wall street in advance

August 2016 Economic Statistics
and Other Economic Influences

TUESDAYS:
                Weekly Chain Store Sales*
                 Average Hourly Earnings*
                 API Weekly Gas/Oil Stockpiles Report*  **
(4:30p.m.)
    WEDNESDAYS:
                
Mortgage Applications  Data
                 EIA Weekly Report on Gas & Oil Stockpiles* (10a.m.)
    THURSDAYS:
                 Weekly Unemployment Report*
                  Weekly Mutual Fund Flows*
                   Natural Gas Storage Levels* (a.m.)

 *Except Holidays    ** As of 1/09         All Dates Subject to Change:
Sunday,        Aug. 14      OVERNIGHT into US Mon. a.m. et:
          UK Rightmove Aug. House Prices
          Japan Q2 GDP, Private Consumption
, CapEx, Business Spending, & June Industrial Production, Capacity Utilization
          Singapore June Retail Sales
          China July Foreign Direct Investment
          Swiss July Producer & Import Prices
Monday,       Aug. 15 NY Fed Empire State Manufacturing Survey
NAHB Aug. Housing Market Index
US Treasury Auctions $40B reopened 3-, & $34B 6-month Bills  (11am dt)
French 3-, 6-., & 12-month BTF Auctions
US June TICS
Canada July Existing Home Sales
USDA weekly Crops Data
EIA monthly Drilling Productivity Report
Rep. Candidate Trump Defends a Lawsuit over Refunds of Golf Dues @Trump Nat'l Golf Club (Jupiter, FL)
Holidays in India, South Korea & Italy
    OVERNIGHT into US Tues. a.m. et:
         South Korea July Trade Balance (Imports/Exports)
         RBNZ (New Zealand) Gov Wheeler speaks (Tauranga) & July Non-resident Bond Holdings
         RBA (Aussie) Aug. Meeting Minutes, July New Motor Vehicle Sales
         India July WPI Food, Fuel & Manufacturing Inflation
         UK July CPI, RPPI (Retail Prices), PPI Input/Output & Core, + June House Price Index & Inflation Report Hearings  
         Eurozone Junr Trade Balance
         German Aug. ZEW Current, Outlook, and Economic Sentiment Survey
         BoE Indexed Long-Term Repo Operation Results
Tuesday,     Aug. 16 July US CPI
July US Housing Starts/Building Permits
July US Industrial Production/Capacity Utilization
+ Real Avg Weekly Earnings
Q2 E-Commerce Sales
US Treasury Auctions $20B 52-week Bills  (11am et)
Atlanta Fed's Lockhart speaks to Rotary Club (12:30pm Knoxville TN)
Canada June Manufacturing Sales/Shipments
Redbook weekly Shop Sales Snapshot
    OVERNIGHT into US Wed. a.m.et
          New Zealand Q2 PPI, Unemployment Rate/Change/Participation
          Singapore Trace Balance, Non-Oil July Exports
          Aussie Q2 Wage Cost Index
          Japan July Department Store Sales
          South Africa July CPI & Retail Sales
          UK July Jobless Claims/Change/Claimant Count, Avg weekly Earnings
          UK ILO June Unemployment Rate/Change
          Swiss Aug. Zew Survey
Wed.            Aug. 17 FOMC Minutes of July 26--27 Meet (2pm et)
MBA weekly Mortgage/Refinance Applications
Atlanta Fed Business Inflation Expectations
EIA weekly Petroleum Stats

