wall street in advance

August 2016 Economic Statistics
and Other Economic Influences

TUESDAYS:
                Weekly Chain Store Sales*
                 Average Hourly Earnings*
                 API Weekly Gas/Oil Stockpiles Report*  **
(4:30p.m.)
    WEDNESDAYS:
                
Mortgage Applications  Data
                 EIA Weekly Report on Gas & Oil Stockpiles* (10a.m.)
    THURSDAYS:
                 Weekly Unemployment Report*
                  Weekly Mutual Fund Flows*
                   Natural Gas Storage Levels* (a.m.)

 *Except Holidays    ** As of 1/09         All Dates Subject to Change:
Sunday,       Aug. 07 UN Gen. Sec'y Ban Ki-Moon visits Argentina in attempt to normalize relations with Int'l organizations including IMF, OECD, and more (thru 9th)
Thailand votes on referendum for new constitution backed by ruling military
NFL Pre-Season Hall of Fame Game G.B. Packers vs Indianapolis Colts
    OVERNIGHT into US Mon. a.m. et:
         Japan June Trade Balance/Current Account, July Bank Lending
         Japan Emperor Akihito set to broadcast a message to nation (abdication?)
         China July Foreign Direct Investment, Trade Balance (Imports/Exports)
         BoJ Releases Summary of Opinions from July MPC Meeting
         German Jun. Industrial Production
         South Africa July FX Reserves
         Swiss July CPI
         Euozone Sentix Aug. Investor Confidence
Monday,      Aug. 08 Fed Reserve Labor Market Conditions Index
US Treasury Auctions  $40B 3-, & $34B 6-month Bills
TD Ameritrade IMX (12:30pm et)
Canada June Building Permits
French 3-, 6-, & 12-Month BTF Auctions
Trump plans major economic policy address @Detroit Economic Club (11:30am)
    OVERNIGHT into US Tues. a.m. et:
         New Zealand July Electronic Card Retail Sales & Spending, ANZ Heavy Truckometer
         UK BRC July Like for Lake Sales (post-Brexit Comparable Sales)
         Japan July M3 Money Supply + 30-yr JGB Auction
         Aussie July NAB Business Conditions/Confidence
         China July CPI + PPI
         India MPC Interest Rate Decision (current 6.50%)/Reverse Repo Rate (Tues local time)
         Swiss July Unemployment Rate
         German June Current Account, & Trade Balance (Imports/Exports)
         French Gov't June Budget Balance
         UK June Visible Trade Balance, Industrial & Manufacturing Production
         Turk Pres. Erdogan visits Putin (St Petersburg Russia)
         BoE Indexed Long-Term Repo Operation Results
Tuesday,      Aug. 09 NFIB Small Business Optimism Index
US Q2 Productivity & Costs
US June Wholesale Trade
Redbook weekly Store Sales Snapshot
US Treasury Auctions $24B 3-year Notes (1pm et)
EIA Updates Energy Outlook
Canada July Housing Starts (Hurt by wildfires aftermath and new tax?)
UK NIESR July GDP Estimate (post-Brexit)
Brazil June Retail Sales + Senate Votes on Proceeding with Rousseff Impeachment Trial
Singapore & South Africa National Holidays
    OVERNIGHT into US Wed. a.m. et:
         South Korea July Unemployment Rate
         Japan Q2 Housing Loans, June Machine Orders, July Domestic Goods Price Index, June Tertiary Index
         Aussie June Home Loans, Investment Lending, Value of Loans
         French June Industrial Production
         RBA (Aussie)'s Stevens speaks in Sydney
         China July Aggregate Financing, New Yuan Loans, Money Supply
         New Zealand REINZ July House Sales
         German 10-yr Bund Auction (How low can it go?)
         Swiss UBS Q2 Real Estate Bubble Index
Wednesday, Aug. 10 MBA weekly Mortgage/Refinance Applications
US June JOLTS (Labor Turnover & Quits)
EIA weekly Petroleum Stats
US Treasury Auctions $23B 10-year Notes (1pm et)
Brazil July CPI & Foreign Exchange Flows
US Treasury Budget (2pm et)
    OVERNIGHT into US Thurs. a.m. et:
          New Zealand July Food Prices
          RBNZ (New Zealand) MPC for Rate Decision (Thurs. local time)
          RBNZ's Wheeler Post-meeting Press Conference
          UK RICS July House Price Balance (after Brexit vote)
          Singapore Q2 GPD
          South Korea + Philippines MPC Aug. Interest Rate Decisions (Thurs. local time)
          Aussie Aug. Consumer Inflation Expectations
          French, German, Italian & Eurozone July CPI & HICP
          Italian Jun Trade Balance
          South Africa June Mining & Manufacturing Productoin + Gold Production
Thursday,    Aug. 11 US weekly Jobless Claims
US July Import/Exports Prices
NOAA Updates it Atlantic Hurricane Forecast (11am edt)
EIA weekly Natural Gas Report
US Refunding Announcement
US Treasury Auctions $15B 30-year Bonds
Canada June New Housing Prices Index
Russia Central Bank Reserves & June Trade Balance
Interest Rate Decisions in Mexico, Chile, Peru
Japan Holiday
Weekly Fed Balance Sheet & US Money Supply
    OVERNIGHT into US
         South Korea July Import/Export Price Indices
         New Zealand Q2 Retail Sales ex-Inflation, July Performance of Manufacturing
         Aussie June Credit Card Purchases
         China July Industrial Production, Retail Sales, and Fixed Asset Investments
         German July CPI + Q2 GDP
         Spanish July CPI & HICP
         French Non-Farm Payrolls
         Italian Q2 (Prelim) GDP
         Hong Kong Q2 GDP
         UK June Construction Output
         Eurozone Q2 GDP, & June Industrial Production
Friday,         Aug. 12 US July Retail Sales
US July PPI-Final Demand
US June Business Inventories

