wall street in advance

October/November 2016 Economic Statistics
and Other Economic Influences

TUESDAYS:
                Weekly Chain Store Sales*
                 Average Hourly Earnings*
                 API Weekly Gas/Oil Stockpiles Report*  **
(4:30p.m.)
    WEDNESDAYS:
                
Mortgage Applications  Data
                 EIA Weekly Report on Gas & Oil Stockpiles* (10a.m.)
    THURSDAYS:
                 Weekly Unemployment Report*
                  Weekly Mutual Fund Flows*
                   Natural Gas Storage Levels* (a.m.)

 *Except Holidays    ** As of 1/09         All Dates Subject to Change:
Sunday,       Oct 23     OVERNIGHT into US Mon. a.m. et:
         Japan Sept Trade Balance (Imports/Exports) & Oct (P) Manufacturnig PMI
         New Zealand Holidy - Labour Day
         Singapore Sept CPI
         German Sept Import Price Index
         BoE's Minouche Shafik speaks in Hong Kong
         Markit Eurozone, France, & German Oct. Manufacturing, Services & Composite PMI
         Italian Sept Trade Balance
         German 12-month Bubill Auction
         Eurozone Q3 Gov't Debt & Deficit
         Austrian Eco Minister Mitterlehner speech on State of the Economy (Veenna)
         SNB's Jordan speaks at Verinigung Baster Oekonomen
         UK CBI Oct Total Order & Selling Price Trends
        Chinese Communist Party Leaders Annual Plenum (thru 27th)
Monday,     Oct. 24 Chicago Fed National Activity Index
Wm Dudley opens (9am et) "Evolving Structure of U.S. Treasury Market"Conference co-hosted by Fed Bd of Govnr's, FINRA, SEC & CFTC who'll provide additional speakers including Gov. Powell (2pm et), SEC's Mary Jo White (12:15pm), CFTC's Massad (11am), among others, including NY Fed head trader Simon Potter (9:20am) @NY Fed Bk
Fed's Bullard speaks @ Ass'n for University Business & Economic Research (Fayetteville AK 9:05am)
European Parliaments Meets (Strasbourg thru 27th)
Markit Flash Oct (Prelim) Manufacturing PMI
US Treasury Auctions $42B 3-, & $36B 6-month Bills
Canada Aug. Wholesale Sales
Mexico Unemployment
SNB (Swiss) Jordan speaks (Basel Switzerland)
Fed's Evans speaks @Civic Affairs Society of the Univ. Club of Chicago w/Q&A (1:30pm)
BoC's (Canada) Poloz & Wilkins appear in Parliament
    OVERNIGHT into US Tues. a.m. et:
          South Korea Q3 GDP
          Spain PPI
          Hungarian Central Bank MPC Interest Rate Deicision
          Finland Unemployment Report
          French Oct. Business Survey + INSEE Manufacturing Confidence Index
          Sweden PPI
          Italian Aug. Industrial Sales
          European Commission Economic Forecasts (time unknown)
          German IFO Oct Business Climate, Current Assessment/Expectations
Tuesday,     Oct. 25 FHFA Aug. House Price Index
S&P/CoreLogic Case-Shiller Aug House Price Index

BoE Results of Bond-Buying Ops
ECB's Draghi speech "Stability, Equity & Monetary Policy" (Berlin)
BoE's Carney @House of Lords Economic Commitee
Europe Economics Seminar: What Brexit Means for you, the EU & the wider European Economy (Brussels)
Brazil's Sept Current Account & Foreign Direct Investment +MPC Meeting Minutes
Conference Board's Oct Consumer Confidence
Redbook weekly Chain Store Snaphot
Mexico Retail Sales & FX Reserves
Richmond Fed Oct. Manufacturing Shipments & Services Index
US Treasury Auctions $26B 2-year Notes (1pm et)
South Korea Oct Consumer Confidence
Fed's Lockhart speech "Lending & Investing in Community Development" @Oppor- tunity Finance Network (Atlanta 1:20pm et)
    OVERNIGHT into US Wed. a.m. et:
          Japan Corporate Services Price Index
          Aussie Q3 CPI
          China Westpac-MNI Oct Consumer Sentiment
          Singapore Sept Industrial Production
          Italian Aug Retail Sales
          German Nov GfK Consumer Confidence Survey
          Estonia Central Bank
presents its financial stability review
          UK BBA Sept Loans for House Purchases

