wall street in advance

April/May 2016 Economic Statistics
and Other Economic Influences

TUESDAYS:
                Weekly Chain Store Sales*
                 Average Hourly Earnings*
                 API Weekly Gas/Oil Stockpiles Report*  **
(4:30p.m.)
    WEDNESDAYS:
                
Mortgage Applications  Data
                 EIA Weekly Report on Gas & Oil Stockpiles* (10a.m.)
    THURSDAYS:
                 Weekly Unemployment Report*
                  Weekly Mutual Fund Flows*
                   Natural Gas Storage Levels* (a.m.)

 *Except Holidays    ** As of 1/09         All Dates Subject to Change:
Sunday,       April 24     OVERNIGHT into US Mon. a.m. et:
         Japan March Corporate Service Price & April Small Business Confidence
         German April IFO current & expectations +  Import Price Index 
         UK CBI April Business Optimism, Orders & Selling Trends
Monday,     April 25 March US New Home Sales
Dallas Fed April Manufacturing Activity
US Treasury Auctions $28B 3, & $24B 6-month Bills (11:30am et)
US Treasury Autions $26B 2-year Notes (1pm et)
Pres. Obama & UK PM Cameron, along with other world leaders, in Germany for discussions on global issues (No. Korea, Syria, China island-building, immigrants....)
ECB/EU Commission Jt Conference on "Completing European financial integration: What Next?" speakers include EU's Hill, ECB's Constancio & Coeure (Frankfurt)
IMF Press Conference on economic outlook for the MidEast & Central Asia.
    OVERNIGH into US Tues. a.m. et:
         UK BBA March Loans for House Purchases
Tuesday,   April 26 FOMC MPC 2-day Meeting Starts
US March Durable Goods Orders/Shipments
S&P/Case-Shiller Feb. Home Price Index
(HPI)
BoC Gov. Poloz
speech to the Investment Industry Ass'n of Canada & Securities Industry & Financial Markets Ass'n (SFMA) +Poloz holds a Press Conference
ECB Macroprudential Policy & Research Conference Macklem speaks on Bail-in Bonds
Markit April US Services & Composite (Prelim) PMI
Conference Board's April Consumer Sentiment Survey
US Primaries held in PA, CT, MD, RI & DE
Redbook weekly Store Sales Snapshot
Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index
US Treasury Auctions $20B 52-week Bills (11:30am et)
US Treasury Auctions $34B 5-year Notes (1pm et)
German Bundesbank chief Weidmann speaks on "Solidity & Solidarity in the European Monetary Union" (Rome Italy)
    OVERNIGHT into US Wed. a.m. et:
         New Zealand March Trade Balance (Imports/Exports)
         China March Industrial Profits & Westpac/MNI April Consumer Sentiment
         Japan Feb. All Industry Activity Index
         Swiss UBS March Consumption Indicator
         German GfK May Consumer Confidence Survey
         UK 16Q1 (Adv.) GDP, Feb. Index of Services, CBI April Retailing Reported & Total Distributive Sales
Wed.         April 27 FOMC MPC Meeting Statement Released (2pm et)
NAR (US) March Pending Home Sales Index
MBA weekly Mortgage/Refinance Applications
US Feb.  Int'l Trade Deficit
EIA weekly Petroleum Stats
OECD Sec'y Gen. Gurria speaks on Britain's EU Referendum @London School of Economics
Estonia Central Bank releases its Financial Stability Report, Gov. Hansson Press Conference
Canada FinMin Norneau speaks to Greater Vancouver Board of Trade providing an overview of the gov't plan to strengthen the middle class and invest in the economy
Irish Central Bank Gov Lane speaks at publicaton of '15 annual report (Dublin)
    OVERNIGHT into US Thurs. a.m. et:
         Japan March Jobless Rate, Household Spending, CPI, Retail Trade, Industrial Production
         China March Swift Global Payments
         Aussie Import/Export Price Indices
         German March Retail Sales
         RBNZ (New Zealand) MPC Meets to set official cash rate
         BoJ MPC Post-Meeting Statement, Monetary Base, Policy Rate, May QE,   (Thurs. local time)
         Japan March Vehicle Production, Housing Starts, Construction Orders
         German April Unemployment Rate/Change
         Eurozone April Economic, Business, Consumer, & Industrial Confidence
Thursday,  April 28 US 1st (Advance) Estimate 16Q1 GDP
US weekly Jobless Claims
US April Flash Services PMI
BoJ Gov Kuroda news conference post-central bank meeting
UK FinMin Osborne appears @Parliament Treas. Cmte to discuss EU Membership
Bk of Spain Gov Linde participates in "Challenges for the Spanish Economy," a tribute to Federico Prades
EIA weekly Natural Gas Report
K.C. Fed Manufacturing Index
US Treasury Auctions $15B 2-yr FRN Notes (11:30am et) 
US Treasury Auctions $28B 7-yr Notes (1pm et)
Weekly Fed Balance Sheet & Money Supply
German April CPI
    OVERNIGHT into US a.m. et:
         UK Lloyds April Business Barometer, GfK Consumer Confidence
         Aussie 16Q1 PPI, & March Private Sector Credit
         RBA's Debelle speaks
         UK April Nationwide House Prices
         Canada CFIB April Business Barometer
         SNB (Swiss) National Bank Q1 Earnings & Q1 Currency Allocation
         SNB's Jordan speaks at Annual General Meeting (Bern, Suisse)
         UK March Net Consumer Credit & Net Lending on Dwellings, Mortgage Approvals, March M4 Money Supply
         Eurozone March Unemployment Rate & April CPI, + Q1 GDP
         Riksbank (Sweden) Meeeting of the General Council
         SNB (Swiss) new Pres. Jean Studer & Chair of Governing Bd Thomas Jordan speak (Berne)
Friday,       April 29 Fed's Kaplan speech "Prospects for the American Economy," part of OMFIF (Official Monetary & Financial Institutions) City Lecture Series (6:30am et London)
US March Personal Income, Spending + PCE
US 16Q1 Employment Cost Index (ECI)
1st Single Resolution Board Conference: "Charting the course: making bank resolution work" w/EU Commission VP for Jobs, Growth, Investment & Competitiveness Katainen, BoE Exec Dir of Resolution Gracie, BoE Dpty Gov Cunliffe, Bk of France 2nd Deputy Gov Ophele
