wall street in advance

June 2016 Economic Statistics
and Other Economic Influences

TUESDAYS:
                Weekly Chain Store Sales*
                 Average Hourly Earnings*
                 API Weekly Gas/Oil Stockpiles Report*  **
(4:30p.m.)
    WEDNESDAYS:
                
Mortgage Applications  Data
                 EIA Weekly Report on Gas & Oil Stockpiles* (10a.m.)
    THURSDAYS:
                 Weekly Unemployment Report*
                  Weekly Mutual Fund Flows*
                   Natural Gas Storage Levels* (a.m.)

 *Except Holidays    ** As of 1/09         All Dates Subject to Change:
Sunday,       June 05     OVERNIGHT into US Mon. a.m. et:
         Aussie May TD Securities Inflation Gauge+May ANZ Job Ads
         German April Factory Orders, Markit May Construction PMI
         Fed's Rosengren a panelist on "US & ECB QE with Response Panel" @Global Interdependence Center Central Banking Series (Helsinki 2:15am et)
        UK May New Car Registrations
        ECB's Nowotny presents Austrian Economic Outlook
        ECB's V.P. Constancio speaks @ESRB int'l Conference on Macro Prudential use of Margins & Haircuts (Frankfurt)
        Markit German, Eurozone, France & Italy May Retail PMI
        Eurozone June Sentix Investor Confidence
Monday,     June 06 FOMC Chief Yellen speaks @World Affairs Council of Philadelphia (12:30p et)
US Treasury Auctions $31B 3-, & $26B 6-month Bills
8th China-US Strategic & Economic Dialogue & 7th China-US High-LEvel Consultation on People-people Exchange (Beijing thru 7th)
TD Ameritrade IMX
FOMC Chief Yellen & Philly Fed's Harker roundtable panelists @West Philly Skills Initiative (2pm et)
Fed's May LMCI-Labor Market Conditions Index
Brazil May Auto Production/Sales
    OVERNIGHT into US Tues a.m. et;
         UK BRC May Like-for-Like Sales
         Japan May Official Reserve Assets
         RBA (Aussie) MPC Rate Decision
& May FX Reserves (Tues. local time)
         China May Foreign Reserves 
         India MPC Rate Decision/Reverse REPO Rate
         German April Industrial Production
         French April Current Account, Gov't Budget Balance, Trade Balance
         Spanish April Industrial Production
         Hong Kong & Singapore MAy Foreign Reserves
         Swiss May Currency Reserves
         UK Halifax plc May House Prices
         Eurozone 16Q1 GDP, Fixed Capital, Gov't Expenditure, Household Consumption
         South Africa Q1 GDP
Tuesday,     June 07 US 16Q1 Productivity & Costs
Redbook weekly store snapshot
US Treasury Auctions $24B 3-year Notes
US April Consumer Credit (3pm et)
ECB publishes 2016 convergence report
ECB's Makuch
speaks (Bratislava)
Canada May Ivey Purchasing Managers Index
ECB's Knot speaks @Dutch Parliament
ECB's Villeroy de Galhau & Mersch speak @"Financial Stability in a Digital World" (Paris)
Presidential Primaries in California, MN, NJ, NM, ND (Dems Only), & SD
    OVERNIGHT into US Wed. a.m. et:
         New Zealand Q1 Manufacturing Activity
         Japan 16Q1 GDP, Private Consumption, April Current Account, Trade Balance, May Bank Lending, Capital Expenditures
         Aussie April Home Loans, Investment Lending, Value of All Loans
         Chinese May Trade Balance (Imports/Exports), Foreign Direct Investment
         Japan May Bankruptcies
         Swiss May CPI
         UK April Manufacturing & Industrial Production    
        
Wed.           June 08 MBA weekly Mortgage/Refinance Applications
US JOLTS (Job Turnover & Quits 10am et)
US 16Q1 Quarterly Services Survey
EIA weekly Petroleum Stats
US Treasury Auctions $20B reopened 10-year Notes
(1pm et) [
Brazil MPC Interest Rate Decision
Canada FinMin Morneau keynote @The Economic Summit on Innovation (Toronto)
    OVERNIGHT into US Thurs. a.m. et:
         Japan April Machine + Machine Tool Orders & Money Stock
         UK RICS May House Price Balance
         BoJ's Nakaso
speaks (Akita)
         Swiss May Unemployment Rate
         South Korea MPC June Interest Rate Decision
         China May CPI & PPI
         Reserve Bk of New Zealand MPC Rate Decision  (Thurs. local time)
         German April Trade Balance (Imports/Exports), Current Account, Q1 Labor Costs
         ECB's Draghi, ECB's Villeroy, European Stability Mechanism's Regling speakers/ panelists @ Brussels Economic Forum (Brussels)
         UK April Visible Trade Balance       
         South Africa April Gold/Mining Production
         
