|
|
September/October 2019
Economic Statistics
and Other Economic Influences |
TUESDAYS:
Weekly Chain Store Sales*
Average Hourly Earnings*
API Weekly Gas/Oil Stockpiles Report* ** (4:30p.m.)
WEDNESDAYS:
Mortgage Applications Data
EIA Weekly Report on Gas & Oil Stockpiles* (10a.m.)
THURSDAYS:
Weekly Unemployment Report*
Weekly Mutual Fund Flows*
Natural Gas Storage Levels* (a.m.)
*Except Holidays ** As of 1/09
All Dates Subject to Change: |
Sunday, Sept
22 |
|
OVERNIGHT
into US Mon. a.m. et:
Aussie Sept Manufacturing, Services &
Composite PMI
Japan Nikkei Sept Manufacturing PMI,
Jibun Bk Services & Composite PMI
German Aug Import Prices
Markit Eurozone, French, German
Sept Manufacturing, Services & Composite PMI
UK CBI Sept Selling Price &
Industrial Orders/Trends
German Buba Monthly Report
ECB release "Domestic vs
foreign factors behind fall in euro area industrial production" (10cet)
Brazil BCB Focus Market Readout
ECB Chief Draghi statement
before Cmte Hearing on Economic & Monetary Affairs of the European Parliament
(Brussels Belgium 15:00 cet)
SIBOS in London (SWIFT
-Secure Payment/Messaging System for Central Banks and biggest members of Financial
Industry- London thru 26th)
|
Monday, Sept 23 |
|
Canada Jul Wholsale Trade/Sales
Chicago Fed Sept National Activity Index (8:30am et)
US Markit Flash Manufacturing/Services/Composite PMI 8:45am et)
Brazil Aug Current Account, Foreign Direct Investment
NY Fed's Williams speaks at JT US Treasury Market Conference from US
Treas/FRB Bd of Gov/SEC/CFTC Conference (9:50am et NY)
US Treasury Auctions $45B 3-, & $42B 6-month Bills (11:30am et)
Fed's Bullard on US Eco & Monetary Policy w/Q&A+media (Effingham
IL 1pm et)
ECB's Lane dinner speech @ECB Conference on "Inflation in a Changing
Economic Environment" (Frankfurt 19:00cet)
S.F. Fed's Daly speaks on "Supporting Economic Opportunity in
America's Urban & Rural Communities" @Salem Community Leaders Lunch (2:30pm et
Salem OR)
Japan Holiday
OVERNIGHT into US Tues. a.m. et:
South Korea Aug PPI
RBNZ (New Zealand) MPC Interest Rate/QE
Decision (09/24 local time)
BoJ Gov Kuroda speaks (Osaka)
RBNZ post-Meeting Press Conference
German IFO Sept Current
Assessment/Expectations/Outlook
UK Aug Public Sector Borrowing, Central Gov't
NCR, Public Finances
RBA (Aussie) Gov Lowe speaks
(Armidale)
ECB's de Guindos opens ECB
Money Market Contact Group Mtg (14:00cet), then closes the event (16:30cet Frankfurt)
BoE's Gerken speaks @Bk of
America Merrill Lynch 24th Annual Financial CEO Conference (London)
BoE's Cleland panelist on
"UK Payments Community" @SIBOS (London)
|
Tuesday, Sept 24 |
|
Redbook weekly store sales snapsho
(8:55am et)
S&P-Case/Shilller Jul 20-city Home Price Index (9am et)
FHFA Jul House Price Index
Conference Board's Sept Consumer Confidence/Expectations (10am et)
Brazil Aug PPI, BCB Copom Meeting Minutes
Richmond Fed Sept Manufacturing Index
US Treasury Auctions $40B 2-year Notes (1pm et)
South Africa Holiday
OVERNIGHT into US Wed. a.m. et:
New Zealand Aug Trade Balance
BoJ Minutes of July Policy
Meeting, BoJ's Masai speaks (Mie, Japan)
Japan Aug Corporate Services Price Index
German GfK Oct Consumer Confidence
ECB's Couere opens a
roundtable on euro risk-free rates (Frankfurt 9:00cet)
Credit Suisse Swiss Sept Expectations
Survey
Swiss Sept ZEW Conditions/Expectations
So. Africa (SARB) Quarterly Bulletin
UK Sept CBI Reported Sales/Total
Distributed Sales, Aug BBA Mortgage Approvals
ECB's Lautenschlager
participates in Big Issue Debate on Cybersecurity @SIBOS (London 12:00cet)
French Jobseekers
ECB's Couere particpates
in hearing of the Digital Agenda Cmte of German Bundestag (Berlin DE 16:00 cet)
|
Wed.
