wall street in advance

July 2016 Economic Statistics
and Other Economic Influences

TUESDAYS:
                Weekly Chain Store Sales*
                 Average Hourly Earnings*
                 API Weekly Gas/Oil Stockpiles Report*  **
(4:30p.m.)
    WEDNESDAYS:
                
Mortgage Applications  Data
                 EIA Weekly Report on Gas & Oil Stockpiles* (10a.m.)
    THURSDAYS:
                 Weekly Unemployment Report*
                  Weekly Mutual Fund Flows*
                   Natural Gas Storage Levels* (a.m.)

 *Except Holidays    ** As of 1/09         All Dates Subject to Change:
Sunday,       July 17 OVERNIGHT into US Mon. a.m. et:
        New Zealand Q2 CPI
        UK Rightmove July House Prices
        Singapore Non-oil June Exports
        China June Property/House Prices
        BoE's Weale speaks on "Brexit Implications on Monetary Policy" @Resolution Foundation (London)
        Bk of Spain Gov Maria Linde opens banking conference (Almeria Spain)
        EU Commissioner Moscovici meets w/Greek PM Tsipras, then holds press conference w/Greek PM Tsakalotos
        RBA (Aussie) MPC Meeting Minutes   (Tues. local time)
Monday,     July 18 NAHB July Housing Market Index
US Treasury Auctions $37B 3-, & $32B 6-month Bills
US TICs
Canada May International Securities Transactions
Japanese Holiday
French 3-, 6-, & 12-month BTF Auctions
Russian Industrial Production
    OVERNIGHT into US Tues. a.m. et:
         RBA CBA/HIA Q2 House Affordability
         Reserve Bk of New Zealand updates Economic Assessment
         South Korea June PPI
         Japan June Dept. Store Sales
         UK June CPI, Retail Price Index (RPP), PPI for producer input & output (RPI), May House Price Index (Brexit vote 6/23)
         Hong Kong June Unemployment Rate
         Eurozone May Construction Output,
         Eurozone & German July ZEW Surveys
         BoE Indexed Long-Term Repo Operations Results
Tuesday,     July 19 US June Housing Starts/Building Permits
US Treasury Auctions $20B in 52-week Bills
Redbook weekly Store Snapshot
    OVERNIGHT into US Wed. a.m. et:
          Aussie June Skilled Vacancies
          Japan June Supermarket & Convenience Store Sales
          German June PPI
          Eurozone May Current Account/Investment Flows
          South Africa June CPI
          UK June Jobless Claims/Claimant Count/Change + May Avg weekly Earnings & May ILO Unemployment Rate
          Swiss July ZEW  Expectations
          Italian May Current Account
Wed.           July 20 MBA weekly Mortgage/Refinance Applications
EIA weekly Petroleum Stats
Eurozone July Consumer Confidence
Brazil Foreign Exchange Flows
    OVERNIGHT into Thurs. a.m. et:
          Aussie NAB Q2 Business Confidence, RBA June Fx Transactions/Holdings
          New Zealand June Credit Card Spending & Net Migration/Tourism
          Brazil Central Bank MPC Rate Decision (current 14.25%)
          Japan May All Industry Activity Index, June (F) Machine Tool Orders
          Swiss June Trade Balance (Imports/Exports)|
          UK June Retail Sales, Central Bank Reserves, Public Finances + Net Borrowing
          Euro Area Q1 Goverment Debt
          ECB MPC Rate Decision/QE/Deposit Facility/Lending Facility (Thurs Local time)
Thursday,   July 21 FHFA May House Price Index
June NAR Existing Home Sales
US Weekly Jobless Claims

Philly Fed Business Outlook Activity & Outlook Survey
Chicago Fed Nat'l Activity Index
EIA weekly Natural Gas Stats
US Treasury Auctions $13B 10-year TIPS
Canada May Wholesale Sales
US Treasury Refunding Announcement incl. 2-, 5-, & 7-yr Notes+2-yr FRN
ECB Chief Draghi post-meeting Press Conference
South Africa Central Bank MPC Rate Decision (current 7.0%)
Fed's weekly Balance Sheet + US Money Supply
    OVERNIGHT into US Fri. a.m. et:
         
Singapore Q2 URA Property Index
         
China MNI July Business Indicator
          Japan Nikkei July (P) Manufacturnig PMI
         
