wall street in advance

July 2016 Economic Statistics
and Other Economic Influences

TUESDAYS:
                Weekly Chain Store Sales*
                 Average Hourly Earnings*
                 API Weekly Gas/Oil Stockpiles Report*  **
(4:30p.m.)
    WEDNESDAYS:
                
Mortgage Applications  Data
                 EIA Weekly Report on Gas & Oil Stockpiles* (10a.m.)
    THURSDAYS:
                 Weekly Unemployment Report*
                  Weekly Mutual Fund Flows*
                   Natural Gas Storage Levels* (a.m.)

 *Except Holidays    ** As of 1/09         All Dates Subject to Change:
Sunday,       July 03     OVERNIGHT into US Mon. a.m. et:
         Japan Official June Reserve Assets & June Monetary Base
         ECB's Coeure panelist @Conference (Aix-en-Provence France)
         Lloyd's UK June Business Barometer
         Aussie June Job Ads & Inflation, May Building Approvals
         UK Markit/CIPS June Construction PMI
         Eurozone May PPI
         Singapore June Manufactruring PMI
Monday,     July 04 US Independence Day Holiday, ALL US Markets Closed
Canada RBC June Manufacturing PMI, Q2 BoC Business Outlook for Future Sales
RBC Canada Q2 Senior Loan Officer Survey
    OVERNIGHT into US Tues a.m. et:
         Aussie May Trade Balance
(Imports/Exports), & Retail Sales + AIG June Performance of Service Index
         South Korea June Foreign Reserves
         New Zealand June QV House Prices   & Commodity Prices, QSBO Q2 Capacity Utilization, & Business Confidence
         Japan Tankan Survey/Inflation Outlook
         China Caixan June Services & Composite PMI
         Japan June Nikkei Services & Composite PMI
         RBA (Aussie) MPC Rate Decision (Tues. local time)
         Markit Eurozone, Italy, France, German & Spain Services & Composite PMI
         South Africa June Standard Bank PMI
         UK June Official Reserves, Markit/CIPS June Services/Composite PMI
         Euorozone May Retail Sales
         German Chancellor Merkel speaks at 35-nationa conference on climate change (Berlin 4:30am et) w/press conference
        Boao Forum for Asia Financial Cooperation w/AIIB Pres. Liqun, former PBoC Vice Gov. Ziaoling (Tuesday local time)
         Paris Europlace Int'l Financial Forum & Awards (Tues. local time thru 6th)
         BoE Semi-Annual Financial Stability Report
Tuesday,     July 05 US May Factory Orders
NY Fed's Dudley participates in roundtable @Binghampton Chamber of Commerce Conference (Binghampton NY 2:30pm et)
BoE Gov Carney Press Conference discussing Semi-Annual Financial Stability Report
BoE conducts 4th ITLR Operation
US May (F) May Durable Goods
US Treasury Auctions $34B 3-, & $29B 6-month Bills +$45B 4-wk Bills
Pres. Obama joins Hillary Clinton on campaign trail (Charlotte NC)
UK Conservative Party starts balloting for PM Cameron's Successor (thru 7th)
Brazil Markit June Composite & Services PMI
TD Ameritrade IMX (12:30pm et)
USDA weekly Crop Report
Riksbank (Swedes) MPC Meets
Argentine Pres. Macri meets German Chancellor Merkel (Berli)
    OVERNIGHT into US Wed. a.m. et:
         Hong Kong June Manufacturing PMI
         Taiwan June Inflation
         German May Factory Orders & Markit June ConstructionPMI
         Spanish May Industrial Production
         UK BRIC June Shop Price Index & New Car Registrations
         RBA's Debelle speaks
         Markit Eurozone, Italy, German & French June PMI        
Wed.           July 06 NY Fed Pres Dudley speaks @NY Fed Outreach stop, then mingles @Southern Tier Economic Development Council  (8am et Vestal NY)
FedTarullo discusses the intersection of regulation & monetary policy (DC 9am et)
FOMC Releases Minutes of June 14/15 Meeting
(2pm et)
US weekly Mortgage/Refinance Applications (rates lowest in years in the wk)
US May Int'l Trade Deficit

