wall street in advance

August/September 2016 Economic Statistics
and Other Economic Influences

TUESDAYS:
                Weekly Chain Store Sales*
                 Average Hourly Earnings*
                 API Weekly Gas/Oil Stockpiles Report*  **
(4:30p.m.)
    WEDNESDAYS:
                
Mortgage Applications  Data
                 EIA Weekly Report on Gas & Oil Stockpiles* (10a.m.)
    THURSDAYS:
                 Weekly Unemployment Report*
                  Weekly Mutual Fund Flows*
                   Natural Gas Storage Levels* (a.m.)

 *Except Holidays    ** As of 1/09         All Dates Subject to Change:
Sunday,        Aug. 21 Olympic Medal Round for Men's Basketball & Closing Ceremonies (NBC TV in US: [CMCSA])
Iranian Foreign Minister Zarif starts Latin American tour in Cuba
    OVERNIGHT into US Mon. a.m. et:
          Japan Supermarket & Convenience Store Sales
          Swiss July M3 Money Supply
Monday,       Aug. 22 Chicago Fed Aug. National Activity Index
US Treasury Auctions $40B 3-, & $34B 6-month Bills
ProFarmer Annual Midwest Crop Tour gathers accurate crop data  (SD to OH)
Germany's Merkel, France's Hollande & Italian PM Renzi meet on immigration & Brexit; Press Conference (noon edt) on Aircraft Carrier
EU's Monitoring Agriculture Resources publishes Crop & Weather Bulletin
Canada June Wholesale Sales
    OVERNIGHT into US Tues. am. et:
          BoJ Chief Kuroda speaks at BoJ's FinTech Conference

          Singapore July CPI
          Swiss July Trade Balance (Imports/Exports)
          Eurozone, French, German Aug. (P) Manufacturing/Services & Composite PMI
          BoE Indexed Long Term Repo Operation Results
          UK CBI Aug Total Order Trends, Selling Trends
Tuesday,      Aug. 23 US July New Single Family Homes Sales
Richmond Fed Manfacturing Index
Redbook weekly Store Sales Snapshot
US Treasury Auctions 4-week Bills (11:30am et)
Eurozone Aug. (Adv.) Consumer Confidence
US Treasury Auctions $26B 2-year Notes (1pm edt)
Brazil July Current Account & Foreign Direct Investment
Banorte 2016 Forum w/Mexico FinMin Videgaray, Grupo Financiero Banorte SAB Chair Hank, Grupo Bimbo SAB CEO Servitje, Fomento Economico Mexicano SAB Chair Fermandez
Central Bank Rate Decisions in Turkey & Hungary
ECB's Coeure panelist on "Completing Europe's Economic & Monetary Unions (6:30pm edt Geneva)
    OVERNIGHT into US Wed. am. et:
         New Zealand July Trade Balance (Imports/Exports)
         Aussie Q2 Construction Done, July Skilled Vacancies
         Japan Aug. Small Business Confidence & June (F) Leading Index
         German Q2 (F) GDP, Q2 Private Consumption, CapEx, Gov't Spending, Domestic Demand, Imports/Exports
          South Africa July CPI
          Swiss July Consumption Indicator
          UK BBA July Loans for House Purchase
Wednesday, Aug. 24 MBA weekly Mortgage/Refinance Applications
FHFA June House Price Index (HPI)
PMI Flash US Manufacturing Index
NAR July Existing Home Sales
EIA weekly Petroleum Stats
US Treasury Auctions $13B reopened 2-year FRN (11:30am) + $34B 5-year Notes (1pm et)
Brazil Foreign Exchange Flows
US Sec'y of State Kerry visits Turkey
Merkel visits Estonia
Singapore's PM Loong visits Indonesia & its Pres. Widodo for 3-day visit
    OVERNIGHT into US Thurs. a.m. et:
         Japan July Corporate Service Price, Foreign Investments in Japan, vice versa
         Singapore Q2 GDP
         China July Swift Global Payments
         Aussie Q2 Private CapEx
         Canada CFIB Aug. Business Barometer
         French Q3 Industrial Investments & Aug. Business Survey
         Spain Q2 GDP
         German IFO Aug. Business Climate/Expectations, July Import Price Index
         Hong Kong July Trade Balance (Imports/Exports)
         South Africa July PPI
         Swiss Q2 Industrial Production/Orders, Industry & Construction Output
         UK CBI Aug. Retailing Reported Sales & CBI Total Distributed Sales
Thursday,    Aug. 25 K.C. Fed Economic Policy Symposium "Designing Resilient Monetary Policy Frameworks for the Future" (Jackson Hole WY, thru 27th Agenda available 6pm mt)
July Durable Goods Shipments/Orders
US weekly Initial Jobless Claims/Continuing Claims
Markit US Services & Composite PMI 
EIA weekly Natural Gas Report
K.C. Fed Aug. Manufacturing Index
US Treasury Auctions $28B 7-year Notes
Canada Q/o/Q Corporate Profits (double dinged by oil prices & fires)
Brazil July Bank Lending
Mexico Central Bank releases Minutes of its recent MPC Meeting
Weekly US Fed Balance Sheet & Money Supply (4:30p, et)
    OVERNIGHT into US Fri. a.m. et:
         Japan July CPI

