wall street in advance

July 2016 Economic Statistics
and Other Economic Influences

TUESDAYS:
                Weekly Chain Store Sales*
                 Average Hourly Earnings*
                 API Weekly Gas/Oil Stockpiles Report*  **
(4:30p.m.)
    WEDNESDAYS:
                
Mortgage Applications  Data
                 EIA Weekly Report on Gas & Oil Stockpiles* (10a.m.)
    THURSDAYS:
                 Weekly Unemployment Report*
                  Weekly Mutual Fund Flows*
                   Natural Gas Storage Levels* (a.m.)

 *Except Holidays    ** As of 1/09         All Dates Subject to Change:
Saturday,    July 09
Sunday,        July 10 China Money Supply, June New Yuan Loans & Aggregate Financing
Japan Votes for half the upper House of Parliament (Abe expected to remain)
African Summit (Rigali Rwanda thru 07/18)
German Chancellor Merkel interviewed on ZDF German Nat'l TV (1:10pm et)
Euro 2016 Soccer Tournament Final played (Paris France)
    OVERNIGHT into US Mon. a.m. et:
          New Zealand June Card Spending
          Japan May Machine Orders + M3
          Aussie May Home Loans, Investment Lending & Value of Loans
          Italian May Industrial Production
          Swiss Q2 Family Homes Real Estate Index
          Japan June (P) Machine Tool Orders
          Eurogroup Meets
Monday,      July 11 K.C. Fed's George speaks on US Economy w/Q&A @Mid-America Labor Management Conference (Lake Ozark MO 10am)
US June LMCI (Labor Market Conditions Index)
US Treasury Auctions $37B 3-, & $32B 6-month Bills (11:30am et)
US Treasury Auctions $$24B 3-year Notes (1pm et)
Canada June Housing Starts, PM Trudeau visits Ukraine (thru 07/12)
French 3-, 6-, and 12-month BTF Auction
French FinMin Sapin monthly news conference (3pm edt) 
Eurogroup FinMins Meet on Italian Banks, Greece & Spain & Portugal budgets(Brussels)
    OVERNIGHT into US Tues. a.m. et:
          UK BRC June Like for Like Sales (aka retail sales monitor)
          Cleveland Fed's Mester speaks on stability at the Sydney Banking & Financial Stability Conference w/Q&A (U of Sydney Biz School, Australia 9:30pm)
          Aussie June NAB Business Conditions/Confidence, May Credit Card Purchases & Balances
         RBA's Ellis speaks (Sydney) 
         BoJ's Household Sentiment Survey
         18th EU & China Summit w/China's Pres Xi Jinping attending (Beijing)
         German (F) June CPI, WPI, + HICP
         UK Inflation Report Hearings
Tuesday,     July 12 St. L. Fed's Bullard speaks @NABE Gateway Chapter (St. Lous 8:45am et)
US NFIB Small Business Optimism Index
US May JOLTS (Job Openings & Labor Turnover/Quits)
Redbook weekly Store Snapshot
US May Wholesale Trade
US AG Lynch @House Judiciary Cmte on Hillary Clinton's email non-prosecution + tarmac meeting with Bill Clinton
International Court ruling on Philippines objection to China's claims to South China Sea Islands (China already said it won't recognize the jurisdiction   Hague)
BoE Gov. Carney @Parliament to discuss last week's Financial Stability Report
US Treasury Auctions$20B reopened 10-year Notes
South Africa May Manufacturing Production
India May Industrial Production, + Manufacturing Output, & June CPI
Brazil May Retail Sales
Russia May Trade Balance
USDA weekly Crop Report
MN Fed's Kashkari speaks on the economy & role of US Federal Reserve @Town Hall Forum (Marquette MI 5:30pm et)
    OVERNIGHT into US Wed. a.m. et:
          South Korea June Unemployment Rate & Import/Export Price Index
          China June Trade Balance (Imports/Exports)
          Japan May (F) Industrial Production/Capacity Utilization
          Fed's Mester speaks on Eco Outlook & Monetary Policy @Australian Business Economists Luncheon w/Q&A (10:30pm et)
          Spanish, Italian June CPI & HICP
          BoE Credit Conditions & Bank Liabilities Surveys
          BoE MPC Meets

          Ausrtrian FinMin Schelling to announce overhaul of Austrian Bank levy
          Eurozone May Industrial Production
Wednesday, July 13 Federal Reserve Beige Book Released (2pm et)
MBA weekly Mortgage/Refinance Applications
Dallas Fed's Kaplan @moderated Q&A @World Affairs Council (Houston, TX w/Media)
US Import/Export Prices
Atlanta Fed Business Inflation Expectations (10am et)
EIA weekly Petroleum Stats
US Treasury $12B reopened 30-year Notes