Sept 25 |
|
MBA weekly
Mortgage/Refinance Applications (7am et)
SNB (Swiss) Quarterly Bulletin
Fed's Evans speaks on Eco outlook & monetary policy w/Q&A+media
@Lake Forest Rotary Club Eco Breakfast (8am et Lake Forest IL)
US Aug. New Home Sales (10am et)
Fed Gov Brainard testifies
@House FinServices SubCmte on Consumer Protection & Financial Institutions (D.C.)
Brazil Banking Lending , Fx Flows
EIA weekly Petroleum/Gasoline/Distillates Report (10:30am etl w/e
09/20)
Atlanta FRB/Chicago Booth Biz School/Stanford Univ weekly Survey of Business
Uncertainty (11am et)
US Treasury Auctions $18B reopened 2-year FRN (11:30am et)
US Treasury Auctions $41B 5-year Notes (1pm et)
OVERNIGHT into US Wed. a.m. et:
So., Korea BOK Financial Stability Board
Meeting (estimate)
Singapore Aug Industrial Production
Fed's Kaplan participant
@Dallas Biusiness Club Economic Update w/Q&A (Dallas TX; 7pm)
China Q2 Current Account Balance
German Aug Retail Sales
Italy Jul Trade Balance
Japan Aug Machine Tool Orders
BoJ Gov Kuroda speaks
Hong Kong Aug Trade Balance
ECB Economic Bulletin (10:00
cet)
Monetary Developments in the euro area
published + Nat'l balance sheet of euro area monetary financial institutions,
ex-Eurosystem
Agricultural Bank of China presents @SIBOS on
Strengthening Connections to China through ABC: Introduction of RMB Clearing, CIBM, &
SH-LTN Connect Service
Canada CFIB Sept Business Barometer
|
Thurs,
Sept 26 |
|
US Q2 Final GDP/PCE
(8:30am et)
US Aug Int'l Trade Deficit (8:30am et)
ECB Chief Draghi welcome address (15:30cet), BoE's Cunliffe,
and ECB's Enria keynotes on "Future of Stress Testing"
(17:15 cet) @4th ESRB [European Systemic Risk Board) Annual
Conference (Frankfurt thru 27th)
US weekly Jobless Claims/Continuing Claims
Brazil BCB Inflation Report, Nat'l Monetary Council Meets
US Q2 Final Corporate Profits
US Aug Retail & Wholesale (Adv) Inventories
Fed's Kaplan opens Dallas Fed Conference on Trade & Immigration in No Am.
w/Q&A (Dallas TX 9:30am et)
BoE Gov Carney on Financial Services (Frankfurt Germany 9:45am et)
Fed's Bullard opens "Banking and
the Economy: A Forum for Minorities in Banking" (10am et St Louis MO FRB thru 27th)
NAR Aug Pending Home Sales
EIA weekly Natural Gas Report (10:30am et/ w/e 09/20)
K.C. Fed Sept Manufacturing Index (11am et)
US Treasury Auctions 4-, & 8-week Bills (11:30am et; value not available at post)
Fed's Daly opens "Fed Listens: San Francisco" event (11:45am
et; San Francisco CA)
Fed Gov Clarida "The Federal Reserve's Review of its Monetary Policy
Strategy, Tools & Communication Practices" @FRB San Francisco (11:45am streamed here)
US Treasury Auctions $32B 7-year Notes (1pm et)
Bk of Mexico MPC Rate Decision
MN Fed's Kashkari @Town Hall (Billings MT 2pm et)
Fed weekly Balance Sheet & US weekly Money Supply (4:30pm et)
OVERNIGHT into US Fri. a.m. et:
UK GfK Sept Consumer Confidence
Japan/Tokyo Sept CPI
China Aug Industrial Profits
French Aug Consumer Spending, PPI, CPI
Italy Sept PPI, CPI, Business & Consumer
Confidence
UK Sept Nationwide House Price Index
Eurozone Sept Business, Industrial, Services,
Consumer Confidence
ECB's de Guindos chairs panel
"Experiences with macroprudential policies" @4th ESRB Annual Conference (9:15
cet)
BoE's Saunders speaks
@Barnsley & Rotherham Chamber of Commerce & Institute of Chartered Accountants
Barnelsy
|
Friday, Sept 27 |
|
US Aug Durable Goods--Capital
Goods Orders/Shipments (8:30am et)
Fed V.Chair Quarles on "Macroprudential Regulation" @Georgetown
Unv Law Center's "Law & Macroeconomics" Conference (D.C. 8:30am et streamed
here)
US Aug Personal Income/Spending/PCE
U.M. (final) Sept Consumer Sentiment/Outlook (10am et)
Fed's Harker on "Strategies for Promoting the Fed's Independence
& Accountability" @Shadow Open Market Cmte Fall 2019 Mtg" (NY noon et)
Baker-Hughes weekly US/North American Rig Count (1pm et; w/e 09/20)
USDA Farm Prices (2pm et)
OVERNIGHT into US Sat. a.m. et:
India Q2 Current Account
Canada Jul Budget Balance
|
Saturday, Sept 28
|
|
|
Sunday, Sept 29 |
|
ECB's Lautenschlager dinner
speech @13th Luxembourg Expert Forum on the Development of Union Law organized by ECJ (EU
Court of Justice, Luxembourg 20:00cet)
Rosh Hashana, the Jewish New Year starts at Sundown (thru 10/01 at
sundown)
OVERNIGHT into US Mon. a.m. et:
New Zealand Aug Building Permits,ANZ Business
Confidence
South Korea Aug Industrial Production, Service
Sector Output, Retail Sales
Japan Aug Industrial Production, Retail Trade
(Sales)
BoJ Summary of Opinions (09/19
mtg), Official Fx Reserves
Aussie TD Securities Sept Inflation, ANZ
Business Activity/Outlook/Confidence
German Aug Retail Sales
Lloyds Sept UK Business Barometer
China Sept (official)
Manufacturing/non-Manufacturing/Composite PMI
Aussie Aug Private Sector Credit, Housing
Credit
China Caixin Sept Manufacturing PMI
Singapore Bank Lending
RBI (India) Monetary & Credit
Information Review
UK Sept Nationwide House Price Index
Japan Jul Vehicle Production, Aug Construction
Orders, Housing Starts
Wards Sept Total US Vehicle Sales
German Sept Unemployment Claims/Change, Aug
Retail Sales, Import Price Index
South Afridca Aug Private Sector Credit
UK Q2 (F) GDP, Aug Consumer
Credit, Mortgage Approvals, Business Investment
Italy Aug Unemployment Rate/Change
Eurozone Aug Unemployment Rate/Change
Eurozone, French, German, Italian, Spanish CPI
& HICP
India Aug Federal Fiscal Deficit
|
Monday, Sept 30 |
|
Brazil Q4 Long Term Interest
Rate Oulook, Sept IGP-M Inflation Index, BCB Readout
Canada Aug Industrial Product & Raw Materials Prices
Brazil Aug Budget Balance, Debt-to-GEP Ratio
Chicago Sept PMI (9:45am et)
Dallas Fed Manufacturing Survey (10:30am et)
US Treasury Auctions $45B 3-, & $42B 6-month Bills (11:30am et)
ECB's Lane speaks @UCLA's MAE Distinguished Speaker Series (L. A. CA 6pm)
OVERNIGHT into US Tues. a.m. et:
Aussie AiG Sept Performance of Manufacturing
Index, CBA Sept PMI
South Korea Sept CPI, Trade BAlance
Japan Aug Jobless Rate, Job-to-Applicant Ratio,
Tankan Indices/Outlooks
Aussie CoreLogic Sept House Price Index
Japan Nikkei Sept Manufacturing PMI
Singapore URA Qtr Property Index
Aussie Aug Building Approvals, RBA Sept
Commodity Index
RBA MPC Rate Decision/Cash Rate Target
(Oct 01 local time)
Japan Sept Vehicle Sales
India Nikkei Sept Manufacturing PMI
Chicago Fed's Evans on
monetary policy w/Q&A @GIC Central Banking Series: "Monetary & economic
policies on both sides of the Atlantic" (Frankfurt DE 4:15am et)
Swiss Aug Retail Sales, Sept Manufacturing PMI
Eurozone, France, Germany, Italy, Spain
Sept Manufacturing PMI
Eurozone Sept CPI
South Africa SARB Monetary Policy Review
RBA Gov Lowe speaks (Melbourne)
China's National Day--70th Anniversary
since China Republic Founded-kicks off Golden Week (China on vacation until next
