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February 2016 Economic
Statistics
and Other Economic Influences |
TUESDAYS:
Weekly Chain Store Sales*
Average Hourly Earnings*
API Weekly Gas/Oil Stockpiles Report* ** (4:30p.m.)
WEDNESDAYS:
Mortgage Applications Data
EIA Weekly Report on Gas & Oil Stockpiles* (10a.m.)
THURSDAYS:
Weekly Unemployment Report*
Weekly Mutual Fund Flows*
Natural Gas Storage Levels* (a.m.)
*Except Holidays ** As of 1/09
All Dates Subject to Change: |
Sunday,
Feb. 14 |
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Valentine's Day
South Korea Jan. Import/Export Price Index
OVERNIGHT into US Mon. a.m. et:
Japan 15Q4 GDP, Business &
Private Consumption, Capital Expenditures, GDP Price Index, Dec. (F) Industrial
Production/Capacity Utilization
South Korea Jan. Trade Balance
(Imorts/Exports) + Offshore Hldgs
RBNZ Jan. Offshore Holdings + Dec. M2
Money Supply
UK Feb. Rightmove House Prices
Aussie Jan. New Vehicle Sales
Singapore Dec. Retail
Sales
India Jan. WPI Fuel, Food, &
Manufacturing Inflation
China Jan. Trade Balance
(Imports/Exports)
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Monday,
Feb. 15 |
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US Markets Closed for George
Washington's Birthday
Pres. Obama hosts Special ASEAN-US Summit (California thru 16th)
Eurozone Dec. Trade Balance
ECB Chief Draghi speaks @EU Parliament (Brussels)
"Economic, Fiscal & Financial Governance of the Euro Area: Lessons from
the Crisis" w/Jean-Claude Trichet & EU Bailout fund head Klaus Regling
speaking (Luxembourg)
France Auctions 3-, 6-, & 12-month BTFs
Nat'l Bank of Austria Gov. Nowotny attends a book launch & economic
growth discussion (Vienna)
Canadian Markets Closed for Family Day
OVERNIGHT into US Tues. a.m. et:
RBA (Aussie) Releases
Feb. Meeting Minutes
(RBNZ) New Zealand Q1 2-year
Inflation Expectation & 15Q4 Retail Sales
South Korea Feb. Interest
Rate Decision
Italy Dec. Trade Balance
UK Jan CPI, RPI, PPI,
& Dec. DCLG House Prices
German Feb. ZEW Survey
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Tuesday,
Feb. 16 |
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Empire State NY Fed Manufacturing
Survey
NAHB Feb. Housing Market Index (snow & freeze slows traffic)
Philly Fed. Pres Harker speaks on eco outlook @2016 Economic Forecast
panel sponsored by Lyons Companies & Univ. of Delaware Ctr for Economic Education
& Entrepreneurship
US Treasury Auctions $37B 3- & $30B 6-month Bills
MN Fed's Kashkari on lessons from the financial crisis @Brookings
Institution (Washington 10:03am)
US Dec. TICs (4pm Who do you think was buying up the bonds in Jan/early Feb?)
Boston Fed's Rosengren speaks on Eco Outlook (Colby College, Waterville
ME 7:30pm et)
RBA (Aussie) MPC Feb. Meeting Minutes Released
Eurozone ZEW Economic Sentiment
UK P.M. Cameron addresses EU Parliament on British allliance terms with
EU
Brazil Dec. Retail Sales
Canada Jan. Existing Home Sales & Brutish Columbia unveils 4th
balanced budget
OVERNIGHT into US Wed. a.m. et
Singapore Jan. Trade
Balance/Non-Oil Exports
South Africa Jan. CPI & Dec.