Thursday,   June 09 Weekly US Jobless Claims
US April Manufacturers' Inventories & Sales
EIA weekly Natural Gas Report
US Treasury Auctions $12B reopened 30-year Bonds
ECB Chief Draghi
speaks @Brussels Economic Forum 2016
Canada May Housing Starts, April Building Permits
BoC's Poloz & Sr Dep'y Gov Wikins press conference after release of Developments in the Financial System Review  (Ottawa)
Q1 Change in US Householde Net Worth
Canada April New Housing Price Index, Q1 Capacity Utilization (don't forget oil Sands Fires were May)
Russia Central Bank Reserves
Weekly Fed Balance Sheet & US Money Supply
Hong Kong & China Holidays
    OVERNIGHT into US Fri. a.m. et:
         New Zealand May Card Spending
         Japan May Domestic Corporate Goods Price Index & April Tertiary Industry Index, & May PPI
         Russia Central Bank MPC June Interest Rate Decision
         China Money Supply, New Yuan Loans & Aggregate Financing
         New Zealand REINZ May House Sales
         German May CPI, HICP, WPI
         French & Italian April Industrial Production
         India Industrial Production, Manufacturing Output
         UK April Construction Output
         BoE/TNS May Inflation Expected over next 12 months
Friday,        June 10 U.M. Preliminary June Consumer Sentiment
Baker-Hughes weekly US/North American Rig Count
US Treasury Monthly Budget
ECB's Constancio, Wedimann, & Lane speak at Bundesbank Conference (Eltville am Rhine)
Canada May Unemployment Rate/Change/ Participation/Part-time (could see negative pressure from oil sands fires)
OECD Economic Survey of EU & Eurozone
Saturday,     June 11 Belmont Stakes (NY, though no Triple Crown possible this year. NBC [CMCSA] Broadcasts)
Sunday,       June 12 China May Foreign Direct Investment, New Yuan Loans, Aggregate Financing, + Money Supply
Russia Day Holiday
    OVERNIGHT into US Mon. a.m. et:
         China May Industrial Production & Retail Sales

         Japan BSI Q2 Large Manufacturing Conditions
         Singapore Q1 Unemployment Rate (current 1.9%)
         New Zealand May House Sales, Q3 Manpower Survey
         Aussie Q3 Manpower Survey
         France Auctions 3-, 6-, & 12-month BTF
         India May CPI 
Monday,      June 13 US Treasury Auctions $31B 3-, & $26B 6-month Bills
6th European Financial Congress (Sopot Poland thru 6/15)
Canada FinMin Morneau meets press
ECB Supervisory Bd chair Nouy speaks @European Parliament Cmte on Economic & Monetary Affairs
Australia Queen's Birthday Holiday
    OVERNIGHT into US Tues. a.m.et:
         Japan Q3 Manpower Survey
         Aussie NAB May Business Conditions, June Consumer Inflation Expectations, April Credit Card Purchases/Balances
         Japan April (F) Industrial Production/Capacity Utilization
         India May WPI Fuel, Food, Manufacturing Inflation
         Italian, Spanish May CPI & HICP
         Swiss May PPI & CPI
         South Africa Q1 Current Account
         UK CPI, Retail Price Index (RPI), PPI, DCLG UK April House Prices
         Eurozone April Industrial Production, Q1 Eurozone Employment
Tuesday,     June 14 FOMC 2-day Meeting Starts
NFIB Small Business Optimism Index
May US Retail Sales