week)
|
Tuesday Oct 01 |
|
US Government New Fiscal
Year Begins
Nobel Prize Winners Announced throughout the week
China/Hong Kong Holiday--National Day (Golden Week Starts)
Canada Jul GDP, RBC Sept Manufacturing PMI
South Africa SEpt Total Vehicle Sales
Brazil Aug Industrial Production, PPI
Fed V Chair Clarida remarks @FRB
"Nontraditional Data, Machine Learning & Natural Language Processing in
Macroeconomics" (8:50am et; FRB D.C. thru 2nd)
Redbook weekly store sales snapshot (8:55am et)
Fed's Bullard (9:15am et) welcome, (new) Fed Gov Bowman keynotes (9:30am et), FDIC
Chair McWilliams (11:30am et) @Community Banking in the 21st Century Research
& Policy Conference
(St. Louis FRB )
US Markit Sept Manufacturing PMI (9:45am et)
US Sept ISM Mnftrg Index/Orders/Shipments/Employment/Prices Paid (10am
et)
US Aug. Construction Spending
Mexico Sept Markit Manufacturing PMI
Brazil Sept Trade Balance
ECB's Draghi's Official Reception into the Academy of Athens (Athens
Greece 19:45)
OVERNIGHT into US Wed. a.m. et:
New Zealand QV Sept House Prices
UK BRC Sept Shop Price Index
Japan Sept Consumer Confidence
Swiss Sept CPI, HICP
Spain Unemployment/Change
Euro Area Qtrly Balance of Payments & Int'l
Investment Position (10:00 cet)
Hong Kong Aug Retail Sales, Fx
Reserves
UK Markit/CIPS Sept UK Construction PMI
|
Wed.,
Oct 02 |
|
US Sept Motor Vehicle Sales
(GM & F may announce Q3 Sales)
MBA Mortgage/Refinance Apps (7am et)
ADP Sept Private Sector Employment Report (8:15am et)
89th Annual Securities Traders Ass'n Market Structure Conference (NY)
Singapore Manufacturing PMI
Fed's Harker Day 2 Keynote @St Louis FRB Community Banking Research Conf
(9am)
EIA weekly Petroleum/Gasoline/Distillates Report (10:30am et; w/e 09/27)
NY Fed's Williams participant @UCal San Diego Economics Roundtable
Lecture Series (10:50am et La Jolla CA)
OVERNIGHT into US Thurs. a.m. et:
Aussie AiG Sept Performance of Service Index,
CBA Sep Services/Composite PMI
New Zealand ANZ Sept Commodity Prices
Japan/Jibun Bank Sept Services/Composite PMI
Aussie Aug Trade Balance
Fed's Evans on monetary policy
w/Q&A & ECB's de Guindos @Global Interdependence Ctr Central Banking Series Madrid
(Spain 3:45am et)
South Africa Sept Standard Bank PMI
Eurozone, France, Germany, Italy Markit Sept
Services/Composite PMI
UK Markit/CIPS Sept Services/Composite PMI
Eurozone Aug Retail Sales, PPI
ECB's Enria speaks @Annual Supervisory
Conference of the Financial Market Authority (Vienna Austria 9:30 cet)
|
Thurs.
Oct 03 |
|
Challenger US Sept Job-Cuts Report
(7:30am et)
Brazil Markit Sept Services/Composite PMI
US weekly Jobless Claims/Continuing Claims (8:30am et)
Fed V.Chair Quarles on "The Financial Stability Board at 10
Years" @European Banking Federation's European Banking Summit 2019 (8:30am
et Brussels Belgium)
US Sept Services PMI (9:45am et)
US Aug Factory Orders (10am et)
US non-Manufacturing ISM Index
US Aug (F) Durable Goods/Capital Goods Orders/Shipments
EIA weekly Natural Gas Report (10:30am et; w/e 09/27)
US Treasury Refunding Annoubcement (11am et)
US Treasury Auctions 4-, & 8-week Bills (11:30am et)
Fed's Mester panelist on implications for monetary policy, +
Janet Yellen, Ben Bernanke, Paul Krugman, Jared Bernstein, Olivier Blanchard,
David Wessel @Hutchins Ctr of Brookings Institution "What's (not) Up
with Inflation?" (D.C.)