Markit July France, German, Eurozone, (P) Manufacturing & Services + Composite PMI
          Italian May New Industrial Orders/Sales &  Retail Sales +June Trade Balance
          UK Markit July Manufacturing, Services + Composite PMI
Friday,        July 22 Flash US PMI Manufacturing Index
Canada May Retail Sales, June CPI 
Baker-Hughes weekly US/North American Rig Count (1pm et)
China Finance & Central bank deputies meet (to 7/23 Chengdu, China)
Saturday,      July 23 US Treas Sec'y Jack Lew attends G-20 FinMin & Central Bank Govs Chengdeue China thru 24th)
Euozone July (Adv) Consumer Confidence
Sunday,        July 24 Tour de France wraps in Paris after 2 weeks of competition
    OVERNIGHT into US Mon. a.m. et:
         Japan Jun. Trade Balance (Imports/Exports)
         Singapre Jun CPI
         German IFO July Biz Climate/Expectations + Junr Import Price Index
         New Zealand Central Bank Gov Wheeler speaks (Auckland)
         UK CBI July Biz Optimism/Orders/Selling Prices
Monday,       July 25 Dallas Fed Jul. Manufacturing Survey
French 3-, 6- & 12-Month BTF Auctions
US Treasury Auctions$37B 3- & $32B 6-month Bills (11:30am et)
US Treasury Auctions $26B 2-yr Notes (1pm et)
US Sec'y of State Kerry attends the ASEAN Summit of Foreign Ministers (Laos)
Democratic National Conventoin opens (Philadelphia PA thru 28th)
    OVERNIGHT into US Tues. a.m. et:
         New Zealand Jun Trade Balance
         South Korea Q2 GDP 
         Japan Junr Corporate Service Price (CSPI)
         Singapore Jun Industrial Production
         Hong Kong June Imports/Exports
         UK Jun. BBA Loans for House Purchases
         BoE Results of Indexed Long Term Repo Operation Results
Tuesday,       July 26 FOMC 2-day Meeting Starts
S&P/Case Shiller May Home Price Index
June US New Home Sales

Markit July Flash Services + Composite PMI
US Treasury Auctions $34B 5-year Notes (1pm et)
Conference Board's July Consumer Confidence
Richmond Fed Jul. Manufacturing Index
S&P weekly Store Sales Snapshot
Brazil Jun Current Account & Foreign Direct Investment +CB Meeting Minutes
Hungary PM Orban meets with Austria Chancellor Kern over Migrant Crisis
USDA weekly Crop Reports
US Sec'y of State Kerry expected to leave for Manila to meet with Pres. Duterte
Central Bankers meet, separately, in Nigeria & Hungary
    OVERNIGHT into US Wed. a.m. et:
         China Jun Industrial Profits

         Aussie Q2 CPI
         German GfK Aug. Consumer Confidence & Jun Import Price Index
         French June PPI & July Consumer Confidence
         Spanish June Retail Sales
         Italian July Business & Consumer Confidence
         Eurozone June M3
         UK Q2 (Adv) GDP, May Index of Services, CBI Jul. Retail Reported Sales
Wednesday, July 27 FOMC Meeting Statement (2pm et)
Weekly MBA Mortgage/Refinance Applications
US June Durable Goods Orders/Shipments (and by extension, Q2 + 1H)
NAR June Pending Home Sales
Aspen Security Forum boasts US Dir. of Nat'l Intelligence Clapper & DHS Johnson, Atn'y Gen Gonzales, Sec'y of DoD Carter, FBI's Comey, Sen. J McCain, and others (thru 30th)
EIA weekly Petroleum Stats
Brazil Foreign Exchange Flows
France Jobseekers Total
US Treasury Auctions $15B 2-year Floating Rate Notes (FRN)
    OVERNIGHT into US Thurs. a.m. et:
         Aussie Q2 Export/Import Price Indices
         Singapore Q2 Unemployment Rate
         UK Jul Nationwide Home Price
         Spanish Q2 Unemployment Rate
         German July Unemployment Rate/Change,   Jun. Retail Sales +  CPI
         Italian June Wage Inflation
         Eurozone July Industrial, Services, Business & Consumer Confidence
         South Africa Q23 Unemployment Rate & Jun PPI
Thursday,    July 28 Weekly US Jobless Claims
US June Int'l Trade Deficit
EIA weekly Natural Gas Report
K.C. Fed Manufacturing Index
US Treasury Auctions $28B 7-year Notes
US Treasury Refunding Announcement
Russia Central Bank Reserves
Peru swears in Pres. Kuczynski who's targeting underground economy
Spains King Felipe tries to encourage political leaders to form a government
Weekly US Fed Balance Sheet & US Money Supply
    OVERNIGHT into US Fri. a.m. et:
         So. Korea Aug Manufacturing BSI Index, Jun Industrial Production & Service Sector Outpu
         New Zealand Jun Building Permits, ANZ July Activity Outlook & M3
         UK July GfK Consumer Confidence
         Japan June Jobless Rate/Applicant Ratio, Household Spending, CPI, Loans & Discounts, Industrial Production, & Retail Trade
         Aussie Q2 PPI, June Private Sector Credit, Housing Credit, Q2 PPI 
         Canada CFIB July Business Barometer
         UK Jul Nationwide House Prices
         Japan June Vehicle Production, Housing Starts, Construction Orders, Housing Starts
         Singapore Junr Bank Lending + Business Expecations
         SNB--Swiss National Bank 1H Earnings & Q2 Currency Allocations
         French Q2 GDP, Jun Consumer Spending, CPI, HICP
         German Jun Retail Sales
         Spain May Current Account, Q2 GDP, July CPI, HICP
         Italian Jun Unemployment Rate
         UK Net June Consumer Credit, Mortgage Approvals, Net Lending on Dwellings, M4 Money Supply
         BoJ MPC Rate Decision, Monetary Base, Policy Rate, Forecasts GDP & Inflation (Fri. local time)
         Eurozone June Unemployment Rate, Q2 (adv) GDP, & July (adv) CPI    
Friday,         July 29 US 16Q2 (Adv) GDP + Consumer PCE
Q2 Employment Cost Index (ECI)

Fed's Williams speaks on unused Fed tools, with Q&A  (Cambridge MA 9:30am)
Chicago PMI
Russia July Interest Rate Decision
So. Africa Jun Trade balance
Canada May GDP & June Industrial Product (IPPI) & Raw Materials Prices (RMPI)
U.M. (F) July Consumer Sentiment
Mexican Pres. Nieto visits Argentina seeking new auto accords
Brazil Jun Budget Balance & Debt/GDP Ratio
Baker-Hughes weekly US/No. America Rig Count (Higher Rigs Wkly 1pm et)
Fed's Kaplan speaks at Independent Bankers Ass'n of New Mexico Annual (1pm (Alburquerque NM)
USDA Crop Report
Saturday      July 30

         WEEKS AHEAD:    08/05   US Consumer Credit
(3pm et)
                                           08/06     RBA (Aussie) Meets
                                           08/07     BoC Meets
                                           08/08     ECB Meets
                                           08/15     BoE Meets
                                                        SNB Meets
                                           08/17     FOMC Minutes of July 26--27 Meet
                                           08/21     BoJ Meets
                                           08/22     RBNZ (New Zealand) Central Bank Meets
                                                        Norges (Norway) Central Bank  Meets
                                           09/07     Fed's Beige Book
                                    09/20--21     FOMC Meets


*FOMC 2016 Voting Members:  Five governors on the FOMC are permanent voters: Janet Yellen, Stanley Fischer, Lael Brainard, Jay Powell and Dan Tarullo.vote at every meeting. (Board Governors endure 2 vacancies that Senate refuses to confirm). Like the NY Fed pres. is, also, a permanent FOMC voting member. The rest of the voters, in 2016, are 5 of the 11 regional Fed Pres.: Loretta Mester (Cleveland), Eric Rosengren (Boston), James Bullard (St. Louis) and Esther George (Kansas City). Mester, George and Bullard are hawks, while Rosengren is considered a dove. Evans, Lockhart, Williams, and Lacker were 2015 voters, now off the voting panel at 2016 FOMC meetings. Neel Kashkari, former TARP overseer, took over Presidency of the Minneapolis Federal Reserve Bank, replacing Kocherlakota, who wound up a short-lived leader. Kashkari won't vote in 2016 but will stick to his "Too Big .to Fail" mantra on banks
                     

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