wall street in advance

February 2016 Economic Statistics
and Other Economic Influences

TUESDAYS:
                Weekly Chain Store Sales*
                 Average Hourly Earnings*
                 API Weekly Gas/Oil Stockpiles Report*  **
(4:30p.m.)
    WEDNESDAYS:
                
Mortgage Applications  Data
                 EIA Weekly Report on Gas & Oil Stockpiles* (10a.m.)
    THURSDAYS:
                 Weekly Unemployment Report*
                  Weekly Mutual Fund Flows*
                   Natural Gas Storage Levels* (a.m.)

 *Except Holidays    ** As of 1/09         All Dates Subject to Change:
Sunday,       Feb. 07     OVERNIGHT into US Mon. a.m. et:
         UK Halifax plc Jan. House Prices
         Japan Dec. Current Account, Trade Balance, Labor Cash Earnings, & Overtime Pay + Jan.  Bankruptcies, &  Bank Lending
         BoJ releases summary of Jan MPC Meeting Debate
         Aussie Jan. Jobs Ads
         Spanish Dec. Industrial Production
         Chinese Jan. Direct Foreign Investment
         German Dec. Industrial Production
Monday,      Feb. 08 US Treasury Auctions $37B 3- & $30B 6-month Bills
TD Ameritrade IMX (Individual Investor Gauge)
US Fed Jan. Labor Market Conditions
FDIC Chair Gruenberg speaks @Nat'l Interagency Community Reinvestment Conference--"Pathways to Economic Opportunity" sponsored by San Franciso Fed Reserve Bank, FDIC, OCC, and CDFI
Canada Dec. Building Permits, Jan Housing Starts
BoC Deputy Lane speaks (Montreal)
France Auctions 3-, 6-, & 12-month BTF
India 15Q3 GDP
Holidays in China, Singapore, Brazil, New Zealand, Hong Kong, So. Korea
    OVERNIGHT into US Tues. a.m. et:
         New Zealand Jan House Prices
         Japan Jan M3 & (Prelim) Machine Tool Orders
         Aussie HIA Dec New Home Sales + NAB Jan. Biz Conditions
         Swiss Jan. Unemployment Rate
         German Dec. Trade Balance, Industrial Production + Current Account
         South Africa 15Q4 Unemployment Rate
         UK BRC Like for Like Jan Sales & Dec Trade Balance
Tuesday,     Feb. 09 NFIB Jan. Small Business Optimism Index
MBA Q4 Mortgage Delinquencies & Foreclosures
Dec. US JOLTS
(Job Turnover & Quits-10am et)
Redbook weekly Store Sales Snapshot
OCC's Curry speaks at "Pathways to Economic Opportunity" Interagency Conference, also speaking today US Treas. Ass't Sec'y for Financial Institutions
US Dec. Wholesale Trade/Inventories & Sales
US Treasury Auctions $24B 3-year Notes (1pm et)
Bk of Spain Gov. Linde lecture "An outlook on the Spanish Economy" @Official Monetary & Financial Institutions Forum (London
ECB's Praet keynotes @Harvard Univ. conference: "Lender of Last Resort: An International Perspective" (Washington D.C.)
New Hampshire Primary
Holidays in China, Singapore, Brazil, Hong Kong, So. Korea
    OVERNIGHT into US Wed. a.m. et:
         New Zealand Jan. Card Spending
         Japan Q4 Housing Loans, Jan. Corporate Goods Price Index
         Chinese Jan. Aggregate Financing, New Yuan Loans, & M1+M2
         New Zealand REINZ Jan. House Sales
         French Dec. Current Account & Industrial Production
         Italian Dec. Industrial Production
         Singapore Jan. Foreign Reserves
         UK Dec. Industrial & Manufacturing Production 
         Iceland Central Bank MPC Rate Decision (800 GMT-- Wed local time)
Wednesday, Feb. 10 FOMC Chief Yellen Testifies @US House (10am et)
MBA weekly Mortgage/Refinance Applications
EIA weekly Petroleum Stats
US Treasury Auctions $23B 10-year Notes
S.F. Fed's Williams speaks on health and the economy @"Pathways to Economic Opportunity" Interagency Community Reinvestment Conference (Los Angeles 1:30pm)
US weekly Treasury Budget
Brazil Foreign Exchange Flows
UK NIESR Jan. GDP Estimate
Holidays in China, Hong Kong, Brazil, & South Korea
     OVERNIGHT into US Thurs. a.m. et:
          New Zealand Jan. Business PMI
          UK RICS Jan. House Price Balance
          Swiss Jan. CPI & CPI-EU Harmonized
          South Africa Dec. Gold & Mining Production
         RBA's Stevens semi-annual testimony @Aussie House Standing Cmte on Economics (Thurs. local time)
Thursday,    Feb. 11 FOMC Chief Yellen Testifies @ US Senate (10am et)
US weekly Jobless Claims
EIA Natural Gas Report
US Treasury Auctions $15B 30-year Bonds (1pm et)
US Treasury Releases Refunding Plans
Fed weekly Balance Sheet & US Money Supply
Russian Central Bank Reserves
Sweden's Riiksbank MPC Rate Decision & Report published
Canada Dec. New House Price Index
Holidays in China & Japan
     OVERNIGHT into US Fri. a.m. et:
          New Zealand Jan. Food Prices
          Aussie Dec. Home Loans, Investment Lending, Card Balances, Value of All Loans
          RBA Gov. Stevens speaks
          German 15Q4 (Prelim) GDP, Jan. (F) CPI, WPI, +HCIP
          Italian 15Q4 (Prelim) GDP
          Spanish Jan. HICP +CPI
          UK Dec. Constructon Output
Friday,         Feb. 12 US Jan. Retail Sales
US Jan. Import/Export Prices
NY Fed's Dudley press briefing on trends in household borrowing & indebtedness trends (10am et), concurrent with release of 15Q4 "The Household Debt & Credit Report"  (includes mortgages, student loans, credit cards, auto loans & delinquencies)
Dallas Fed's Kaplan opens Dallas Fed Texas Housing Outlook Conference (9:45am)
US Dec. Business Inventories
U.M. (Prelim) Feb. Consumer Sentiment
Baker-Hughes weekly US/No. Am. Rig Count (1pm et)
Eurozone 15Q4 GDP & Dec. Industrial Production
India Dec. FX Reservces, + Dec. Industrial Production & Manufacturing Output
Canada Teranet/National Bank Jan. Home Price Index
Saturday,    Feb. 13 Republican Presidential Candidates Debate (Greenville SC)
Sunday,       Feb. 14 Valentine's Day
South Korea Jan. Import/Export Price Index
    OVERNIGHT into US Mon. a.m. et:
         Japan 15Q4 GDP, Business & Private Consumption, Capital Expenditures, GDP Price Index, Dec. (F) Industrial Production/Capacity Utilization
         South Korea Jan. Trade Balance (Imorts/Exports) + Offshore Hldgs
         RBNZ Jan. Offshore Holdings + Dec. M2 Money Supply
         UK Feb. Rightmove House Prices
         Aussie Jan. New Vehicle Sales
         Singapore Dec. Retail Sales
         India Jan. WPI Fuel, Food, & Manufacturing Inflation
         China Jan. Trade Balance (Imports/Exports)

