wall street in advance

October 2020  Economic Statistics
and Other Economic Influences

                Weekly Chain Store Sales*
                 Average Hourly Earnings*
                 API Weekly Gas/Oil Stockpiles Report*  **
Mortgage Applications  Data
                 EIA Weekly Report on Gas & Oil Stockpiles* (10a.m.)
                 Weekly Unemployment Report*
                  Weekly Mutual Fund Flows*
                   Natural Gas Storage Levels* (a.m.)

 *Except Holidays    ** As of 1/09         All Dates Subject to Change:
Sun.        Oct 04     OVERNIGHT into US Mon. a.m. et:
        Aussie Markit Sept Services/Composite PMI, NAB Biz Confidence
        Japan Jibun Bank Sept Services/Composite PMI
        So. Korea Nikkei Sept Manufacturing PMI
        South Africa Standard Bank Sept PMI
        EU, France, Germany, Italy Markit Sept Services/Composite PMI
        UK Sept New Car Sales/Registrations, Markit/CIPS Services/Composite PMI

        Eurozone Aug Retail Sales
        Brazil BCB Focus Market Readoiut, Markit Sept Services/Composite PMI
Mon.       Oct 05 Markit US Sept Services/Composite PMI
ISM non-Manufacturing Sept Business Activity/New Orders/Employment
Fed's Evans Q&A w/Diane Swonk @62nd NABE Annual Meeting (10:45am; thru 8th)
SIBOS Financial virtual Forum (thru 8th)
US Treasury Auctions $54B 3-, & $51B 6-month Bills
Richmond Fed's
Investing in Rural America videoconference   (thru 8th)
Supreme Court back in session
   OVERNIGHT into US Tues. a.m. et:
       New Zealand NZIER Q3 Capacity Utilization, Business Confidence
       Aussie AiGroup Sept Construction Index, ANZ Job Ads, Aug Trade Balance
       RBA (Aussie) Oct Interest Rate Decision + Statement (10/06 local time)
       German Aug Factory Orders
       Eurozone, France, German, Italy Sept Construction PMI
       BoE's Haldane on Agent Based Modelling for Policy Seminar
       EU-Ukraine Summit, EcoFIN video conference
       UK BRC Retail Sales Monitor
       ECB Pres Lagarde & VP de Guindos attend Eurogroup video Meeting
       ECB's de Guindos participates in EcoFIN virtual Meeting
       ECB Pres Lagarde videochat  @10th Anniversary of European Stability Mechanism
       Mexico Sept Auto Production/Exports, July Gross Fixed Investment
Tuesday, Oct 06 BoE's Strange OpRisk Europe "Resilience in a time of uncertainty" (13:30 Bst)
US Aug Trade Balance
ECB Pres Lagarde
videotaped chat @WSJ virtual CEO Council Summit
Redbook weeky store sales snapshot
Canada Aug Trade Balance
K.C. Fed's George webinar to discuss her career journey (10:30am)
JOLTS Aug Job Openings/Quits
US Treasury Auctions $30B reopened 119-day & $30B reopened 42-day Bills
Fed's Harker @Global Interdependence Ctr AI & ML webinar w/Q&A (noon edt)
US Treasury Auctions $52B 3-year Notes & $34B 52-week Bills
FOMC Chief Powell on Eco Outlook
(10:40am), ECB's Lane (11:30am) & Sheila Barr (4:10pm) speak @62nd NABE virtual Annual Meeting: Global Reset? (thru 8th)
Fed's Kaplan discusses Global Perspectives w/Banco de Mexico Gov. Alehandro Diaz de Leon Carillo (5pm)
    OVERNIGHT into US Wed. a.m. et:
        BoJ's Kuroda
speaks @62nd NABE Financial forum (7:10pm et)
        Aussie AiGroup Sept Services Index
        Japan Sept Fx Reserves, Leading Index
        RBA Chart Pack released
        German Aug Industrial & Manufacturing Production
        France Aug Trade Balance, Current Account
        UK Halifax Sept House Price Index, Q2 (F) Labour Productivity
        ECB non-Monetary Policy Meeting & Statement

        ECB Pres Lagarde video to Paris Europlace virtual Int'l Financial Forum (14:10cet)
Wed.       Oct 07 China's Golden Week Ends Today
MBA weekly Mortgage Purchase/Refinance Appliactions