         Singapore July Industrial Production
         German GfK Sept. Consumer Confidence Survey
         Spain July Retail Sales
         French Q2 (P) GDP
         Eurozone July M3 & Private Sector Loans (the point of negative rates)
         UK Q2 (P) GDP, Private Consumption, Gov't Spending, Gross Fixed Capital Formation, Imports/Exports, Jun. Index of Services, Total Business Investment
Friday,         Aug. 26 FOMC Chief Yellen speaks at K.C. Fed Economic Symposium (10am edt) 10:55 Negative Nominal Interest Rates w/Sveriges Riksbank's Nesses & Carnegie Mellon Univ's Goodfriend; Evaluation Alternative Monetary Frameworks w/Simon Potter NY Fed Markets Grp, ECB's Bindsell, Paris School of Economics' Danthine;
US Q2 (Prelim/2nd look) GDP, Price Index + PCE
US July International Trade Deficit
US Q2 Corporate Profits
US Flash Aug. Services PMI
U.M. (F) Aug. Consumer Sentiment
Baker-Hughes US/North American Rig Count (1pm et)
    OVERNIGHT into US Sat. a.m. et;
         China July Industrial Profits

Saturday      Aug. 27 German July Retail Sales
K.C. Fed Economic Policy Symposium wraps "Central Bank Balance Sheets & Financial Stability"with Jeremy Stein, Harvard's Robin Greenwood & Samuel Hanson, + U of Chicago's (and former Fed Pres) Randall Kroszner; 12:25pm edt panel with Bk of Mexico's Agustin Carstens, ECB's Coeure & BoJ Gov Kuroda
South Korea FinMinIl-Ho & Japan FinMin Aso meet (Seoul So. Korea)
Sunday,       Aug. 28      OVERNIGHT into US Mon. a.m. et:
           UK Aug. Nationwide House Prices

           Aussie HIA July New Home Sales
           Hong Kong July Retail Sales
           Major Int'l E&P CEOs/CBs Speak at ONS (Norway)
           German July Import Price Index & Retail Sales
Monday,      Aug. 29 July US Personal Income/Outlays + PCE
Dallas Aug. Fed Manufacturing Survey
US Treasury Auctions $40B 3-, & $34 B 6-month Bills (That's it for the wk, except 4-week bills on the 30th, the amount not announced as of this post)
July Brazil Budget Balance/Debt:GDP Ratio
EU Commish Moscovici meets with Greek FinMin Tsakalotos & Eco Minister Stathakis (Brussels)
German PM Angela Merkel Campaigns in Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania
    OVERNIGHT into US Tues. a.m. et:
         New Zealand July Building Permits
         Japan July Jobless Rate/Applications, Retail Trade + Household Spending
         Aussie July Building Approvals
         UK July Net Consumer Credit, Mortgage Approvals, M4 Money Supply
         Eurozone Aug. Economic Confidence-(Consumer, Business, Services, Industrial)
         German July Import Price Index
         Spanish Aug. CPI & HICP
         Swiss Q2 Employment Level
         Italian June Retail Sales
         US Sec'y of State Kerry & Sec'y of Commerce Pritzker @India-U.S. Strategic & Commercial Dialogue (New Delhi, India)
Tuesday,     Aug. 30 Case/Shiller June Home Price Index
Conference Board's Aug. Consumer Confidence
Redbook weekly Store Sales Snapshot
German Aug. (P) CPI & HICP
Canada Q2 Current Account, July Industrial Product (IPPI)+Raw Materials Prices (RMPI)
US Primaries Across the Country
BoE Bond-buying Operations Results
    OVERNIGHT into US Tues.
         UK Lloyds Aug. Business Barometer + GfK Consumer Confidence Survey
         Fed's Rosengren panelist @Shanghai Advanced Institute of Finance (Beijing China)
         Japan July Loans & Discounts, Indutrial Production
         RBA (Aussie) Debelle Speaks @FX week Asia (Singapore)
         BoJ Bd Member Funo Speaks & Holds Press Conference (Niigata Japan)
         Aussie July Private Sector & Housing Credit
         Singapore July Bank Lending
         Japan July Vehicle Production, Housing Starts, & Construction Orders
         Swiss July UBS Consumption Indicator
         German Aug. Unemployment Rate/Change & July Retail Sales
         Eurozone, France & Italy Aug PPI, CPI & HICP
         Spanish June Current Account
         Italy July Unemployment Rate, Wage Inflation
         India July Federal Fiscal Deficit
Wed.            Aug. 31 Fed's Kashkkari on "The Role of the Fed & Its Board of Directors" @Amherst H. Wilder Foundation (8am St Paul, MN)
Fed's Evans panelist on "Business Cycles, Financial Markets & Monetary Policy w/Special Application to China" (Shanghai Advanced Institute of Finance (SAIF),  Beijing 3:15pm)
MBA weekly Mortgage/Refinance Applications
ADP Aug. Private Sector Employment Report (8:15am et)
Treas. Sec'y Lew speaks @Brooings Institution on G20 Summit Expectations (D.C.)
Chicago PMI (9:45am et)
NAR July Pending Home Sales  (10am et)
EIA weekly Petroleum Stats
India Q1 GDP
Canada June & Q2 GDP
Spanish Lawmakers vote on whether to back PM Mariano Rajoy for 2nd term
USDA Farm Prices (3pm et)
Brazil Interest Rate Decision (Current 14.25%) + Q2 GDP
US Bk Reserve Settlement on 2-, 5-, & 7-yr Notes + 5-year TIPS
U.N. Sec'y Gen Ban Ki Moon addresses Aung San Suu Kyi peace talks with armed ethnic groups (Myanmar thru 09/04)
    OVERNIGHT into US Thurs. a.m. et:
         New Zealand Q2 Terms of Trade Index (Imports/Exports)
         South Korea Aug. CPI & July Current Account, Trade Balance
         Aussie AIG Aug. Performance of Manufacturing Index, & CoreLogic HPI, July Retail Sales + Q2 CapEx + Aud Commodity Index
         Japan Q2 Corporate Sales/Profits, & CapEx + Nikkei Mnftg PMI
         Singapore hosts FX Week Asia
         China Aug. Manufacturing & Non-Manufacturing PMI +Caixin PMI    
         South Korea Q2 GDP, & Nikkei Aug Manufacturing PMI + Fx Reserves 
         Russia Markit Aug Manufacturing PMI  
         Swiss July Retail Sales
         Spain Unemployment Rate
         Italy Q2 GDP
         UK Aug. Construction PMI
         Eurozone July PPI
         Eurozone, France, Germany, Italy Aug. (F) Markit Manufacturing PMI
         South Africa Aug. Total Vehicle Sales
         French FinMin Sapin details his 2017 budget hopes @Press Conference
         Spain Unemployment Rate/Change
         UK Markit Aug. Construction & Manufacturing PMI
Thursday,    Sept. 01 US Aug. Motor Vehicle Sales
US Aug. Chain Store Sales (9 still report)
US weekly Jobless Claims
Challenger Aug. Job-Cuts
US Q2. Productivity & Costs (2nd look)
US Aug. PMI + ISM Aug. Manufacturing Indices
July US Construction Spending
Fed Reserve Bk of NY co-sponsors webcast discussing its Survey of Consumer Expectations
EIA weekly Natural Gas Report
ECB's Nowotny panelist on "Easy Money Policy: Free Money for All or Necessary Safety Net?" Austrian FinMin Schelling panelist on "Late Night Talk: Debating Finance: (Alpbach Austria)
Fed's Mester speech on community development @KY 2016 Summit on Phlanthropy  (Lexington KY 12:25pm) 
Weekly Fed Balance Sheet & US Money Supply
    OVERNIGHT into US Fri. a.m. et:
         Japan Aug. End. Monetary Base
+ Aug. Consumer Confidence
         Italy Q2 GDP
         UK Markit/CIPS Aug. Construction PMI
         Eurozone July PPI
         Japan PM Abe & South Korean Pres. Hye @Eastern Economic Forum hosted by Russian Pres. Putin--Abe hoping to resolve South China Seas Kuril Islands dispute  (Vladivostok)
         Italian PM Renzi, ECB's Mersch & Eurogropup's Dijsselbloem @"Intelligence on the World, Europe, & Italy" Forum (Cernobbio Italy thru 09/04)
Friday,        Sept. 02 US Aug. Unemployment Rate/Change/Participation/Avg Hrly & Wkly Earnings
US July  Int'l Trade Deficit
US July Factory Orders
US July (F) Durable Goods Orders/Shipments
Canada July Int'l Merchandise Trade (Imports/Exports) & Q2 Labor Productivity
Brazil July Industrial Production
Fed's Lacker speech on "Interest Rate Benchmarks" (VA Assn of Economists 1pm et)
ECB's Coeure & Constancio speak @Conference on "The Optimal Size of the Financial Sector" (Frankfurt Germany)
Baker-Hughes US/No. American Rig Count (1pm et)
ALL US Markets Trade Regular Hours