Retail Sales
South Korea Jan Unemployment Rate
Japan Dec. Machine Orders,
Jan Dept. Store Sales
UK Jan. Jobless Claimant
Count/Change, Dec. Avg Earnings, & ILO Dec. Unemployment Rate
Eurozone Dec. Construction
Output
Swiss Feb. ZEW Survey
German 10-year Bund Auctions
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Wednesday, Feb. 17 |
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FOMC Jan. 26--27th Meeting
Minutes Released (2pm est)
Jan. US PPI-Final Demand
US Jan. Housing Starts/Building Permits
Jan. US Industrial Production/Capacity Utilization
US 15Q4 Ecommerce Retail Sales
Redbook weekly Store Sales Snapshot
MBA weekly Mortgage/Refinance Applications
S.L. Fed's Bullard speaks on economy & monetary policy to
Fed Forecast dinner hosted by CFA Society (St Louis 6pm)
Canadian Dec. TICs
Brazil Foreign Exchange Flows
New Zealand Jan. Job Advertisements, 15Q4 Producer Price Inputs/Outputs
OVERNIGHT into US Thurs. a.m. et:
Japan Jan. Trade Balance (Imports/Exports)
Aussie Jan. Unemployment
Rate/Change/Participation Rate
RBA's Edey speaks
(Sydney) + Release of Jan. FX Transactions
China Jan. CPI
BoJ's Ishida
speaks in Fukuoka (More on additional tools?)
Swiss Jan. Trade Balance
(Imports/Exports)
French Jan. CPI, HICP + 3-year BTAN
Auctions
Spain Trade Balance +Auctions 3-,
& 5-year Bonos
Eurozone Dec. Current Account + Net
Investment
Flows
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Thursday,
Feb. 18 |
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US Weekly Jobless Claims
Philly Fed Feb. Business Outlook Survey
EIA weekly Natural Gas Report (10:30am et)
EIA weekly Petroleum Stats (11am et)
US Treasury Auctions $7B 30-year TIPS
S.F. Fed's Williams speech on eco outlook @town hall (Los Angeles 3:30pm)
US Treasury announces Refunding Plans, incl. 2-, 5- & 7-yr Notes
ECB Releases Minutes of its last MPC Meeting (Rates pushed negative)
Russian Central Bank Reserves, PPI, Retail Sales, Jan. Unemployment Rate
Canada Dec. Wholesale Sales
EU Summit -Migrants & UK terms likely talking poiunts (Brussels thru
19th)
OVERNIGHT into US Fri. a.m. et:
RBA Ass't Gov. Edey
speaks @Australian Shareholders Ass'n Investor Forum
South Korea Jan. PPI
Norges central bank Gov. Olsen delivers
annual address (Oslo)
Japan Feb. Tankan Index &
All Industries Activity Index
German Jan. PPI
UK Jan. Retail Sales & Jan. Public
Finances & Borrowing
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Friday,
Feb. 19 |
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Cleveland Fed's Mester
speech on Eco Outlook @Global Interdependence Center Central Banking Series (Sarasota FL
8am est)
US Jan. CPI
Baker-Hughes weekly US/No. American Rig Count (1pm et)
US Equity Monthly Options Expire (Some written over 2 years ago)
India FX Reserves + Markets Holiday
Canada Jan CPI & Dec. Retail Sales
CFTC Releases speculative net positions on Currencies, Crude, Copper, Gold,
Silver, S&P 500
Eurozone Feb (Adv.) Consumer Confidence
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Saturday,
Feb. 20 |
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Nevada Democratic Caucuses
South Carolina Republican Primary
Washington Republican Caucuses
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Sunday,
Feb. 21 |
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OVERNIGHT
into US Mon. a.m. et:
RBA's Debelle speaks
@KangaNews DCM Summit (Sydney)
New Zealand Jan. Credit Card Spending
Japan/Nikkei Feb. Prelim PMI
Manufacturing
Markit Eurozone, French, German, Feb.
Prelim Manufacturing, Services & Composite PMIs
Italian Jan. CPI & HICP
Swiss Jan. PPI
UK Feb. CBI Distributive Trades Total
Orders & Selling Price Trends
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Monday,
Feb. 22 |
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Chicago Fed National Activity Index
Markit PMI Feb. Manufacturing Flash Index
US Treasury Auctions $37B 3- & $30B 6-month Bills
ECB's Lautenschlager speaks (Stuttgart Germany)
Russian Public Holiday
OVERNIGHT into US Tues. a.m. et:
RBA Head of Payment Policy's
Richards @Payments Innovation 2016 Conference (Sydney)
Singapore Jan. CPI
French Feb. Business Survey
Hong Kong Jan Unemployment
Rate + CPI
German 15Q4 GDP,
Exports/Imports, Gov't Spending, Capital & Construction Investment, + Private
Consumption/Domestic Demand
German Feb IFO Business
Climate/Expectations
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Tuesday,
Feb. 23 |
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S&P Case Shiller Dec.