Canada Teranet/Nat'l Bank July Home Price Index (last before new tax on foreigners in some provinces)
U.M. Preliminary Aug. Consumer Sentiment
USDA World Agriculture Supply & Demand Estimates Report (WASDE) (Noon et)
Baker-Hughes weekly US/North American Rig Count (1pm et)
India Jun Industrial Production & Manufacturing Output +July CPI
Saturday      Aug. 13 German July Wholesale Price Index
Sunday,        Aug. 14      OVERNIGHT into US Mon. a.m. et:
          UK Rightmove Aug. House Prices
          Japan Q2 GDP, Private Consumption
, CapEx, Business Spending, & June Industrial Production, Capacity Utilization
          Singapore June Retail Sales
          China July Foreign Direct Investment
          Swiss July Producer & Import Prices
Monday,       Aug. 15 NY Fed Empire State Manufacturing Survey
NAHB Aug. Housing Market Index
US Treasury Auctions $40B reopened 3-, & $34B 6-month Bills  (11am dt)
French 3-, 6-., & 12-month BTF Auctions
US June TICS
Canada July Existing Home Sales
USDA weekly Crops Data
EIA monthly Drilling Productivity Report
Rep. Candidate Trump Defends a Lawsuit over Refunds of Golf Dues @Trump Nat'l Golf Club (Jupiter, FL)
Holidays in India, South Korea & Italy
    OVERNIGHT into US Tues. a.m. et:
         South Korea July Trade Balance (Imports/Exports)
         RBNZ (New Zealand) Gov Wheeler speaks (Tauranga) & July Non-resident Bond Holdings
         RBA (Aussie) Aug. Meeting Minutes, July New Motor Vehicle Sales
         India July WPI Food, Fuel & Manufacturing Inflation
         UK July CPI, RPPI (Retail Prices), PPI Input/Output & Core, + June House Price Index & Inflation Report Hearings  
         Eurozone Junr Trade Balance
         German Aug. ZEW Current, Outlook, and Economic Sentiment Survey
         BoE Indexed Long-Term Repo Operation Results
Tuesday,     Aug. 16 July US CPI
July US Housing Starts/Building Permits
July US Industrial Production/Capacity Utilization
+ Real Avg Weekly Earnings
Q2 E-Commerce Sales
US Treasury Auctions $20B 52-week Bills  (11am et)
Atlanta Fed's Lockhart speaks to Rotary Club (12:30pm Knoxville TN)
Canada June Manufacturing Sales/Shipments
Redbook weekly Shop Sales Snapshot
    OVERNIGHT into US Wed. a.m.et
          New Zealand Q2 PPI, Unemployment Rate/Change/Participation
          Singapore Trace Balance, Non-Oil July Exports
          Aussie Q2 Wage Cost Index
          Japan July Department Store Sales
          South Africa July CPI & Retail Sales
          UK July Jobless Claims/Change/Claimant Count, Avg weekly Earnings
          UK ILO June Unemployment Rate/Change
          Swiss Aug. Zew Survey
Wed.            Aug. 17 FOMC Minutes of July 26--27 Meet (2pm et)
MBA weekly Mortgage/Refinance Applications
Atlanta Fed Business Inflation Expectations
EIA weekly Petroleum Stats

Fed's Bullard on Economy & Monetary Policy w/Q&A @Washington University- St. Louis Olin Business School Wealth & Asset Management Research Conference w/speakers from BLK, WFC, Alan Spector, JPM, and FinTech Co's. (1pm St. Louis)
Russia July Unemployment Rate
Brazil Foreign Exchange Flows
    OVERNIGHT into US Thurs. a.m. et:
         Japan July Merchandise Trade Balance (Imports/Exports)
         New Zealand ANZ Aug. Consumer Confidence
         China July Property Prices
         Aussie July Unemployment Rate/Change/Particpation
         RBA July Fx Transactions
         RBA's Hancock a panelist (Sydney)
         Japan July (F) Machine Tool Orders
         Eurozone June Current Account + Construction Output, July CPI
         French Q2 Unemployment Rate
         UK July Retail Sales
         Hong Kong July Unemployment Rate
         ECB publishes Minutes of its MPC meeting (Upped QE)
Thursday,     Aug. 18 US weekly Jobless Claims
Philly Fed Aug. Business Outlook Survey, CapEx, EMployment, New Orders Prices
EIA weekly Natural Gas Report
US Treasury Refunding Announcement incl. 2, 5, & 7-years Notes +FRN (11am et)
US Treasury Auctions $14b reopened 5-year TIPS
Germany's Merkel & EU Pres. Tusk Meet to Set Agenda for UK Brexit
Canada June Int'l Securities Transactions
Russia Central Bank Reserves
Fed's Williams speak on Economic Outlook w/Q&A @Anchorage Economic Development Corp Luncheon  (Anchorage Alaska 3:30pm et)
Weekly US Fed Balance Sheet & Money Supply
    OVERNIGHT into US Fri. a.m. et:
          New Zealand July Credit Card Spending & Visitors & Migration
          Indonesia MPC Rate Decision (Fri local time)
          Japan Reuters Aug. Tankan Index, June All Industry Activity Index
          German July PPI
          UK July Public Finances, Central Gov't NCR, Public Sector Borrowing
Friday,         Aug. 19 Baker-Hughes weekly US/North America Rig Count (1pm et)
Canada June Retail Sales, + July BoC CPI
Saturday,    Aug. 20 Olympics schedule includes Women's Golf, Men's Singles Badminton, Taekwondo,Women's Basketball, Canoe Kayak Sprint, Women's Rhythmic Gymnastics, Water Polo, Triathalon Semi-final, Diving, Men's Soccer Bronze Match

         WEEKS AHEAD: 
09/06      RBA (Aussie) MPC Meets
                                          09/07     Fed's Beige Book
                                                      
BoC (Canada) MPC Meets
                                         09/08      ECB MPC Meets
                                         09/15      BoE MPC Meets
                                                     
SNB (Swiss) MPC Meets
                                    09/20--21   FOMC Meets


*FOMC 2016 Voting Members:  Five governors on the FOMC are permanent voters: Janet Yellen, Stanley Fischer, Lael Brainard, Jay Powell and Dan Tarullo.vote at every meeting. (Board Governors endure 2 vacancies that Senate refuses to confirm). Like the NY Fed pres. is, also, a permanent FOMC voting member. The rest of the voters, in 2016, are 5 of the 11 regional Fed Pres.: Loretta Mester (Cleveland), Eric Rosengren (Boston), James Bullard (St. Louis) and Esther George (Kansas City). Mester, George and Bullard are hawks, while Rosengren is considered a dove. Evans, Lockhart, Williams, and Lacker were 2015 voters, now off the voting panel at 2016 FOMC meetings. Neel Kashkari, former TARP overseer, took over Presidency of the Minneapolis Federal Reserve Bank, replacing Kocherlakota, who wound up a short-lived leader. Kashkari won't vote in 2016 but will stick to his "Too Big .to Fail" mantra on banks
                     

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