Fed V.Chair Clarida on "Outlook for the Economy & Monetary
Policy" @WSJ Future of Markets Conference
(6:35pm NY)
Fed weekly Balance Sheet (no more drawdowns) & weekly Money Supply (4:30pm et)
French-American Chamber of Commerce Foundation Gala (NY)
Holidays in China, South Korea & Germany
OVERNIGHT into US Fri. a.m. et:
RBA (Aussie) Financial Stability Review,
Aug Retail Sales, RBA's Ellis speaks (Geelong), HIA New Home Sales
India Nikkei Services PMI
RBI (India) MPC Interest Rate Decision
French Gov't Aug Budget Balance
German Markit Sept Construction PMI
UK Sept New Car Registrations, Q2 Housing
Equity Withdrawal
|
Friday,
Oct 04 |
|
US September Unemployment
Report/Change/Wages/Participation (8:30am et)
US Aug Int'l Trade Deficit
Canada Aug Int'l Merchandise Trade Balance, Ivey Sept PMI
Fed's Rosengren opens (8:30am et) FRB of Boston 63rd Economic
Conference: "A
House Divided Geographic Disparities in 21st Century America," (Boston
FRB thru 5th)
Fed's Bostic fireside chat on economy w/Q&A @40th Tulane Business Forum: Curating the
Customer Experience (New Orleans LA 10:25am et)
Baker-Hughes weekly US/North American Rig Count (1pm et w/e 09/27)
Fed's Powell opens @Fed
Listens:"Perspectives on Maximum Employment & Price Stability" (2pm), then
turns mic over to Fed Gov Brainard on "Gauging
Maximum Employment in a changing Labor Market" (2:10pm et)
Fed Vice Chair Quarles panel: "The Importance of Price Stability
& Low Inflation in Today's Economy" (4pm et) @Fed
Listens:"Perspectives on Maximum Employment & Price Stability"
@FRB (D.C.)
|
Saturday, Oct 05 |
|
China Golden Week Continues |
|
WEEKS AHEAD: 10/09 Fed Minutes
of Sept 18 Ended Meeting (2pm et)
10/24 ECB MPC Meets (a week pre-Brexit)
Norges (Norway) MPC Meets
10/29--30 FOMC 2-day Meeting
10/30 FOMC Rate Decision
BoC (Canada) MPC Rate Decision
10/31 BoJ MPC Meets
*FOMC 2019 Voting Members: Chairperson
Jerome Powell, as of 02/05/18, and ALL members of the FOMC Board of
Governors are permanent voters: That includes Randall Quarles, & Lael
Brainard, Richard Clarida, Gov Bowman, (Senate confirmed
09/12/19) plus New York Fed Pres, currently John Williams
(Formerly of the San Francisco Fed) who replaced William Dudley, who retired from
the bank on June 15, 2018.:New, revolving Regional Fed Bank leaders who are voters
for 2018: Atlanta Fed Pres. Raphael Bostic, new in August 2017 (replaced Dennis
Lockhart), former McKinsey exec Thomas Barkin, who assumed the title of Pres
of Richmond Fed on 01/01/18. San Francisco Fed named Mary Daly Pres/CEO
as of 10/1/2018, who'll be a voter until Feb. The hole in the San Francisco Fed's
hierarchy resulted in Esther George--a very vocal hawk--becoming a voting member of the
FOMC, but she steps aside as of Mary Daly's swearing in, and returns as a voter in Feb
2019. Cleveland Fed's voter, Loretta Mester, a hawk, who wants rates
raised at a quicker pace because she believes the Fed has, already, fallen behind the
curve. Richmond wound up with an opening, after Jeff Lacker
resigned, in early April 2017, when it became known he'd (unintentionally) leaked
sensitive FOMC discussions to Medley Advisors. Richmond operated with an Interim Pres,
Mark L Mullinix, while searching for its new leader, Thomas Barkin, who arrived Jan 1st
2018.. Dissenters at the Dec. 2017 Meeting, Neel Kashkari & Charles Evans, are no
longer voters in 2018. |
* HICP used in Europe, means Harmonized Index of Consumer Price |
|
|
|
|
|