Brazil Sept Car Production, New Car Registration, Fx Reserves
Canada Sept Ivey PMI
EIA weekly Petroleum/Gasoline/Distillates/Refineries Report
US Treasury Auctions $35B reopened 10-year Notes
Fed's Bostic opens Racism & the Economy:
Series Kickoff Event (1pm ct)
FOMC Releases Minutes of Sept 15--16 Meeting
Fed's Kashkari speaks @Fed's Raciscm & the Ecconomy (1:15pm & 2:20pm ct)
Fed's Bostic, Rosengren & Kashkari Central Bank panelists @Fed's Raciscm & the Economy (1:40pm)
Aug US Consumer Credit (2pm et)
Fed's Williams Conversation w/Henry Kissinger @Economic Club of NY (2pm edt)
Fed's Williams on The Road Ahead for Central Banks @Hoover Institution (3pm edt)
    OVERNIGHT into US Thurs. a.m. et
         Japan Sept Bank Lending, Aug current Account
         UK RICS Sept House Price Balance
         Swiss Sept Unemployment Rate
         German Aug Trade Balance, Current Account
         French  Aug Trade Balance
         BoE Gov Bailey panelist @Single Resolution Board virtual Conference: The Inpact of COVID-19  Crisis (8:25 Bst)
         ECB's Schnabel video speech @Single Resolution Board Conference (Brussels)
         ECB's de Guindos video @Entrevista Conversaciones 2020 by El Economista
         BoE FPC Summary & Record--October 2020 Statement
         Account of Sept 09--10 ECB Monetary Policy Meeting
         SNB Pres Jordan speaks

         ECB Monetary Policy Statement 
         ECB's Mersch videospeech @50th Anniversary of the Werner Report online Evengt organized by Luxembourg Ctr for Contemporary & Digital History (12:15 cet)
         Brazil Aug Retail Sales
         Canada Sept Housing Starts/Aug Building Permits
Thurs.      Oct 08 NFIB Sept US Biz Optimism Index
Mexico Sept CPI/Core CPI
ECB Account of Monetary Policy Meeting
US weekly Initial Jobless Claims/Continuing Claims

EIA weekly Natural Gas Report
S.F. & Richmond Feds' virtual Seminar on Climate Economics: Suboptimal Climate Poilicy w//Prof. Per Krussel of Stockholm Univ. (11am)
US Treasury Auctions 4-, & 8-week Bills (values not announced agt post)
US Treasury Auctions $23B reopened 30-year Bonds
Federal Reserve Stress Testing Research Virtual Conference focus on resilience (thru 9th)
Foreign Policy Ass'n World Leadership BYO bagged Lunch
Fed's Barkin speaks @Richmond Fed Investing in Rural America (2:40pm thru 7th)
Fed's Rosengren gives Marburg Memorial Lecture on US Economy & Current Financial Conditions @Marquette Univ. Economics Dept (12:10est)
Fed's Barkin speaks @Richmond Fed Investing in Rural America (2:40pm)
Town Hall w/Minneapolis Fed's Neel Kashkari (4pm ct)
Brazil Aug Retail Sales
    OVERNIGHT into US Fri. a.m. et:
        Japan Aug Household Spending/Avg Cash Earnings

       Aussie Aug Home Loans/Investment Lending
       RBA Financial Stability Review
       China Caixin Sept Services/Composite PMI