Home Price Index
NAR Jan. Existing Home Sales
SIFMA T+2 Symposium (NY)
Conferenced Board's Feb. Consumer Confidence (usually lags U.M. changes)
Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index
Redbook weekly Sales Snaptshot
US Treasury Auctions $26B 2-year Notes
MN Fed's Kashkari speaks @St Paul Regional Economic Development
Partnership Winter Meeting (Minneapolis)
Fed Gov. Stanley Fischer speaks on monetary policy @IHS CERAWeek
(Houston 8:30pm)
BoE Gov Carney appears @U.K. Parliament Cmte (London)
BoE Chief Economist Haldane lecture "The Dappled World (@U of
Nottingham)
IMF's Mng Dir. Lagarde, Queen Rania Al Abdullah of Jordan, UAE Foreign
Minister Sheikh Abdullah bin Zayed Al Nahyan speak @Global Women's Forum (Dubai to 24th)
SNB's Jordan speaks (Frankfurt Germany)
Brazil Jan. Current Account & Foreign Direct Investment
ECB's Nouy speaks @Deutsche Bank Capital Forum (London)
Nevada Republican Presidential Caucuses
Russian Holiday--Defender of the Fatherland Day
OVERNIGHT into US Wed. a.m. et:
Singapore 15Q4 GDP
Japan Jan. Corporate Service Price
Index, Small Business Confidence
Aussie 15Q4 Wage Price Index,
Construction Completed, & Jan. Skilled Vacancies + Westpack Feb. Consumer Sentiment
Hong Kong 15Q4 GDP
Swiss UBS Jan. Consumption Indicator
French Feb Consumer Confidence
Italian Dec. Industrial Orders/Sales
UK Feb. BBA Loans for House
Purchases, + CBI Feb. Reported Sales
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Wednesday, Feb. 24 |
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Fed's Lacker speech
"Can monetary policy impact growth?" @Leaders + Legends Lecture Series hosted by
Johns Hopkins Biz School (Baltimore 8am est)
Fed's Kaplan speaks on current eco conditions & monetary policy
(Dallas 1:15pm)
S.L. Fed's Bullard (Hawk recently talking dovish) speaks (NY 6:30pm est)
Jan. US New Home Sales
EIA weekly Petroleum Stats
US Treasury Auctions $13B reopened 2-year FRN (11:30am est)
US Treasury Auctions $34B 5-year Notes (1pm et)
MBA weekly Mortgage/Refinance Applications
Markit Feb. PMI US Services Flash
Brazil Jan. Bank Lending & Foreign Exchange Flows
BoC's Schembri speaks to Guelph Chamber of Commerce (Ontario)
BoE's Deputy Gov for Financial Stability Cunliffe lectures @London South
Bank U
South Korea Feb. Consumer Confidence
Bundesbank Chief Weidmann holds news conference (Frankfurt Germany)
OVERNIGHT into US Thurs. a.m. et:
New Zealand Jan. Net Migration
Aussie 15Q4 Private & Corporate CapEx
BoJ's Kiuchi speaks
(Kagoshima, Japan)
German GfK March Consumer
Confidence, Jan. HICP, & Import Price Index
Swiss 15Q4 Industrial Production,
Industry & Construction Output, & CPI
Eurozone Jan. M3
Spain 15Q4 GDP
Hong Kong Jan. Imports/Exports
Italian Feb. Business & Consumer
Confidence + Dec. Retail Sales + Jan Trade Balance
UK 15Q4 (P) GDP, Private
Consumption, Gov't Spending, Gross Fixed Capital Formation, Imports/Exports, + Dec Index
of Services & Total Business Investment
South Africa Jan PPI + 15Q4 Unemployment
Rate
Eurozone Jan. CPI + M3
Money Supply
IIF-Institute of Int'l Finance
keynotes from Chair of China's ICBC, w/speakers from HSBC, BAC/ML, Credit Agricole, China
Ministry of Finance, Standard Chartered plc, China Investment Corp, JPM, PBoC Chair Zhou
Xiaochuan (and others),, BoC, BIS, PIMCO Asia, EU Director of Regulation & Prudential
Supervision of Financial Institutions, GE, S&P Ratings, Asian Development Bank, Citi,
ICMA, IMF, Argentine Minster of Economy, GS' Gary Cohn, and more
(Shanghai-concurrent w/G20 thru 26th)
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Thursday,
Feb. 25 |
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Atlanta Fed's Lockhart opens
the Banking
Outlook Conference --Caution Winding Road Ahead (Atlanta
8:15am est)
USDA 92nd Agricultural Outlook Forum (Arlington VA thru 26th)
Jan US Durable Goods Orders/Shipments
S.L. Fed's Bullard speaks on eco & monetary policy Money Marketeers of NYU
US weekly Jobless Claims
FHFA Dec. House Price Index
EIA weekly Natural Gas Report
IMF Mng Dir. Lagarde, Woflgang Schauble, Visa CEO Scharf, BoE's Carney,
GaveKal Dragonomics, UBS, Caixan Insight, China Business Netowrk, FT, MS Chief Economist,
NATIXIS, JPM, Nomura, YES Bank Ltd and more speak @IIF
S.F. Fed's Williams speaks on outlook @NYU Stern Biz School (NY noon)
US Treasury Auctions $28B 7-year Notes (1pm est)
US weekly Fed Balance Sheet & Money Supply
K.C. Fed Manufacturing Index
Brazil Jan. Unemployment Rate & FGV Feb. Consumer Confidence
Russian Central Bank Reserves
OVERNIGHT into US Fri. a.m. et:
New Zealand Jan. Trade Balance
(Imports/Exports)
Japan Jan. Nat'l & Tokyo CPI
Singapore 15Q4 GDP +Jan.
Industrial Production
UK GfK Feb. Consumer Confidence Survey
China Jan. Property/House
Prices & Swift Global Paymerns
French 15Q4 GDP + Jan.
PPI & Consumer Spending
Italy Jan. wage Inflation
Eurozone Feb. Business, Industrial,
Services, & Consumer Sentiment- Expectations
UK Office of Nat'l Statistics discusses
housing costs & inflation @BoE
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Friday,
Feb. 26 |
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US 15Q4 (Prelim) GDP (2nd
guess)
US Jan Personal Income & Outlays + PCE component
US Dec Int'l Trade Deficit
Fed Gov. Powell panelist on "Language after Liftoff: Fed
Communication Away from the Zero Lower Bound" and Fed Gov Brainard
on "International Monetary Policy Synchronization" + ECB's Praet
panelist @2016
U.S. Monetary Policy Forum (NY 10:15am est)
U.M. Final Feb. Consumer Sentiment + Expectations
Baker-Hughes weekly US/No. America Rig Count (1pm et)
G20 FinMins & Central Bank Governors Meet (Shanghai, China thru 27th)
Irish Elections
Canada CFIB Feb. Business Barometer
Dallas Fed Jan. PCE
German Feb .CPI + HICP
Brazil Jan Budget Balance & Debt/GDP Ratio
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Saturday, Feb 27 |
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South Carolina Democratic Primary
(Republicans were on 2/20)
G20 FinMins & Central Bankers Meeting Ends (Shanghai China)
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WEEKS AHEAD: 03/01
RBA (Aussie) Meets
03/09 BoC meets
03/10 ECB Meets
03/15--16 FOMC Meets
*FOMC 2016 Voting Members: Five
governors on the FOMC ar permanent voters: Janet Yellen, Stanley Fischer, Lael Brainard,
Jay Powell and Dan Tarullo.vote at every meeting. (Board Governors endure 2 vacancies that
Senate refuses to confirm). Like the NY Fed pres. is, also, a permanent FOMC voting
member. The rest of the voters, in 2016, are 5 of the 11 regional Fed Pres.: Loretta
Mester (Cleveland), Eric Rosengren (Boston), James Bullard (St. Louis) and Esther George
(Kansas City). Mester, George and Bullard are hawks, while Rosengren is
considered a dove. Evans, Lockhart, Williams, and Lacker were 2015 voters, now off
the voting panel at 2016 FOMC meetings. Neel Kashkari, former TARP overseer, took
over Presidency of the Minneapolis Federal Reserve Bank, replacing Kocherlakota, who wound
up a short-lived leader. Kashkari won't vote in 2016.
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