US June PMI  Services Index
US June ISM Non-Manufacturing Index
ECB/Bk of France Gov.de Galhau keynotes the Paris Europlace Int'l Financial Forum
Redbook weekly Store Sales Snapshot
UK Publishes Inquiry into its role in 2003 Iraq Invasion (Blair was PM, then)
Canada May Int'l Merchandise Trade (Imports/Exports)
Deadline for Bids for 100% Stake in Greece's Rail System, under its privatization plans developed in exchange for EU bail-out
Brazil June Auto Production & Sales
Holidays in India & Singapore
    OVERNIGHT into US Thurs. a.m. et:
         Aussie AIG June Performance of Construction Index & June Foreign Reserves
         Japan June Foreign Investment in Stocks & Bonds & vice Versa
         BoJ's Kuroda speaks at Central Bank's Branch Managers' Meeting
         Chinese June Foreign Reserves
         South Africa June Foreign Reserves
         French May Current Account & Trade Balance (Imports/Exports)
         German May Industrial Production
         Swiss June Foreign Currency Reserves, & CPI
         UK Halifax plc June House Prices, May Industrial & Manufacturing Production
         Hong Kong June Foreign Reserves
         Singapore June Foreign Reserves
         ECB Relesases Minutes of its 06/02 MPC Meeting
Thursday,   July 07 US June Chain Store Sales (9 still report monthly)
Challenger June Job Cuts
ADP June US Private Sector Employment Report

