wall street in advance

February 2016 Economic Statistics
and Other Economic Influences

TUESDAYS:
                Weekly Chain Store Sales*
                 Average Hourly Earnings*
                 API Weekly Gas/Oil Stockpiles Report*  **
(4:30p.m.)
    WEDNESDAYS:
                
Mortgage Applications  Data
                 EIA Weekly Report on Gas & Oil Stockpiles* (10a.m.)
    THURSDAYS:
                 Weekly Unemployment Report*
                  Weekly Mutual Fund Flows*
                   Natural Gas Storage Levels* (a.m.)

 *Except Holidays    ** As of 1/09         All Dates Subject to Change:
Sunday,        Jan. 31 Hong Kong Dec. CPI
New Zealand Dec Migration & Visitors
Aussie AIG Manufacturing Index
    OVERNIGHT into US Mon. a.m. et;
          So. Korea Jan. Trade Balance (Imports/Exports)+Nikkei Jan. Mnftg PMI
          China Jan. Non-Manufacturing PMI +both Official & Caixan Manufacturing PMI
          Japan Nikkei Manufacturing PMI, Jan Vehicle Sales & Official Reserves
          Aussie Jan. COmoddity Index & RBA Commodity Index SDR
          India Jan. Nikkei Markit Manufacturing PMI
          Russia Markit Jan. Manufacturing PMI
          Swiss SVME an. PMI
          Eurozone, Italian, French & German Jan. Manufacturing PMI
          BoE Dec. Consumer Credit & M4 Money Supply
          UK Jan. Manufacturing PMI + Dec. Mortgage Approvals/Lending
Monday,       Feb. 01 Fed Gov. Fischer speaks on "Recent Monetary Policy" @COuncil of Foreign Relations/C. Peter McColough Series on International Economics (noon est NY)
US Dec. Personal Income/Spending + PCE
US Jan. PMI Manufacturing Index
US ISM Jan. Manufacturing Index
Dec. US Construction Spending
US Treasury Auctions $37B 3- & $30B 6-month Bills
Brazil Jan. Markit Manufacturing PMI & Jan. Trade Balance
South Africa Jan. Vehicle Sales
Canada RBC Jan. Manufacturing PMI
    OVERNIGHT into US Tues. a.m. et:
          South Korea Jan CPI
          RBA (Aussie) Feb, MPC Rate Decision (02/02 local time)
          India Central Bank Interest Rate Decision
+ Reverse Repo Rate & Cash Reserve Ratio
          Swiss Dec. Retail Sales
          Hong Kong Dec. Retail Sales
          German Jan. Unemployment Rate
          Italy Dec. Unemployment Rate
          UK Jan. Construction PMI
          BoJ Minutes of its Dec. MPC Meeting (02/02 local time)
Tuesday,       Feb. 02 US Jan. Motor Vehicle Sales
US Treasury Auctions $18B 52-week Bills
K.C. Fed's George on US Economy at Central Exchange (1pm et Kansas City MO)
SNB's Jordan on perspectives for Swiss economy & monetary policy (Geneva)
Fathom Consulting Qtrly Monetary Policy Forum (London)
Eurozone Dec. Unemployment Rate, Retail Sales, & Dec. PPI
Brazil Dec. Industrial Production
Singapore Jan. Manufacturing PMI
South Korea Jan. FX Reserves
    OVERNIGHT into US Wed. a.m. et:
          New Zealand 15Q4 Unemployment Rate/Change/Participation/Labor Cost
          Aussie Jan. AIG Services Index, Dec. Building Approvals, Trade Balance, + Private House Approvals
          Japan Dec. Overtime Pay + Jan. Household Confidence +Nikkei Services & Composite PMI
          China Jan. Caixan Services & Composite PMI
          Hong Kong Jan. Manufacturing PMI
          India Nikkei Jan. Services PMI  
          Russia Markit Jan. Services PMI
          South Africa Jan. Standard Bank PMI
          Eurozone, Spanish, Italian, French & German Jan Services PMI & Composite
          UK Jan. Services PMI & BRC Jan. Shop Price Index
          BoJ's Kuroda speaks at Kyodo News Agency event (Tokyo)
Wednesday, Feb. 03 ADP Jan Employment Report
MBA Mortgage/Refinance Applications
US Treasury Announces Refunding Plans incl. 10-Notes & 30-year Bonds
US PMI Jan Services Index
US ISM Jan. Services Index
EIA weekly Petroleum Status
ECB's Draghi, German Bundesbank's Ulbrich & Dutch Central Bank Chief Knot speak at Bundesbank Conference (Frankfurt German thru 02/04)
Italian Jan CPI & HICP
Eurozone Dec. Retail Sales
Brazil Markit Jan. Services & Composite PMI
    OVERNIGHT into US Thurs. a.m. et:
          Swiss SECO Q1 Consumer Climate
          Russia Central Bank Reserves
          German Markit Jan. Construction PMI
          UK Jan. New Car Registrations
          ECB Economic Bulletin
Thursday,    Feb. 04 Jan. US Chain Store Sales (a few will report Qtr)
Challenger Jan. Job-cut Report
15Q4 US Productivity & Costs