       Japan Sept Machine Tool Orders
       UK Aug/3-month GDP/CapEx/Household Spending, Aug Trade Balance, Construction Output, Industrial/Manufacturing Production, Index of Services
       China Fx Reserves
       India Bank Loan & Deposit Growth, Fx Reserves
       ECB MPC af Jochnick videochat @L'Agefi Global Invest Forum (Paris 9:30 cet)
       BoE publishes Banking Sector Regulatory Capital 2Q20 (9:30 Bst)
       UK NIESR Sept Monthly GDP Tracker
Friday,    Oct 09 US Aug Wholesale Inventories/Sales
Breakfast w/St. Louis Fed: Scarring Body & Mind--COVID-related long-term marks 8am ct
Canada Sept Unemployment Ragte/Change/Part- +Full-Time/Participation
BoE's Haldane
: OECD Conference: "Confronting Planetary Emergencies" (16:15bst)
WASDE Report
Baker-Hughes weekly No.Am./US Oil/Total Rig Count (w/e 10/03)
Sat.,        Oct 10 So. Africa Gold Production
Jewish Holiday of Simchat Torah
Pres. Trump back out at campaign rally
Sunday,   Oct 11     OVERNIGHT into US Mon. a.m. et:
        New Zealand Aug Visitor Arrivals (largely on virus lockdown)
        Japan Sept Bank Lending, Machine Tool Orders, PPI, Aug Machinery Orders
        Swiss SECO Economic Forecsts
        China Sept Vehicle Sales, FDI, New Yuan Loans, Social Financing
        ECB's Schnabel panelist @Interparliamentary Conf. on Stability, Economic Coordination & Governance in European Union (10:43 cet)
        ECB Pres Lagarde pre-recorded speech w/IMF Gov.
        Mexico Aug Industrial Production
        So. Africa Aug Manufacturing Production
        India Aug Manufacturing & Industrial Production
        UK Fintech AI Public-Private Forum
        BoE MPC Haskel
webinar "Economic Impact of COVID-19" (15:00 bst)
Monday, Oct 12 US Treasury Holiday--Columbus Day
US Equities Trade Regular Hours
BoE's Haldane
Engaging Business Summit: Autumn Lecture hosted by Lord Mark Price
BoE Gov Bailey Citizens' Panel Open Forum (17:00 bst)
ECB's de Guindos speaks @IIF Annual Membership Meeting (thru 16th)
BoE The Central Bank Payments Conference '20: Oversight of Retail Payments
ECB's Panetta presents at Eurosystem report on central bank digital currency to ECOFIN
Russia Aug Trade Balance
IMF Annual Fall Meeting Starts
World Bank Group Fall Meeting Starts
    OVERNIGHT into US Tues. a.m. et:

        New Zealand Sept Electronic Card Spending
        Japan Oct Reuters/Tankan Index
        NZIER Q3 Capacity Utilization, Businesss Confidence
        China Sept Trade Balance
        German Sept CPI/HICP
        UK July Unemployment Rate/Change, Aug Avg Earnings, Sept Claimant Count
        Indonesia Oct Interest/Lending/Deposit Rate Decisions
        EU ZEW Oct Economic Sentiment Index
        Bundesbank Buch & Wuerling speaks
        German Oct ZEW Index of Conditions/Expectations

        So. Africa Aug Mining/Gold Production
Tuesday Oct 13 NFIB Oct US Small Biz Optimism Index
US Sept CPI/Core CPI
US Treasury Auctions $54B 3-, & $51B 6-month Bills
US Treasury Auctions $30B reopened 119-day & $30B reopened 42-day Bills
    OVERNIGHT into US Wed. a.m. et:

        Aussie HIA Sept New Home Sales
        Singapore Q3 (P) GDP
        South Korea Interest Rate Decision
        Japan Aug Industrial Production/Capacity Utilization
        ECB Pres Lagarde speaks at online16th Biennial Global Roundtable from UN Environment Programme Finance Initiative (10:00 cet)
        EU TriPartite Social Summit virtual Conference
        IEA Oil Market Report 
        ECB's Mersche chat @IIEA (European Affairs) webinar (13:00 cet)
        EU Aug Industrial Production
Wed.      Oct 14 MBA US weekly Mortgage/Refinance Applications
ECB's Lane
speaks @SUERF online conf. on "How to spend it? How to pay it? EU & US Perspectives" (14:00 cet)
Redbook weekly store sales snapshot
ECB's Enria panelist @Systemic Risk Council webinar (15:25 cet)
BoE's Breeden speaks @IIF Annual Mtg "New regulatory & policy landscape for sustainable finance" (17:00 bst)
IMF/World Bank Joint Fall virtual Meeting Starts--G20 Meeting Concurrent
US Sept PPI/Core PPI
Fed V. Ch Clarida "US Eco Outlook & Monetary Policy" @
IIF Annual virtual Mtg
Fed V Ch Quarles on "Financial Regulation"
@Hoover Institute Monetary Policy Series
API weekly Oil Report  (delayed by Mon. holiday)
Fed's Kaplan virtual Town Hall "Eco Developments & Implications for Monetary Policy"
    OVERNGHT into US Thurs. a.m. et:
        RBA Gov Lowe speaks

        Japan Stock & Bond Transactions w/Markets & Gov't
        Aussie Sept Unemployment Rate/Change/Participation
        China Sept CPI, PPI
        Swiss Sept Producer & Import Prices
        European Council Meets
        Italy Aug Industrial Orders/Sales
        India Sept Trade Balance
        BoE publishes 3Q20 Credit Conditions & Bank Liabiliies Surveys (9:30 bst)
Thurs.    Oct 15 US weekly Initial Jobless Claims/Continuing Claims
Philly Fed Oct Manufacturing Index