US weekly Jobless Claims
EIA weekly Natural Gas Stats (10:30am et0
EIA weekly US Petroleum Stats (11am et, delayed by holiday on 4th)
Canada May Building Permits & June Ivey PMI
UK NIESR June GDP Estimate
US Nat'l Center for Environmental Information posts 1H temps & precipitation
Dutch parliament debates euro-area challenges helmed by FinMin Dijsselbloem
US Treasury July Refunding Announcement, incl. 10-yr Notes & 30-yr Bonds
US Fed weekly Balance Sheet & Money Supply
    OVERNIGHT into US Fri. a.m. et:
         Japan May Current Account, Trade Balance, Bank Lending, Labor Cash Earnngs & Real Cash Earnings & June Bankruptcies
         China June Foreign Direct Investment
         New Zealand June House Prices 
         Swiss June Unemployment Rate
         German June Unemployment Rate, Trade Balance, Current Account
         French May Government Budget Balance & Industrial Production
         UK May Trade Balance
Friday,        July 08 US June Unemployment Rate/Change/Participation/Hourly Earnings (End to Verizon Strike should add 35K workers back into workforce--est. 180K) 
NATO Summit Pres Obama attending, along with Merkel, UK PM Cameron, Canada PM Trudeau, Turkey PM Erdogan   (Warsaw Poland thru 9th)
Brazil June CPI
Baker-Hughes weekly US/North American Rig Count (1pm et)
US May Consumer Credit (3pm et)
Canada June Unemployment Rate/Change/Participation
|Moody's Updates EU Rating, Moody's Hungary, Netherlands, Switzerland
S&P Updates Germany's Rating
Saturday,    July 09 China June CPI & PPI
Pres. Obama in Spain to meet King Felipe VI & gov't leaders
G-20 Trade Ministers Meet (Shanghai thru 7/10)
Sunday,        July 10 China Money Supply, June New Yuan Loans & Aggregate Financing
Japan Votes for half the upper House of Parliament (Abe expected to remain)
African Summit (Rigali Rwanda thru 07/18)
German Chancellor Merkel interviewed on ZDF German Nat'l TV (1:10pm et)
Euro 2016 Soccer Tournament Final played (Paris France)
    OVERNIGHT into US Mon. a.m. et:
          New Zealand June Card Spending
          Japan May Machine Orders + M3
          Aussie May Home Loans, Investment Lending & Value of Loans
          Italian May Industrial Production
          Swiss Q2 Family Homes Real Estate Index
          Japan June (P) Machine Tool Orders
          Eurogroup Meets
Monday,      July 11 K.C. Fed's George speaks on US Economy w/Q&A @Mid-America Labor Management Conference (Lake Ozark MO 10am)
US June LMCI (Labor Market Conditions Index)
US Treasury Auctions $37B 3-, & $32B 6-month Bills (11:30am et)
US Treasury Auctions $$24B 3-year Notes (1pm et)
Canada June Housing Starts, PM Trudeau visits Ukraine (thru 07/12)
French 3-, 6-, and 12-month BTF Auction
French FinMin Sapin monthly news conference (3pm edt) 
Eurogroup FinMins Meet on Italian Banks, Greece & Spain & Portugal budgets(Brussels)
    OVERNIGHT into US Tues. a.m. et:
          UK BRC June Like for Like Sales (aka retail sales monitor)
          Cleveland Fed's Mester speaks on stability at the Sydney Banking & Financial Stability Conference w/Q&A (U of Sydney Biz School, Australia 9:30pm)
          Aussie June NAB Business Conditions/Confidence, May Credit Card Purchases & Balances
         RBA's Ellis speaks (Sydney) 
         BoJ's Household Sentiment Survey
         18th EU & China Summit w/China's Pres Xi Jinping attending (Beijing)
         German (F) June CPI, WPI, + HICP
         UK Inflation Report Hearings
Tuesday,     July 12 St. L. Fed's Bullard speaks @NABE Gateway Chapter (St. Lous 8:45am et)
US NFIB Small Business Optimism Index
US May JOLTS (Job Openings & Labor Turnover/Quits)
Redbook weekly Store Snapshot
US May Wholesale Trade
US AG Lynch @House Judiciary Cmte on Hillary Clinton's email non-prosecution + tarmac meeting with Bill Clinton
International Court ruling on Philippines objection to China's claims to South China Sea Islands (China already said it won't recognize the jurisdiction   Hague)
BoE Gov. Carney @Parliament to discuss last week's Financial Stability Report
US Treasury Auctions$20B reopened 10-year Notes
South Africa May Manufacturing Production
India May Industrial Production, + Manufacturing Output, & June CPI
Brazil May Retail Sales
Russia May Trade Balance
USDA weekly Crop Report
MN Fed's Kashkari speaks on the economy & role of US Federal Reserve @Town Hall Forum (Marquette MI 5:30pm et)
    OVERNIGHT into US Wed. a.m. et:
          South Korea June Unemployment Rate & Import/Export Price Index
          China June Trade Balance (Imports/Exports)
          Japan May (F) Industrial Production/Capacity Utilization
          Fed's Mester speaks on Eco Outlook & Monetary Policy @Australian Business Economists Luncheon w/Q&A (10:30pm et)
          Spanish, Italian June CPI & HICP
          BoE Credit Conditions & Bank Liabilities Surveys
          BoE MPC Meets

          Ausrtrian FinMin Schelling to announce overhaul of Austrian Bank levy
          Eurozone May Industrial Production
Wednesday, July 13 Federal Reserve Beige Book Released (2pm et)
MBA weekly Mortgage/Refinance Applications
Dallas Fed's Kaplan @moderated Q&A @World Affairs Council (Houston, TX w/Media)
US Import/Export Prices
Atlanta Fed Business Inflation Expectations (10am et)
EIA weekly Petroleum Stats
US Treasury $12B reopened 30-year Notes