US Dec. Factory Orders
US Dec. (F) Durable Goods Orders/Shipments
EIA weekly Natural Gas Report
Cleveland Fed's Mester speaks on eco outlook & monetary policy @Market News Int'l (5pm et)
US weekly Fed Balance Sheet & US Money Supply
BoE MPC Feb. Interest Rate Decision & Q3 Target + Minutes
Brazil Jan. Auto Production & Sales
    OVERNIGHT into US Fri. a.m. et:
         Aussie Jan. AIG Construction Index & Dec.+Dec./Q4 Retail Sales
         Japan Jan. Foreign Reserves
         South Africa Jan. FX Reserves
         German Dec. Factory Orders
         French Dec. Trade Balance (Exports/Imports)
         Singapore Jan. Foreign Reserves
         UK Halifax Jan House Prices
        
Friday,         Feb. 05 US Jan. Unemployment Report
US Dec. Consumer Credit
(Debt Really, @3pm et)
US Dec. International Trade Deficit
Baker-Hughes weekly US/No. Am. ig Count
BIS Gen, Manager Caruana speaks @London School of Economics (London)
RBA releases Qtrly Monetary Policy Statement
Canada Jan. Unemployment Rate, IVEY PMI, Dec. Building Permits, & 15Q4 Int'l Trade
Brazil Jan. CPI & IGP=DI Inflation Index
Saturday,     Feb. 06 China Jan. Foreign Reserves
US Presidential Candidates Debate
Sunday,       Feb. 07     OVERNIGHT into US Mon. a.m. et:
         UK Halifax plc Jan. House Prices
         Japan Dec. Current Account, Trade Balance, Labor Cash Earnings, & Overtime Pay + Jan.  Bankruptcies, &  Bank Lending
         BoJ releases summary of Jan MPC Meeting Debate
         Aussie Jan. Jobs Ads
         Spanish Dec. Industrial Production
         Chinese Jan. Direct Foreign Investment
         German Dec. Industrial Production
Monday,      Feb. 08 US Treasury Auctions $37B 3- & $30B 6-month Bills
TD Ameritrade IMX (Individual Investor Gauge)
US Fed Jan. Labor Market Conditions
FDIC Chair Gruenberg speaks @Nat'l Interagency Community Reinvestment Conference--"Pathways to Economic Opportunity" sponsored by San Franciso Fed Reserve Bank, FDIC, OCC, and CDFI
Canada Dec. Building Permits, Jan Housing Starts
BoC Deputy Lane speaks (Montreal)
France Auctions 3-, 6-, & 12-month BTF
India 15Q3 GDP
Holidays in China, Singapore, Brazil, New Zealand, Hong Kong, So. Korea
    OVERNIGHT into US Tues. a.m. et:
         New Zealand Jan House Prices
         Japan Jan M3 & (Prelim) Machine Tool Orders
         Aussie HIA Dec New Home Sales + NAB Jan. Biz Conditions
         Swiss Jan. Unemployment Rate
         German Dec. Trade Balance, Industrial Production + Current Account
         South Africa 15Q4 Unemployment Rate
         UK BRC Like for Like Jan Sales & Dec Trade Balance
Tuesday,     Feb. 09 NFIB Jan. Small Business Optimism Index
MBA Q4 Mortgage Delinquencies & Foreclosures
Dec. US JOLTS
(Job Turnover & Quits-10am et)
Redbook weekly Store Sales Snapshot
OCC's Curry speaks at "Pathways to Economic Opportunity" Interagency Conference, also speaking today US Treas. Ass't Sec'y for Financial Institutions
US Dec. Wholesale Trade/Inventories & Sales
US Treasury Auctions $24B 3-year Notes (1pm et)
Bk of Spain Gov. Linde lecture "An outlook on the Spanish Economy" @Official Monetary & Financial Institutions Forum (London
ECB's Praet keynotes @Harvard Univ. conference: "Lender of Last Resort: An International Perspective" (Washington D.C.)
New Hampshire Primary
Holidays in China, Singapore, Brazil, Hong Kong, So. Korea
    OVERNIGHT into US Wed. a.m. et:
         New Zealand Jan. Card Spending
         Japan Q4 Housing Loans, Jan. Corporate Goods Price Index
         Chinese Jan. Aggregate Financing, New Yuan Loans, & M1+M2
         New Zealand REINZ Jan. House Sales
         French Dec. Current Account & Industrial Production
         Italian Dec. Industrial Production
         Singapore Jan. Foreign Reserves
         UK Dec. Industrial & Manufacturing Production 
         Iceland Central Bank MPC Rate Decision (800 GMT-- Wed local time)
Wednesday, Feb. 10 FOMC Chief Yellen Testifies @US House (10am et)
MBA weekly Mortgage/Refinance Applications
EIA weekly Petroleum Stats
US Treasury Auctions $23B 10-year Notes
S.F. Fed's Williams speaks on health and the economy @"Pathways to Economic Opportunity" Interagency Community Reinvestment Conference (Los Angeles 1:30pm)
US weekly Treasury Budget
Brazil Foreign Exchange Flows
UK NIESR Jan. GDP Estimate
Holidays in China, Hong Kong, Brazil, & South Korea
     OVERNIGHT into US Thurs. a.m. et:
          New Zealand Jan. Business PMI
          UK RICS Jan. House Price Balance
          Swiss Jan. CPI & CPI-EU Harmonized
          South Africa Dec. Gold & Mining Production
         RBA's Stevens semi-annual testimony @Aussie House Standing Cmte on Economics (Thurs. local time)
Thursday,    Feb. 11 FOMC Chief Yellen Testifies @ US Senate (10am et)
US weekly Jobless Claims
EIA Natural Gas Report
US Treasury Auctions $15B 30-year Bonds (1pm et)
US Treasury Releases Refunding Plans
Fed weekly Balance Sheet & US Money Supply
Russian Central Bank Reserves
Sweden's Riiksbank MPC Rate Decision & Report published
Canada Dec. New House Price Index
Holidays in China & Japan
     OVERNIGHT into US Fri. a.m. et:
          New Zealand Jan. Food Prices
          Aussie Dec. Home Loans, Investment Lending, Card Balances, Value of All Loans
          RBA Gov. Stevens speaks
          German 15Q4 (Prelim) GDP, Jan. (F) CPI, WPI, +HCIP
          Italian 15Q4 (Prelim) GDP
          Spanish Jan. HICP +CPI
          UK Dec. Constructon Output
Friday,         Feb. 12 US Jan. Retail Sales
US Jan. Import/Export Prices
NY Fed's Dudley press briefing on trends in household borrowing & indebtedness trends (10am et), concurrent with release of 15Q4 "The Household Debt & Credit Report"  (includes mortgages, student loans, credit cards, auto loans & delinquencies)
Dallas Fed's Kaplan opens Dallas Fed Texas Housing Outlook Conference (9:45am)
US Dec. Business Inventories
U.M. (Prelim) Feb. Consumer Sentiment
Baker-Hughes weekly US/No. Am. Rig Count (1pm et)
Eurozone 15Q4 GDP & Dec. Industrial Production
India Dec. FX Reservces, + Dec. Industrial Production & Manufacturing Output
Canada Teranet/National Bank Jan. Home Price Index
Saturday,    Feb. 13

