wall street in advance

June/July 2016 Economic Statistics
and Other Economic Influences

TUESDAYS:
                Weekly Chain Store Sales*
                 Average Hourly Earnings*
                 API Weekly Gas/Oil Stockpiles Report*  **
(4:30p.m.)
    WEDNESDAYS:
                
Mortgage Applications  Data
                 EIA Weekly Report on Gas & Oil Stockpiles* (10a.m.)
    THURSDAYS:
                 Weekly Unemployment Report*
                  Weekly Mutual Fund Flows*
                   Natural Gas Storage Levels* (a.m.)

 *Except Holidays    ** As of 1/09         All Dates Subject to Change:
Sunday,       June 19 Father's Day Celebrated
    OVERNIGHT into US Mon. a.m. et:
          South Korea May PPI
          Japan May Trade Balance (Imports/Exports),  Department Store Sales
          BoJ Gov. Kuroda speaks @Tokyo University
          UK Rightmove June House Prices
          German May PPI
          Swiss Total Sight Deposits (thru June 17th)
          Eurozone April Construction Output
Monday,     June 20 US Treasury Auctions $31B 3-, & $26B 6-month Bills (11:30am et)
US Auctions $26B 2-year Notes (1pm et)
EU Commissioner Moscovici, EU Parliament Pres. Schulz, & German Dpty Foreign Minister Roth adress a Town Hall on Europe's Future (Berlin Germany)
Canada April Wholesale Sales
UK Labour party leader Corbyn Q&A against Brexit (Sky News TV Special)
USDA weekly Crop Review
China Pres. XiJinping in Poland on adding flights between the two countries (Warsaw)
French 3-, 6-, & 12-month BTF Auctions
European Bank for Reconstruction & Development IX SEE Real Estate Expo & Conference (REBEC2016 Belgrade Serbia--Hyatt Int'l, Hilton Worldwide, AccorHotels/Orbis, UniCreditBank,Jones Lang LaSalle, AECOM, & IKEA among corporate speakers thru 22nd)
Nigeria's ForEx Policy Changes from Fixed to Floating Rates
Russia May Unemployment Rate & Retail Sales
Summer Solstice in Northern Hemisphere --longest day of the year
    OVERNIGHT into US Tues. a.m. et:
          Japan April All Industry Activity Index, June Tankan Index
          RBA's (Aussie) Minutes, Gov. Debelle speaks +Aussie Q1 House Price Index
          BoJ MPC Meeting Minutes
          Taiwan May Export Orders
          Swiss May Trade Balance (Imports/Exports)
          UK May Public Sector Net Borrowing, Central Gov't NCR, Public Finances
          Hong Kong May CPI
          German & Eurozone June ZEW (Eco Sentiment) Surveys
          Spain Trade Balance, 3-month Letras Auction (current -0.394%)
          BoE 2nd ITLR (liquidity) Operation pre-Brexit vote
          UK June CBI Orders & Selling Trends
Tuesday,     June 21 FOMC Chief Janet Yellen Testimony to US Senate Banking Cmte (10am edt)
Neel Kashkari 3rd "Too Big To Fail" Symposium, Mnpls Fed co-host with Peterson Institute for Int'l Economic  (D.C.)
Treas. Sec'y Lew, & FOMC chief Yellen @FSOC (closed meeting portion) will discuss Insurance Co SIFI Designation Rules (Yellen joins after her testimony)
Bk of Mexico Dep'y Gov Sanchez speaks @JPMorgan Mexico Opportunities Conf.
Mexico Pres. Pena Nieto speaks @OECD Ministerial meeting on Mexican Digital Economy (Cancun)
ECB's Draghi speaks in honor of Dr. Theodor Waigel @SignsAwards (Munich, DE)
US Treasury Auctions $20B 52-week Bills (11:30am et)
US Treasury Auctions $34B 5-year Notes (1pm et)
Germany's Merkel, FinMin Schaeuble, Dutch FinMin Dijisselbloem, former French Pres. Sarkozy, & EU digital Commissioner Oettinger speak at a CDU business   conf.
Polish Central Bank Gov. Adam Glapinski sworn in @Parliament
    OVERNIGHT into US Wed. a.m. et:
          New Zealand May Net Migration, Credit Card Spending
          South Africa May CPI
          Australia May Skilled Vacancies
          Swiss June ZEW Survey (Expectations)
          Greek PM Tsipras speaks @European parliament (Strasbourg France)
Wed.           June 22 FOMC Chief Yellen testimony to US House Financial Services Cmte
MBA weekly Mortgage/Refinance Applications
FHFA April House Price Index
NAR US Existing Home Sales

EIA weekly Petroleum Stats
US Treasury Auctions $13B 2-year reopened Floating Rate Notes + $5B reopened 30-year TIPS (11:30am et)
US Treasury Auctions $28B 7-year Notes  (1pm et)
Belgian PM Michel speaks (Brussels)
Central Bank MPC meetings in Colombia, Thailand & Mauritius
Russia Central Bank Reserves
Canada April Retail Sales
Eurozone June Consumer Confidence
Brazil Foreign Exchange Flows
    OVERNIGHT into US Thurs. a.m. et:
          Japan June (Prelim) Manufacturing PMI
          Markit Eurozone, German, French June Manufacturing, Services, Composite PMI

          Italian April Industrial New Orders/Sales & May Trade Balance
Thursday,   June 23 Federal Reserve Releases (33) Mega-Bank Stress Test Results  (4:30pm et)
UK Votes on Referendum to Leave the EU--aka Brexit
US weekly Jobless Claims
NAHB May New Home Sales (-9.6% expected after April +16.6%)
Chicago Fed National Activity Index
US Flash June PMI Manufacturing Index
K.C. Fed June Manufacturing Activity
EIA weekly Natural Gas Report
US Fed's Balance Sheet + weekly Money Supply
Dallas Fed's Kaplan speaks @NYU Money Marketeers  (6:30pm et)
Brazil FinMin Meirelles speaks at a banking technology event (Sao Paulo)
Norway Central Bank MPC Decision (current 0.5%)
    OVERNIGHT into US Friday a.m. et:
         German May Import Price Index
         Japan Corporate Services Price Index
         Singapore May CPI & Industrail Production
         BoJ's Nakaso speaks @Nat'l Credit Union Ass'n, June Sm. Biz Confidence
         France Q1 (F) GDP
         Spain PPI
         Italian April Retail Sales
        German June IFO Current Climate/Assessment/Expectations
         UK BBA May Loans for House Purchases
         Myanmar's Aung San Suu Kyi makes her 1st visit to military-ruled Thailand
Pres. Htin Kyaw accompanies her
Friday,         June 24 US May Durable Goods Orders/Shipments
U.M. Final June Consumer Sentiment
Argentine FinMin Prat-Gay & BlackRock CEO Fink speak @Argentine Investment Conference, hosted by Americas Society/Council of Americas+{BLK} (NY 9am et)
PBoC Gov Ziachuan lectures @IMF (11am edt), then interacts with Lagarde (11:30am edt  D.C.)
Baker-Hughes weekly US/North American Rig Count (US oil rigs up 9, last week)
Moody's updates ratings on Austria, Belgium, Bosnia & Herzegovina, Germany, Greece & Luxembourg
Brazil May Current Account & Foreign Direct Investment
Saturday,    June 25 Russia Pres. Putin attending the 1st Annual Meeting of  Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank (Beijing thru 26th)
Foreign Ministers of Germany, Netherlands, France, Italy, Belgium + Luxembourg meet to discuss Brexit (Berlin Germany) Post-Meeting statement expected noon cet
    German Chancellor Merkel news conference post-2-day meeting of her governing party bloc, includes FinMin Schaeuble (Potsdam Germany 7:30 edt)
      Russian Pres. Putin attending 1st Annual Meeting of Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank. AIIB Pres. Liqun briefing  (thru 6/26)
      2016 European Football (Soccer) Champions reaches knock-out Rounds
Sunday,       June 26 Spain Parliamentary Elections could cost P.M. Rajoy his job
BIS Annual Report Published
(6:30 edt Basel Suisse)
Dalai Lama addresses the 84th Annual Meeting of the U.S. Conference of Mayors (Indianpolis thru 27th)
Panama Canal Expansion inaugurated with the 1st Commercial container vessel navigating the new expansion
Argentina plays Chile in the final of soccer's Copa America Centenarios (MetLife Stadium NJ 8pm edt)
   OVERNIGHT into US Mon. a.m. et:
        New Zealand May Trade Balance (Imports/Exports)
        China May Industrial Profits
        EU May M3 Money Supply (Look for it to spike in next week's report)
        Hong Kong May Trade Balance (Imports/Exports)
        German 12-month Bubill Auction
DUE TO UK VOTE to LEAVE EU, WE ANTICIPATE ADDITIONAL EVENTS BEING SCHEDULED, AFTER WE POST. THEREFORE, OUR ECONOMIC CALENDAR MIGHT BE INCOMPLETE, DESPITE OUR BEST EFFORTS
Monday,      June 27 US April (Adv.) Trade Deficit
US Markit Flash Services PMI
Dallas Fed June Manufacturing Survey
US Treasury Auctions $31B 3-, & $26B 6-month Bills (Unfortunately light treas. schedule)
France Auctions 3-, 6-, and 12-month BTF
Brazil May Bank Lending
PBoC Gov Zhou speaks at ECB Forum (Sintra Portugal thru 29th)
Germany's Merkel & EU PRes. Tusk meet in Berlin on Brexit, before Merkel meets with French Pres. Hollande & Italian PM Renzi, the latter 3 hold press conference
Chinese Premier Keqiang keynotes World Economic Forum's annual summer session (Beijing)
Dutch FinMin Dijsselbloem speaks on the Future of Netherlands Banking @Nat'l Parliament (10:30am edt)
US Treas. Sec'y Lew, US Trade Rep Froman, IMF's Lipton,  & World Bank Grp COO Indrawati speak @Bretton Woods Committee Annual Meeting (Washington DC 9:30am)
Israel Central Bank MPC Meeting
    OVERNIGHT into US Tues. a.m. et:
         South Korea July Manufacturing BSI Index
         French & Italian June Consumer/Business Confidence
         Spanish May Retail Sales
         Italian 6-month BOT Auction
         ECB's Knot speaks @ECB Conference (Linto Sintra, Portugal)
         German Import Price Index
         ECB Chief Draghi speaks @ECB Conference (Linto Sintra, Portugal)
         EU Parliament Votes on Brexit Referendum (UK Parliament votes later)
         BoE 3rd Additional ITLR (liquidity) Operation
         UK June CBI Retail Sales & Total Distributed Sales
Tuesday,     June 28 US 16Q1 Final GDP/Sales/Prices/Consumer Spending/PCE
US 16Q1 Corporate Profits
S&P Case Shiller April 20-city Home Price Index
Conference Board's June Consumer Confidence (Lags U.M.)
US Q1 (F) Personal Consumption/Expenditures/PCE
Redbook weekly US Store Snapshot
Richmond Fed June Manufacturing Index
US Auctions 4-week Bills
    OVERNIGHT into US Wed. a.m. et:
         Fed Gov Powell
speaks on "Recent Economic Developments, Monetary Policy Considerations & Longer-term PRospects @Chicago Council on Global Affairs: Food, Fuel & Finance Series (Chicago IL 7pm et)
         G-20 Energy Ministers meet (Beijing thru 6/30)
         Japan May Retail Trade
         Aussie HIA May New Home Sales
         German GfK July Consumer Confidence survey
         Swiss May UBS Consumption Indicator
         UK Nationwide June House Prices, May Net Lending on Dwellings, Mortgage Approvals, Money Supply
         BoE May Consumer Credit
         EU June Economic Confidence, Business Climate, Industrial/Service + Consumer Confidence & Expectations
         London Bullion Market Association (LBMA) votes on changes to governance structure & support for platinum & palladium markets
Wednesday, June 29 CANCELLED--A panel that was to include FOMC Chief Yellen & BoE Gov. Carney, w/ECB Pres. Draghi & Brazil Central Bank Gov. Tomibini was removed from the agenda, after Yellen & Carney withdrew from the ECB Central Banking Conference (Linto Sintra, Portugal)
Federal Reserve Releases CCAR (Capital Adquecacy) Mega-Bank Results (4:30pm et)
US Pres Obama, Canada PM Trudeau & Mexican Pres Pena Nieto @Three Amigos Summit (the 1st since 2014; Ottawa, Canada. Obama will address the Canadian Parliament during visit)
MBA Mortgage/Refinance Applications
US May Personal Income/Expenditures/PCE
US NAR May Pending Home Sales Index
German June CPI & HICP 
EIA weekly Petroleum Stats (w/e 6/24)
Brazil Unemployment Rate, May Debt:GDP Ratio, Budget Balance/Surplus, Foreign Exchange Flows 
USDA Crop Prices
    OVERNIGHT into US Thurs. a.m. et:

         South Korea May Industrial Production, Retail Sales & Service Sector Output
         New Zealand May Building Permits, Housing & Private Sector Credit
         Singapore May Bank Lending
         UK June Lloyds Business Barometer & GfK Consumer Confidence
         Japan May Loans & Discounts, Industrial Production
         China May Swift Global Payments
         Aussie May Job Vacancies, Private Sector Credit
         China Q1 (F) Current Account Balance
         Japan May New Vehicle Production, Housing Starts, Construction Orders
         German June Unemployment Rates/Change + May Retail Sales
         French June CPI & HICP +May PPI
         Italy Q1 Public Deficit, June CPI & HICP + May PPI
         South Africa May PPI
         Spain April Current Account
         UK Q1 GDP, Current Account, Total Business Investment, April Index of  Services
          Eurozone June (Adv) CPI
          South Africa May PPI, Trade Balance, Monthly Budget Balance, Private Sector Credit
Thursday,    June 30 ECB June Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes
US weekly Jobless Claims

Chicago June PMI
EIA weekly Natural Gas Report
Canada April GDP, May Industrial Product Prices + RMPI
Italian 5 & 10 year BTP Auctions
India Q1 Foreign Debt
ECB Minutes of MPC Meeting
Russia Central Bank Reserves 
Taiwan Central Bank MPC Meets
St. L. Fed's Bullard speaks @Society of Economics annual dinner (London 2pm et)
Brazil Q3 Long Term Interest Rate TJLP
US Weekly Fed Balance Sheet & Money Supply
2016 European Football (Soccer) Championships Quarterfinals Start
    OVERNIGHT into US Fri. a.m. et:
         South Korea Jun CPI & May Current Account, June Trade Balance, Nikkei June Manufacturing PMI 
         Aussie AIG Manufacturing Index
         Japan May Jobless Rate/Applicant to Job Ratio, Household Spending, CPI, Q2 Tankan Surveys (Incl CapEx plans), CoreLogic June House Price Index
        China June (Official) Non-Manufacturing PMI +Caixan June Manufacturing PMI
        Japan June Nikkei Manufacturing PMI & Official Reserve Assets, Vehicle Sales,  Consumer Confidence + BoJ CPI + June Household Confidence
        Russia June Markit Manufacturing PMI
        Singapore Q2 URA Property Index
        Spanish Unemployment/Change +June Manufacturing PMI
        Canada CFIB June Business Barometer
        Aussie June Commodity Index
        Italian May Unemployment Rate
        Swiss May Retail Sales, June SVME-PMI
        India June Nikkei Manufacturing PMI
        ECB's Nowotny Speaks
        Markit June Eurozone, German, Italian & French Manufacturing PMI
        UK Markit June Manufacturing PMI
        Eurozone May Unemployment Rate
        ECB Board member Coeure
speaks at French Finance Ministry celebration of the 60th Anniversary of the Paris Club
      IMF's Lagarde & French Economy Minister Marcron meet w/French ministers, execs & economists meet in Aix-en-Provence for 3-day conference (thru 07/03) 
Friday,         July 01 US June Motor Vehicle Sales
US June PMI & ISM Manufacturing Indices/Prices Paid, New Orders

US May Construction Spending & Annual Revisions
Cleveland Fed's Mester speaks on Eco Outlook & Monetary Policy w/Q&A @EEFC (European Economics & Financial Centre, London 11am est)
Brazil May Industrial Production & Markit June Manufacturing PMI + Trade Balance
Baker-Hughes weekly US/North America Rig Count (1pm et)
Annual Pacific Alliance Presidential Summit includes Foreign Ministers & Trade Ministers from Chile, Peru, Colombia & Mexico. Argentine Pres. Macri attends as an observer (Puerto Varas Chile)
Gov. Padilla warned that Puerto Rico will default on $2B of bond payments, today
SIFMA Markets Close 2pm et
Equity Markets Trade Regular Hours, to 4pm edt

Holidays in Hong Kong & Canada
   OVERNIGHT into US Saturday a.m. et:
        Japan June Manufacturing PMI
Saturday      July 02 Australians vote, PM Turnbull seeking 2nd term

         WEEKS AHEAD:   
07/04   US Independence Day Holiday, ALL US Markets Closed
                                           07/05    RBA (Aussie) MPC Meets
                                                       Riksbank (Swedes) MPC Meets
                                           07/06    FOMC Minutes of June Meeting Released
                                           07/13   
BoC MPC Meets
                                                       Federal Reserve Beige Book Released
                                           07/14    BoE MPC Meets

                                                       SNB MPC Meets
                                           07/21    ECB MPC Meets
                                    07/26--27    FOMC MPC Meets

                                          07/.29    BoJ MPC Meets

*FOMC 2016 Voting Members:  Five governors on the FOMC are permanent voters: Janet Yellen, Stanley Fischer, Lael Brainard, Jay Powell and Dan Tarullo.vote at every meeting. (Board Governors endure 2 vacancies that Senate refuses to confirm). Like the NY Fed pres. is, also, a permanent FOMC voting member. The rest of the voters, in 2016, are 5 of the 11 regional Fed Pres.: Loretta Mester (Cleveland), Eric Rosengren (Boston), James Bullard (St. Louis) and Esther George (Kansas City). Mester, George and Bullard are hawks, while Rosengren is considered a dove. Evans, Lockhart, Williams, and Lacker were 2015 voters, now off the voting panel at 2016 FOMC meetings. Neel Kashkari, former TARP overseer, took over Presidency of the Minneapolis Federal Reserve Bank, replacing Kocherlakota, who wound up a short-lived leader. Kashkari won't vote in 2016 but will stick to his "Too Big .to Fail" mantra on banks
                     

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