South Africa May Retail Sales
Brazil Foreign Exchange Flows
US Treasury Budget
Canada Teranet/National Bank June House Price Index
BoC MPC Rate Decision, Gov Poloz & Dpty Gov Wilkins press conference
     OVERNIGHT into US Thurs. a.m. et:
          Philly Fed's Harker speaks on Economic Outlook w/Q&A (Philly 6pm et)
          UK RICS June House Price Balance
          Singapore Q2 GDP
          Bk of Korea MPC Interest Rate Decision, Qtrly Eco Outlook, Gov Yeol press Conference (Seoul)
          Aussie June Unemployment Rate/Change/Participation +New Motor Vehicle Sales
           New Zealand Non-Resident Bond Holdings/Resident Offshore Holdings
           India Food, Fuel, & Manufacturing Inflation 
           Japan June Tokyo Condominium Sales
           RBA's Ellis panelist (Sydney Australia)
           French Pres. Hollande televised interview to discuss Brexit, US election & labor reforums, and may announce he'll seen re-election
           Swiss June Producer & Import Prices
           BoE MPC Rate Decision/July Asset Purchase Target (Thurs. local time)
Thursday,    July 14 US weekly Jobless Claims
US June PPI-
Final Demand
Fed's Bullard opens the Official Monetary & Financial Institutions Forum on monetary policy & the role of the US in global economy (St Louis 10am et)
EIA weekly Natural Gas Report
Climate Prediction Center monthly updates on Pacific Ocean El Nino/La Nina & impact on Atlantic Hurricane seasion
US Treasury Refunding Announcement
Fed's Lockhart speaks @8th Rocky Mountain Economic Summit (Victor ID 11:15am)
K.C. Fed's George speaks on economy w/Q&A (Oklahoma City OK 1:15pm)
US Fed weekly Balance Sheet & Money Supply
BoE's MPC/QE/Meeting Minutes/Gov Carney post-meeting press conference 
Mexico Central Bank Meeting Minutes (Raised rates at last meeting)
Chile & Peru Central Banks' Monetary Policy Committees meet, separately, on rates
South Africa Mining Production
Canada May New House Price Index
Russian Central Bank Reserves
    OVERNIGHT into US Fri. a.m. et:
         Fed's Bullard
holds press briefing (St Louis 6:40pm)
         Dallas Fed's Kaplan Q&A on Eco Conditions & Monetary Policy (7p,m. St Louis)
          South Korea June Trade Balance (Imports/Exports)
          China Q2 GDP & June Industrial Production, Retail Sales, & Fixed Asset Investment
          Singapore May Retail Sales 
          Italian May Trade Balance
          ECB Survey of Professional Forecasters
          UK May Construction Output
          EU 25 June New Car Registrations
          Eurozone May Trade Balance & June CPI          
Friday,         July 15 US June CPI
US June Retail Sales

BoE's Carney speaks on climate change& impact on economies (Toronto Canada)
Empire State July Manufacturing Survey
U.M. Prelim. July Consumer Sentiment
US June Industrial Production/Capacity Utilization
US May Business Inventories 
Baker-Hughes Weekly US/North America Rig Count (1pm et)
Canada June Existing Home Sales & May Manufacturers' Sales
Fed's "Too Big to Fail" Kashkari a discussant w/Fed's Bullard @Official Monetary & Financial Institutions Forum  (St Louis 1:15pm et)
11th Asia-Europe Meeting (Ulaanbaatar Mongolia)
Saturday      July 16

         WEEKS AHEAD:   
07/21    ECB MPC Meets
                                    07/26--27    FOMC MPC Meets

                                          07/.29    BoJ MPC Meets

*FOMC 2016 Voting Members:  Five governors on the FOMC are permanent voters: Janet Yellen, Stanley Fischer, Lael Brainard, Jay Powell and Dan Tarullo.vote at every meeting. (Board Governors endure 2 vacancies that Senate refuses to confirm). Like the NY Fed pres. is, also, a permanent FOMC voting member. The rest of the voters, in 2016, are 5 of the 11 regional Fed Pres.: Loretta Mester (Cleveland), Eric Rosengren (Boston), James Bullard (St. Louis) and Esther George (Kansas City). Mester, George and Bullard are hawks, while Rosengren is considered a dove. Evans, Lockhart, Williams, and Lacker were 2015 voters, now off the voting panel at 2016 FOMC meetings. Neel Kashkari, former TARP overseer, took over Presidency of the Minneapolis Federal Reserve Bank, replacing Kocherlakota, who wound up a short-lived leader. Kashkari won't vote in 2016 but will stick to his "Too Big .to Fail" mantra on banks
                     

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