       WEEKS AHEAD: 
02/15        US Markets Closed for George Washington's Birthday        
                                       02/16         RBA (Aussie) Minutes of Feb. MPC Meeting
                                                        Philly Fed Pres Harker speaks on eco outlook @2016 Economic Forecast panel sponsored by Lyons Companies & Univ. of Delaware Ctr for Economic Education & Entrepreneurship                           
                                       02/17        FOMC Jan. 27th Meeting Minutes Released
                                       03/01         RBA (Aussie) Meets
                                       03/09         BoC meets
                                       03/10         ECB Meets
                                03/15--16         FOMC Meets
    

*FOMC 2016 Voting Members:  Five governors on the FOMC ar permanent voters: Janet Yellen, Stanley Fischer, Lael Brainard, Jay Powell and Dan Tarullo.vote at every meeting. (Board Governors endure 2 vacancies that Senate refuses to confirm). Like the NY Fed pres. is, also, a permanent FOMC voting member. The rest of the voters, in 2016, are 5 of the 11 regional Fed Pres.: Loretta Mester (Cleveland), Eric Rosengren (Boston), James Bullard (St. Louis) and Esther George (Kansas City). Mester, George and Bullard are hawks, while Rosengren is considered a dove. Evans, Lockhart, Williams, and Lacker were 2015 voters, now off the voting panel at 2016 FOMC meetings. Neel Kashkari, former TARP overseer, took over Presidency of the Minneapolis Federal Reserve Bank, replacing Kocherlakota, who wound up a short-lived leader. Kashkari won't vote in 2016.
                     

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