US Sept Import/Export Prices
Empire State/NY Fed Oct Manufacturing Index                                                  
EIA weekly Natural Gas Stoccks (10:30am et; w/e 10/09)
EIA weekly Petroleum/Gasoline/Distillates/Refineries Report (11am et; 10/09)
Atlanta Fed "Reframing Benefits Cliffs:
Solutions for an Inclusive Recovery"
Fed V Chair Quarles on "Response to COVID Event" @IIF Annual virtual Mtg   (11am)
US Treasury Auctions 4- & 8-week Bills (values not set at post)
ECB Pres Lagarde speaks @CNBC debate on the Global Economy @IMF/World Bk Mtg
Russia Sept Industrial Production
FRB "Investing in the Future of Child Care: Child Care as a Community Investment (12pm pt)
    OVERNIGHT into US Fri. a.m. et:
        Pres. candidate V.P. Joe Biden Town Hall
on ABC TV (9pm et)
        So. Korea sept Import/Export Prices
        RBNZ Sept Business PMI, Q3 CPI
        Singaore Sept Trade Balance ex-Oil
        Eurozone Sept New Car Registrations
Italy Sept CPI, HICP, Aug Trade Balance
        EU Aug Trade Balance, Sept CPI/HICP

Friday,   Oct 16 US Sept Retail Sales
US Sept Industrial+Manufacturing Production/Capacity Utilization

ECB's Enria online receit of Alumnus of the Year 2020 Award from Bocconi (18:55 cet)
Fed's Williams discusses @Culture & Communities: "Conversation about Creative Sector, Community Development & Impact Investing" (9am state; Williams 9:45am et)
U.M. Oct (P) Consumer Sentiment/Expectations/Inflation Outlook
Baker-Hughes weekly US/No. Am. Oil/Total Rig Count
(1pm et; w/e 10/10)
    OVERNIGHT into US Sat. a.m. etL
        New Zealand General Election,
Cannabis & Euthanasia Referendums, too
Sat.        Oct 17 IMF/World Bank Joint Fall Meeting
 10/18     ECB Pres Lagarde panelist @G20 Int'l Banking Seminar @IMF/World Bk Grp Mtg
                                       10/19     Fed Financial Stability & Coronavirus Pandemic (thru 22nd)
                                                    Fed Future of Innovation in an Inclusive Chicago (noon ct)
                                       10/20    ECB MPC Meets
                                                    Jt BoE/Banque de France/IMF/OECD workshop on TICs
                                                    Fed's Bostic hosts Inclusive & Equitable Community Development Recovery..(1pm)
                                                    Fed's Barkin & Daly speak Promoting Growth & Prosperity thru Banking Industry: Gender Diversity C-Suite
                                       10/22     Atlanta Fed Equitable Community Development Recovery Strategies for Practioners
                                                    Fed's Kaplan Global Perspectives w/John B Taylor (Stanford U/Hoover 5pm)
                                                    With the Fed: COVID-19 Long-Term Effects of Education Disruptions (4pm)
                                       10/23     Fed's George @KC Fed "Banking & Economy: Forum for Women in Banking"
                                       10/28    Bk of Canada Meets
                                       10/29    BoJ Meets
                                                    Atlanta Fed "Biometrics, Technology & Practices"
                                       11/03    RBA Meets
                                       11/05    FOMC Meet 2-day Meeting Ends
                                                     BoE Meets
                                       11/11    RBNZ Meets

*FOMC 2020 Voting Members:  Chairperson Jerome Powell, as of 02/05/18, and ALL members of the FOMC Board of Governors are permanent voters: That includes Randall Quarles, & Lael Brainard, Richard Clarida, Gov Bowman, (Senate confirmed 09/12/19), plus New York Fed Pres, currently John Williams (Formerly of the San Francisco Fed) who replaced William Dudley, who retired from the bank on June 15, 2018.:New, revolving Regional Fed Bank leaders who are voters for 2020: MN Fed's Kashkari, Dallas Fed's Kaplan, Philly Fed's Harker, Cleveland Fed's Mester. Other Fed Presidents include: Atlanta Fed's Raphael Bostic, new in August 2017 (replaced Dennis Lockhart), former McKinsey exec Thomas Barkin, who assumed the title of Pres of Richmond Fed on 01/01/18. San Francisco Fed named Mary Daly Pres/CEO as of 10/1/2018, who was a voter until Feb. 2020, completing her predecessor's term (NY Fed CEO Wiliams).
               * HICP used in Europe, means Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices