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January 2016 Economic
Statistics
and Other Economic Influences |
TUESDAYS:
Weekly Chain Store Sales*
Average Hourly Earnings*
API Weekly Gas/Oil Stockpiles Report* ** (4:30p.m.)
WEDNESDAYS:
Mortgage Applications Data
EIA Weekly Report on Gas & Oil Stockpiles* (10a.m.)
THURSDAYS:
Weekly Unemployment Report*
Weekly Mutual Fund Flows*
Natural Gas Storage Levels* (a.m.)
*Except Holidays ** As of 1/09
All Dates Subject to Change: |
| Sunday,
Jan. 03 |
|
S.F. Fed President Williams
speaks at AEA
on "The Equilibrium Interest Rate--Theory, Measurement, & Use in Monetary
Policy"(Economics Ass'n 8am et)
Fed Gov. Fischer speaks at AEA, "Central Banking: What's Next? on a
panel that includes John Taylor "The United States Economy: Where from Here?"
(10:15am et)
Fed's Mester speaks @AEA on "US Economic & Monetary POlicy
Developments; on a panel on "The United States & Global Economic Outlook"
OVERNIGHT into US Mon. a.m. et:
China extends mainland trading in
Yuan by 7 hours, to 11:30pm
Aussie AIG Dec. Performance of
Manufacturing Index+Corelogic RP Dec House Price Data
Japan Nikkei Dec. Final PMI
Manufacturing
Japan Dec. Official Reserves
Aussie RBA Commodity Index
Caixin Dec. China PMI Maufacturing
Singapore Q4 GDP & URA Property
Index
So. Korea Nikkei Dec. Manufacturing
PMI
Suisse SVME-Purchasing Managers
Index
Markit France, Germany, Spain,
Italy, & Eurozone Dec. Manufacturing PMI
Hong Kong Nov. Retail Sales
BoE Nov. Consumer Credit
& UK Nov. Mortgage Approvals/Lending
|
| Monday,
Jan. 04 |
|
US Dec. PMI Manufacturing
Index/Prices Paid
US ISM Dec. Manufacturing Index
US Treasury Auctions $28B 3-, & $26B 6-month Bills
TD Ameritrade IMX (12:30pm et)
1st Week for Mortgage Issuers to Force Flood Insurance on buyers, if the
home being borrowed against is in Flood Hazard Areas. Costs must be added to Mortgage
UK Nov Net Consumer Credit & Net Lending on Dewellings+Mortgage Approvals
UK M4 Money Supply & Markit Dec. Consumer Price Index & Dec Mnftg PMI
German Dec. CPI & HICP
RBC Dec. Canadian Manufacturing PMI
Markit US Dec. (F) Manufacturing PMI
Fed's Wiliams speaks @AEA on "The Implementaiton of Macroprudential
Policy by Central Banks"
Singapore Dec. Manufacturing PMI
French 3-, 6, & 12-month BTF Auction
Brazil Markit Dec. Manufacturing PMI & Dec. Trade Balance
CFTC Releases Speculative Net Positions on Commodities, & S&P 500 +Forex
Holiday in New Zealand
South Korea Dec FX Reserves & Nov. Current Account
OVERNIGHT into US Tues. a.m. et:
Japan Dec. Monetary Base End of Period +
Nov. Loans & Discounts
Japan Foreign Minister Taro Aso speaks
@Parliament
German Nov. Retail Sales
Italian Dec. CPI & HICP
New Zealand Dairy Auction Avg Winning
Price +Whole Milk Price
Japan Dec. Vehicle Sales
German Dec. Unemploymet Rate
UK Markit/CIPS UK Dec. Construction PMI
|
| Tuesday,
Jan. 05 |
|
US Dec. Motor Vehicle Sales
Redbook weekly Store Sales Snapshot (Includes post-Christmas)
US Treasury Auctions $16B 52-week Bills
Pres. Obama holds Town Hall on guns @George Mason Univ. (Marks 5th
Anniversary of Gabby Griffords' Shooting)
Bank Stress Tests & Capital Plans are NOT Due--submission moved to
April
Eurozone Dec. CPI
Canadian Banks' Chief Economists provide 2016 Economic Outlook
Canada Nov. Industrial Product Price Index (IPPI) & Raw Materials Price Index
(RMPI)
OVERNIGHT into US Wed. a.m. et:
Aussie AIG Dec. Performance of
Service Index
Nikkei Japan Dec. PMI Composite
China Westpac-MNI Dec Consumer Sentiment
Caixin China Dec. PMI Services &
Composite Indexes
UK Halifax Dec House Prices
Markit ADACI Italy Dec. Services PMI
Markit Germany Dec. BME Composite PMI
French Markit Dec Services &
Composite PMI
Eurozone Markit Dec Services &
Composite PMI
UK Dec. Official Reserves + Markit/CHIPS
UK Services & Composite PMI
|
| Wednesday, Jan 06 |
|
FOMC Minutes of
Dec. 2015 (Lift-off) Meeting Released (2pm et)
MBA weekly Mortgage/Refinance Applications
ADP Dec. Private Sector Employment Report
US Nov. International Trade Deficit
US PMI Dec. Services Index
US Markit Dec Services & Composite PMI
US Nov. Factory Orders
ISM Dec. Services Index
EIA weekly Petroleum Stats (Midwest floods caused rig, pipeline &
refiners shut)
Cato Institute "Lawless: The Obama Administration's Unprecedented Assult on
the Constitution & Rule of Law"
UK Dec. Services PMI
Canada Nov. Trade Balance (Exports/Imports)
Eurozone Dec Services PMI & PPI
Brazil Market Dec. Servcices & Composite PMI & ForEx Flows
OVERNIGHT into US Thurs. a.m. et:
Japan Dec Purchase of Foreign
Stocks & Bonds & Vice versa
Aussie Nov. Trade Balance
(Exports/Imports) & Building Approvals
China Dec. Foreign Reserves
Germany Nov. Factory Orders
Swiss Dec. Foreign Currency
Reserves
Markit German Dec. Construction PMI
& Nov Retail Sales
Hong Kong Dec. Foreign Reserves
Italian Nov. Monthly Unemployment
Rate
Singapore Dec. Foreign Reserves
UK Dec. New Car
Registrations
Eurozone Dec. Business
& Consumer Confidence, Inflation Expectations, Services Sentiment, Selling
Price Expectations
Markit Eurozone, Germany,
Italy, & France Dec. Retail PMI
|
| Thursday,
Jan. 07 |
|
US Dec. Chain Store Sales (Add
to 11 that report monthly, those releasing "Holiday"sales this week and
next)
Challenger Dec. Job-Cut Report
US Weekly Jobledss Claims (watch for mall retailers to let go seasonals)
Fed's Lacker provides "Economic Outlook January 2016" (Raleigh
Chamber of Commerce NC)
Chico's Fed's Evans speaks on "Current Economic Conditions &
Monetary Policy" @Wisconsin Bankers Association Economic Forecast Luncheon
(Madison WI 2:15pm)
EIA weekly Natural Gas Rport
US Treasury Announces Refunding Plans incl. 3-, 10-, & 30 year
BoC Gov, Poloz speaks at the Ottawa Business Journal/Ottawa Chanber of
Commerce's Breakfast Series
Fed Weekly Balance Sheet & Money Supply
Bk of Canada's Poloz speaks (Ottawa)
Canada Ivey Dec. PMI
Eurozone Dec Business Climate Indicator, Consumer, Services, Industrial Confidence
Eurozone Nov. Unempolyment Rate & Nov. Retail Sales
Brazil Nov Industrial Production, & Dec. Vehicle Production & Sales
Russia Orthodox Christmas Holiday
OVERNIGHT into US Fri. a.m. et:
Aussie AIG Dec Performance of Construction Index Nov. Retail Sales
UK's
Jonathan Hill meets with BoE Dep'ty Gov Jon Cunliffe
Aussie
Nov Retail Sales
Japan
Nov Labor Cash Earnibngs
China
Dec. Foreign Direct Investment, Dec. Trade Balance (Imports/Exports)
Aussie Dec Foreign Reserves
Swiss
Dec Unemployment Rate & Dec. CPI
German
Nov. Industrial Production, Trade Balance & Current Account
French Nov Trade Balance (Imports/Exports), +Nov Industrial Production
UK
Nov. Visible Trade Balance & Total Trade Balance
|
| Friday,
Jan. 08 |
|
Dec. US Unemployment Data,
Avg Hrly Earnings, Participation Rate
US Nov. Wholesale Trade
Baker-Hughes weekly US/North American Rig Count
US Nov. Consumer Credit (Debt, really, savings rate, PCE)
Richmond Fed's Lacker speaks on "Economic Outlook, January
2016" before Maryland Banker's Ass'n First Friday Economic Outlook Forum
S.F. Fed Pres Williams speaks on eco outlook @CA Ass'n of Bankers (Santa Barbara, CA)
Brazil Dec CPI
Canada Dec Unemployment Rate & Net Change/Participation Rate
Canada Revisions to Seasonally Adjusted Householde Survey Data & Nov. Building Permits
OVERNIGHT INTO US Sat. am. et:
China Dec CPI & PPI
|
| Saturday,
Jan. 09 |
|
House Republicans Attend Kemp Forum
on Expanding Opportunity--A Retreat to draw up priorities for the
Congressional Year, and Party's Presidential Platform (Columbia SC) [Expect a lot of noise
for a half-day event]
|
| Sunday,
Jan. 10 |
|
OVERNIGHT
into US Mon. a.m. et:
China Dec. Foreign Direct
Investment, Aggregate Financing, New Yuan Loans
New Zealand Nov. Building Permits
& REINZ Dec. House Sales
Swiss Nov Retail Sales + Q4 Real
Estate Index of Family Homes
Eurozone Sentix Jan. Investor
Confidence
|
| Monday,
Jan. 11 |
|
Fed's US Labor Market
Conditions Index (10am et)
Fed's Lockhart speaks (12:40p,m et Rotary Club, Atlanta, GA)
US Treasury Auctions $28B 3- & $26B 6-month Bills
Dallas Fed Pres Kaplan speaks on eco outlook (Dallas TX 7:50pm)
US Supreme Court hears arguments on Freidrichs vs California Teacher's
Assn case on forced union membership in collective bargaining situations
Canada Dec. Housing Starts, Business Outlook Survey (Future Sales)
BoC Q4 Senior Loan Officer Survey (Oil firms?) + Canada Oct Budget
Balance
OVERNIGHT into US Tues. a.m. et:
Japan Nov Current Account, Trade
Balance, Dec. Lending by Banks & Trusts
New Zealand ANZ Dec. Commodity
Prices
UK BRC Dec. Like-for-Like Sales
Aussie Nov Credit Card Purchases
& Balances
UK Nov. Industrial &
Manufacturing Production
|
| Tuesday,
Jan. 12 |
|
NFIB Small Business Optimism Index
US Nov. JOLTS (Job Turnover/Quits)
Redbook weekly Retail Sales Snapshot
Dallas Fed's Kaplan speaks to North Texas Economic Forum (Dallas)
US Treasury Auctions $24B 3-year Notes
Richmond Fed's Lacker speech (repeats) "Economic Outlook January
2016" @South Carolina Business & Industry Political Education Cmte
(3:15pm et Columbia, SC)
Pres. Obama State of the Union Address (9pm et)
UK NFIB Dec. Small Business Optimism
South Africa Nov. Manufacturing Production
India Dec. CPI, Nov. Industrial Production/Manufacturing Output
OVERNIGHT into US Wed. a.m. et:
South Korea Dec.
Unemployment Rate & Import Price Index + Nov. M2
French Dec. CPI &
HICP
New Zealand Dec House
Prices
Japan Nov Job
Vacancies, Dec. Bankruptcies, Dec. M3 Money Supply
Chinese Dec.
Trade Balance (Imports/Exports)
Eurozone Nov.
Industrial Production
|
| Wednesday, Jan. 13 |
|
Boston Fed's Rosengren
speaks on eco outlook (7:45am et Greater Boston Chamber of Commerce Government Affairs
Forum)
Chico Fed's Evans delivers Current Economic Conditions & Monetary
Policy @Corridor Economic Forecast Luncheon (1pm Cedar Rapids, IA)
Fed's Beige Book (1pm et)
US Treasury Auctions $21B reopened 10-year Notes (1pm et)
MBA weekly Mortgage/Refinance Applications
Atlanta Fed Business Inflation Expectations
EIA weekly Petroleum Stats
US weekly Treasury Budget
BoE Meets 2-days
SNB's (Swiss) Governing Board Chair Zurbrugg speech "Competitiveness
of Swiss Business--The Contribution of the SNB (Zug)
Brazil Nov. Retail Sales + Foreign Exchange Flows
Canada Teranet/Nat'l Bank Dec. HPI
Republican Presidential Candidates Debate (Fox Business Network)
OVERNIGHT into US Thurs. a.m. et:
New Zealand Dec. Card Spending & ANZ
Heavy Truckometer
Japan Nov. Machine/Tool Orders, Dec.