Fed's Bullard on Economy & Monetary Policy w/Q&A @Washington University- St. Louis Olin Business School Wealth & Asset Management Research Conference w/speakers from BLK, WFC, Alan Spector, JPM, and FinTech Co's. (1pm St. Louis)
Russia July Unemployment Rate
Brazil Foreign Exchange Flows
    OVERNIGHT into US Thurs. a.m. et:
         Japan July Merchandise Trade Balance (Imports/Exports)
         New Zealand ANZ Aug. Consumer Confidence
         China July Property Prices
         Aussie July Unemployment Rate/Change/Particpation
         RBA July Fx Transactions
         RBA's Hancock a panelist (Sydney)
         Japan July (F) Machine Tool Orders
         Eurozone June Current Account + Construction Output, July CPI
         French Q2 Unemployment Rate
         UK July Retail Sales
         Hong Kong July Unemployment Rate
         ECB publishes Minutes of its MPC meeting (Upped QE)
Thursday,     Aug. 18 US weekly Jobless Claims
Philly Fed Aug. Business Outlook Survey, CapEx, EMployment, New Orders Prices
EIA weekly Natural Gas Report
US Treasury Refunding Announcement incl. 2, 5, & 7-years Notes +FRN (11am et)
US Treasury Auctions $14b reopened 5-year TIPS
Germany's Merkel & EU Pres. Tusk Meet to Set Agenda for UK Brexit
Canada June Int'l Securities Transactions
Russia Central Bank Reserves
Fed's Williams speak on Economic Outlook w/Q&A @Anchorage Economic Development Corp Luncheon  (Anchorage Alaska 3:30pm et)
Weekly US Fed Balance Sheet & Money Supply
    OVERNIGHT into US Fri. a.m. et:
          New Zealand July Credit Card Spending & Visitors & Migration
          Indonesia MPC Rate Decision (Fri local time)
          Japan Reuters Aug. Tankan Index, June All Industry Activity Index
          German July PPI
          UK July Public Finances, Central Gov't NCR, Public Sector Borrowing
Friday,         Aug. 19 Baker-Hughes weekly US/North America Rig Count (1pm et)
Canada June Retail Sales, + July BoC CPI
Saturday,    Aug. 20 Olympics schedule includes Medal Round in Women's Basketball & Men's Soccer, Women's Golf, Men's Singles Badminton, Taekwondo,Women's Basketball, Canoe Kayak Sprint, Women's Rhythmic Gymnastics, Water Polo, Triathalon Semi-final, Diving, Men's Soccer Bronze Match
Sunday,        Aug. 21 Olympic Medal Round for Men's Basketball & Closing Ceremonies (NBC TV in US: [CMCSA])
Iranian Foreign Minister Zarif starts Latin American tour in Cuba
    OVERNIGHT into US Mon. a.m. et:
          Japan Supermarket & Convenience Store Sales
          Swiss July M3 Money Supply
Monday,       Aug. 22 Chicago Fed Aug. National Activity Index
US Treasury Auctions $40B 3-, & $34B 6-month Bills
ProFarmer Annual Midwest Crop Tour gathers accurate crop data  (SD to OH)
Germany's Merkel, France's Hollande & Italian PM Renzi meet on immigration & Brexit; Press Conference (noon edt) on Aircraft Carrier
EU's Monitoring Agriculture Resources publishes Crop & Weather Bulletin
Canada June Wholesale Sales
    OVERNIGHT into US Tues. am. et:
          BoJ Chief Kuroda speaks at BoJ's FinTech Conference

          Singapore July CPI
          Swiss July Trade Balance (Imports/Exports)
          Eurozone, French, German Aug. (P) Manufacturing/Services & Composite PMI
          BoE Indexed Long Term Repo Operation Results
          UK CBI Aug Total Order Trends, Selling Trends
Tuesday,      Aug. 23 US July New Single Family Homes Sales
Richmond Fed Manfacturing Index
Redbook weekly Store Sales Snapshot
US Treasury Auctions 4-week Bills (11:30am et)
Eurozone Aug. (Adv.) Consumer Confidence
US Treasury Auctions $26B 2-year Notes (1pm edt)
Brazil July Current Account & Foreign Direct Investment
Banorte 2016 Forum w/Mexico FinMin Videgaray, Grupo Financiero Banorte SAB Chair Hank, Grupo Bimbo SAB CEO Servitje, Fomento Economico Mexicano SAB Chair Fermandez
Central Bank Rate Decisions in Turkey & Hungary
ECB's Coeure panelist on "Completing Europe's Economic & Monetary Unions (6:30pm edt Geneva)
    OVERNIGHT into US Wed. am. et:
         New Zealand July Trade Balance (Imports/Exports)
         Aussie Q2 Construction Done, July Skilled Vacancies
         Japan Aug. Small Business Confidence & June (F) Leading Index
         German Q2 (F) GDP, Q2 Private Consumption, CapEx, Gov't Spending, Domestic Demand, Imports/Exports
          South Africa July CPI
          Swiss July Consumption Indicator
          UK BBA July Loans for House Purchase
Wednesday, Aug. 24 MBA weekly Mortgage/Refinance Applications
FHFA June House Price Index (HPI)
PMI Flash US Manufacturing Index
NAR July Existing Home Sales
EIA weekly Petroleum Stats
US Treasury Auctions $13B reopened 2-year FRN (11:30am) + $34B 5-year Notes (1pm et)
Brazil Foreign Exchange Flows
US Sec'y of State Kerry visits Turkey
Merkel visits Estonia
Singapore's PM Loong visits Indonesia & its Pres. Widodo for 3-day visit
    OVERNIGHT into US Thurs. a.m. et:
         Japan July Corporate Service Price, Foreign Investments in Japan, vice versa
         Singapore Q2 GDP
         China July Swift Global Payments
         Aussie Q2 Private CapEx
         Canada CFIB Aug. Business Barometer
         French Q3 Industrial Investments & Aug. Business Survey
         Spain Q2 GDP
         German IFO Aug. Business Climate/Expectations, July Import Price Index
         Hong Kong July Trade Balance (Imports/Exports)
         South Africa July PPI
         Swiss Q2 Industrial Production/Orders, Industry & Construction Output
         UK CBI Aug. Retailing Reported Sales & CBI Total Distributed Sales
Thursday,    Aug. 25 K.C. Fed Economic Policy Symposium "Designing Resilient Monetary Policy Frameworks for the Future" (Jackson Hole WY, thru 27th Agenda available 6pm mt)
July Durable Goods Shipments/Orders
US weekly Initial Jobless Claims/Continuing Claims
Markit US Services & Composite PMI 
EIA weekly Natural Gas Report
K.C. Fed Aug. Manufacturing Index
US Treasury Auctions $28B 7-year Notes
Canada Q/o/Q Corporate Profits (double dinged by oil prices & fires)
Brazil July Bank Lending
Mexico Central Bank releases Minutes of its recent MPC Meeting
Weekly US Fed Balance Sheet & Money Supply (4:30p, et)
    OVERNIGHT into US Fri. a.m. et:
         Japan July CPI

         Singapore July Industrial Production
         German GfK Sept. Consumer Confidence Survey
         Spain July Retail Sales
         French Q2 (P) GDP
         Eurozone July M3 & Private Sector Loans (the point of negative rates)
         UK Q2 (P) GDP, Private Consumption, Gov't Spending, Gross Fixed Capital Formation, Imports/Exports, Jun. Index of Services, Total Business Investment
Friday,         Aug. 26 FOMC Chief Yellen speaks at K.C. Fed Economic Symposium (10am edt) 10:55 Negative Nominal Interest Rates w/Sveriges Riksbank's Nesses & Carnegie Mellon Univ's Goodfriend; Evaluation Alternative Monetary Frameworks w/Simon Potter NY Fed Markets Grp, ECB's Bindsell, Paris School of Economics' Danthine;
US Q2 (Prelim/2nd look) GDP, Price Index + PCE
US July International Trade Deficit
US Q2 Corporate Profits
US Flash Aug. Services PMI
U.M. (F) Aug. Consumer Sentiment
Baker-Hughes US/North American Rig Count (1pm et)
    OVERNIGHT into US Sat. a.m. et;
         China July Industrial Profits

Saturday      Aug. 27 German July Retail Sales
K.C. Fed Economic Policy Symposium wraps "Central Bank Balance Sheets & Financial Stability"with Jeremy Stein, Harvard's Robin Greenwood & Samuel Hanson, + U of Chicago's (and former Fed Pres) Randall Kroszner; 12:25pm edt panel with Bk of Mexico's Agustin Carstens, ECB's Coeure & BoJ Gov Kuroda

         WEEKS AHEAD: 
09/06      RBA (Aussie) MPC Meets
                                          09/07     Fed's Beige Book
                                                      
BoC (Canada) MPC Meets
                                         09/08      ECB MPC Meets
                                         09/15      BoE MPC Meets
                                                     
SNB (Swiss) MPC Meets
                                    09/20--21   FOMC Meets


*FOMC 2016 Voting Members:  Five governors on the FOMC are permanent voters: Janet Yellen, Stanley Fischer, Lael Brainard, Jay Powell and Dan Tarullo.vote at every meeting. (Board Governors endure 2 vacancies that Senate refuses to confirm). Like the NY Fed pres. is, also, a permanent FOMC voting member. The rest of the voters, in 2016, are 5 of the 11 regional Fed Pres.: Loretta Mester (Cleveland), Eric Rosengren (Boston), James Bullard (St. Louis) and Esther George (Kansas City). Mester, George and Bullard are hawks, while Rosengren is considered a dove. Evans, Lockhart, Williams, and Lacker were 2015 voters, now off the voting panel at 2016 FOMC meetings. Neel Kashkari, former TARP overseer, took over Presidency of the Minneapolis Federal Reserve Bank, replacing Kocherlakota, who wound up a short-lived leader. Kashkari won't vote in 2016 but will stick to his "Too Big .to Fail" mantra on banks
                     

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