Wed.           Oct. 26 MBA weekly Mortgage/Refinance Applications
US Sept Int'l Trade Deficit
Markit Oct. PMI Services Flash
US Sept New Home Sales
Canada P.M. Treudeau speaks @European Parliament (Strasbourg)
Brazil Sept Bank Lending & Foreign Exchange Flows +PPI Manufacturing
EIA weekly Petroleum Stats
US Treasury Auctions $15B 2-year FRN Notes (11am)
US Treasury Auctions $34B 5-year Notes (1pm et)
    OVERNIGHT into US Thurs. a.m. et:
         Argentina Trade Balance & Consumer Conference
         New Zealand Sept Trade Balance (Imports/Exports)
         Japan Foreign Investments in Japanese Stocks & Bonds  +Services PPI
         EU's Moscovici speaks (Bratislava)
         Aussie Q3 Import & Export Price Indexes & CPI
         RBA's Girn Speaks
         China Sept Swift Global Payments & Industrial Profits
         Singapore Q3 Unemployment Rate
         Sweden Trade Balance
         Swiss Sept Consumption Indicator
         Spanish Q3 Uenmployment Rate
         EU-Canada CETA Summit (Brussels thru 29th) + CFIB Oct Business Barometer
         German Sept Retail Sales
         FinMins Noonan (Ireland), Padoan (Italy), Sapin (France), Schauble (Germany), Van Overtveldt (Belgium) speak @GlobSec Tatra Summit ( Bratislava
         Eurozone Private Sector Loans & Sept M3 Money Supply
         Italian Sept Wage Inflation, Retail Sales   + 6-month BOT Auction
         South Arica Sept PPI
         UK Q3 (Adv) GDP, & Aug. Index of Services, Oct CBI Retail Reported Sales & Total Distributed Reported Sales
         EU Commissioner Vestager speaks (Brussels)
         Norges Bank (Norway) MPC Meets on Interest Rates (Thurs. local time)
         Norway Unemployment Rate
         Swede Riksbank MPC Meeting on Interest Rates
         Bk of Spain Gov. Linde opens the 2016--2017 edition "Young Factor" project from Osservatorio Permanente Giovani-Editori (Florence Italy)
         EU's Tusk & Juncker speak @European Parliament (Strasbourg)
Thursday,   Oct. 27 US Sept Durable Goods Orders/Shipments
US Weekly Jobless Claims
NAR Sept Pending Home Sales

Brazil Unemployment Rate
EIA weekly Natural Gas Report
K.C. Fed Oct Manufacturing Index
Hong Kong Trade Balance (Imports/Exports)
UK Q3 (P) GDP
ECB's Mersch speaks @Hachenburg Conference (Germany)
US Treasury Auctions $28B 7-year Notes (1pm et)
Fed weekly Balance Sheet & Money Supply
    OVERNIGHT into US Fri. a.m. et:
         South Korea Nov Manufacuring BSI Index
         Japan Sept Jobless Rate, Household Spending., CPI + 10-yr JGB Auction
         Aussie Q3 PPI & HIA Sept New Home Sales
         Singapore URA Q3 Property Index & Industrial Production
         BoJ Core CPI
         French Q3 GDP & Sept Consumer Spending + CPI, HICP & PPI
         Spanish Q3 GDP, & Oct CPI, HICP
         Italian 5- & 10-year BTP Auctions
         Russia MPC Oct., Interest Rate Decision
         Eurozone IFO for Business & Consumer Confidence/ Expectations
         UK Nationwide Oct House Prices, Public Sector Sept Debt, & GfK Oct Consumer Confidence
         Bundesbank's Weidmann speaks
         India FX Reserves 
         Thai FX Reserves
         Sweden Retail Sales
         ECB's Coeure speaks on "Challenged by low interest rates" @4th Frankfurt Conference on Financial market Policy (Frankfurt Germany)
         Eurozone Oct Economic, Industrial & Business Confidence
         German Oct (Prelim) CPI + HICP
Friday,        Oct. 28 US (Adv) Q3 GDP (1st look) + Consumer Spending & PCE
US Q3 Employment Cost Index
U.M. Final Oct. Consumer Sentiment
OPEC & Non-OPEC producers meet to draft an agreement to cap oil production
Chile Copper Production Total Tonnes
Baker-Hughes weekly US/North America Rig Count (1pm et)
Hong Kong Holiday No Trading
Saturday,   Oct. 29 Singapore Holiday-Deepavali
India FX Reserves
Sunday,      Oct. 30    OVERNIGHT into US Mon. a.m. et:
        New Zealand Sept Building Consents
        So. Korea Sept Industrial Production, & Service Sector Output
        Singapore Sept Bank Lending
        Japan Sept. Industrial Production + Forecast, Retail Sales, Construction Orders & Housing Starts
        South Africa Sept Private Sector Credit & M3 Money Supply & Trade Balance
        SNB (Swiss) Releases Q3 Currency Allocations
        Aussie Sept Housing & Private Sector Credit
        Spain & Germany Sept Retail Sales
        India Sept Federal Fiscal Deficit
        Spain Aug Current Account
        UK Sept Mortgage Approvals & Lending, M4 Money Supply
        BoE Sept Net Consumer Credit
        Italy Oct CPI, HICP, PPI
        UK GfK Oct Consumer Confidence
        Eurozone Q3 GDP &  Oct CPI
Monday,     Oct. 31 Sept US Personal Income & Spending (has PCE Component)
Chicago PMI
Dallas Fed Manufacturing Survey
BoE Results of Bond-buying Ops
US Treasury Auctions $42B 3-, & $36B 6-month Bills (that's it for the week!)
Canada Sept IPPI, RMPI
US Treas. Sec'y Lew makes remarks on importance of global integration & shared growth @Oxford Union
Brazil Sept Budget Balance & Debt: GDP Ratio
USDA Farm Prices
India Holiday Diwali
    OVERNIGHT into US Tues. a.m. et:
          Aussie Oct Performance of Manufacturing index, CoreLogic House Price Index
          New Zealand QV Oct House Prices
          So Korea Sept Current Account, Oct CPI, Trade Balance (Imports/Exports) & Nikkei Oct Manufacturing PMI
          China Oct Official Manufacturing & Non-Manufacturing PMI +Caixan Version
          BoJ Monetary Policy Statement, Interest Rate Decision & Outlook (Nov 1st local time)
          BoJ's Kuroda Post-Meeting Press Conference
          RBA (Aussie) Interest Rate Decision/Statement (Nov. 1st local time)
          Aussie Commmodity Index
          Japan Oct Vehicle Sales & Oct Manufacturing PMI
          Swiss Sept Retail Sales & Oct SVME-Purchasing Managers Index
          So. Africa Q3 Unemployment Rate
          Brazil Sept Industrial Production & Markit Oct. Manufacturing PMI
          UK Markit Oct PMI Manufacturing
          Managing Dir. of EU's ESM Regling speaks at Nocosia Conference
          Norway Central Bank Gov Olsen speaks at OMFIF (Official Monetary & Financial Institutions Forum (London)
          SNB (Swiss) Chair Jordean speaks at 100 Club (Vevey Suisse)
Tuesday,    Nov. 01 FOMC 2-day Meeting Starts
US Oct Motor Vehicle Sales

US Oct PMI Manufacturing Index
US Oct ISM Manufacturing Index, Prices Paid/New Orders
Obamacare Open Enrollment Starts
The Economist "Future Works: Jobs in the 4th Industrial Revolution" (Chicago)
Canada Aug GDP + RBC Canadian Oct Manufacturing PMI
US Aug. Construction Spending
BoC Gov. Poloz press conference after delivering speech (Vancouver)
    OVERNIGHT into US Wed. a.m. et
         New Zealand Q3 Unemployment Rate/Change/Participation + Wages
         Japan Oct Monetary Base End of Period + Oct. Consumer Confidence
         UK BRC Oct. Shop Price Index
         Aussie Sept Building Approvals
         Reserve Bank of New Zealand Q4 2-yr Inflation Expectations
         EU Commission Economic Forecsts
         Swiss UBS Q3 Real Estate Bubble Index
         Eurozone, Markit France, Italy, German Oct Manufacturing PMI
         German Oct Unemployment Rate/Change
         UK Oct Nationwide House Price Index
         Eurozone, French, German, & Spain Oct Manufacturing PMI
Wed.,         Nov. 02 FOMC Post-Meeting Statement 2pm et
US weekly Mortgage/Refinance Apps (w/e 10/28)
ADP US Oct Private-Sector Employment Report
US Treasury Refunding Announcement

BoC's Wilkins speaks on Ontario Securities Commission Panel (Toronto)
Swede Central Bank Gov. Ingves speaks on current monetary policy at Hanken School of Economics seminar, on "How can we stimulate the hoped-for growth?" (Helsinki)
EIA weekly Petroleum Stats  (w/e 10/28)
Brazil Oct Trade Balance
    OVERNIGHT into US Thurs. a.m. et:
          Aussie AIG Oct Performance of Service Index & Sept. Trade Balance
          New Zealand Oct Commodity Prices & Q3 Unemployment Rate/Change
          So. Korea Oct FX Reserves
          China Caixin Oct Services PMI
          Hong Kong Oct Manufacturing PMI & Sept Retail Sales
          India Nikkei Oct Services PMI
          Russia Oct Markit Services PMI
          South Africa Oct Standard Bank PMI
          UK Oct New Car Registrations
          ECB Publishes Economic Bulletin
          UK Oct. Official Reserves + Markit/CIPS Oct Services & Composite PMI
          Eurozone Sept Unemployment Rate
Thursday,  Nov. 03 US Oct. Chain Store Sales (9 still report Monthly, a few will report Qtr Sales)
Challenger Oct. Job-Cut Report
US weekly Jobless Claims
BoE Rate Decision, QE Asset Purchase Target & Inflation Report
US Q3 Productivity & Costs
Chicago Fed & ECB 19th Int'l Banking Conference "Achieving Financial Stability: Challenges to Prudential Regulation" w/speakers that include Fed Gov. Brainard, & ECB's Cunliffe  (Chicago thru 11/04)
US PMI Oct. Services Index
US Sept Factory Orders + (F) Durable Goods Orders/Shipments
US Oct ISM Services Index
EIA weekly Natural Gas Report
Athens-EU Arab Summit "Partners for Growth & Development (thru 11/04 Athens)
Bank of France Gov Villeroy de Gathau speaks @"The Future of Savings" Conference (Paris France)
Brazil Oct Markit Services & Composite PMI
Mng Dir. Lagarde opens the IMF's 17th Annual Research Conference, "Macroeconomics After the Great Recession," honoring Olivier Blanchard's contributions to economic research & policy. w/Riksbank's Linde (9:15am), Lawrence Summers (4:15pm), and others  (D.C. thru 4th)
BoE's Cunliffe speaks (London)
Russia FX Reserves
Brazil FX Flows
US weekly Fed Balance Sheet & Money Supply
ECB's Coeure speaks @Harvard University (Cambridge MA)
Japan Closed for Culture Day
    OVERNIGHT into US Fri. a.m. et:
          RBA (Aussie) Monetary Policy Statement

          Aussie Sept & Q3 Retail Sales
          Japan Nikkei Oct Services & Composite PMI
          BoC Gov. Poloz speaks @Oshawa Walk of Fame
          RBA (Aussie) Releases Statement on Monetary Policy (announced 11/01)
          China Q3 Current Account   Balance/Balance of Payments
          Markit Eurozone, France, Italy, Germany Oct Services & Composite PMI
Friday,       Nov. 04 US Oct. Unemployment Report/Change/Participation
US (F) Sept Int'l Trade Deficit
Canada Sept. Int'l Merchandise Trade Balance, Oct Unemployment Rate/ Participation +  Oct Ivey PMI
Brazil Oct Markit Services & Composite PMI
Fed's Lockhart speaks at NAR (Realtors) Conf. w/Q&A (Orlando FL 8:30am et)
Fed's Kaplan speaks @Ass'n of Banks of Mexico Forum w/Q&A (Mexico City)
ECB's Constancio speaks @Chicago Fed/ECB Int'l Banking Conference
Baker-Hughes weekly US/North America Rig Count
Fed Gov. Fischer on "Policy Changes After the Great Recession,"@17th Jacques Polak Annual Research Conference @IMF Economic Research Conf. (4pm et, D.C. )
Russia Holiday Unity Day
Saturday,   Nov. 05 UK Oct. Halifax House Prices

         WEEKS AHEAD:    
11/07   US Consumer Credit (3pm et)
                                       11/10    RBNZ (Reserve Bank of New Zealand) MPC Meeting     
                                       11/11    US Treasury (Only) Holiday Veterans Day 
                                       11/23     Minutes of FOMC 11/01--02 Meeting 

*FOMC 2016 Voting Members:  Five governors on the FOMC are permanent voters: Janet Yellen, Stanley Fischer, Lael Brainard, Jay Powell and Dan Tarullo.vote at every meeting. (Board Governors endure 2 vacancies that Senate refuses to confirm).  NY Fed pres.also a permanent FOMC voting member. The rest of the voters, in 2016, are 5 of the 11 regional Fed Pres.: Loretta Mester (Cleveland), Eric Rosengren (Boston), James Bullard (St. Louis) and Esther George (Kansas City). Mester, George and Bullard are hawks, while Rosengren is considered a dove. Evans, Lockhart, Williams, and Lacker were 2015 voters, now off the voting panel at 2016 FOMC meetings. Neel Kashkari, former TARP overseer, took over Presidency of the Minneapolis Federal Reserve Bank, replacing Kocherlakota, who wound up a short-lived leader. Kashkari won't vote in 2016 but will stick to his "Too Big .to Fail" mantra on banks
                     

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