Corporate Goods Price Index (CGPI)
Singapore Q4 GDP
Aussie Dec. Unemployment
Rate/Change/Participation
German FY15 GDP, Public
Finance Balances/GDP Ratio, Dec. Wholesale Price Index (WPI)
South Korean Central Bank MPC Rate
Decision
India Dec WPI Food, Fuel,
Manufacturing (Inflation)
Italian Nov Industrial Production
Spanish Nov. Current Account
South African Manufacturing PMI +
Nov. Gold & Mining Production
|
| Thursday,
Jan. 14 |
|
S.L. Fed's Bullard speaks
on US Economy & Monetary Policy (8:15am Economic Club of Memphis, TN)
Weekly US Jobless Claims (should start rising as retailers lay off seasonal workers)
Dec. US Import/Export Price Indices
EIA weekly Natural Gas Report
US Treasury Refunding Announcement
US Treasury Auctions $13B reopened 30-year Bonds
US Fed weekly Balance Sheet & US weekly Money Supply
Philly Fed Revisions to Manufacturing Business Outlook Survey
BoE MPC Rate Decision, Minutes, Jan. Asset Purchase Target & Total QE
ECB Releases Minutes of Dec. MPC Meeting
Eurogroup Meets
Canada Nov. New Housing Price Index
OVERNIGHT into US Fri. a.m. et:
New Zealand Dec. Food Prices
Aussie Nov. Home Loans, Investment
Lending, & Value of All Loans
Singapore Nov. Retail Sales
French Nov. Gov't Budget Balance
Spanish Dec. CPI & HICP
Italian Dec. CPI & HICP
U.K. Nov. Construction Output
Eurozone Nov. Trade Balance
|
| Friday,
Jan. 15 |
|
US Dec. Producer Price
Index-Final Demand (PPI-FD)
US Dec. Retail Sales
NY Fed's Dudley speaks to Economic
Leadership Forum (9am et Somerset NJ)
Last day to trade EXPIRING Jan. EQUITY OPTIONS, some dating back
to 2013
Empire State/NY Fed Manufacturing Survey
Dec. US Industrial Production/Capacity Utilization (Hit by floods,
tornados, etc)
U.M. Prelim. Jan Consumer Sentiment
US Nov. Business Inventories
Baker-Hughes weekly North American/US Rig Count (1pm et)
EU Finance Ministers Meet (Brussels)
Canada Dec. Existing Home Sales
|
| Saturday, Jan.
16 |
|
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WEEKS AHEAD: 01/18 h
Martin Luther King Jr US Holiday (US Markets Closed)
01/20 BoC Meets
01/21 ECB Meets
01/28 RBNZ (New Zealand) Meets
01/29 BoJ Meets
02/02 RBA (Aussie) Meets
*FOMC 2016 Voting Members: Five
governors on the FOMC: Janet Yellen, Stanley Fischer, Lael Brainard, Jay Powell and Dan
Tarullo.vote at every meeting. (Board Governors endure 2 vacancies that Senate refuses to
confirm). Like the NY Fed pres. Fed Govn'rs are permanent FOMC voting members. The rest of
the voters, in 2016, are 5 of the 11 regional Fed Pres.: Loretta Mester
(Cleveland), Eric Rosengren (Boston), James Bullard (St. Louis) and Esther George (Kansas
City). Mester, George and Bullard are hawks, while Rosengren is considered a
dove. Evans, Lockhart, Williams, and Lacker were 2015 voters, now off the voting
panel at 2016 FOMC meetings. Neel Kashkari, former TARP overseer, took over
Presidency of the Minneapolis Federal Reserve Bank, replacing Kocherlakota, who wound up a
short-lived leader. Kashkari won't vote in 2016.
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