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June/July 2016 Economic
Statistics
and Other Economic Influences |
TUESDAYS:
Weekly Chain Store Sales*
Average Hourly Earnings*
API Weekly Gas/Oil Stockpiles Report* ** (4:30p.m.)
WEDNESDAYS:
Mortgage Applications Data
EIA Weekly Report on Gas & Oil Stockpiles* (10a.m.)
THURSDAYS:
Weekly Unemployment Report*
Weekly Mutual Fund Flows*
Natural Gas Storage Levels* (a.m.)
*Except Holidays ** As of 1/09
All Dates Subject to Change: |
| Sunday,
June 26 |
|
Spain Parliamentary
Elections could cost P.M. Rajoy his job
BIS Annual Report Published (6:30 edt Basel Suisse)
Dalai Lama addresses the 84th Annual Meeting of the U.S.
Conference of Mayors (Indianpolis thru 27th)
Panama Canal Expansion inaugurated with the 1st
Commercial container vessel navigating the new expansion
Argentina plays Chile in the final of soccer's Copa America Centenarios (MetLife Stadium
NJ 8pm edt)
OVERNIGHT into US Mon. a.m. et:
New Zealand May Trade Balance (Imports/Exports)
China May Industrial Profits
EU May M3 Money Supply (Look for it to spike in
next week's report)
Hong Kong May Trade Balance (Imports/Exports)
German 12-month Bubill Auction
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DUE TO UK VOTE to LEAVE
EU, WE ANTICIPATE ADDITIONAL EVENTS BEING SCHEDULED, AFTER WE POST. THEREFORE, OUR
ECONOMIC CALENDAR MIGHT BE INCOMPLETE, DESPITE OUR BEST EFFORTS
|
| Monday,
June 27 |
|
US April (Adv.) Trade
Deficit
US Markit Flash Services PMI
Dallas Fed June Manufacturing Survey
US Treasury Auctions $31B 3-, & $26B 6-month Bills (Unfortunately light treas.
schedule)
France Auctions 3-, 6-, and 12-month BTF
Brazil May Bank Lending
PBoC Gov Zhou speaks at ECB Forum (Sintra Portugal thru 29th)
Germany's Merkel & EU PRes. Tusk meet in Berlin on Brexit, before Merkel
meets with French Pres. Hollande & Italian PM Renzi, the latter 3 hold press
conference
Chinese Premier Keqiang keynotes World Economic Forum's annual summer
session (Beijing)
Dutch FinMin Dijsselbloem speaks on the Future of Netherlands Banking @Nat'l Parliament
(10:30am edt)
US Treas. Sec'y Lew, US Trade Rep Froman, IMF's Lipton, & World Bank Grp
COO Indrawati speak @Bretton Woods
Committee Annual Meeting (Washington DC 9:30am)
Israel Central Bank MPC Meeting
OVERNIGHT into US Tues. a.m. et:
South Korea July Manufacturing BSI Index
French & Italian June
Consumer/Business Confidence
Spanish May Retail Sales
Italian 6-month BOT Auction
ECB's Knot speaks @ECB
Conference (Linto Sintra, Portugal)
German Import Price Index
ECB Chief Draghi speaks @ECB
Conference (Linto Sintra, Portugal)
EU Parliament Votes on Brexit
Referendum (UK Parliament votes later)
BoE 3rd Additional ITLR
(liquidity) Operation
UK June CBI Retail Sales & Total
Distributed Sales
|
| Tuesday,
June 28 |
|
US 16Q1 Final
GDP/Sales/Prices/Consumer Spending/PCE
US 16Q1 Corporate Profits
S&P Case Shiller April 20-city Home Price Index
Conference Board's June Consumer Confidence (Lags U.M.)