Chicago April PMI
U.M. Final April Consumer Sentiment (Prelim. was down)
Baker-Hughes weekly US/No. Am. Rig Count (1pm et)
USDA Farm Prices
Saturday,  April 30 China April Manufacturing & Non-Manufacturing PMIs
Sunday,        May 01 NY Fed's Wm. Dudley keynotes @Atlanta Fed Financial Markets Conference-- Getting a Grip on Liquidity: Markets, Institutions & Central Banks (Amelia Island FL 7:15pm et  See Monday for more)
Milken Institute Global Conference (Beverly Hills, CA thru 4th)
May Day Holiday in Asia, Russia, Singapore, & South Africa
    OVERNIGHT into US Mon. a.m. et:
          South Korea March Current Account +Nikkei Apr. Manufacturing PMI
          German March Retail Sales
          Aussie AIG April Performance of Manufacturing Index & CoreLogic RP House Prices, TD Securities Inflation, NAB Business Conditions, Commodity Index
          Japan Nikkei April (F) Manufacturing PMI, Official Reserves, Vehicle Sales
          India Nikkei Markit April Manufacturing PMI
          Swiss March Retail Sales & April SvME PMI         
          Markit Eurozone, German, Spain, Italian & France April Manufacturing PMI
Monday,     May 02 Fed's Lockhart speaks @Atlanta Fed Financial Markets Conference. Also speaking today, Oliver Wyman, AEP, Invesco, Pine River Cpaital Mngmnt, Investment Company Institute, Citadel Securities, BlackRock, FINRA, Deutsche Borse AG  (8:50am et)
US PMI & ISM April Manufacturing Indices-Employment, Orders
US March Construction Spending
US Treasury Auctions $28B in 3-, & $24B 6-month Bills
ECB Chief Draghi speaks at Asian Development Bank (10am et Frankfurt Germany)
SIFMA OPS 2016 Broader T-2 Trials? (Miami Beach FL thru 5th)
Canada RBC April Manufacturing PMI
Bundesbank Chief Weidmann speaks (Munich)
Asian Development Bank Annual Meeting (Frankfurt thru 5th)
SNB Chair Jordan & ECB's Lautenschlaeger speak @Financial Seminar on Challenges Posed by the Euro  (Lucerne Suisse)
Fed's Williams panel presentation: "Systemic Risk" Inevitable or Preventable?" @Milken Institute Global Conference  (Los Angeles 5:30pm et)
Brazil Markit April Manufacturing PMI + Trade Balance
Holiday in China, Hong Kong, Russia, UK, So. Africa
    OVERNIGHT into US Tues. a.m. et:
         South Korea April CPI & FX Reserves
        Aussie March Building & Private HouseAprpvoals
        China Caixin April PMI Manufacturing Index
        EU Commission Releases Economic Forecasts
        RBA (Aussie) MPC Interest Rate Decision
(Tues. local time)
        Russia Markit April Manufacturing PMI
        UK Markit April Manufacturing PMI
        Euozone March PPI
Tuesday,    May 03 April US Vehicle Sales
Fed's Dissenter, Mester, moderates a panel
on "Unconventional Wisdom: HOw Will Unusual Monetary Policy Affect Market Liquidity?"  @Fed Reserve Bk of Atlanta Financial Markets Conference: "Getting a Grip on Liquidity, Markets, Institutions, & Central Banks" (Amelia Island FL 10:30am et thru 3rd)
Fed's Lockhart speaks to Atlanta Fed Conference, along w/Tradeworx, Liquidnet, ECB (Jacksonville FL 7pm et)
Lockhart also speaks at World Affairs Council of Jacksonville (FL)
Redbook weekly Store Sales Snapshot
Indiana Presidential Caucus
EU President Tusk & Japan PM Abe press briefing @EU-Japan Summit (Brussels)
BoC's Poloz panelist @Milken Institute (Beverly Hills CA)
Brazil March Industrial Production
Singapore April Manufacturing PMI
    OVERNIGHT into US Wed. a.m. et:
         New Zealand Q1 Unemployment Rate/Change/Avg Earnings, April QV House & Commodity Prices
         China Caixan April Services PMI
         AIG Aussie April Performance of Service Index
         Markit Eurozone, German, Italy, Francc, Spain April PMI Services + Composite PMI
         French March Current Account & Trade Balance
         UK April Construction PMI
         Eurozone March Retail Sales
Wednesday, May 04 MBA weekly Mortgage/Refinance Applications
ADP April Private Sector Employment Report
Markit US April Services + Composite PMI
April Services PMI & ISM Indices
March US Factory Orders
US Treasury Refunding Announcement
March (F) Durable Goods Orders/Shipments
EIA weekly Petroleum Stats
US March Int'l Trade Balance
Canada March Int'l Trade Balance (Imports/Exports)
Brazil Markit April Services & Composite PMI
MN Fed's "#TBTF" Kashkari Town Hall (Rochester MN 5:30pm et)
ECB Governing Council meets with NO interest rate decision expected
Japan Holiday
    OVERNIGHT into US Thurs. a.m. et:
         UK BRC April Shop Price Index
         Aussie HIA March New Home Sales, Trade Balance, Retail Sales
         China Caixin April PMI Services & Composite PMI
         Hong Kong April Manufacturing PMI + March Retail Sales
         South Africa April Standard Bank PMI
         UK Halifax plc April House Prices
         ECB Publishes Economic Bulletin
         Markit Eurozone April Retail PMI
         UK April Official Reserves  + Markit/CIPS Services & Composite PMI
Thursday,   May 05 Monthly Chain Store Sales (all 9 that still report + some Qtr Sales)
Challenger US April Job Cuts
US weekly Initial Jobless Claims
EIA weekly Natural Gas In Storage
Fed's Bullard speaks on US Economy & Monetary Policy, and participates in panel @35th UCal Santa Barbara Economic Forecast Project County Summit
Fed's Kaplan & Lockhart on "Int'l Monetary Policy and Reform in Practice" panelists on Int'l Monetary Policy  @Hoover Institution "Int'l Monetary Stability-Past Present, & Future Policy" Conference  (Stanford Conference, Palo Alto CA)
Japan PM Press Briefing
(London, where a new Mayor will be elected today)
Holiday in Japan, South Korea & Switzerland
Russia Central Bank Reserves & April CPI
Brazil April Auto Production & Sales
     OVERNIGHT into US Fri. a.m. et:

