wall street in advance

October 2020  Economic Statistics
and Other Economic Influences

                Weekly Chain Store Sales*
                 Average Hourly Earnings*
                 API Weekly Gas/Oil Stockpiles Report*  **
Mortgage Applications  Data
                 EIA Weekly Report on Gas & Oil Stockpiles* (10a.m.)
                 Weekly Unemployment Report*
                  Weekly Mutual Fund Flows*
                   Natural Gas Storage Levels* (a.m.)

 *Except Holidays    ** As of 1/09         All Dates Subject to Change:
Sunday,   Oct 11     OVERNIGHT into US Mon. a.m. et:
        New Zealand Aug Visitor Arrivals (largely on virus lockdown)
        Japan Sept Bank Lending, Machine Tool Orders, PPI, Aug Machinery Orders
        Swiss SECO Economic Forecsts
        China Sept Vehicle Sales, FDI, New Yuan Loans, Social Financing
        ECB's Schnabel panelist @Interparliamentary Conf. on Stability, Economic Coordination & Governance in European Union (10:43 cet)
        ECB Pres Lagarde pre-recorded speech w/IMF Gov.
        Mexico Aug Industrial Production
        So. Africa Aug Manufacturing Production
        India Aug Manufacturing & Industrial Production
        UK Fintech AI Public-Private Forum
        BoE MPC Haskel
webinar "Economic Impact of COVID-19" (15:00 bst)
Monday, Oct 12 US Treasury Holiday--Columbus Day
US Equities Trade Regular Hours
BoE's Haldane
Engaging Business Summit: Autumn Lecture hosted by Lord Mark Price
BoE Gov Bailey Citizens' Panel Open Forum (17:00 bst)
ECB's de Guindos speaks @IIF Annual Membership Meeting (thru 16th)
BoE The Central Bank Payments Conference '20: Oversight of Retail Payments
ECB's Panetta presents at Eurosystem report on central bank digital currency to ECOFIN
Russia Aug Trade Balance
IMF Annual Fall Meeting Starts
World Bank Group Fall Meeting Starts
    OVERNIGHT into US Tues. a.m. et:

        New Zealand Sept Electronic Card Spending
        Japan Oct Reuters/Tankan Index
        NZIER Q3 Capacity Utilization, Businesss Confidence
        China Sept Trade Balance
        German Sept CPI/HICP
        UK July Unemployment Rate/Change, Aug Avg Earnings, Sept Claimant Count
        Indonesia Oct Interest/Lending/Deposit Rate Decisions
        EU ZEW Oct Economic Sentiment Index
        Bundesbank Buch & Wuerling speaks
        German Oct ZEW Index of Conditions/Expectations

        So. Africa Aug Mining/Gold Production
Tuesday Oct 13 NFIB Oct US Small Biz Optimism Index
US Sept CPI/Core CPI
US Treasury Auctions $54B 3-, & $51B 6-month Bills
US Treasury Auctions $30B reopened 119-day & $30B reopened 42-day Bills
    OVERNIGHT into US Wed. a.m. et:

        Aussie HIA Sept New Home Sales
        Singapore Q3 (P) GDP
        South Korea Interest Rate Decision
        Japan Aug Industrial Production/Capacity Utilization
        ECB Pres Lagarde speaks at online16th Biennial Global Roundtable from UN Environment Programme Finance Initiative (10:00 cet)
        EU TriPartite Social Summit virtual Conference
        IEA Oil Market Report 
        ECB's Mersche chat @IIEA (European Affairs) webinar (13:00 cet)
        EU Aug Industrial Production
Wed.      Oct 14 MBA US weekly Mortgage/Refinance Applications
ECB's Lane
speaks @SUERF online conf. on "How to spend it? How to pay it? EU & US Perspectives" (14:00 cet)
Redbook weekly store sales snapshot
ECB's Enria panelist @Systemic Risk Council webinar (15:25 cet)
BoE's Breeden speaks @IIF Annual Mtg "New regulatory & policy landscape for sustainable finance" (17:00 bst)
IMF/World Bank Joint Fall virtual Meeting Starts--G20 Meeting Concurrent
US Sept PPI/Core PPI
Fed V. Ch Clarida "US Eco Outlook & Monetary Policy" @
IIF Annual virtual Mtg
Fed V Ch Quarles on "Financial Regulation"
@Hoover Institute Monetary Policy Series
API weekly Oil Report  (delayed by Mon. holiday)
Fed's Kaplan virtual Town Hall "Eco Developments & Implications for Monetary Policy"
    OVERNGHT into US Thurs. a.m. et:
        RBA Gov Lowe speaks