US Q1 (F) Personal Consumption/Expenditures/PCE
Redbook weekly US Store Snapshot
Richmond Fed June Manufacturing Index
US Auctions 4-week Bills
OVERNIGHT into US Wed. a.m. et:
Fed Gov Powell speaks on
"Recent Economic Developments, Monetary Policy Considerations & Longer-term
PRospects @Chicago Council on Global Affairs: Food, Fuel & Finance Series (Chicago IL
7pm et)
G-20 Energy Ministers meet
(Beijing thru 6/30)
Japan May Retail Trade
Aussie HIA May New Home Sales
German GfK July Consumer Confidence
survey
Swiss May UBS Consumption Indicator
UK Nationwide June House Prices,
May Net Lending on Dwellings, Mortgage Approvals, Money Supply
BoE May Consumer Credit
EU June Economic Confidence, Business
Climate, Industrial/Service + Consumer Confidence & Expectations
London Bullion Market Association (LBMA)
votes on changes to governance structure & support for platinum & palladium
markets
|
| Wednesday, June 29 |
|
CANCELLED--A panel
that was to include FOMC Chief Yellen & BoE Gov. Carney, w/ECB Pres. Draghi &
Brazil Central Bank Gov. Tomibini was removed from the agenda, after Yellen
& Carney withdrew from the ECB Central Banking Conference (Linto Sintra,
Portugal)
Federal Reserve Releases CCAR (Capital Adquecacy) Mega-Bank Results
(4:30pm et)
US Pres Obama, Canada PM Trudeau & Mexican Pres Pena Nieto @Three Amigos
Summit (the 1st since 2014; Ottawa, Canada. Obama will address the Canadian
Parliament during visit)
MBA Mortgage/Refinance Applications
US May Personal Income/Expenditures/PCE
US NAR May Pending Home Sales Index
German June CPI & HICP
EIA weekly Petroleum Stats (w/e 6/24)
Brazil Unemployment Rate, May Debt:GDP Ratio, Budget Balance/Surplus, Foreign Exchange
Flows
USDA Crop Prices
OVERNIGHT into US Thurs. a.m. et:
South Korea May Industrial Production,
Retail Sales & Service Sector Output
New Zealand May Building Permits, Housing
& Private Sector Credit
Singapore May Bank Lending
UK June Lloyds Business Barometer &
GfK Consumer Confidence
Japan May Loans & Discounts,
Industrial Production
China May Swift Global Payments
Aussie May Job Vacancies, Private Sector
Credit
China Q1 (F) Current Account
Balance
Japan May New Vehicle Production, Housing
Starts, Construction Orders
German June Unemployment Rates/Change +
May Retail Sales
French June CPI & HICP +May PPI
Italy Q1 Public Deficit, June CPI &
HICP + May PPI
South Africa May PPI
Spain April Current Account
UK Q1 GDP, Current
Account, Total Business Investment, April Index of Services
Eurozone June (Adv) CPI
South Africa May PPI, Trade
Balance, Monthly Budget Balance, Private Sector Credit
|
| Thursday, June
30 |
|
ECB June Monetary Policy
Meeting Minutes
US weekly Jobless Claims
Chicago June PMI
EIA weekly Natural Gas Report
Canada April GDP, May Industrial Product Prices + RMPI
Italian 5 & 10 year BTP Auctions
India Q1 Foreign Debt
ECB Minutes of MPC Meeting
Russia Central Bank Reserves
Taiwan Central Bank MPC Meets
St. L. Fed's Bullard speaks @Society of Economics annual dinner (London
2pm et)
Brazil Q3 Long Term Interest Rate TJLP
US Weekly Fed Balance Sheet & Money Supply
2016 European Football (Soccer) Championships Quarterfinals Start
OVERNIGHT into US Fri. a.m. et:
South Korea Jun CPI & May Current
Account, June Trade Balance, Nikkei June Manufacturing PMI
Aussie AIG Manufacturing Index
Japan May Jobless
Rate/Applicant to Job Ratio, Household Spending, CPI, Q2 Tankan Surveys
(Incl CapEx plans), CoreLogic June House Price Index
China June (Official) Non-Manufacturing
PMI +Caixan June Manufacturing PMI
Japan June Nikkei Manufacturing PMI &
Official Reserve Assets, Vehicle Sales, Consumer Confidence + BoJ CPI + June
Household Confidence
Russia June Markit Manufacturing PMI
Singapore Q2 URA Property Index
Spanish Unemployment/Change +June Manufacturing
PMI
Canada CFIB June Business Barometer
Aussie June Commodity Index
Italian May Unemployment Rate
Swiss May Retail Sales, June SVME-PMI
India June Nikkei Manufacturing PMI
ECB's Nowotny Speaks
Markit June Eurozone, German, Italian &
French Manufacturing PMI
UK Markit June Manufacturing PMI
Eurozone May Unemployment Rate
ECB Board member Coeure speaks at
French Finance Ministry celebration of the 60th Anniversary of the Paris Club
IMF's Lagarde & French Economy Minister Marcron
meet w/French ministers, execs & economists meet in Aix-en-Provence for 16th
Rencontres Economiques Conference
"In a World of Turmoil, What is a Nation For?" (thru 07/03)
|
| Friday,
July 01 |
|
US June Motor Vehicle Sales
US June PMI & ISM Manufacturing Indices/Prices Paid, New Orders
US May Construction Spending & Annual Revisions
Cleveland Fed's Mester speaks on Eco Outlook & Monetary Policy
w/Q&A @EEFC (European
Economics & Financial Centre, London 11am est)
Brazil May Industrial Production & Markit June Manufacturing PMI + Trade Balance
Baker-Hughes weekly US/North America Rig Count (1pm et)
Annual Pacific Alliance Presidential Summit includes Foreign Ministers & Trade
Ministers from Chile, Peru, Colombia & Mexico. Argentine Pres. Macri attends as an
observer (Puerto Varas Chile)
Gov. Padilla warned that Puerto Rico will default on $2B of bond payments, today
SIFMA Markets Close 2pm et
Equity Markets Trade Regular Hours, to 4pm edt
Holidays in Hong Kong & Canada
OVERNIGHT into US Saturday a.m. et:
Japan June Manufacturing PMI
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| Saturday
July 02 |
|
Australians vote,
PM Turnbull seeking 2nd term
French Annual Economic Conference Continues w/IMF's Lagarde
(Aix-en-Provence thru 3rd)
Greek PM Tsipras visits China with delegation of execs & gov't ministers (thru 6th)
|
| Sunday,
July 03 |
|
OVERNIGHT
into US Mon. a.m. et:
Japan Official June Reserve Assets &
June Monetary Base
ECB's Coeure panelist
@Conference (Aix-en-Provence France)
Lloyd's UK June Business Barometer
Aussie June Job Ads & Inflation, May
Building Approvals
UK Markit/CIPS June Construction PMI
Eurozone May PPI
Singapore June Manufactruring PMI
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| Monday,
July 04 |
|
US Independence Day Holiday,
ALL US Markets Closed
Canada RBC June Manufacturing PMI, Q2 BoC Business Outlook for Future Sales
RBC Canada Q2 Senior Loan Officer Survey
OVERNIGHT into US Tues a.m. et:
Aussie May Trade Balance
(Imports/Exports), & Retail Sales + AIG June Performance of Service Index
South Korea June Foreign Reserves
New Zealand June QV House Prices
& Commodity Prices, QSBO Q2 Capacity Utilization, & Business Confidence
Japan Tankan Survey/Inflation
Outlook
China Caixan June Services &
Composite PMI
Japan June Nikkei Services &
Composite PMI
RBA (Aussie) MPC Rate Decision (Tues.
local time)
Markit Eurozone, Italy, France, German
& Spain Services & Composite PMI
South Africa June Standard Bank PMI
UK June Official Reserves,
Markit/CIPS June Services/Composite PMI
Euorozone May Retail Sales
German Chancellor Merkel speaks
at 35-nationa conference on climate change (Berlin 4:30am et) w/press conference
Boao Forum for Asia Financial
Cooperation w/AIIB Pres. Liqun, former PBoC Vice Gov. Ziaoling (Tuesday local
time)
Paris Europlace Int'l Financial
Forum & Awards (Tues. local time thru 6th)
BoE Semi-Annual Financial
Stability Report
|
| Tuesday,
July 05 |
|
US May Factory Orders
NY Fed's Dudley participates in roundtable @Binghampton Chamber of
Commerce Conference (Binghampton NY 2:30pm et)
BoE Gov Carney Press Conference discussing Semi-Annual Financial
Stability Report
BoE conducts 4th ITLR Operation
US May (F) May Durable Goods
US Treasury Auctions $34B 3-, & $29B 6-month Bills +$45B 4-wk Bills
Pres. Obama joins Hillary Clinton on campaign trail (Charlotte NC)
UK Conservative Party starts balloting for PM Cameron's Successor (thru
7th)
Brazil Markit June Composite & Services PMI
TD Ameritrade IMX (12:30pm et)
USDA weekly Crop Report
Riksbank (Swedes) MPC Meets
Argentine Pres. Macri meets German Chancellor Merkel (Berli)
OVERNIGHT into US Wed. a.m. et:
Hong Kong June Manufacturing PMI
Taiwan June Inflation
German May Factory Orders & Markit
June ConstructionPMI
Spanish May Industrial Production
UK BRIC June Shop Price Index & New
Car Registrations
RBA's Debelle speaks
Markit Eurozone, Italy, German &
French June PMI
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| Wed.