          AIG Aussie April Perofrmance of Construction Index
          Japan April Monetary Base/Period End
          RBA (Aussie)  Monetary Policy Decision
          Japan Nikkei April Services & Composite PMI
          Chinese BoP Q1 (Prelim) Current Account Balance
          OECD Economic Outlook on Eurozone

          Aussie April FX
          Swiss April FX
          Markit German April Construction+ Retail PMI
          Spain March Industrial Production
          Hong Kong April FX
         UK April New Car Registrations
Friday,        May 06 US April Unemployment Rate/Change/Participation Rate
US Consumer Credit
(3pm et)
Canada April Unemployment Rate/Change/Participation
Canada Ivey April PMI Index
BoC Deputy Schembri panelist (Ottawa)
Baker-Hughes US/North American weekly Rig Count
Brazil April CPI
Saturday,   May 07 China April Trade Balance, (Imports/Exports) + FX

       WEEKS AHEAD: 
05/09   Fed's Evans speaks on current Eco Conditions & Monetary Policy on panel @City Week 2016: The International Financial Services Forum (London)
                                        05/12   BoE Meets
                                                      Norges Bank (Norway) Meets
                                       05/18   FOMC Minutes of April 26-27 Meeting
                                       06/01   Fed's Beige Book
                                 06/14-15    FOMC Meets, Updates Forecasts, Yellen Press Conference
                                      06/16    BoE Meets
                                                   SNB (Suisse) Meets
                                                   BoJ Meets

*FOMC 2016 Voting Members:  Five governors on the FOMC are permanent voters: Janet Yellen, Stanley Fischer, Lael Brainard, Jay Powell and Dan Tarullo.vote at every meeting. (Board Governors endure 2 vacancies that Senate refuses to confirm). Like the NY Fed pres. is, also, a permanent FOMC voting member. The rest of the voters, in 2016, are 5 of the 11 regional Fed Pres.: Loretta Mester (Cleveland), Eric Rosengren (Boston), James Bullard (St. Louis) and Esther George (Kansas City). Mester, George and Bullard are hawks, while Rosengren is considered a dove. Evans, Lockhart, Williams, and Lacker were 2015 voters, now off the voting panel at 2016 FOMC meetings. Neel Kashkari, former TARP overseer, took over Presidency of the Minneapolis Federal Reserve Bank, replacing Kocherlakota, who wound up a short-lived leader. Kashkari won't vote in 2016 but will stick to his "Too Big .to Fail" mantra on banks
                     

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