         Japan Jan. Foreign Reserves
         South Africa Jan. FX Reserves
         German Dec. Factory Orders
         French Dec. Trade Balance (Exports/Imports)
         Singapore Jan. Foreign Reserves
         UK Halifax Jan House Prices
        
Friday,         Feb. 05 US Jan. Unemployment Report
US Dec. Consumer Credit
(Debt Really, @3pm et)
US Dec. International Trade Deficit
Baker-Hughes weekly US/No. Am. ig Count
BIS Gen, Manager Caruana speaks @London School of Economics (London)
RBA releases Qtrly Monetary Policy Statement
Canada Jan. Unemployment Rate, IVEY PMI, Dec. Building Permits, & 15Q4 Int'l Trade
Brazil Jan. CPI & IGP=DI Inflation Index
Saturday,     Feb. 06

       WEEKS AHEAD: 
02/10       FOMC Chief Yellen Testifies @Congress
                                       02/15        US Markets Closed George Washington's Birthday
                                       02/11        Swedish Riiksbank MPC Rate Decision
                                       02/17        FOMC Jan. 27th Meeting Minutes Released
                                       03/01         RBA (Aussie) Meets
                                       03/09         BoC meets
                                       03/10         ECB Meets
                                03/15--16         FOMC Meets
    

*FOMC 2016 Voting Members:  Five governors on the FOMC ar permanent voters: Janet Yellen, Stanley Fischer, Lael Brainard, Jay Powell and Dan Tarullo.vote at every meeting. (Board Governors endure 2 vacancies that Senate refuses to confirm). Like the NY Fed pres. is, also, a permanent FOMC voting member. The rest of the voters, in 2016, are 5 of the 11 regional Fed Pres.: Loretta Mester (Cleveland), Eric Rosengren (Boston), James Bullard (St. Louis) and Esther George (Kansas City). Mester, George and Bullard are hawks, while Rosengren is considered a dove. Evans, Lockhart, Williams, and Lacker were 2015 voters, now off the voting panel at 2016 FOMC meetings. Neel Kashkari, former TARP overseer, took over Presidency of the Minneapolis Federal Reserve Bank, replacing Kocherlakota, who wound up a short-lived leader. Kashkari won't vote in 2016.
                     

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