wall street in advance

January 2016 Economic Statistics
and Other Economic Influences

TUESDAYS:
                Weekly Chain Store Sales*
                 Average Hourly Earnings*
                 API Weekly Gas/Oil Stockpiles Report*  **
(4:30p.m.)
    WEDNESDAYS:
                
Mortgage Applications  Data
                 EIA Weekly Report on Gas & Oil Stockpiles* (10a.m.)
    THURSDAYS:
                 Weekly Unemployment Report*
                  Weekly Mutual Fund Flows*
                   Natural Gas Storage Levels* (a.m.)

 *Except Holidays    ** As of 1/09         All Dates Subject to Change:
Sunday,       Jan. 10     OVERNIGHT into US Mon. a.m. et:
          China Dec. Foreign Direct Investment, Aggregate Financing, New Yuan Loans
          New Zealand Nov. Building Permits & REINZ Dec. House Sales
          Swiss Nov Retail Sales + Q4 Real Estate Index of Family Homes
          Eurozone Sentix Jan. Investor Confidence
Monday,     Jan. 11 Fed's US Labor Market Conditions Index (10am et)
Fed's Lockhart speaks (12:40p,m et Rotary Club, Atlanta, GA)
US Treasury Auctions $28B 3- & $26B 6-month Bills
Dallas Fed Pres Kaplan speaks on eco outlook (Dallas TX 7:50pm)
US Supreme Court hears arguments on Freidrichs vs California Teacher's Assn case on forced union membership in collective bargaining situations
Canada Dec. Housing Starts, Business Outlook Survey (Future Sales)
BoC Q4 Senior Loan Officer Survey (Oil firms?) + Canada Oct Budget Balance
    OVERNIGHT into US Tues. a.m. et:
          Japan Nov Current Account, Trade Balance, Dec. Lending by Banks & Trusts
          New Zealand ANZ Dec. Commodity Prices
          UK BRC Dec. Like-for-Like Sales
          Aussie Nov Credit Card Purchases & Balances
          UK Nov. Industrial & Manufacturing Production
Tuesday,     Jan. 12 NFIB Small Business Optimism Index
US Nov. JOLTS (Job Turnover/Quits)
Redbook weekly Retail Sales Snapshot
Dallas Fed's Kaplan speaks to North Texas Economic Forum (Dallas)
US Treasury Auctions $24B 3-year Notes
Richmond Fed's Lacker speech (repeats) "Economic Outlook January 2016" @South Carolina Business & Industry Political Education Cmte    (3:15pm et Columbia, SC)
Pres. Obama State of the Union Address (9pm et)
UK NFIB Dec. Small Business Optimism
South Africa Nov. Manufacturing Production
India Dec. CPI, Nov. Industrial Production/Manufacturing Output
      OVERNIGHT into US Wed. a.m. et:
            South Korea Dec. Unemployment Rate & Import Price Index + Nov. M2
            French Dec. CPI & HICP
            New Zealand Dec House Prices
            Japan Nov Job Vacancies, Dec. Bankruptcies, Dec. M3 Money Supply
            Chinese Dec. Trade Balance (Imports/Exports)
            Eurozone Nov. Industrial Production
Wednesday, Jan. 13 Boston Fed's Rosengren speaks on eco outlook (7:45am et Greater Boston Chamber of Commerce Government Affairs Forum)
Chico Fed's Evans delivers Current Economic Conditions & Monetary Policy @Corridor Economic Forecast Luncheon (1pm Cedar Rapids, IA)
Fed's Beige Book (1pm et)
US Treasury Auctions $21B reopened 10-year Notes (1pm et)
MBA weekly Mortgage/Refinance Applications
Atlanta Fed Business Inflation Expectations
EIA weekly Petroleum Stats
US weekly Treasury Budget
BoE Meets 2-days
SNB's (Swiss) Governing Board Chair Zurbrugg speech "Competitiveness of Swiss Business--The Contribution of the SNB (Zug)
Brazil Nov. Retail Sales + Foreign Exchange Flows
Canada Teranet/Nat'l Bank Dec. HPI
Republican Presidential Candidates Debate (Fox Business Network)
    OVERNIGHT into US Thurs. a.m. et:
         New Zealand Dec. Card Spending & ANZ Heavy Truckometer
         Japan Nov. Machine/Tool Orders, Dec. Corporate Goods Price Index (CGPI)
         Singapore Q4 GDP
         Aussie Dec. Unemployment Rate/Change/Participation
         German FY15 GDP, Public Finance Balances/GDP Ratio, Dec. Wholesale Price Index (WPI)
          South Korean Central Bank MPC Rate Decision
          India Dec WPI Food, Fuel, Manufacturing (Inflation)
          Italian Nov Industrial Production
          Spanish Nov. Current Account
          South African Manufacturing PMI + Nov. Gold & Mining Production
Thursday,    Jan. 14 S.L. Fed's Bullard speaks on US Economy & Monetary Policy (8:15am Economic Club of Memphis, TN)
Weekly US Jobless Claims (should start rising as retailers lay off seasonal workers)
Dec. US Import/Export Price Indices
EIA weekly Natural Gas Report
Fed's Lockhart remarks @ Operation Hope Global Forum Annual (Atlanta)
US Treasury Refunding Announcement
BoE CEO Prudential Regulation Authority Bailey panelist City of London Corporation Year of Green Finance launch
US Treasury Auctions $13B reopened 30-year Bonds
US Fed weekly Balance Sheet & US weekly Money Supply
Philly Fed Revisions to Manufacturing Business Outlook Survey
BoE MPC Rate Decision, Minutes, Jan. Asset Purchase Target & Total QE
ECB Releases Minutes of Dec. MPC Meeting
Eurogroup Meets
Canada Nov. New Housing Price Index
    OVERNIGHT into US Fri. a.m. et:
         New Zealand Dec. Food Prices
         Aussie Nov. Home Loans, Investment Lending, & Value of All Loans
         Singapore Nov. Retail Sales
         French Nov. Gov't Budget Balance
         Spanish Dec. CPI & HICP
         Italian Dec. CPI & HICP
         U.K. Nov. Construction Output
         Eurozone Nov. Trade Balance  
Friday,         Jan. 15 US Dec. Producer Price Index-Final Demand  (PPI-FD)
US Dec. Retail Sales
NY Fed's Dudley speaks to Economic Leadership Forum (9am et Somerset NJ)
Dallas Fed's Kaplan in Q&A before Dallas Assembly Luncheon hosted by Fed
Canadian FinMin Morneau consults ahead of new Liberal Gov'ts 1st Federal Budget
Last day to trade EXPIRING Jan. EQUITY OPTIONS, some dating back to 2013
Empire State/NY Fed Manufacturing Survey
Dec. US Industrial Production/Capacity Utilization (Hit by floods, tornados, etc)
U.M. Prelim. Jan Consumer Sentiment
US Nov. Business Inventories
Baker-Hughes weekly North American/US Rig Count (1pm et)
EU Finance Ministers Meet (Brussels) 
Canada Dec. Existing Home Sales 
Saturday,   Jan. 16 Grand Opening ceremony at the Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank (AIIB) with Chinese Pres Xi & Premier Li (Beijing)
NFL Divisional Playoffs
Sunday,       Jan. 17 US Democratic Presidential Candidates Debate (NBC + YouTube)
NFL Divisional Playoffs
    OVERNIGHT into US Mon. a.m. et:
          UK Rightmove Jan. House Prices
          Aussie Dec New Motor Vehicle Sales
          Singapore Dec. Non-Oi Exports
          RBNZ (New Zealand Central Bank) Dec. Offshore Holdings
          China Dec. Property Prices
          Japan (F) Nov. Industrial Production/Capacity Utilization + Dec. Dept Store Sales
          Italy Nov. Trade Balance
          BoJ's Kuroda speaks at Qtrly Meeting of Regional Branch Managers (Tokyo)
Monday,       Jan. 18 US Markets Closed-Martin Luther King Jr Day
BoE's MPC member Vlieghe lecture "Debt, Demographics and the Distribution of Income: New Challenges for Monetary Policy" at London School of Economics
Swedish Central Bank publishes Minutes of its Jan. Extraordinary MPC Meeting on currency
So. Korea Dec PPI
    OVERNIGHT into US Tues. a.m. et:
          China Dec & YTD Industrial Production & Retail Sales + Q4 & FY GDP + Dec. Fixed Asset Investments 