July 06 |
|
NY Fed Pres Dudley speaks @NY
Fed Outreach stop, then mingles @Southern Tier Economic Development Council (8am et
Vestal NY)
FedTarullo discusses the intersection of regulation & monetary policy
(DC 9am et)
FOMC Releases Minutes of June 14/15 Meeting (2pm et)
US weekly Mortgage/Refinance Applications (rates lowest in years in the
wk)
US May Int'l Trade Deficit
US June PMI Services Index
US June ISM Non-Manufacturing Index
ECB/Bk of France Gov.de Galhau keynotes the Paris Europlace Int'l Financial
Forum
Redbook weekly Store Sales Snapshot
UK Publishes Inquiry into its role in 2003 Iraq Invasion (Blair was PM, then)
Canada May Int'l Merchandise Trade (Imports/Exports)
Deadline for Bids for 100% Stake in Greece's Rail System, under its privatization plans
developed in exchange for EU bail-out
Brazil June Auto Production & Sales
Holidays in India & Singapore
OVERNIGHT into US Thurs. a.m. et:
Aussie AIG June Performance of
Construction Index & June Foreign Reserves
Japan June Foreign Investment in Stocks
& Bonds & vice Versa
BoJ's Kuroda speaks at
Central Bank's Branch Managers' Meeting
Chinese June Foreign Reserves
South Africa June Foreign Reserves
French May Current Account & Trade
Balance (Imports/Exports)
German May Industrial Production
Swiss June Foreign Currency Reserves,
& CPI
UK Halifax plc June House Prices,
May Industrial & Manufacturing Production
Hong Kong June Foreign Reserves
Singapore June Foreign Reserves
ECB Relesases Minutes of its
06/02 MPC Meeting
|
| Thursday, July
07 |
|
US June Chain Store Sales
(9 still report monthly)
Challenger June Job Cuts
ADP June US Private Sector Employment Report
US weekly Jobless Claims
EIA weekly Natural Gas Stats (10:30am et0
EIA weekly US Petroleum Stats (11am et, delayed by holiday on 4th)
Canada May Building Permits & June Ivey PMI
UK NIESR June GDP Estimate
US Nat'l Center for Environmental Information posts 1H temps & precipitation
Dutch parliament debates euro-area challenges helmed by FinMin
Dijsselbloem
US Treasury July Refunding Announcement, incl. 10-yr Notes & 30-yr Bonds
US Fed weekly Balance Sheet & Money Supply
OVERNIGHT into US Fri. a.m. et:
Japan May Current Account, Trade Balance,
Bank Lending, Labor Cash Earnngs & Real Cash Earnings & June Bankruptcies
China June Foreign Direct
Investment
New Zealand June House Prices
Swiss June Unemployment Rate
German June Unemployment Rate, Trade
Balance, Current Account
French May Government Budget Balance
& Industrial Production
UK May Trade Balance
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| Friday,
July 08 |
|
US June Unemployment
Rate/Change/Participation/Hourly Earnings (End to Verizon Strike should add 35K
workers back into workforce--est. 180K)
NATO Summit Pres
Obama attending, along with Merkel, UK PM Cameron, Canada PM Trudeau, Turkey PM Erdogan
(Warsaw Poland thru 9th)
Brazil June CPI
Baker-Hughes weekly US/North American Rig Count (1pm et)
US May Consumer Credit (3pm et)
Canada June Unemployment Rate/Change/Participation
|Moody's Updates EU Rating, Moody's Hungary, Netherlands, Switzerland
S&P Updates Germany's Rating
|
| Saturday,
July 09 |
|
China June CPI & PPI
Pres. Obama in Spain to meet King Felipe VI & gov't leaders
G-20 Trade Ministers Meet (Shanghai thru 7/10)
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WEEKS AHEAD: 07/13
BoC MPC Meets
Federal Reserve Beige Book Released
07/14 BoE MPC Meets
SNB MPC Meets
07/21 ECB MPC Meets
07/26--27 FOMC MPC Meets
07/.29 BoJ MPC Meets
*FOMC 2016 Voting Members: Five
governors on the FOMC are permanent voters: Janet Yellen, Stanley Fischer, Lael Brainard,
Jay Powell and Dan Tarullo.vote at every meeting. (Board Governors endure 2 vacancies that
Senate refuses to confirm). Like the NY Fed pres. is, also, a permanent FOMC voting
member. The rest of the voters, in 2016, are 5 of the 11 regional Fed Pres.: Loretta
Mester (Cleveland), Eric Rosengren (Boston), James Bullard (St. Louis) and Esther George
(Kansas City). Mester, George and Bullard are hawks, while Rosengren is
considered a dove. Evans, Lockhart, Williams, and Lacker were 2015 voters, now off
the voting panel at 2016 FOMC meetings. Neel Kashkari, former TARP overseer, took
over Presidency of the Minneapolis Federal Reserve Bank, replacing Kocherlakota, who wound
up a short-lived leader. Kashkari won't vote in 2016 but will stick to his "Too Big
.to Fail" mantra on banks
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