    OVERNIGHT into US Sat. a.m. et:
         Singapore Aug. Manufacturing PMI
Saturday,    Sept 03 US Labor Day Weekend. All US Markets Closed Monday, Sept. 5th
College Football (Regular) Season begins
B20 Summit (Hangzhou China in advance of G20 Meeting 09/05)

         WEEKS AHEAD: 09/04  G20 Meets
(Hangzhou China thru 09/05)   
                                                  German Voters Could Signal Waning Support for Merkel
                                   09/05       US Holiday, Labor Day ALL US Markets closed        
                                  
09/06      RBA (Aussie) MPC Meets
                                   09/07       Fed's Beige Book
                                                 
BoC (Canada) MPC Meets
                                  09/08      ECB MPC Meets
                                   09/15      BoE MPC Meets
                                                 
SNB (Swiss) MPC Meets
                               09/20--21   FOMC Meets


*FOMC 2016 Voting Members:  Five governors on the FOMC are permanent voters: Janet Yellen, Stanley Fischer, Lael Brainard, Jay Powell and Dan Tarullo.vote at every meeting. (Board Governors endure 2 vacancies that Senate refuses to confirm). Like the NY Fed pres. is, also, a permanent FOMC voting member. The rest of the voters, in 2016, are 5 of the 11 regional Fed Pres.: Loretta Mester (Cleveland), Eric Rosengren (Boston), James Bullard (St. Louis) and Esther George (Kansas City). Mester, George and Bullard are hawks, while Rosengren is considered a dove. Evans, Lockhart, Williams, and Lacker were 2015 voters, now off the voting panel at 2016 FOMC meetings. Neel Kashkari, former TARP overseer, took over Presidency of the Minneapolis Federal Reserve Bank, replacing Kocherlakota, who wound up a short-lived leader. Kashkari won't vote in 2016 but will stick to his "Too Big .to Fail" mantra on banks
                     

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