South Africa May Retail Sales
Brazil Foreign Exchange Flows
US Treasury Budget
Canada Teranet/National Bank June House Price Index
BoC MPC Rate Decision, Gov Poloz & Dpty Gov Wilkins press conference
     OVERNIGHT into US Thurs. a.m. et:
          Philly Fed's Harker speaks on Economic Outlook w/Q&A (Philly 6pm et)
          UK RICS June House Price Balance
          Singapore Q2 GDP
          Bk of Korea MPC Interest Rate Decision, Qtrly Eco Outlook, Gov Yeol press Conference (Seoul)
          Aussie June Unemployment Rate/Change/Participation +New Motor Vehicle Sales
           New Zealand Non-Resident Bond Holdings/Resident Offshore Holdings
           India Food, Fuel, & Manufacturing Inflation 
           Japan June Tokyo Condominium Sales
           RBA's Ellis panelist (Sydney Australia)
           French Pres. Hollande televised interview to discuss Brexit, US election & labor reforums, and may announce he'll seen re-election
           Swiss June Producer & Import Prices
           BoE MPC Rate Decision/July Asset Purchase Target (Thurs. local time)
Thursday,    July 14 US weekly Jobless Claims
US June PPI-
Final Demand
Fed's Bullard opens the Official Monetary & Financial Institutions Forum on monetary policy & the role of the US in global economy (St Louis 10am et)
EIA weekly Natural Gas Report
Climate Prediction Center monthly updates on Pacific Ocean El Nino/La Nina & impact on Atlantic Hurricane seasion
US Treasury Refunding Announcement
Fed's Lockhart speaks @8th Rocky Mountain Economic Summit (Victor ID 11:15am)
K.C. Fed's George speaks on economy w/Q&A (Oklahoma City OK 1:15pm)
US Fed weekly Balance Sheet & Money Supply
BoE's MPC/QE/Meeting Minutes/Gov Carney post-meeting press conference 
Mexico Central Bank Meeting Minutes (Raised rates at last meeting)
Chile & Peru Central Banks' Monetary Policy Committees meet, separately, on rates
South Africa Mining Production
Canada May New House Price Index
Russian Central Bank Reserves
    OVERNIGHT into US Fri. a.m. et:
         Fed's Bullard
holds press briefing (St Louis 6:40pm)
         Dallas Fed's Kaplan Q&A on Eco Conditions & Monetary Policy (7p,m. St Louis)
          South Korea June Trade Balance (Imports/Exports)
          China Q2 GDP & June Industrial Production, Retail Sales, & Fixed Asset Investment
          Singapore May Retail Sales 
          Italian May Trade Balance
          ECB Survey of Professional Forecasters
          UK May Construction Output
          EU 25 June New Car Registrations
          Eurozone May Trade Balance & June CPI          
Friday,         July 15 US June CPI
US June Retail Sales

