wall street in advance

October 2016 Economic Statistics
and Other Economic Influences

TUESDAYS:
                Weekly Chain Store Sales*
                 Average Hourly Earnings*
                 API Weekly Gas/Oil Stockpiles Report*  **
(4:30p.m.)
    WEDNESDAYS:
                
Mortgage Applications  Data
                 EIA Weekly Report on Gas & Oil Stockpiles* (10a.m.)
    THURSDAYS:
                 Weekly Unemployment Report*
                  Weekly Mutual Fund Flows*
                   Natural Gas Storage Levels* (a.m.)

 *Except Holidays    ** As of 1/09         All Dates Subject to Change:
Sunday,      Oct. 16 ON VACATION --  UPDATED Oct. 18th
    OVERNIGHT into US Mon. a.m. et:

       
UK Rightmove Oct House Prices
        Japan Aug. Industrial Production/Capacity Utilization
         Italy Aug Trade balance
         Eurozone Sept CPI
        
   
Monday,     Oct. 17 Empire State NY Fed Oct. Manufacturing Survey
US Sept Industrial Production/Capacity Utilization
US Treasury Auctioned 3-year, & 10-year reopened Notes
Treasury Auctioned 30-year Reopened Bonds
Fed Gov Fischer speaks (outright hawk- noon et)
Canada Aug. Int'l Securities Transactions
Russia Sept Industrial Production
BoE's Broadbent speaks
Bundesbank Pres Weidmann speaks
ECB's Draghi speaks
BoC's Lowe speaks
BoE results of Bond-buying Ops
    OVERNIGHT into US Tues. a.m. et:
         RBA (Aussie) Gov. Low speaks (Sydney) + RBA Meeting Minutes Released
         New Zealand Q3 CPI and Non-Resident Sept Bond Holdings
         Chinese Sept New Loans & Loan Growth
         Aussie Sept New Motor Vehicle Sales
         ECB Bank Lending Survey
         UK Sept CPI & Retail Price Index (RPPI) + PPI & Aug; House Price Index
         Hong Kong Sept Unemployment Rate
         Brazil Aug Retail Sales
Tuesday,    Oct. 18 US Sept CPI
NAHB Oct Housing Market Index
Redbook weekly store sales snapshot
Canada Aug Manufacturing Shipments
US Aug. TICS
   OVERNIGHT into US Wed. a.m. et:
         Aussie Sept Skilled Job vacancies
         China Q3 GDP, Sept Retail Sales, Industrial Production + Fixed Assets YTD
         South Korea Sept PPI
         Japan Aug All Industry Activity Index
         South Africa Sept CPI
         UK Sept Jobless Claims/Claims Rate + ILO Aug Unemployment Rate+Aug. Avg Earnings Index + UK Treasury Auctions 10-year Gilts
         Germany Auctions 30-year Bunds
         Eurozone Aug. Construction Output
Wed.,         Oct. 19 Fed's Williams on diversity in financial systems (Newark NJ 8:45am et)
US Sept Housing Starts/Building Permits
MBA weekly Mortgage/Refinance Applications
Atlanta Fed Business Inflation Expectations
EIA weekly Petroleum Stats  (w/e 10/14)
South Africa Aug Retail Sales
Russia Retail Sales & Sept Unemployment Rate
Fed's Kaplan lunch speech at Ft Worth Chamber of Commerce (Ft Worth TX 1:30pm)
Federal Reserve Beige Book (2pm et)
BoC (Canada) MPC Releases Interest Rate Decision & Monetary Policy Report
BoC's Poloz speaks post-meeting
      OVERNIGHT into US Thurs. a.m. et:
            NY Fed's Wm Dudley speaks on City Economic History @Lotos club (NYC 7:45pm et)
             Aussie NAB Q3 Business Confidence, Sept Unemployment Rate/Change/ Participation Rate
            RBA (Aussie) Sept FX Transactions
            Japan Nationwide Sept Dept Store Sales
            Swiss Sept Trade Balance (Imports/Exports)
            German Sept PPI
            Spain Trade Balance
            Japan Sept (F) Machine Tool Orders + Convenience Store Sales
            Eurozone Aug. Current Account
            UK Sept. Retail Sales
            Hong Kong Sept CPI
            France & Spain Auction Debt
            ECB MPC Interest Rate & QE Decision/Asset Purchase Target
Thursday,  Oct. 20 US Weekly Jobless Claims
Philly Fed Business Outlook Survey
NY Fed's Dudley welcome to a workshop on culture & behavior in financial Services (NY 8:30am et)
ECB Draghi Post-meeting Press Conference
NY Fed Pres. Dudley moderates a panel discussion w/BoE's Shafik & HK Monetary Authority's Chan (9am et)
US Sept Existing Home Sales
EIA weekly Natural Gas Report (w/e 10/14)
US Treasury Auctions $5B Reopened 30-year TIPS
US Treasury Refunding Announcement
Russia Central Bank FX Reserves
EU Leaders Summit
Weekly US Fed Balance Sheet & Money Supply
NY Fed's Dudley closes workshop on culture & behavior in Financial Services Industry (NY 4:45pm et)
    OVERNIGHT into US Fri. a.m. et:
          China Sept Property/House Prices
& MNI Oct. Business Indicator
          New Zealand Sept Credit Card Spending & Migration + Visitors
          Swiss Sept M3 Money Supply
          UK Sept Public Finances
          Bundesbank's Weidmann Speaks 
          Euro Area Q2 Gov't Deficit & Dept:GDP Ratio

Friday,      Oct. 21 Fed Gov. Tarullo speech "Pedagogy & Scholarship in a Post-Crisis World" @Columbia Law School Conference on the "New Pedagogy of Financial Regulation" (NY 10:15am et)
Canada Aug Retail Sales & Sept CPI
India FX Reserves
Eurozone Oct (Adv.) Consumer Confidence
Baker-Hughes weekly Rig Count (1pm et)
Fed's Williams keynotes Federal Home Loan Bank Member Conference (San Francisco CA w/Q&A 2:30pm)
Saturday,  Oct. 22
Sunday,       Oct 23     OVERNIGHT into US Mon. a.m. et:
         Japan Sept Trade Balance (Imports/Exports) & Oct (P) Manufacturnig PMI
         New Zealand Holidy - Labour Day
         Singapore Sept CPI
         German Sept Import Price Index
         BoE's Minouche Shafik speaks in Hong Kong
         Markit Eurozone, France, & German Oct. Manufacturing, Services & Composite PMI
         Italian Sept Trade Balance
         German 12-month Bubill Auction
         Eurozone Q3 Gov't Debt & Deficit
         Austrian Eco Minister Mitterlehner speech on State of the Economy (Veenna)
         SNB's Jordan speaks at Verinigung Baster Oekonomen
         UK CBI Oct Total Order & Selling Price Trends
        Chinese Communist Party Leaders Annual Plenum (thru 27th)
Monday,     Oct. 24 Chicago Fed National Activity Index
Wm Dudley opens (9am et) "Evolving Structure of U.S. Treasury Market"Conference co-hosted by Fed Bd of Govnr's, FINRA, SEC & CFTC who'll provide additional speakers including Gov. Powell (2pm et), SEC's Mary Jo White (12:15pm), CFTC's Massad (11am), among others, including NY Fed head trader Simon Potter (9:20am) @NY Fed Bk
Fed's Bullard speaks @ Ass'n for University Business & Economic Research (Fayetteville AK 9:05am)
European Parliaments Meets (Strasbourg thru 27th)
Markit Flash Oct (Prelim) Manufacturing PMI
US Treasury Auctions $42B 3-, & $36B 6-month Bills
Canada Aug. Wholesale Sales
Mexico Unemployment
SNB (Swiss) Jordan speaks (Basel Switzerland)
Fed's Evans speaks @Civic Affairs Society of the Univ. Club of Chicago w/Q&A (1:30pm)
BoC's (Canada) Poloz & Wilkins appear in Parliament
    OVERNIGHT into US Tues. a.m. et:
          South Korea Q3 GDP
          Spain PPI
          Hungarian Central Bank MPC Interest Rate Deicision
          Finland Unemployment Report
          French Oct. Business Survey + INSEE Manufacturing Confidence Index
          Sweden PPI
          Italian Aug. Industrial Sales
          European Commission Economic Forecasts (time unknown)
          German IFO Oct Business Climate, Current Assessment/Expectations
Tuesday,     Oct. 25 FHFA Aug. House Price Index
S&P/CoreLogic Case-Shiller Aug House Price Index

BoE Results of Bond-Buying Ops
ECB's Draghi speech "Stability, Equity & Monetary Policy" (Berlin)
BoE's Carney @House of Lords Economic Commitee
Europe Economics Seminar: What Brexit Means for you, the EU & the wider European Economy (Brussels)
Brazil's Sept Current Account & Foreign Direct Investment +MPC Meeting Minutes
Conference Board's Oct Consumer Confidence
Redbook weekly Chain Store Snaphot
Mexico Retail Sales & FX Reserves
Richmond Fed Oct. Manufacturing Shipments & Services Index
US Treasury Auctions $26B 2-year Notes (1pm et)
South Korea Oct Consumer Confidence
Fed's Lockhart speech "Lending & Investing in Community Development" @Oppor- tunity Finance Network (Atlanta 1:20pm et)
    OVERNIGHT into US Wed. a.m. et:
          Japan Corporate Services Price Index
          Aussie Q3 CPI
          China Westpac-MNI Oct Consumer Sentiment
          Singapore Sept Industrial Production
          Italian Aug Retail Sales
          German Nov GfK Consumer Confidence Survey
          Estonia Central Bank
presents its financial stability review
          UK BBA Sept Loans for House Purchases

Wed.           Oct. 26 MBA weekly Mortgage/Refinance Applications
US Sept Int'l Trade Deficit
Markit Oct. PMI Services Flash
US Sept New Home Sales
Canada P.M. Treudeau speaks @European Parliament (Strasbourg)
Brazil Sept Bank Lending & Foreign Exchange Flows +PPI Manufacturing
EIA weekly Petroleum Stats
US Treasury Auctions $15B 2-year FRN Notes (11am)
US Treasury Auctions $34B 5-year Notes (1pm et)
    OVERNIGHT into US Thurs. a.m. et:
         Argentina Trade Balance & Consumer Conference
         New Zealand Sept Trade Balance (Imports/Exports)
         Japan Foreign Investments in Japanese Stocks & Bonds  +Services PPI
         EU's Moscovici speaks (Bratislava)
         Aussie Q3 Import & Export Price Indexes & CPI
         RBA's Girn Speaks
         China Sept Swift Global Payments & Industrial Profits
         Singapore Q3 Unemployment Rate
         Sweden Trade Balance
         Swiss Sept Consumption Indicator
         Spanish Q3 Uenmployment Rate
         EU-Canada CETA Summit (Brussels thru 29th) + CFIB Oct Business Barometer
         German Sept Retail Sales
         FinMins Noonan (Ireland), Padoan (Italy), Sapin (France), Schauble (Germany), Van Overtveldt (Belgium) speak @GlobSec Tatra Summit ( Bratislava
         Eurozone Private Sector Loans & Sept M3 Money Supply
         Italian Sept Wage Inflation, Retail Sales   + 6-month BOT Auction
         South Arica Sept PPI
         UK Q3 (Adv) GDP, & Aug. Index of Services, Oct CBI Retail Reported Sales & Total Distributed Reported Sales
         EU Commissioner Vestager speaks (Brussels)
         Norges Bank (Norway) MPC Meets on Interest Rates (Thurs. local time)
         Norway Unemployment Rate
         Swede Riksbank MPC Meeting on Interest Rates
         Bk of Spain Gov. Linde opens the 2016--2017 edition "Young Factor" project from Osservatorio Permanente Giovani-Editori (Florence Italy)
         EU's Tusk & Juncker speak @European Parliament (Strasbourg)
Thursday,   Oct. 27 US Sept Durable Goods Orders/Shipments
US Weekly Jobless Claims
NAR Sept Pending Home Sales

Brazil Unemployment Rate
EIA weekly Natural Gas Report
K.C. Fed Oct Manufacturing Index
Hong Kong Trade Balance (Imports/Exports)
UK Q3 (P) GDP
ECB's Mersch speaks @Hachenburg Conference (Germany)
US Treasury Auctions $28B 7-year Notes (1pm et)
Fed weekly Balance Sheet & Money Supply
    OVERNIGHT into US Fri. a.m. et:
         South Korea Nov Manufacuring BSI Index
         Japan Sept Jobless Rate, Household Spending., CPI + 10-yr JGB Auction
         Aussie Q3 PPI & HIA Sept New Home Sales
         Singapore URA Q3 Property Index & Industrial Production
         BoJ Core CPI
         French Q3 GDP & Sept Consumer Spending + CPI, HICP & PPI
         Spanish Q3 GDP, & Oct CPI, HICP
         Italian 5- & 10-year BTP Auctions
         Russia MPC Oct., Interest Rate Decision
         Eurozone IFO for Business & Consumer Confidence/ Expectations
         UK Nationwide Oct House Prices, Public Sector Sept Debt, & GfK Oct Consumer Confidence
         Bundesbank's Weidmann speaks
         India FX Reserves 
         Thai FX Reserves
         Sweden Retail Sales
         ECB's Coeure speaks (Frankfurt Germany)
         Eurozone Oct Economic, Industrial & Business Confidence
         German Oct (Prelim) CPI + HICP
Friday,        Oct. 28 US (Adv) Q3 GDP (1st look) + Consumer Spending & PCE
US Q3 Employment Cost Index
U.M. Final Oct. Consumer Sentiment
OPEC & Non-OPEC producers meet to draft an agreement to cap oil production
Chile Copper Production Total Tonnes
Baker-Hughes weekly US/North America Rig Count (1pm et)
Hong Kong Holiday No Trading
Saturday,   Oct. 29 Singapore Holiday-Deepavali

         WEEKS AHEAD:    
11/01--02    FOMC Meets

*FOMC 2016 Voting Members:  Five governors on the FOMC are permanent voters: Janet Yellen, Stanley Fischer, Lael Brainard, Jay Powell and Dan Tarullo.vote at every meeting. (Board Governors endure 2 vacancies that Senate refuses to confirm).  NY Fed pres.also a permanent FOMC voting member. The rest of the voters, in 2016, are 5 of the 11 regional Fed Pres.: Loretta Mester (Cleveland), Eric Rosengren (Boston), James Bullard (St. Louis) and Esther George (Kansas City). Mester, George and Bullard are hawks, while Rosengren is considered a dove. Evans, Lockhart, Williams, and Lacker were 2015 voters, now off the voting panel at 2016 FOMC meetings. Neel Kashkari, former TARP overseer, took over Presidency of the Minneapolis Federal Reserve Bank, replacing Kocherlakota, who wound up a short-lived leader. Kashkari won't vote in 2016 but will stick to his "Too Big .to Fail" mantra on banks
                     

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