           Japan Dec. (F) Machine Tool Orders
          German Dec. CPI & HICP
          Swiss Dec. Import & Producer Prices
          Hong Kong Dec. Unemployment rATE
          Eurozone Nov. Current Account & Nov. Construction Output
          UK Dec. CPI, PPI +Retail Price Index (RPI) & DCLG UK Nov. House Prices
Tuesday,     Jan. 19 NAHB Jan. '16 Housing Market Index
US Treasury Auctions $31B 3- & $26B 6-month Bills
US Nov. TICS
German Jan. ZEW Surveys
Eurozone Dec. CPI
BoE's Carney speech on Monetary Policy @ Queen Mary University
Central & Eastern European Forum includes FinMins from Austria, Servia, Hungary, Austria (Nowotny), & central bankers from Hungary, Albania, Romania, Croatia, Slovakia, Czech & Ukraine (thru Jan. 20th)
Canada Nov. Int'l Securities Transactions
    OVERNIGHT into US Wed. a.m. et;
          New Zealand Q4 CPI
          German Dec. PPI
          South Africa Dec CPI & Nov. Retail Sales
          UK Dec. Jobless Claimant Count/Change+Nov. ILO Unemployment Rate
          Swiss Jan. ZEW Survey
          Japan Reuters Jan. Tankan Index
Wednesday, Jan 20 US Dec. CPI
US Dec. Housing Starts/Building Permits

World Economic Forum (Davos-Klosters Suisse thru 23rd)
MBA Mortgage/Refinance Applications
US Dec. Real Avg Weekly Earnings
Redbook weekly Store Snapshot
Canada Nov Wholesale Sales & Manufacturing Shipments
BoC (Canada) MPC Interest Rate Decision & Monetary Policy Report followed by press conference with Gov. Poloz & Sr Depty Gov Wilkins
Brazil MPC Interest Rate Decision & Foreign Exchange Flows
    OVERNIGHT into US Thurs. a.m. et:
         New Zealand Dec. Performance of Manufacturing Index
         Aussie Consumer Jan. Inflation Expectation & Consumer Confidence+ Nov. HIA New Home Sales & Dec. RBA FX Gov't Transactions
         UK RICS Dec. House Price Balance
         Japan Nov. All Industry Activity Index
         Swiss UBS Dec. Consumption Indicator & M3 Dec. Money Supply
Thursday,     Jan. 21 US Weekly Jobless Claims
Philly Fed Jan Business Outlook Survey
EIA weekly Natural Gas Report (10:30am est0
EIA weekly Petroleum Stats (11am est)
US Treasury Refunding Announcement includes 2-, 5-, & 10-year +10-yr TIPS
Fed weekly Balance Sheet & US Money Supply
Eurozone Dec. CPI
ECB MPC Bank Rate Decision, Deposit Facility Rate, Marginal Lending Facility
Eurozone Adv. Jan Consumer COnfidence
    OVERNIGHT into US Fri. a.m. et:
         China MNI Jan. Business Indicator
         Japan Nikkei Jan. (Prelim) Manufacturing PMI
         Markit Eurozone, French, German, Jan (P) Services & Composite PMI
         UK Dec. Retail Sales & Public Finances + Public Sector Net Borrowing
         Singapore URA Q4 Property Index
         Euro Area Q3 Gov't Debt & Deficits
Friday,         Jan. 22 Chicago Fed National Activity Index
Markit US PMI Manufacturing Flash Index
NAR Dec. Existing Home Sales
Baker-Hughes US/North American Rig Count (1pm est)
BoE's Cunliffe speaks at Bruegel (Brussels)
Bk of Austria Gov Nowotny speaks at economic reporters' club (Vienna)
Irish Central Bank Gov. Lane delivers 1st speech (Dublin)
Canada Nov Retail Sales & Dec. CPI
Saturday,     Jan. 23

       WEEKS AHEAD: 
01/26--27   FOMC Meets
                                       01/28         RBNZ (New Zealand) Meets
                                       01/29         BoJ Meets
                                       02/02         RBA (Aussie) Meets
                                       02/15          US Markets Closed George Washington's Birthday
                                       02/17          FOMC Jan. 27th Meeting Minutes Released
    
*FOMC 2016 Voting Members:  Five governors on the FOMC ar permanent voters: Janet Yellen, Stanley Fischer, Lael Brainard, Jay Powell and Dan Tarullo.vote at every meeting. (Board Governors endure 2 vacancies that Senate refuses to confirm). Like the NY Fed pres. is, also, a permanent FOMC voting member. The rest of the voters, in 2016, are 5 of the 11 regional Fed Pres.: Loretta Mester (Cleveland), Eric Rosengren (Boston), James Bullard (St. Louis) and Esther George (Kansas City). Mester, George and Bullard are hawks, while Rosengren is considered a dove. Evans, Lockhart, Williams, and Lacker were 2015 voters, now off the voting panel at 2016 FOMC meetings. Neel Kashkari, former TARP overseer, took over Presidency of the Minneapolis Federal Reserve Bank, replacing Kocherlakota, who wound up a short-lived leader. Kashkari won't vote in 2016.
                     

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