BoE's Carney speaks on climate change& impact on economies (Toronto Canada)
Empire State July Manufacturing Survey
U.M. Prelim. July Consumer Sentiment
US June Industrial Production/Capacity Utilization
US May Business Inventories 
Baker-Hughes Weekly US/North America Rig Count (1pm et)
Canada June Existing Home Sales & May Manufacturers' Sales
Fed's "Too Big to Fail" Kashkari a discussant w/Fed's Bullard @Official Monetary & Financial Institutions Forum  (St Louis 1:15pm et)
11th Asia-Europe Meeting (Ulaanbaatar Mongolia)
Saturday      July 16
Sunday,       July 17 OVERNIGHT into US Mon. a.m. et:
        New Zealand Q2 CPI
        UK Rightmove July House Prices
        Singapore Non-oil June Exports
        China June Property/House Prices
        BoE's Weale speaks on "Brexit Implications on Monetary Policy" @Resolution Foundation (London)
        Bk of Spain Gov Maria Linde opens banking conference (Almeria Spain)
        EU Commissioner Moscovici meets w/Greek PM Tsipras, then holds press conference w/Greek PM Tsakalotos
        RBA (Aussie) MPC Meeting Minutes   (Tues. local time)
Monday,     July 18 NAHB July Housing Market Index
US Treasury Auctions $37B 3-, & $32B 6-month Bills
US TICs
Canada May International Securities Transactions
Japanese Holiday
French 3-, 6-, & 12-month BTF Auctions
Russian Industrial Production
    OVERNIGHT into US Tues. a.m. et:
         RBA CBA/HIA Q2 House Affordability
         Reserve Bk of New Zealand updates Economic Assessment
         South Korea June PPI
         Japan June Dept. Store Sales
         UK June CPI, Retail Price Index (RPP), PPI for producer input & output (RPI), May House Price Index (Brexit vote 6/23)
         Hong Kong June Unemployment Rate
         Eurozone May Construction Output,
         Eurozone & German July ZEW Surveys
         BoE Indexed Long-Term Repo Operations Results
Tuesday,     July 19 US June Housing Starts/Building Permits
US Treasury Auctions $20B in 52-week Bills
Redbook weekly Store Snapshot
    OVERNIGHT into US Wed. a.m. et:
          Aussie June Skilled Vacancies
          Japan June Supermarket & Convenience Store Sales
          German June PPI
          Eurozone May Current Account/Investment Flows
          South Africa June CPI
          UK June Jobless Claims/Claimant Count/Change + May Avg weekly Earnings & May ILO Unemployment Rate
          Swiss July ZEW  Expectations
          Italian May Current Account
Wed.           July 20 MBA weekly Mortgage/Refinance Applications
EIA weekly Petroleum Stats
Eurozone July Consumer Confidence
Brazil Foreign Exchange Flows
    OVERNIGHT into Thurs. a.m. et:
          Aussie NAB Q2 Business Confidence, RBA June Fx Transactions/Holdings
          New Zealand June Credit Card Spending & Net Migration/Tourism
          Brazil Central Bank MPC Rate Decision (current 14.25%)
          Japan May All Industry Activity Index, June (F) Machine Tool Orders
          Swiss June Trade Balance (Imports/Exports)|
          UK June Retail Sales, Central Bank Reserves, Public Finances + Net Borrowing
          Euro Area Q1 Goverment Debt
          ECB MPC Rate Decision/QE/Deposit Facility/Lending Facility (Thurs Local time)
Thursday,   July 21 FHFA May House Price Index
June NAR Existing Home Sales
US Weekly Jobless Claims

Philly Fed Business Outlook Activity & Outlook Survey
Chicago Fed Nat'l Activity Index
EIA weekly Natural Gas Stats
US Treasury Auctions $13B 10-year TIPS
Canada May Wholesale Sales
US Treasury Refunding Announcement incl. 2-, 5-, & 7-yr Notes+2-yr FRN
ECB Chief Draghi post-meeting Press Conference
South Africa Central Bank MPC Rate Decision (current 7.0%)
Fed's weekly Balance Sheet + US Money Supply
    OVERNIGHT into US Fri. a.m. et:
         
Singapore Q2 URA Property Index
         
China MNI July Business Indicator
          Japan Nikkei July (P) Manufacturnig PMI
         
Markit July France, German, Eurozone, (P) Manufacturing & Services + Composite PMI
          Italian May New Industrial Orders/Sales &  Retail Sales +June Trade Balance
          UK Markit July Manufacturing, Services + Composite PMI
Friday,        July 22 Flash US PMI Manufacturing Index
Canada May Retail Sales, June CPI 
Baker-Hughes weekly US/North American Rig Count (1pm et)
China Finance & central bank deputies meet (to 7/23 Chengdu, China)
Saturday,      July 23 Euozone July (Adv) Consumer Confidence

         WEEKS AHEAD:   
07/26--27    FOMC MPC Meets
                                          07/.29    BoJ MPC Meets

*FOMC 2016 Voting Members:  Five governors on the FOMC are permanent voters: Janet Yellen, Stanley Fischer, Lael Brainard, Jay Powell and Dan Tarullo.vote at every meeting. (Board Governors endure 2 vacancies that Senate refuses to confirm). Like the NY Fed pres. is, also, a permanent FOMC voting member. The rest of the voters, in 2016, are 5 of the 11 regional Fed Pres.: Loretta Mester (Cleveland), Eric Rosengren (Boston), James Bullard (St. Louis) and Esther George (Kansas City). Mester, George and Bullard are hawks, while Rosengren is considered a dove. Evans, Lockhart, Williams, and Lacker were 2015 voters, now off the voting panel at 2016 FOMC meetings. Neel Kashkari, former TARP overseer, took over Presidency of the Minneapolis Federal Reserve Bank, replacing Kocherlakota, who wound up a short-lived leader. Kashkari won't vote in 2016 but will stick to his "Too Big .to Fail" mantra on banks
                     

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