        Japan Stock & Bond Transactions w/Markets & Gov't
        Aussie Sept Unemployment Rate/Change/Participation
        China Sept CPI, PPI
        Swiss Sept Producer & Import Prices
        European Council Meets
        Italy Aug Industrial Orders/Sales
        India Sept Trade Balance
        BoE publishes 3Q20 Credit Conditions & Bank Liabiliies Surveys (9:30 bst)
Thurs.    Oct 15 US weekly Initial Jobless Claims/Continuing Claims
Philly Fed Oct Manufacturing Index

US Sept Import/Export Prices
Empire State/NY Fed Oct Manufacturing Index                                                  
EIA weekly Natural Gas Stoccks (10:30am et; w/e 10/09)
EIA weekly Petroleum/Gasoline/Distillates/Refineries Report (11am et; 10/09)
Atlanta Fed "Reframing Benefits Cliffs:
Solutions for an Inclusive Recovery"
Fed V Chair Quarles on "Response to COVID Event" @IIF Annual virtual Mtg   (11am)
US Treasury Auctions 4- & 8-week Bills (values not set at post)
ECB Pres Lagarde speaks @CNBC debate on the Global Economy @IMF/World Bk Mtg
Russia Sept Industrial Production
FRB "Investing in the Future of Child Care: Child Care as a Community Investment (12pm pt)
    OVERNIGHT into US Fri. a.m. et:
        Pres. candidate V.P. Joe Biden Town Hall
on ABC TV (9pm et)
        So. Korea sept Import/Export Prices
        RBNZ Sept Business PMI, Q3 CPI
        Singaore Sept Trade Balance ex-Oil
        Eurozone Sept New Car Registrations
Italy Sept CPI, HICP, Aug Trade Balance
        EU Aug Trade Balance, Sept CPI/HICP

Friday,   Oct 16 US Sept Retail Sales
US Sept Industrial+Manufacturing Production/Capacity Utilization

ECB's Enria online receit of Alumnus of the Year 2020 Award from Bocconi (18:55 cet)
Fed's Williams discusses @Culture & Communities: "Conversation about Creative Sector, Community Development & Impact Investing" (9am state; Williams 9:45am et)
U.M. Oct (P) Consumer Sentiment/Expectations/Inflation Outlook
Baker-Hughes weekly US/No. Am. Oil/Total Rig Count
(1pm et; w/e 10/10)
    OVERNIGHT into US Sat. a.m. etL
        New Zealand General Election,
Cannabis & Euthanasia Referendums, too
Sat.        Oct 17 IMF/World Bank Joint Fall Meeting
Sun.        Oct 18 ECB Pres Lagarde panelist @G30 Int'l Banking Seminar @IMF/World Bk Grp Mtg
BoE Gov Bailey @G-30 Int'l Banking Seminar (14:05 bst)
    OVERNIGHT into US Mon. a.m. et:
        Japan Sept Trade Balance
        RBA (Aussie) Meeting Minutes
        China NBS Data Press Conference: Q3 GDP
, Capacity Utilization, Sept Industrial Production, Fixed Asset Investment, Retail Sales, Unemployment Rate
        Eurozone Aug Construction Output
        ECB's de Guindos opens XI Financial Forum via Expansion in Madrid
        UK Rightmove House Price Index
        BCB (Brazil) Focus Market Readout, Sept Federal Tax Revenue
        Nat'l Bk of Belgium Financial Forum: "Brexit & financial services"
        ECB's Mersch speaks at MNI Connect Roundtable
        BoE's Cunliffe at DC FinTech Week Leaders Panel: Central Banks, CBDCs & Cryptocurrencies
        ECB's Lane & Pres Lagarde speak at ECB Conference on Monetary Policy: bridging science & practice (14:00 cet)
        ECB Pres. Lagarde speaks at 16th Congress of the Regions de France (Paris 14:40)
Mon.       Oct 19 FOMC Chief Powell on "Cross-Border Payments & Digital Currencies" @IMF (8am et)
BoE's Cunliffe IMF panel on Cross-Border Payments--Global Roadmap for Improvements
Fed's Bostic, SEC's Clayton, Fed V.Ch. Quarles speak at SIFMA virtual Annual Meeting: The Capital Markets Conference  (thru 20th)
ECB's Fernandez-Bollo speaks @v-meeting with Mazars& OMFIF
NY Fed's Willliams opens & closes NY Fed webinar on Culture: Partnerships in Building Ethical Norms (9am et)
Fed's Harker at Operation HOPE Annual Meeting Post-COVID Recovery: Private Sector Response & Outlook (9am et)
Atlanta Fed Financial Stability & the Coronavirus Pandemic (10:30am)
Canada Aug Wholesale Sales
US Treasury Auctions $54B 3-, & $51B 6-month Bills (11:30am et)
Fed V.Ch. Clarida on "US Eco Outlook & Monetary Policy" @ABA Annual (11:45am)
Fed's Kashkari kicks off Fed Reserve Bk of Minneapolis "Empowering the public to assess large bank resiliency (11am ct)
Fed Future of Innovation in an Inclusive Chicago (noon ct)
US Treasury Sept Budget Statement
    OVERNIGHT into US Tues. a.m. et:

        NZIER Q3 Business Confidence, Capacity Utilization
        RBA Ass't Gov Kent speaks
       China Sept House Price Index, PBoC sets Oct Prime Loan Rate
       German Sept PPI
       Swiss Sept Trade Balance/Watch Exports
       EU Aug Current Account
       Hong Kong Sept Unemployment Rate
       ECB's Lane & BoE's Cunliffe speak at Jt BoE/Banque de France/IMF/OECD workshop on TICs & Financial Policies (thru 21st)
Tuesday, Oct 20 US Sept Housing Starts/Building Permits
Redbook weekly store sales snapshot
Fed V.Ch. Quarles "Financial Stability Board Agenda" @SIFMA v-Annual (10:50am et)
US Treasury Auctions $30B reopened 119-day, & $30B reopened 42-day Bills
Fed's Bostic
hosts Inclusive & Equitable Community Development Recovery..(1pm)
Fed's Barkin & Daly speak on Promoting Growth & Prosperity thru Banking Industry: Gender Diversity C-Suite
Russia Sept GDP, Unemployment Rate, Wage Growth, Retail Sales
    OVERNIGHT into US Wed a.m. et:
        New Zealand Electronic Card & Credit Card Spending
        So.Korea Sept PPI
        UK Sept CPI/Core CPI, Public Sector Borrowing, PPI/Core PPI, Retail Price Index
        ECB Pres Lagarde & Lane
participate in ECB Listens event w/European civil society organisations
        Mexico Sept Unemployment Rate
        ECB's Lane panelist at Workshop on TICs & Financial Policies (15:55 cet)
Wed.       Oct 21 MBA weekly Mortgage Purchase/Refinance Applications (w/e 10/16)
Fed Gov Brainard "Economic & Monetary Policy Outlook" Society for Prof. Economists (8:50am et)gg
BoE's Ramsden on Policy Challenges "UK Monetary Policy: Issues & Outlook" @Society of Professional Economists v-Conf.
Atlanta Fed: Financial Stability & the Coronavirus Pandemic (10:30am et)
Boston Fed's Rosengren on "Maine Working Communities Challenge Event" (noon et)
FedTalk: "How has COVID-19 Impacted Minority-Owned Firms" (noon)
Canada Sept CPI/Core CPI, New Housing Price Index, Aug Retail Sales
EIA weekly Petroleum/Gasoline/Distillates/Refineries Report (10:30am et; w/e 10/16)
US Treasury Auctions $22B reopened 20-year Bonds
Fed's Beige Book
St Louis Fed Monetary Policy in Ordinary & Extraordinary Times
(3:30pm ct)
    OVERNIGHT into US Thurs. a.m. et:
        BoJ Bond & Stock Transactions
        RBA Ass't Gov Debelle speaks, NAB Qtrly   Business Confidence
        German GfK Nov Consumer Confidence
        Taiwan Sept Unemployment Rate
        UK CBI Q4 Business Optimism Index, Oct CBI Industrial Order Trends, Retail Sales
        BoE Gov Bailey at The Waterline Summit 2020--Int'l Business Day (10:25 bst)
        ECB's Panetta keynotes ECB Conference: A new horizon for pan-european payments & digital euro" (9:00 cet)
        ECB's Hakkarainen speaks at v-conf. "Cyber Security & Resilience: the basis of it all in digital innovation" organized by the European Banking Federation
Thurs.     Oct 22 US weekly Initial Jobless Claims/Continuing Claims (no one talking about exhausted benefits)
BoE's Haldane opens 3rd Annual "Rebuilding Macroeconomics Understandng Social Macroeconomics"
NAR Sept Existing Home Sales
EIA weekly Natural Gas Report (10:30am et; w/e 10/16)
US Senate Judiciary Committee votes on sending Amy Coney Barrett's nomination to US Supreme Court to the full Senate
K.C. Fed Oct Manufacturing Index
US Treasury Auctions 4-, & 8-week Bills (values not announced at post)
The Economic Impact of Weather & Climate R. Tol Prof of Economics of Climate Change hosted by FRB San Francisco (11am et)
US Treasury Auctions $27B 5-year TIPS
Atlanta Fed Equitable Community Development Recovery Strategies for Practioners
Evening w/the Fed: COVID-19 Long-Term Effects of Education Disruptions (4pm ct)
Fed's Kaplan Global Perspectives w/John B Taylor (Stanford U/Hoover 5pm)
    OVERNIGHT into US Fri. a.m. et:
        Trump v Biden final Presidential Debate (9pm et)
         New Zealand Q3 CPI, Trade Balance
        Aussie Oct Markit Flash Manufacturing/Services/Composite PMI
        UK GfK Oct Consumer Confidence
        Japan Sept CPI/Core CPI, Jibun Bank Oct Flash Mnftg/Services/Composite PMI
        Singapore URA Property Index, Sept CPI
        UK Sept Retail Sales
        EU, French, German, Oct Markit Mnftg/Services/Composite (Flash) PMI
        UK Oct CIPS/Markit Mnftg/Services/Composite (flash) PMI
, Autumn Budget
        Mexico Aug Retail Sales
        India Oct Bank Deposit & Loan Growth
        Russian Central Bank Press Conference/Interest rate Decision
        Brazil Sept Current Account, Foreign Direct Investment
Friday,    Oct 23 Markit Oct (flash) Manufacturing/Services/Composite  PMI
NY Fed Exec VP Logan panelist on the Initiative on Global Markets from Brookings Inst./ Chicago Booth Business School Task Force on Monetary Policy  (9:05am edt)
Atlanta Fed Financial Stability & the Coronavirus Pandemic (10:30am et)
Fed's George @KC Fed "Banking & Economy: Forum for Women in Banking"
Baker-Hughes weekly US/No. Am. Total/Oil Rig Count (1pm et)
US Treasury Budget Deficit

