wall street in advance

February/March 2016 Economic Statistics
and Other Economic Influences

TUESDAYS:
                Weekly Chain Store Sales*
                 Average Hourly Earnings*
                 API Weekly Gas/Oil Stockpiles Report*  **
(4:30p.m.)
    WEDNESDAYS:
                
Mortgage Applications  Data
                 EIA Weekly Report on Gas & Oil Stockpiles* (10a.m.)
    THURSDAYS:
                 Weekly Unemployment Report*
                  Weekly Mutual Fund Flows*
                   Natural Gas Storage Levels* (a.m.)

 *Except Holidays    ** As of 1/09         All Dates Subject to Change:
Sunday,       Feb. 21     OVERNIGHT into US Mon. a.m. et:
         RBA's Debelle speaks @KangaNews DCM Summit  (Sydney)
         New Zealand Jan. Credit Card Spending
         Japan/Nikkei Feb. Prelim PMI Manufacturing
         Markit Eurozone, French, German, Feb. Prelim Manufacturing, Services & Composite PMIs
         Italian Jan. CPI & HICP
         Swiss Jan. PPI

         UK Feb. CBI Distributive Trades Total Orders & Selling Price Trends
Monday,      Feb. 22 Chicago Fed National Activity Index
Markit PMI Feb. Manufacturing Flash Index
US Treasury Auctions $37B 3- & $30B 6-month Bills
ECB's Lautenschlager speaks (Stuttgart Germany)
Russian Public Holiday
    OVERNIGHT into US Tues. a.m. et:
          RBA Head of Payment Policy's Richards @Payments Innovation 2016 Conference (Sydney)
          Singapore Jan. CPI
          French Feb. Business Survey
          Hong Kong Jan Unemployment Rate + CPI
          German 15Q4 GDP, Exports/Imports, Gov't Spending, Capital & Construction Investment, + Private Consumption/Domestic Demand
          German Feb IFO Business Climate/Expectations
Tuesday,     Feb. 23 S&P Case Shiller Dec. Home Price Index
NAR Jan. Existing Home Sales
SIFMA T+2
Symposium (NY)
Conferenced Board's Feb. Consumer Confidence (usually lags U.M. changes)
Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index
Redbook weekly Sales Snaptshot
US Treasury Auctions $26B 2-year Notes
MN Fed's Kashkari speaks @St Paul Regional Economic Development Partnership Winter Meeting (Minneapolis)
Fed
Gov. Stanley Fischer speaks on monetary policy @IHS CERAWeek (Houston 8:30pm)
BoE Gov Carney appears @U.K. Parliament Cmte (London)
BoE Chief Economist Haldane lecture "The Dappled World (@U of Nottingham)
IMF's Mng Dir. Lagarde, Queen Rania Al Abdullah of Jordan, UAE Foreign Minister Sheikh Abdullah bin Zayed Al Nahyan speak @Global Women's Forum (Dubai to 24th)
SNB's Jordan speaks (Frankfurt Germany)
Brazil Jan. Current Account & Foreign Direct Investment
ECB's Nouy speaks @Deutsche Bank Capital Forum (London)
Nevada Republican Presidential Caucuses
Russian Holiday--Defender of the Fatherland Day
    OVERNIGHT into US Wed. a.m. et:
          Singapore 15Q4 GDP
          Japan Jan. Corporate Service Price Index, Small Business Confidence
         Aussie 15Q4 Wage Price Index, Construction Completed, & Jan. Skilled Vacancies + Westpack Feb. Consumer Sentiment
         Hong Kong 15Q4 GDP
         Swiss UBS Jan. Consumption Indicator
         French Feb Consumer Confidence
         Italian Dec. Industrial Orders/Sales
         UK Feb. BBA Loans for House Purchases, + CBI Feb. Reported Sales
Wednesday, Feb. 24 Fed's Lacker speech "Can monetary policy impact growth?" @Leaders + Legends Lecture Series hosted by Johns Hopkins Biz School (Baltimore 8am est)
Fed's Kaplan speaks on current eco conditions & monetary policy (Dallas 1:15pm)
S.L. Fed's Bullard (Hawk recently talking dovish) speaks (NY 6:30pm est)
Jan. US New Home Sales
EIA weekly Petroleum Stats
US Treasury Auctions $13B reopened 2-year FRN (11:30am est)
US Treasury Auctions $34B 5-year Notes (1pm et)
MBA weekly Mortgage/Refinance Applications
Markit Feb. PMI US Services Flash
Brazil Jan. Bank Lending & Foreign Exchange Flows
BoC's Schembri speaks to Guelph Chamber of Commerce (Ontario)
BoE's Deputy Gov for Financial Stability Cunliffe lectures @London South Bank U
South Korea Feb. Consumer Confidence
Bundesbank Chief Weidmann holds news conference (Frankfurt Germany)
    OVERNIGHT into US Thurs. a.m. et:
         New Zealand Jan. Net Migration
         Aussie 15Q4 Private & Corporate CapEx
         BoJ's Kiuchi speaks (Kagoshima, Japan)
         German GfK March Consumer Confidence, Jan. HICP, & Import Price Index
         Swiss 15Q4 Industrial Production, Industry & Construction Output, & CPI
         Eurozone Jan. M3
         Spain 15Q4 GDP
         Hong Kong Jan. Imports/Exports
         Italian Feb. Business & Consumer Confidence + Dec. Retail Sales + Jan Trade Balance
         UK 15Q4 (P) GDP, Private Consumption, Gov't Spending, Gross Fixed Capital Formation, Imports/Exports, + Dec Index of Services & Total Business Investment
         South Africa Jan PPI + 15Q4 Unemployment Rate
         Eurozone Jan. CPI + M3 Money Supply
         IIF-Institute of Int'l Finance keynotes from Chair of China's ICBC, w/speakers from HSBC, BAC/ML, Credit Agricole, China Ministry of Finance, Standard Chartered plc, China Investment Corp, JPM, PBoC Chair Zhou Xiaochuan (and others),, BoC, BIS, PIMCO Asia, EU Director of Regulation & Prudential Supervision of Financial Institutions, GE, S&P Ratings, Asian Development Bank, Citi, ICMA, IMF, Argentine Minster of Economy, GS' Gary Cohn, and more   (Shanghai-concurrent w/G20 thru 26th)
Thursday,    Feb. 25 Atlanta Fed's Lockhart opens the Banking Outlook Conference --Caution Winding Road Ahead (Atlanta 8:15am est)
USDA 92nd Agricultural Outlook Forum (Arlington VA thru 26th)
Jan US Durable Goods Orders/Shipments 
S.L. Fed's Bullard
speaks on eco & monetary policy Money Marketeers of NYU
US weekly Jobless Claims
FHFA Dec. House Price Index

EIA weekly Natural Gas Report
IMF Mng Dir. Lagarde, Woflgang Schauble, Visa CEO Scharf, BoE's Carney, GaveKal Dragonomics, UBS, Caixan Insight, China Business Netowrk, FT, MS Chief Economist, NATIXIS, JPM, Nomura, YES Bank Ltd and more speak @IIF
S.F. Fed's Williams speaks on outlook @NYU Stern Biz School (NY noon)
US Treasury Auctions $28B 7-year Notes (1pm est)
US weekly Fed Balance Sheet & Money Supply
K.C. Fed Manufacturing Index
Brazil Jan. Unemployment Rate & FGV Feb. Consumer Confidence
Russian Central Bank Reserves
    OVERNIGHT into US Fri. a.m. et:
         New Zealand Jan. Trade Balance (Imports/Exports)
         Japan Jan. Nat'l & Tokyo CPI
         Singapore 15Q4 GDP +Jan. Industrial Production
         UK GfK Feb. Consumer Confidence Survey
         China Jan. Property/House   Prices & Swift Global Paymerns
         French 15Q4 GDP + Jan. PPI & Consumer Spending
         Italy Jan. wage Inflation
         Eurozone Feb. Business, Industrial, Services, & Consumer Sentiment- Expectations
         UK Office of Nat'l Statistics discusses housing costs & inflation @BoE
Friday,         Feb. 26 US 15Q4 (Prelim) GDP (2nd guess)
US Jan Personal Income & Outlays + PCE component
US Dec Int'l Trade Deficit
Fed Gov. Powell panelist on "Language after Liftoff: Fed Communication Away from the Zero Lower Bound" and Fed Gov Brainard on "International Monetary Policy Synchronization" + ECB's Praet panelist @2016 U.S. Monetary Policy Forum (NY 10:15am est)
U.M. Final Feb. Consumer Sentiment + Expectations 
Baker-Hughes weekly US/No. America Rig Count (1pm et)
G20 FinMins & Central Bank Governors Meet (Shanghai, China thru 27th)
Irish Elections
Canada CFIB Feb. Business Barometer
Dallas Fed Jan. PCE
German Feb .CPI  + HICP
Brazil Jan Budget Balance & Debt/GDP Ratio
Saturday,      Feb 27 South Carolina Democratic Primary (Republicans were on 2/20)
G20 FinMins & Central Bankers Meeting Ends (Shanghai China)
Sunday,       Feb. 28     OVERNIGHT into US Mon. a.m. et:
         South Korea March BSI Manufacturing Index
         New Zealand Jan Building Consents
         Japan Jan. Industrial Production & Retail Sales, Construction Orders & Housing Starts
         Aussie HIA Jan. New Home Sales & MI Feb. Inflation Gauge, 15Q4 Business Inventories, Company Gross Operating Profit, Jan Housing & Private Sector Credit
         Singapore Jan. Bank Lending
         South Africa Jan. Privatre Sector Credit & M3 Money Supply
         UK Feb. Nationwide House Price Index (HPI)
         German Jan. Import Price Index, & Retail Sales
         Hong Kong Jan M3 Money Supply
         Spanish Dec. Current Account
         BoE Jan Consumer Credit, Jan M4 Money Supply & Mortgage Approvals/ Lending
         Italian Feb. CPI & HICP
         India Jan. Federal Fiscal Deficit
Monday,      Feb. 29 Chicago PMI
US Jan. NAR Pending Home Sales Index
Dallas Fed Manufacturing Survey
US Treasury Auctions $37B 3- &  $30B 6-month Bills
USDA Farm Prices
Eurozone CPI
South Africa Jan. Trade Balance
Canada 15Q4 Current Account & Jan. IPPI + RMPI
     OVERNIGHT into US Tues. a.m. et:
          New Zealand Export + Import Terms of  Trade
          Aussie AIG Feb Manufacturing Index Jan. Building Approvals, Private House Approvals, & 15Q4 Current Account
          Japan Jan. Household Spending, Unemployment Rate, Retail Sales & 15Q4 Capital Spending, Feb Manufacturing PMI
         China Feb. Manufacturing & Non-Manufacturing PMI
         RBA (Aussie) March Interest Rate Decision
         South Korea Holiday
         India Feb. Nikkei Markit Manufacturing PMI
         Swiss Jan Retail Sales
         Eurozone, French, German, Italian, & Spanish Feb. Manufacturing PMI
         German Feb. Unemployment Rate
         Italian Jan. Unemployment Rate
         UK Feb. Manufacturing PMI
         South Africa 15Q4 Unemployment Rate
Tuesday,       Mar. 01 US Feb. Motor Vehicle Sales
US PMI & ISM Feb. Manufacturing Indices
US Treasury Auctions $20B 52-week Bills
US Jan. Construction Spending
Redbook weekly Store Sales Snapshot
Dallas Fed Feb Services REvenues & Texas Services Outlook
Super Tuesday for US Presidential Caucuses & Primaries in 13 states
Brazil Feb. Markit Manufacturing PMI & Feb. Trade Balance
Canada 15Q4 GDP & RBC Feb. Manufacturing PMI
Russia Markit Feb Manufacturing PMI
South Korea Feb FX Reserves
     OVERNIGHT into US Wed. a.m. et:
          South Korea Jan Current Account, Jan Industrial  & Service Sector Output, Nikkei Feb. Manufacturing PMI
          Aussie 15Q4 GDP
          Swiss 15Q4 GDP
          UK Feb. Construction PMI
          Eurozone Jan. PPI
          Global Financial Markets Forum, speakers include UAE Minister of State, Tony Blair & Yanis Varoufakis (Abu Dhabi thru 3rd)
         
Wednesday, Mar. 02 ADP Feb. Unemployment Report
S.F. Fed's Williams speech on outlook (Los Agneles 10am)
Fed's Beige Book (2pm et)
MBA Mortgage/Refinance Applications
EIA weekly Petroleum Stats
Singapore Feb Manufacturing PMI
Brazil Interest Rate Decision (current 14.25%)
South Korea Feb CPI
    OVERNIGHT into US Thurs. a.m. et:
         Aussie Jan. Trade Balance (Imports/Exports)
         China Caixin Feb Services PMI
         Hong Kong Feb. Manufacturing PMI
         India Nikkei Services Feb PMI
         French 15Q4 Unemployment Rate
         UK Nationwide Feb HPI
         South Africa Standard Bank Feb. PMI
         Hong Kong Jan Retail Sales
         French, German,  Markit Feb Composite + Services PMI
         UK Feb. Services PMI
         Eurozone Jan. Retail Sales
Thursday,     Mar. 03 Challenger Feb US Job Lay-offs (Oil sector announced large lay offs)
US 15Q4 Productivity & Costs
US monthly Chain Store Sales (all 9 still reporting)
US PMI + ISM Services Indices (weakening of late)
US Jan. Factory Orders
EIA Natural Gas Report
US Treasury Announces Refunding Plans
Fed Balance Sheet & US Money Supply
National Bank of Ukraine MPC Meeting (Kiev)
Brazil 15Q4 GDP + Markit Feb Composite & Services PMI
    OVERNIGHT into US Fri. a.m. et:
         South Korea Feb FX Reserves
         Japan Jan. Overtime Pay
         Aussie Jan Retail Sales
         UK Nationwide Feb. HPI
         Italian 15Q4 GDP
Friday,        Mar. 04 Feb. US Unemployment Report
US Jan. Int'l Trade Deficit
Baker-Hughes weekly US/No. Am. Rig Count (1pm et)
Brazil Jan Industrial Production
Russian Feb CPI
Canada 15Q4 Labor Productivity & Jan. Trade Balance (Imports/Exports)
Brazil Feb. Auto Production & Sales
Canada Ivey Feb PMI
Saturday,    Mar. 05 Dem. Primary in NE
Republican Primaries in KS, KY, LA, & ME

       WEEKS AHEAD: 
03/09        BoC meets
                                                         Central Bank of Malaysia Interest Rate Decision
                                                         National Bank of Georgia MPC Meeting
                                       03/10         ECB Meets
                                                        
Bank of Korea MPC Meeting
                                03/15--16         FOMC Meets
    

*FOMC 2016 Voting Members:  Five governors on the FOMC ar permanent voters: Janet Yellen, Stanley Fischer, Lael Brainard, Jay Powell and Dan Tarullo.vote at every meeting. (Board Governors endure 2 vacancies that Senate refuses to confirm). Like the NY Fed pres. is, also, a permanent FOMC voting member. The rest of the voters, in 2016, are 5 of the 11 regional Fed Pres.: Loretta Mester (Cleveland), Eric Rosengren (Boston), James Bullard (St. Louis) and Esther George (Kansas City). Mester, George and Bullard are hawks, while Rosengren is considered a dove. Evans, Lockhart, Williams, and Lacker were 2015 voters, now off the voting panel at 2016 FOMC meetings. Neel Kashkari, former TARP overseer, took over Presidency of the Minneapolis Federal Reserve Bank, replacing Kocherlakota, who wound up a short-lived leader. Kashkari won't vote in 2016.
                     

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