May US Import/Export Prices
Redbook weekly Chain Store Snapshot
US April Business Inventories
Manpower Qtrly Employment Outlook Survey
Brazil April Retail Sales
Canada Teranet/National Bank May HPI
Spain Acting Economy Minister de Guindos participates in economy Conference
Bk of Spain Gov Linde speech "Monetary Policy in the Major Economies: Challenges & Opportunities" @Universidad Loyola Andalucia & CaixaBank
ECB's Mersch speaks on "Grasping the new normal for the banking industry--a view from a European Banker" @6th European Financial Congress (Sopot Poland)
Norges Bk Gov Olsen speech to mark the bank's bicentenary (Trondheim)
    OVERNIGHT into US Wed. a.m. et:
          South Korea May Import/Export Price Index + May Unemployment Rate
          New Zealand Q1 Current Account Balance & Non-Resident Bond Holdings
          Aussie Roy Morgan Weekly & Westpac Jun Consumer Confidence Indices
          Japan May (F) Machine Tool Orders
          Singapore April Retail Sales
          French May CPI & HICP
          UK May Jobless Claimant Count, April Avg. Wkly Earnings, ILO Unemployment Rate/Change
          Eurozone April Trade Balance
Wednesday, June 15 FOMC Meeting Statement & Updated Forecasts (2pm et)
Fed Chair Yellen's Press Conference (2:30pm et)
US May PPI--Final Demand
NY Fed's Empire State Manufacturing Survey
May US Industrial Production/Capacity Utilization
MBA weekly Purchase/Refinance Applications (with yields way down)
EIA weekly Petroleum Stats (How many rigs brought back online w/crude $50?)
April US  TICs
South Africa April Retail Sales
Canada April Manufacturers Sales/Shipments , May Existing Home Sales
Bk of Portugal Costa speaks in Parliament
BoC's Poloz speeks with press conference to Yukon Chamber of Commerce (Whitehorse)
Danish central bank Forecast for Economic Growth + Press Conference (Copenhagen)
Launch of Regions at a Glance 2016, European Cmte of the Regions 118th plenary Session (thru 16th Brussels)
ECB's Constancio speaks @Utrecht School of Economics Macroeconomics Symposim
German FinMin Schauble press conference (Warsaw)
   OVERNIGHT into US Thurs. a.m. et:
         New Zealand Q1 GDP
         Aussie May Unemployment Rate/Change/Participation, New May Motor Vehicle Sales, RBA May Fx  Transactions
         BoJ MPC Rate Decision, Policy Statement,   (Thurs. local time)
         South Korea May Trade Balance (Imports/Exports)
         Swiss KOF Institute Summer Economic Forecast,, SECO June Economic Forecasts, LIBOR Target Range
         Eurozone 25 May New Car Registrations, May CPI
         ECB Economic Bulletin
         UK May Retail Sales
         BoJ Kuroda Press Conference (Thurs. local time)
         SNB MPC Rate Decision + Chair Thomas Jordan Press Conference (Thurs local time)
         Hong Kong May Unemployment Rate (current 3.4%)
Thursday,    June 16 May US CPI
US weekly Jobless Claims
NAHB June Housing Market Index
Philly Fed Manufacturing Index June Business Outlook Survey
EIA weekly Natural Gas Stats
US Current Account & Treasury Refunding Announcement
US weekly Fed Balance Sheet & Money Supply
BoE MPC Rate Decision/June QE Target 
OECD Kiviniemi on "Current and future challenges for European regions & cities" @European Regions at a Glance 2016 (Brussels)
Eurogroup Meeting (Luxembourg)
Swiss State Secretariat for Economic Affairs economic forecasts
Canada April TICs
Russia Central Bank Reserves
    OVERNIGHT into US Fri. a.m. et:
          Singapore Non-Oil May Exports
          New Zealand ANZ June Consumer Confidence
          Italy April Trade Balance
          Japan Nationwide May Dept Store Sales
          Eurozone April Current Account & Net Investment Flows, Q1 Labor Costs
Friday,         June 17 May US Housing Starts/Building Permits
IMF's Lagarde panelists w/Austrian FinMin Schelling
(Vienna)
Atlanta Fed Business Inflation Expectations
ECB Coeure speaks @Int'l Conference on Structural Reforms in Advanced Economies (Berlin, Hertie School of Governance)
BoC (Canada) May CPI 
ECB Pres. Draghi speaks in honor of Dr. Theodor Waigel at conferral of signs and awards (Munich)
BoC's Wilkins speaks (Calgary)
EU FinMins meet (Luxembourg)
India FX Reserves
Baker-Hughes weekly US/North America Rig Count (1pm et)
Slovakian FinMin to publish Qtrly update of its macroeconomic forecasts
    OVERNIGHT into US Sat. a.m. et:
         China May Property Prices 

Saturday      June 18

       WEEKS AHEAD:    06/21
     FOMC Chief Janet Yellen Testimony to US Senate Banking Cmte
                                                        Neel Kashkari 3rd "Too Big To Fail" Symposium, Mnpls Fed co-host with Peterson Insistute for Int'l Economic  (D.C.)
                                                       FSOC Closed Meeting will discuss Insurance Co SIFI Designation Rules
                                        06/22     FOMC Chief Yellen testimony to US House Financial Services Cmte
                                        06/23     Federal Reserve Releases Mega-Bank Stress Test Results 4:30pm et
                                                      UK Votes on Referendum to Exit the EU--aka Brexit
                                                      Dallas Fed's Kaplan speaks @NYU Money Marketeers Luncheon
                                        06/26     Spain Parliamentary Elections Could Cost PM Rajoy
                                        06/29      Federal Reserve Releases CCAR (Capital Adquecacy) Mega-Bank Results (4:30pm et)

*FOMC 2016 Voting Members:  Five governors on the FOMC are permanent voters: Janet Yellen, Stanley Fischer, Lael Brainard, Jay Powell and Dan Tarullo.vote at every meeting. (Board Governors endure 2 vacancies that Senate refuses to confirm). Like the NY Fed pres. is, also, a permanent FOMC voting member. The rest of the voters, in 2016, are 5 of the 11 regional Fed Pres.: Loretta Mester (Cleveland), Eric Rosengren (Boston), James Bullard (St. Louis) and Esther George (Kansas City). Mester, George and Bullard are hawks, while Rosengren is considered a dove. Evans, Lockhart, Williams, and Lacker were 2015 voters, now off the voting panel at 2016 FOMC meetings. Neel Kashkari, former TARP overseer, took over Presidency of the Minneapolis Federal Reserve Bank, replacing Kocherlakota, who wound up a short-lived leader. Kashkari won't vote in 2016 but will stick to his "Too Big .to Fail" mantra on banks
                     

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