Sat.,        Oct 24
 10/28    Bk of Canada Meets
                                       10/29    BoJ Meets
                                                    ECB Meets
                                                    Atlanta Fed "Biometrics, Technology & Practices"
                                                    Full Senate Expected to Vote on Amy Coney Barrett's nomination to Supreme Court
                                       11/03    RBA Meets
                                       11/05    FOMC Meet 2-day Meeting Ends
                                                    BoE Meets
                                       11/11    RBNZ Meets

*FOMC 2020 Voting Members:  Chairperson Jerome Powell, as of 02/05/18, and ALL members of the FOMC Board of Governors are permanent voters: That includes Randall Quarles, & Lael Brainard, Richard Clarida, Gov Bowman, (Senate confirmed 09/12/19), plus New York Fed Pres, currently John Williams (Formerly of the San Francisco Fed) who replaced William Dudley, who retired from the bank on June 15, 2018.:New, revolving Regional Fed Bank leaders who are voters for 2020: MN Fed's Kashkari, Dallas Fed's Kaplan, Philly Fed's Harker, Cleveland Fed's Mester. Other Fed Presidents include: Atlanta Fed's Raphael Bostic, new in August 2017 (replaced Dennis Lockhart), former McKinsey exec Thomas Barkin, who assumed the title of Pres of Richmond Fed on 01/01/18. San Francisco Fed named Mary Daly Pres/CEO as of 10/1/2018, who was a voter until Feb. 2020, completing her predecessor's term (NY Fed CEO Wiliams).
               * HICP used in Europe, means Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices