wall street in advance

November/December 2016 Economic Statistics
and Other Economic Influences

TUESDAYS:
                Weekly Chain Store Sales*
                 Average Hourly Earnings*
                 API Weekly Gas/Oil Stockpiles Report*  **
(4:30p.m.)
    WEDNESDAYS:
                
Mortgage Applications  Data
                 EIA Weekly Report on Gas & Oil Stockpiles* (10a.m.)
    THURSDAYS:
                 Weekly Unemployment Report*
                  Weekly Mutual Fund Flows*
                   Natural Gas Storage Levels* (a.m.)

 *Except Holidays    ** As of 1/09         All Dates Subject to Change:
Sunday,      Nov. 20 APEC Asia Pacific Economic Cooperation Summit Wraps with Pres. Obama News Conference   (6:15pm et Lima Peru)
French Primary Election to choose Republican's Presidential candidate with Mayor Juppe & former Pres Sarkozy in the running
PGA Season ends @CME Group Tour Championship round today (Naples FL)
    OVERNIGHT into US Mon. a.m. et:
          Japan Oct Trade Balance + All Industry Sept. Activity Index
          BoJ's Masai 1st speech since June appointment  (Saitama)
          New Zealand Oct Credit Card Spending    
          Swiss Oct M3 Money Supply
         Japan PM Abe meets Argentine Pres Macri, Jt Press Conference (Buenos Aires)
         OPEC technical committee Meets to discuss implementation of oil cap deal (Vienna)
         ECB's Gov. Council members Linde (Spain) & Villeroy (France) speak @Financial Markets Ass'n Meeting (Madrid)
        ECB's Coeure panelist at TUM Speakers Series Europe (Technische Univ. Munchen & HEC Debats (Munich Germany)
Monday,    Nov. 21 Fed V. Chair Fischer discusses monetary policy, inflation & outlook @Council of Foreign Relations (8am NY)
Chicago Fed Nat'l Activity Index
Canada Sept Wholesale Sales
ECB's Draghi discusses ECB Annual Report @European Parliament (Strasbourg)
US Treasury Auctions $39B 3-, & $33B  6-month Bills (11:30am et)
US Treasury Auctions $26B 2-year notes (1pm et)
USDA Crop Update
Mexico Revoution Day Holiday
    OVERNIGHT into US Tues. a.m. et:
          New Zealand Oct Migration & Visitors
          Japan Oct Dept Store Sales
          Swiss Oct. Trade Balance
          South Africa Q3 Unemployment Rate
         RBA (Aussie) Kent speaks @ABE (Nat'l Business Eocnomists) event (Sydney)
         UK Oct Public Finances, Central Gov't NCR, CBI Nov Industrial &^Selling Trends
         Nigeria & Hungary MPC Rate Decision
Tuesday,    Nov. 22 FOMC Minutes of Nov. 01--02 Meeting (2pm et)
NAR Oct Existing Home Sales
Canada Sept Retail Sales w/ & w/o Autos
Richmond Fed Nov Manufacturing Index
Qtrly Platinum Report + Outlook from World Platinum Investment Council
Eurozone Nov. Consumer Confidence
Brazil Oct Current Account & Foreign Direct Investment
US Treasury Sells $34B 5-year Notes & $13B reopened 2-year FRN
Pres. Obama presents the Presidential Medal of Freedom to 21 civilians incl. Michael Jordan, Kareem Abdul Jabbar, Ellen DeGeneres, Robert De Niro, Tom Hanks, Robert Redford, Diana Ross, Bruce Springsteen, Bill & Melinda Gates
   OVERNIGHT into US Wed. a.m. et:
          New Zealand Q3 PPI &   Retail Sales
          Aussie Oct Skilled Vacancies & Construction Output
          Singapore Oct CPI
          South Africa Oct CPI
         Markit Eurozone, French, German,   Nov Manufacturing & Services PMI + Composite PMIs
          UK Chancellor of the Exchequer Autumn Budget Statement
to Parliament
Wed.          Nov. 23 MBA weekly Mortgage/Refinance Apps
US Oct. Durable Goods Orders/Shipments/Costs
US weekly Jobless Claims
FHFA Sept House Price Index

Markit Nov. US Flash PMI Manufacturing Index
US Oct  New Home Sales
U.M. Final US Consumer Sentiment
EIA weekly Petroleum Stats (10:30am et)
EIA weekly Natural Gas Report (noon et)
US Treasury Auctions $38B 7-year Notes (1pm et) 
US Sec'y of Commerce Pritzker & US Trade Rep Froman @US-China Joint Commission on Commerce & Trade joined by USDA' Vilsack & China's V.Premier Yang (D.C.)
Japan Holiday
    OVERNIGHT into US Thurs. a.m. et:
          Singapore Q3 GDP
          Aussie Q3 Corporate Capital Expenditures on Buildings, Plants/Machinery & Private New Capital Expenditures
          Japan Nikkei Nov PMI Manufacturing Index
          China Oct Swift Global Payments
          French Q3 Non-Farm Payrolls 
          Hong Kong Oct Exports/Imports
          German Oct Import Price Index
          German Q3 Gov't Spending, Private Consumption, Capital & Construction Investment + Imports/Exports & Q3 (F) GDP
          Spain Q3 GDP
          Swiss Q3 Industrial & Construction Output, & Industrial Production
          Italian Oct Trade Balance    & Oct Wage Inflation
        German Nov IFO Busines Climate/Expectations/Current Assessment + GfK Dec. Consumer Confidence Survey
         South Africa Oct PPI
         UK BBA Oct Loans for House Purchases
         Swedish C.B. Gov Kerstin "A Strong Financial Sector needs Stable  Regulation" (Stockholm)
Thursday,  Nov. 24 US Thanksgiving Holiday ALL US MARKETS CLOSED
Macy*s Thanksgiving Day Parade
Canada CFIB Nov. Business Barometer
SNB (Swiss) Zurbrugg on "Negative Interest: monetary policy necessary--but with what risks for the banks?"  (Bern)
Brazil Oct Bank Lending & Nov Consumer Confidence
South Africa MPC Interest Rate Decision
    OVERNIGHT into US Fri. a.m. et:
        ECB's Praet & ESM (EU Stability Mechanism) Regling speak on monetary union @Austrian National Banlk
        New Zealand Oct Trade Balance/Imports/Exports
        Japan Oct CPI
        Singapore Q3 GDP , Oct Industrial Production
        Italy Sept Industrial Orders & Sales + Retail Sales
        UK Q3 GDP, Private Consumption, Gov't Spending, Fixed Capital Formation, Exports/Imports, Total Business Investment + Sept Index of Services & CBI Reported Retail Sales
        Riksbank Dpty Gov Skingsley speech on Swedish monetary policy and why they have a negative repo rate (Stockholm)
Friday,        Nov. 25 US Oct. Int'l Trade Deficit
US Oct  Wholesale Inventories

US Nov. Markit Flash PMI Services Index
Baker-Hughes Rig Count (1pm et)
NYSE (Equities) Early Close (1pm et) for Black Friday Shopping Extravaganza
US Treasuries Early Close (2pm et)

US weekly Fed Balance Sheet & Money Supply
Saturday,   Nov. 26 EU Joint Ministerial Council Meeting on Brexit (thru 27th)
Sunday,     Nov. 27     OVERNIGHT into US Mon. a.m. et:
         German Oct Inport Price Index & Retail Sales
         UK Nov. Nationwide House Prices
         Eurozone Oct M3
         OECD Economic Outlook
         ECB's Coeure speaks in Athens
         ECB's Draghi speaks @European Parliament Qtrly Hearing before the Cmte on Economic & Monetary Affairs (Brussels)
         ECB's Praet on Challenges to Economic Integration @the European Level @ECFIN Annual Research Conference of the American-HEllenic Chamber of Commerce (Athens)
         BoE Results of Bond Buying Ops
Monday,    Nov. 28 Dallas Fed Nov Manufacturing Survey
US Treasury Auctions $36B 3-, & $30B 6-month Bills (that's it except for 4-wk)
Brazil Oct Budget Balance
    OVERNIGHT into US Tues. a.m. et:
         South Korea Dec. Manufacturing BSI Index
         Japan Oct Jobless Rate, Household Spending & Retail Sales
         South Africa Oct Private Sector Credit & M3 Money Supply
         French Prelim Q3 GDP & Oct Consumer Spending
         Eurozone, France, German & Spanish Nov HICP + CPI
         Eurogroup's Dijsselbloem @EU Cmte on Economic Affairs (Brussels)
         BIS's Borio speaks at the UK House of Commons (London)
         UK Oct Consumer Credit, Mortgage Approvals, M4 Money Supply
         Eurozone Nov Economic Confidence/Business Climate/Industrial Confidence
Tuesday,    Nov. 29 Fed V. chair Fischer speach @Annual Clearing House Conferernce (NY 7:45am)
NY Fed Pres Wm Dudley
on opportunities for growth in Puerto Rico (San Juan)
US 16Q3 (Prelim.) GDP & Corporate Profits (2nd guess)
S&P CoreLogic Case Shiller Sept 20-city Home Price Index
SEC Equity Market Structure Advisory Cmte Meeting, Chief Mary Jo White opens (9:30am D.C.)
Chicago Fed Reserve Annual Agriculture Conference (Chicago)
Conference Board's (U.S.) Nov. Consumer Confidence
Redbook weekly Retail Store Snapshot
Fed Gov. Powell on "The Economic Outlook" @Economic Club of Indiana (12:40pm)
Canada Q3 Current Account
BoC's (Canada) Poloz delivers CD Howe Institute Lecture (Ontario)
    OVERNIGHT into US Wed. a.m. et:
         New Zealand Oct Building Permits + ANZ Activity Outlook & Biz Confidence
         South Korea  Oct Industrial Production & Service Output
        Japan Oct Industrial Production
        Aussie HIA Oct New Home Sales, Building Approvals& Private Sector Credit
        UK Nov GfK Consumer Confidence, Lloyds Business Barometer & Nov. HPI
        Swiss Oct Consumption Indicator & KOF Nov. Leading Indicators
        Japan Oct Vehicle Production, Housing Starts, Construction Orders
        Spain Sept Current Account
        French Oct PPI
        Italy Nov PPI, CPI & HICP
        India Oct Federal Fiscal Deficit & Q2 GDP
        Brazil Q3 GDP
        South Africa Trade Balance
        OPEC MEETS to Set a Production Cut (Vienna)
        German Nov Unemployment Rate
        Eurozone Nov (Adv) CPI     
Wed.,         Nov. 30 MBA weekly Mortgage/Refinance Applications
Fed's Kaplan on Eco conditions, Trends & Limits of Eco Policy w/Q&A @ (Economic Club of NY 8am et)
ADP Monthly Private Sector Nov. Employment Report
US Oct. Personal Income/Spending/PCE
Fed Gov. Powell "A View From the Fed"@Brookings Institution Understanding Fedspeak" (D.C. 9:15am et)
Chicago Nov. Purchasing Managers Index (PMI)
ECB's Draghi speaks @100th Anniversary of Univ. of Deusto Business School (Madrid)
US Oct Pending Home Sales
BoE Releases Stress Tests on 9 UK Banks
Canada Sept & Q3 GDP
, Oct Industrial & Raw Materials Price Indices
EIA weekly Petroleum Stats
OPEC Meeting Announcement Expected
Fed's Mester
(dissenter) speaks on monetary policy & eco outlook @African American Chamber of Commerce of Western Pennsylvania w/Q&A (Pittsburgh 12:35pm et)
Federal Reserve's Beige Book (2pm et)
Brazil MPC Meets, Interest Rate Decision Expected
USDA Ag Prices
    OVERNIGHT into US Thurs. a.m. et:
         New Zealand Q3 Terms of Trade (Imports/Exports) & RBNZ Financial Stability Report
         Aussie Nov Performance of Manufacturing Index + CloreLogic HPI  +Nov Commodity Index, & Q3 CapEx 
         South Korea Nov Trade Balance, CPI, Mnftg PMI & Oct Current Account
         Japan Nikkei Nov Manufaturing PMI
         Aussie Q3 Private Capital Expenditures & Nov Manufacturing Index
         China (official) Nov Manufacturing & Services PMI
         Russia Nov Markit Manufacturing PMI
         BoJ's Sakurai speaks (Otsu)
         China Caixan Nov. Manufacturing PMI
         Swiss Oct Retail Sales & SVME Nov PMI
         Hong Kong Oct Retail Sales
         Markit Eurozone, French, German, Italian Nov Manufacturing PMI
         Eurozone Oct Unemployment Rate
         Italy Oct Unemployment Rate & Q3 GDP
         UK Market Nov Manufacturing PMI
Thursday,  Dec. 01 US Nov. Vehicle Sales
US Nov. Chain Store Sales
(Includes Black Friday, all 9 who still report monthly)
Challenger Nov Lay-Offs
Fed's Mester "Innovation, Market Structure & Financial Stability" @Office of Financial Research's Financial Stability Conference (D.C. 8:30am et)
Dallas Fed's Kapan Q&A @St. Mary's Univ Forum on Entrepreneurship (San Antonio TX)
US Nov. PMI
US Nov. ISM
Canada RBC Nov Canadian Manufacturing PMI
US Oct Construction Spending
EIA weekly Natural Gas Report
Brazil Nov. Trade Balance
US weekly Fed Balance Sheet & Money Supply
    OVERNIGHT into US Fri. a.m. et:
         New Zealand Q3 Value of All Buildings & Visitor Arrivals/Migration
         Japan Monetary Base end of Nov.
         Aussie Oct Retail Sales
         Swiss Q3 GDP
         Eurozone Oct PPI
        UK Markit/CIPS Nov Construction PMI
        Singapore Nov Manufacturing PMI
Friday,       Dec. 02 US Nov. Unemployment Report/Change/Participation, Avg Hourly Earnings
Jt Dept of Treasury Office of Financial Research+Fed reserve Bk of Cleveland w/remarks from Fed's Mester & Fed Gov Tarullo on "Innovation, Market Structure & Financial Stability" (@Cleveland Fed Reserve)
Fed Gov. Brainard remarks on "Financial Innovation: Online Lending to Households & Small Businesses @Fed Reserve Board (D.C.)
Canada Nov. Employment Report/Change/Particpation & Q3 Productivity
Baker-Hughes weekly US/North American Rig Count (1pm et)
Saturday,   Dec. 03

         WEEKS AHEAD:    12
/06   RBA (Aussie) MPC Meets  
                                                           RBNZ (New Zealand) MPC Meets
                                               12/07   BoC MPC Meets
                                               12/08   ECB MPC Meets
                                        12/13--14   FOMC MPC Meets (Rate Hike Expected)
                                               12/14    FOMC Statement, Updated Forecasts, Yellen Press Conference
                                               12/15   BoE MPC Meets on Rates, Releases Minutes
                                                           SNB (Swiss) MPC Meets
                                                           Norges (Norway) MPC Meets
                                               12/20   BoJ MPC Meets
                                                           RBA Minutes of 12/06 MPC Meeting
                                               12/21   Swedish Central Bank MPC Rate Decision & Monetary Policy Report

*FOMC 2016 Voting Members:  Five governors on the FOMC are permanent voters: Janet Yellen, Stanley Fischer, Lael Brainard, Jay Powell and Dan Tarullo.vote at every meeting. (Board Governors endure 2 vacancies that Senate refuses to confirm).  NY Fed pres.also a permanent FOMC voting member. The rest of the voters, in 2016, are 5 of the 11 regional Fed Pres.: Loretta Mester (Cleveland), Eric Rosengren (Boston), James Bullard (St. Louis) and Esther George (Kansas City). Mester, George and Bullard are hawks, while Rosengren is considered a dove. Evans, Lockhart, Williams, and Lacker were 2015 voters, now off the voting panel at 2016 FOMC meetings. Neel Kashkari, former TARP overseer, took over Presidency of the Minneapolis Federal Reserve Bank, replacing Kocherlakota, who wound up a short-lived leader. Kashkari won't vote in 2016 but will stick to his "Too Big .to Fail" mantra on banks
                     

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