Monday,       Feb. 15 US Markets Closed for George Washington's Birthday  
Pres. Obama hosts Special ASEAN-US Summit (California thru 16th)
Eurozone Dec. Trade Balance
ECB Chief Draghi speaks @EU Parliament (Brussels)
"Economic, Fiscal & Financial Governance of the Euro Area: Lessons from the Crisis" w/Jean-Claude Trichet & EU Bailout fund head Klaus Regling speaking (Luxembourg)
France Auctions 3-, 6-, & 12-month BTFs
Nat'l Bank of Austria Gov. Nowotny attends a book launch & economic growth discussion (Vienna)
Canadian Markets Closed for Family Day
      OVERNIGHT into US Tues. a.m. et:
           RBA (Aussie) Releases Feb. Meeting Minutes
           (RBNZ) New Zealand Q1 2-year Inflation Expectation & 15Q4 Retail Sales
           South Korea Feb. Interest Rate Decision
           Italy Dec. Trade Balance
           UK Jan CPI, RPI, PPI, & Dec. DCLG House Prices
           German Feb. ZEW Survey
Tuesday,      Feb. 16 Empire State NY Fed Manufacturing Survey
NAHB Feb. Housing Market Index (snow & freeze slows traffic)
Philly Fed. Pres Harker speaks on eco outlook @2016 Economic Forecast panel sponsored by Lyons Companies & Univ. of Delaware Ctr for Economic Education & Entrepreneurship
US Treasury Auctions $37B 3- & $30B 6-month Bills
MN Fed's Kashkari on lessons from the financial crisis @Brookings Institution (Washington 10:03am)
US Dec. TICs  (4pm Who do you think was buying up the bonds in Jan/early Feb?)
Boston Fed's Rosengren speaks on Eco Outlook (Colby College, Waterville ME 7:30pm et)
RBA (Aussie) MPC Feb. Meeting Minutes Released
Eurozone ZEW Economic Sentiment
UK P.M. Cameron addresses EU Parliament on British allliance terms with EU
Brazil Dec. Retail Sales
Canada Jan. Existing Home Sales & Brutish Columbia unveils 4th balanced budget
     OVERNIGHT into US Wed. a.m. et
          Singapore Jan. Trade Balance/Non-Oil Exports
          South Africa Jan. CPI & Dec. Retail Sales
          South Korea Jan Unemployment Rate
          Japan Dec. Machine Orders, Jan Dept. Store Sales
          UK Jan. Jobless Claimant Count/Change, Dec. Avg Earnings, & ILO Dec. Unemployment Rate
          Eurozone Dec. Construction Output
          Swiss Feb. ZEW Survey           
          German 10-year Bund Auctions
Wednesday, Feb. 17 FOMC Jan. 26--27th Meeting Minutes Released (2pm est)
Jan. US PPI-Final Demand
US Jan. Housing Starts/Building Permits
Jan. US Industrial Production/Capacity Utilization
US 15Q4 Ecommerce Retail Sales
Redbook weekly Store Sales Snapshot
MBA weekly Mortgage/Refinance Applications
S.L. Fed's Bullard speaks on economy & monetary policy to Fed Forecast dinner hosted by CFA Society (St Louis 6pm)
Canadian Dec. TICs
Brazil Foreign Exchange Flows
New Zealand Jan. Job Advertisements, 15Q4 Producer Price Inputs/Outputs
    OVERNIGHT into US Thurs. a.m. et:
          Japan Jan. Trade Balance (Imports/Exports)
          Aussie Jan. Unemployment Rate/Change/Participation Rate
          RBA's Edey speaks (Sydney) + Release of Jan. FX Transactions
          China Jan. CPI
          BoJ's Ishida speaks in Fukuoka (More on additional tools?)
          Swiss Jan. Trade Balance (Imports/Exports)
          French Jan. CPI, HICP + 3-year BTAN Auctions
          Spain Trade Balance +Auctions 3-, & 5-year Bonos
          Eurozone Dec. Current Account + Net Investment Flows             
Thursday,    Feb. 18 US Weekly Jobless Claims
Philly Fed Feb. Business Outlook Survey
EIA weekly Natural Gas Report (10:30am et)
EIA weekly Petroleum Stats (11am et)
US Treasury Auctions $7B 30-year TIPS
S.F. Fed's Williams speech on eco outlook @town hall (Los Angeles 3:30pm)
US Treasury announces Refunding Plans, incl. 2-, 5- & 7-yr Notes
ECB Releases Minutes of its last MPC Meeting (Rates pushed negative)
Russian Central Bank Reserves, PPI, Retail Sales, Jan. Unemployment Rate
Canada Dec. Wholesale Sales
EU Summit -Migrants & UK terms likely talking poiunts (Brussels thru 19th)
    OVERNIGHT into US Fri. a.m. et:
         RBA Ass't Gov. Edey speaks @Australian Shareholders Ass'n Investor Forum
         South Korea Jan. PPI
         Norges central bank Gov. Olsen delivers annual address (Oslo)
         Japan Feb. Tankan Index & All Industries Activity Index
         German Jan. PPI
         UK Jan. Retail Sales & Jan. Public Finances & Borrowing
Friday,         Feb. 19 Cleveland Fed's Mester speech on Eco Outlook @Global Interdependence Center Central Banking Series (Sarasota FL 8am est)
US Jan. CPI
Baker-Hughes weekly US/No. American Rig Count (1pm et)
US Equity Monthly Options Expire (Some written over 2 years ago)
India FX Reserves + Markets Holiday
Canada Jan CPI & Dec. Retail Sales
CFTC Releases speculative net positions on Currencies, Crude, Copper, Gold, Silver, S&P 500
Eurozone Feb (Adv.) Consumer Confidence
Saturday,     Feb. 20 Nevada Democratic Caucuses
South Caroline Primary
Washington Republican Caucuses

       WEEKS AHEAD: 
03/01         RBA (Aussie) Meets
                                       03/09         BoC meets
                                       03/10         ECB Meets
                                03/15--16         FOMC Meets
    

*FOMC 2016 Voting Members:  Five governors on the FOMC ar permanent voters: Janet Yellen, Stanley Fischer, Lael Brainard, Jay Powell and Dan Tarullo.vote at every meeting. (Board Governors endure 2 vacancies that Senate refuses to confirm). Like the NY Fed pres. is, also, a permanent FOMC voting member. The rest of the voters, in 2016, are 5 of the 11 regional Fed Pres.: Loretta Mester (Cleveland), Eric Rosengren (Boston), James Bullard (St. Louis) and Esther George (Kansas City). Mester, George and Bullard are hawks, while Rosengren is considered a dove. Evans, Lockhart, Williams, and Lacker were 2015 voters, now off the voting panel at 2016 FOMC meetings. Neel Kashkari, former TARP overseer, took over Presidency of the Minneapolis Federal Reserve Bank, replacing Kocherlakota, who wound up a short-lived leader. Kashkari won't vote in 2016.
                     

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